2021-12-21 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2648

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+14.67%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

45.6%

in alpha space · 51.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.80%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6866	1.7199	+1.97%	1.71	+1.39%	0.0110	✓	0.59	8.7M	2021-12-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.360234	+0.91%	0.423	+18.49%	0.1813	✓	0.73	54k	2021-12-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.11	23.2919	+0.79%	24.71	+6.92%	0.0963	✓	1.31	20.8M	2021-12-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.47	8.5297	+0.70%	9.7	+14.52%	0.1469	✓	0.64	1.2M	2021-12-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0688	0.069266	+0.68%	0.0659	-4.22%	0.0110	✗	1.36	2.7M	2021-12-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.512	7.5571	+0.60%	10.128	+34.82%	0.3290	✓	1.27	635k	2021-12-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.128	2.1406	+0.59%	2.108	-0.94%	0.0159	✓	1.10	3.3M	2021-12-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.06	15.1394	+0.53%	18.4	+22.18%	0.2303	✓	1.24	14.2M	2021-12-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.85	5.8804	+0.52%	9.06	+54.87%	0.4691	✓	1.30	13.8M	2021-12-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	186.16	187.0318	+0.47%	252.64	+35.71%	0.3270	✓	0.92	11.0M	2021-12-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02275	0.022856	+0.47%	0.021978	-3.39%	0.0043	✓	1.23	1.9M	2021-12-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.482	1.4882	+0.42%	1.537	+3.71%	0.0694	✓	1.31	5.6M	2021-12-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170906	0.171599	+0.41%	0.173745	+1.66%	0.0433	✓	1.09	5.5M	2021-12-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.221	1.2251	+0.34%	1.28	+4.83%	0.0711	✓	0.96	4.4M	2021-12-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	32.03	32.1321	+0.32%	35.02	+9.33%	0.1266	✓	1.43	1.5M	2021-12-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.17	25.2484	+0.31%	27.84	+10.61%	0.1321	✓	1.21	75.1M	2021-12-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11184	0.112179	+0.30%	0.11446	+2.34%	0.0508	✓	1.08	30k	2021-12-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.799	3.809	+0.26%	4.564	+20.14%	0.2001	✓	0.68	544k	2021-12-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.44	19.4903	+0.26%	20.36	+4.73%	0.0775	✓	1.19	69.7M	2021-12-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	194.4	194.8984	+0.26%	209	+7.51%	0.0988	✓	1.02	228k	2021-12-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.44	2.4456	+0.23%	2.54	+4.10%	0.0636	✓	0.90	4.8M	2021-12-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	23.65	23.7005	+0.21%	26.57	+12.35%	0.1389	✓	0.87	41.0M	2021-12-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	437.94	438.8541	+0.21%	438.74	+0.18%	0.0284	✓	1.01	14.2M	2021-12-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.0446	6.0562	+0.19%	6.459	+6.86%	0.0857	✓	0.75	4.9M	2021-12-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.96	189.3174	+0.19%	208.62	+10.40%	0.1219	✓	0.87	2.9M	2021-12-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	48,448.30	48,538.64	+0.19%	47,383.60	-2.20%	0.0038	✓	0.98	15k	2021-12-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.31	35.3655	+0.16%	36.25	+2.66%	0.0532	✓	1.00	21.2M	2021-12-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2801	1.2818	+0.14%	1.3998	+9.35%	0.1163	✓	1.00	131.8M	2021-12-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.94	2.9438	+0.13%	3.03	+3.06%	0.0650	✓	1.27	3.1M	2021-12-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.077	5.0828	+0.11%	5.695	+12.17%	0.1312	✓	0.62	1.0M	2021-12-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.28	15.2896	+0.06%	15.54	+1.70%	0.0483	✓	1.13	6.2M	2021-12-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	179.75	179.8622	+0.06%	177.27	-1.38%	0.0112	✓	0.90	275.4M	2021-12-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.267972	0.26812	+0.06%	0.274101	+2.29%	0.0499	✓	0.98	40.4M	2021-12-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.2842	1.2849	+0.05%	1.3011	+1.32%	0.0426	✓	1.06	1.6M	2021-12-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.33	35.3424	+0.04%	34.96	-1.05%	0.0174	✓	1.00	6.5M	2021-12-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.16	33.17	+0.03%	33.51	+1.06%	0.0282	✓	0.63	744k	2021-12-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.63	1.6299	-0.00%	1.77	+8.59%	0.1296	✗	1.66	1.8M	2021-12-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.32	5.3195	-0.01%	5.34	+0.38%	0.0362	✗	1.14	2.8M	2021-12-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010928	0.000109261	-0.02%	0.00010951	+0.21%	0.0302	✗	0.98	12.6M	2021-12-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2099	0.209849	-0.02%	0.1998	-4.81%	0.0249	✓	0.85	756k	2021-12-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3577	1.3569	-0.06%	1.4667	+8.03%	0.1063	✗	1.00	35.7M	2021-12-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0861	0.086036	-0.07%	0.0838	-2.67%	0.0037	✗	1.06	24k	2021-12-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		124.64	124.5406	-0.08%	121.77	-2.30%	0.0049	✗	0.96	2.5M	2021-12-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.74	24.7191	-0.08%	25.42	+2.75%	0.0475	✗	0.69	2.8M	2021-12-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.24	3.2367	-0.10%	3.52	+8.64%	0.1107	✗	0.94	807k	2021-12-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2431	0.242831	-0.11%	0.2158	-11.23%	0.1045	✓	0.47	428k	2021-12-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4308	3.4267	-0.12%	3.7465	+9.20%	0.1182	✗	1.02	819k	2021-12-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.9779	4.9718	-0.12%	4.8047	-3.48%	0.0146	✓	0.69	31k	2021-12-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2356	4.2281	-0.18%	4.4909	+6.03%	0.0967	✗	1.28	4.7M	2021-12-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.36	5.3505	-0.18%	5.85	+9.14%	0.1196	✗	1.07	5.5M	2021-12-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.6	133.3473	-0.19%	134.75	+0.86%	0.0448	✗	1.21	2.2M	2021-12-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.07885	0.078696	-0.20%	0.077218	-2.07%	0.0080	✗	0.95	787k	2021-12-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	186.26	185.8594	-0.22%	188.78	+1.35%	0.0409	✗	0.89	12.3M	2021-12-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.128	0.127717	-0.22%	0.1284	+0.31%	0.0349	✗	1.04	202k	2021-12-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.865	0.862929	-0.24%	0.911	+5.32%	0.0948	✗	1.43	9.9M	2021-12-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.946	3.9357	-0.26%	5.349	+35.55%	0.3291	✗	0.78	734k	2021-12-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.05	15.0102	-0.26%	16.17	+7.44%	0.0930	✗	0.65	1.6M	2021-12-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	97.27	97.0122	-0.26%	99.74	+2.54%	0.0552	✗	0.96	9.8M	2021-12-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	154.8	154.3889	-0.27%	145.67	-5.90%	0.0190	✓	1.38	60.7M	2021-12-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.907	2.8988	-0.28%	2.98	+2.51%	0.0514	✗	0.83	104k	2021-12-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	267.01	266.1896	-0.31%	294.8	+10.41%	0.1319	✗	1.05	1.5M	2021-12-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.69	8.6625	-0.32%	9.08	+4.49%	0.0679	✗	0.73	934k	2021-12-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	48,914.70	48,748.06	-0.34%	47,543.09	-2.80%	0.0034	✓	1.00	754.4M	2021-12-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3132	0.312113	-0.35%	0.3781	+20.72%	0.2309	✗	1.37	4.9M	2021-12-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2185	9.1864	-0.35%	9.0923	-1.37%	0.0287	✗	1.37	349k	2021-12-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4347	2.4254	-0.38%	2.4846	+2.05%	0.0556	✗	1.11	169k	2021-12-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0562	0.055973	-0.40%	0.05427	-3.43%	0.0007	✓	1.06	22k	2021-12-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.24	12.1889	-0.42%	12.05	-1.55%	0.0198	✓	-0.29	5.7M	2021-12-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,017.11	3,999.83	-0.43%	3,793.67	-5.56%	0.0235	✓	1.03	768.5M	2021-12-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.33	3.3154	-0.44%	3.34	+0.30%	0.0346	✗	0.96	1.3M	2021-12-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.783071	0.779605	-0.44%	0.798687	+1.99%	0.0530	✗	1.01	4.8M	2021-12-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3328	0.331259	-0.46%	0.342	+2.76%	0.0572	✗	0.89	544k	2021-12-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01735	0.017253	-0.56%	0.0176	+1.44%	0.0533	✗	1.17	3.1M	2021-12-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2803	0.278658	-0.59%	0.3033	+8.21%	0.1200	✗	1.24	7.0M	2021-12-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01806	0.017954	-0.59%	0.01651	-8.58%	0.0489	✓	1.23	3.6M	2021-12-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.72	0.715589	-0.61%	0.7165	-0.49%	0.0352	✗	1.19	7.7M	2021-12-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2039	0.20262	-0.63%	0.2199	+7.85%	0.1147	✗	1.15	8.6M	2021-12-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3697	0.367255	-0.66%	0.3842	+3.92%	0.0820	✗	1.30	6.6M	2021-12-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.7	7.649	-0.66%	7.57	-1.69%	0.0075	✗	0.63	1.1M	2021-12-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.10229	0.101571	-0.70%	0.08977	-12.24%	0.0807	✓	1.51	6.8M	2021-12-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9	8.9366	-0.70%	9.59	+6.56%	0.1016	✗	1.09	4.1M	2021-12-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.135	0.134043	-0.71%	0.1358	+0.59%	0.0438	✗	1.08	559k	2021-12-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.79	9.7145	-0.77%	11.66	+19.10%	0.2095	✗	0.95	1.9M	2021-12-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1044	1.0954	-0.82%	1.2569	+13.81%	0.1807	✗	1.52	3.3M	2021-12-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7097	0.703778	-0.83%	0.6659	-6.17%	0.0221	✓	1.17	15.1M	2021-12-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.96	41.599	-0.86%	40.01	-4.65%	0.0103	✓	1.01	25.2M	2021-12-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.437	2.416	-0.86%	2.754	+13.01%	0.1567	✗	0.91	3.2M	2021-12-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1664	1.1564	-0.86%	1.2203	+4.62%	0.1021	✗	1.70	1.5M	2021-12-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.601	3.5698	-0.87%	3.6	-0.03%	0.0058	✓	-0.09	372k	2021-12-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.258	10.1657	-0.90%	9.798	-4.48%	0.0175	✓	0.68	388k	2021-12-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.061664	0.061084	-0.94%	0.05923	-3.95%	0.0101	✗	1.44	13.0M	2021-12-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1906	3.1574	-1.04%	3.3661	+5.50%	0.0983	✗	1.21	4.7M	2021-12-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.96	9.8523	-1.08%	10.76	+8.03%	0.1093	✗	0.74	1.9M	2021-12-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	183.964	181.9507	-1.09%	190.178	+3.38%	0.0719	✗	0.97	853k	2021-12-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.776	1.7565	-1.10%	1.664	-6.31%	0.0178	✓	1.28	6.8M	2021-12-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	162.44	160.633	-1.11%	149.45	-8.00%	0.0359	✓	1.28	13.6M	2021-12-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10431	0.103145	-1.12%	0.10316	-1.10%	0.0159	✗	0.56	143k	2021-12-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04838	0.04783	-1.14%	0.05063	+4.65%	0.0831	✗	0.92	15.8M	2021-12-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.624	0.616719	-1.17%	0.64	+2.56%	0.0712	✗	1.20	3.2M	2021-12-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.875	21.6189	-1.17%	21.506	-1.69%	0.0420	✗	1.66	22.7M	2021-12-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01971	0.019471	-1.21%	0.01993	+1.12%	0.0368	✗	0.47	61k	2021-12-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4485	0.442843	-1.26%	0.4301	-4.10%	0.0112	✓	1.42	1.8M	2021-12-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6712	0.662035	-1.37%	0.7106	+5.87%	0.1058	✗	1.23	7.1M	2021-12-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.19	1.1737	-1.37%	1.18	-0.84%	0.0338	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0109	4.9406	-1.40%	5.0292	+0.37%	0.0567	✗	1.37	5.2M	2021-12-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1354	6.0464	-1.45%	6.2683	+2.17%	0.0678	✗	1.12	833k	2021-12-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0992	0.097675	-1.54%	0.1045	+5.34%	0.1063	✗	1.36	3.3M	2021-12-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.61	3.5538	-1.56%	4.38	+21.33%	0.2375	✗	1.00	12.1M	2021-12-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	64.37	63.3574	-1.57%	63.32	-1.63%	0.0397	✗	1.42	1.9M	2021-12-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.62	4.543	-1.67%	4.72	+2.16%	0.0759	✗	1.32	28.7M	2021-12-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.54	9.366	-1.82%	14.64	+53.46%	0.4447	✗	-0.07	3.7M	2021-12-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.93	10.7266	-1.86%	11.57	+5.86%	0.0901	✗	0.51	4.1M	2021-12-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.92	40.1367	-1.91%	39.7	-2.98%	0.0418	✗	1.85	13.1M	2021-12-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.94	4.8414	-2.00%	4.56	-7.69%	0.0314	✓	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.833	3.7564	-2.00%	3.891	+1.51%	0.0636	✗	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	34,696.99	33,988.06	-2.04%	28,691.22	-17.31%	0.1537	✓	0.55	6.8M	2021-12-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.61	4.5156	-2.05%	4.87	+5.64%	0.1040	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.206	0.201753	-2.06%	0.2085	+1.21%	0.0784	✗	1.60	34k	2021-12-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01576	0.015428	-2.11%	0.01563	-0.82%	0.0390	✗	0.91	1.6M	2021-12-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8094	1.7702	-2.17%	1.8135	+0.22%	0.0443	✗	0.71	1.4M	2021-12-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5007	1.4679	-2.18%	1.6826	+12.13%	0.1652	✗	1.01	7.8M	2021-12-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003285	0.000032122	-2.21%	0.00003492	+6.30%	0.1119	✗	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-28
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4758	1.4427	-2.25%	1.6115	+9.20%	0.1473	✗	1.29	11.9M	2021-12-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.463	9.242	-2.34%	14.59	+54.18%	0.4530	✗	-0.13	119k	2021-12-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.038297	0.037343	-2.49%	0.033967	-11.31%	0.0657	✓	1.02	15.0M	2021-12-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3147	1.2808	-2.58%	1.4291	+8.70%	0.1388	✗	1.03	23.6M	2021-12-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.132	1.1	-2.82%	1.027	-9.28%	0.0403	✓	1.00	215k	2021-12-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.53	35.4261	-3.02%	38.45	+5.26%	0.1310	✗	1.73	5.5M	2021-12-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.09777	0.094344	-3.50%	0.07538	-22.90%	0.1897	✓	1.22	22.6M	2021-12-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.66	5.4589	-3.55%	4.5	-20.49%	0.1647	✓	1.00	7.1M	2021-12-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2224	0.214469	-3.57%	0.1923	-13.53%	0.0765	✓	1.15	4.2M	2021-12-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2869	3.1623	-3.79%	3.3399	+1.61%	0.0790	✗	0.86	10.1M	2021-12-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	123.27	118.4807	-3.89%	107.05	-13.16%	0.0706	✓	1.09	164.3M	2021-12-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.4015	2.2875	-4.75%	2.0752	-13.59%	0.0413	✓	1.97	2.4M	2021-12-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.602	0.567284	-5.77%	0.7896	+31.16%	0.3821	✗	1.81	12.4M	2021-12-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02294	0.021129	-7.89%	0.02187	-4.66%	0.0629	✓	1.00	33.0M	2021-12-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.