8=======>

2021-12-24 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0127
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
25.7%
in alpha space · 84.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,757.80+0.09%46,060.20-9.18%0.0030✗0.989,2792021-12-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.186242-0.04%0.170222-8.64%0.0164✗1.116.1M2021-12-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023248-0.05%0.021822-6.18%0.0519✗1.202.2M2021-12-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.367299-0.19%0.426+15.76%0.2205✗0.7645k2021-12-31
QNTQuantEthereum199.57199.1426-0.21%179.22-10.20%0.0156✓0.9412.0M2021-12-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5731-0.23%3.7613+5.02%0.0430✗-0.09384k2021-12-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58129.2219-0.28%121.02-6.61%0.0290✗0.993.2M2021-12-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27450.6153-0.37%430.15-4.89%0.0518✗1.0313.7M2021-12-31
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.4692-0.46%4.3404-3.33%0.0943✗1.295.4M2021-12-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2553-0.47%2.058-9.18%0.0145✗1.113.4M2021-12-31
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.654,030.07-0.48%3,675.80-9.23%0.0081✗1.05768.5M2021-12-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.3627-0.50%19.51-9.13%0.0344✗1.3169.7M2021-12-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.058.9981-0.57%8.8-2.76%0.0426✗0.681.0M2021-12-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4237.1968-0.60%34.06-8.98%0.0123✗1.056.1M2021-12-31
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.7316-0.62%15.14-4.36%0.0704✗1.145.0M2021-12-31
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3846-0.64%1.3082-6.12%0.0455✗1.07124.4M2021-12-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1302-0.65%4.508+8.44%0.1672✗0.83714k2021-12-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6829-0.65%5.48-4.20%0.0701✗1.115.0M2021-12-31
SOLSolanaSolana190.65189.3824-0.66%169.88-10.89%0.0111✓1.02257.1M2021-12-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.276716-0.69%0.266478-4.36%0.0586✗1.0136.2M2021-12-31
XMRMoneroMonero204.44203.0182-0.70%228.93+11.98%0.2149✗0.992.7M2021-12-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.058-0.71%2.93-4.87%0.0805✗1.293.2M2021-12-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,483.56-0.72%46,211.24-9.12%0.0073✗1.00750.8M2021-12-31
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.3718-0.73%16.98-2.97%0.1026✗1.3114.6M2021-12-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1727.9601-0.75%26.67-5.32%0.0723✗1.2577.3M2021-12-31
GTGateEthereum6.31286.2651-0.75%6.5555+3.84%0.1218✗0.804.6M2021-12-31
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.080264-0.78%0.075477-6.69%0.0306✗0.96659k2021-12-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.078.9987-0.79%8.41-7.28%0.0067✓0.78836k2021-12-31
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.242422-0.85%0.1945-20.45%0.1753✓0.47410k2021-12-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.7111-0.88%31.4-7.67%0.0069✓0.67649k2021-12-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.214292-0.88%0.1984-8.23%0.0061✓0.87776k2021-12-31
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.5888-0.89%4.91+6.05%0.1633✗1.002.5M2021-12-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.789461-0.90%0.7078-11.15%0.0106✗1.257.7M2021-12-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4979-0.91%3.21-9.07%0.0086✓0.991.3M2021-12-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.5864-0.92%15.07-9.98%0.0297✓0.691.4M2021-12-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.091703-0.94%0.08767-5.29%0.0963✗1.484.8M2021-12-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9801-0.94%1.634-18.26%0.0664✓1.317.9M2021-12-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2242-0.96%5.023-4.78%0.0229✗0.65846k2021-12-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.087906-1.01%0.0823-7.32%0.0386✗1.0921k2021-12-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.107-1.01%1.2282+9.83%0.2461✗1.492.5M2021-12-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.963-1.02%4.6064-8.13%0.0554✗1.365.2M2021-12-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.3745-1.02%3.1464-7.71%0.0499✗1.253.4M2021-12-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9621-1.05%4.018+0.35%0.0824✗0.71473k2021-12-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6332,228.70-1.07%33,038.28+1.41%0.0746✗0.527.0M2021-12-31
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.6025-1.09%3.4015-6.61%0.0443✗1.06819k2021-12-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.9581-1.10%10.11-8.75%0.0065✓0.771.5M2021-12-31
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.2059-1.11%38.25-10.38%0.0029✓1.0621.8M2021-12-31
BANDBandEthereum5.635.5663-1.13%5.01-11.01%0.0089✓1.193.0M2021-12-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.5189-1.15%33.06-5.33%0.1024✗1.521.3M2021-12-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2987-1.15%1.2039-8.36%0.0930✗1.761.6M2021-12-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.5809-1.15%8.1-6.69%0.0699✗1.33511k2021-12-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.120488-1.16%0.11271-7.54%0.0385✗1.1030k2021-12-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.2156-1.17%1.13-8.13%0.0227✗1.002.4M2021-12-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.6682-1.18%7.06-9.02%0.0219✓0.631.0M2021-12-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.136252-1.20%0.1283-6.96%0.0411✗1.06445k2021-12-31
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.6721-1.23%8.736-10.79%0.0364✗1.44349k2021-12-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.081805-1.25%0.08513+2.76%0.1553✗1.2121.7M2021-12-31
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33266.9017-1.27%253.92-6.07%0.0525✗1.0711.4M2021-12-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3425.0133-1.29%24.41-3.67%0.0783✗1.072.7M2021-12-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5723-1.30%1.542-3.20%0.1054✗1.315.2M2021-12-31
KCSKuCoinnative22.8122.5088-1.32%21.376-6.29%0.1094✗1.6821.0M2021-12-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3667-1.37%1.2796-7.65%0.0370✗1.081.4M2021-12-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62103.1799-1.38%93.21-10.91%0.0095✓0.968.8M2021-12-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4735.9599-1.40%34.24-6.11%0.0482✗1.0223.1M2021-12-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.838239-1.45%0.802611-5.64%0.0601✗1.083.7M2021-12-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.4754-1.47%32.43+20.69%0.2853✗0.8640.2M2021-12-31
KSMKusamaHydration288.88284.6241-1.47%276.22-4.38%0.0745✗1.091.5M2021-12-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.01848-1.49%0.01579-15.83%0.0378✓1.253.2M2021-12-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.1409-1.50%4.7425-9.13%0.0089✓0.7529k2021-12-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35158.9326-1.50%146.15-9.42%0.0491✗1.3958.6M2021-12-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.5372-1.50%2.397-6.95%0.0564✗1.18152k2021-12-31
XECeCashnative0.00011730.00011553-1.51%0.00010819-7.77%0.0291✗0.9911.7M2021-12-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.057096-1.52%0.05331-8.05%0.0382✗1.1217k2021-12-31
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2226.6677-1.53%199.58-13.30%0.0222✓1.10239k2021-12-31
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.0899-1.56%2.882-8.19%0.0115✓0.85100k2021-12-31
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.7542-1.57%4.22-12.63%0.0235✓1.001.5M2021-12-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.355427-1.57%0.3279-9.19%0.0063✓0.91388k2021-12-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3412.142-1.60%11.78-4.54%0.0573✓-0.284.9M2021-12-31
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.016239-1.64%0.01518-8.06%0.0221✗0.941.4M2021-12-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.8583-1.64%8.873-11.47%0.0452✓0.63455k2021-12-31
XEMNEMnative0.13590.133557-1.72%0.1227-9.71%0.0201✗1.10202k2021-12-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.454902-1.73%0.4139-10.59%0.0422✗1.431.2M2021-12-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.5643-1.74%5.8862-11.89%0.0050✓1.19876k2021-12-31
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.7998-1.77%9.42+18.64%0.3205✗1.3814.9M2021-12-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.106677-1.77%0.0971-10.59%0.0366✗1.373.0M2021-12-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.4117-1.78%4.34-21.23%0.1250✓1.006.5M2021-12-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.6998-1.83%2.39-13.09%0.0247✓1.024.7M2021-12-31
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.892335-1.83%0.843-7.26%0.0835✗1.479.3M2021-12-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.683848-1.89%0.6421-7.88%0.0596✗1.2814.0M2021-12-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2605-1.90%1.3658+6.30%0.1798✗1.0422.8M2021-12-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2625-1.91%1.259-2.18%0.0898✗0.974.1M2021-12-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.295834-1.91%0.2833-6.07%0.0793✗1.286.2M2021-12-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.060995-1.96%0.063529+2.11%0.1809✗1.479.5M2021-12-31
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748184.4605-1.97%181.8528-3.36%0.0945✗1.14720k2021-12-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.9082-1.99%1.7428-10.48%0.0235✓0.701.3M2021-12-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.107958-2.00%0.1009-8.41%0.0129✓0.57143k2021-12-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.0843-2.04%5.32+2.50%0.1714✗1.3228.7M2021-12-31
DASHDashDash149.49146.4-2.07%133.78-10.51%0.0311✗1.272.2M2021-12-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.0573-2.07%24.42-11.62%0.0316✗1.4024.1M2021-12-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.048403-2.10%0.04828-2.35%0.0850✗0.9112.1M2021-12-31
XVGVergenative0.017980.017594-2.15%0.01703-5.28%0.0809✗1.192.8M2021-12-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.374271-2.18%0.3655-4.47%0.0983✗1.276.2M2021-12-31
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.6061-2.25%10.85+0.00%0.1140✗0.951.6M2021-12-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93112.3178-2.27%109.4-4.81%0.0820✗1.13142.8M2021-12-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.3423-2.28%9.11-4.71%0.0781✗1.084.1M2021-12-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1619-2.28%0.9088-23.57%0.1500✓1.00190k2021-12-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000035302-2.32%0.00003342-7.53%0.0409✗1.002.2M2021-12-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.396661-2.35%0.3547-12.68%0.0339✗1.524.4M2021-12-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6596-2.38%1.62-4.71%0.1393✗1.711.5M2021-12-31
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4554-2.39%3.54+0.00%0.1216✗1.02807k2021-12-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.037314-2.44%0.033825-11.56%0.0005✓1.0212.1M2021-12-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019224-2.52%0.01908-3.25%0.0491✗0.5960k2021-12-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.8042-2.53%12.22+0.91%0.0857✗0.532.7M2021-12-31
ZECZcashZcash165.18160.9594-2.56%146.46-11.33%0.0318✗1.3213.6M2021-12-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.211498-2.58%0.2023-6.82%0.0729✗1.236.5M2021-12-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.7053-2.61%1.5666-10.53%0.0106✓1.006.7M2021-12-31
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.1543-2.65%2.0908-5.52%0.1564✗1.952.1M2021-12-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5342-2.65%1.6589+5.26%0.1808✗1.0734.9M2021-12-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7244.4891-2.69%38.92-14.87%0.0430✗1.858.8M2021-12-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.654637-2.73%0.612-9.06%0.0515✗1.243.0M2021-12-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.197181-2.77%0.1752-13.61%0.0088✓1.144.3M2021-12-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.7153-2.78%2.574-7.84%0.0403✗0.982.2M2021-12-31
ZENHorizenBase70.5368.4664-2.93%60.57-14.12%0.0221✓1.511.4M2021-12-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1542.7607-3.15%39.69-10.10%0.0896✗1.714.7M2021-12-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.6708-3.22%3.496-7.83%0.0469✗1.003.5M2021-12-31
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.384-3.31%3.2677-6.64%0.0492✗0.889.0M2021-12-31
HIVEHivenative1.5931.5374-3.49%1.4896-6.49%0.0947✗1.3210.4M2021-12-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.206956-3.67%0.19688-8.36%0.1052✗1.6224k2021-12-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.075184-3.73%0.0763-2.30%0.1402✗1.312.5M2021-12-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.730577-3.82%0.6864-9.64%0.0602✗1.285.1M2021-12-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.021045-3.95%0.02346+7.07%0.2043✗1.0039.8M2021-12-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.8178-4.16%1.62-14.59%0.0520✓0.668.1M2021-12-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.729003-4.36%0.9356+22.75%0.4177✗1.7614.6M2021-12-31
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61114.8179-5.08%12.734-18.43%0.1592✓-0.08133k2021-12-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.714.8842-5.20%12.7-19.11%0.1607✓-0.024.8M2021-12-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.5645-5.45%4.55+20.69%0.3398✗1.0011.9M2021-12-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.