2021-12-19 · +7d

gru_s6 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0871

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.09%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

36.3%

in alpha space · 8.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.81%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0709	0.071514	+0.87%	0.08785	+23.91%	0.1208	✓	1.01	23.2M	2021-12-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6909	0.692836	+0.28%	0.7893	+14.24%	0.0284	✓	1.21	8.2M	2021-12-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.84	31.8873	+0.15%	38.9	+22.17%	0.0707	✓	1.52	1.6M	2021-12-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,160.00	47,214.24	+0.12%	50,987.30	+8.12%	0.0069	✗	0.99	15k	2021-12-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	183.44	183.3133	-0.07%	268.05	+46.12%	0.2974	✗	0.98	10.9M	2021-12-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.363	0.362727	-0.08%	0.494	+36.09%	0.2457	✗	0.75	54k	2021-12-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.16953	0.169249	-0.17%	0.190018	+12.08%	0.0213	✗	1.12	5.3M	2021-12-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.0839	9.0669	-0.19%	9.8982	+8.96%	0.0369	✓	1.48	356k	2021-12-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.33	5.316	-0.26%	7.93	+48.78%	0.2900	✗	1.30	12.7M	2021-12-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	183.3809	182.8746	-0.28%	187.2077	+2.09%	0.0735	✓	1.15	1.2M	2021-12-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.67	22.6039	-0.29%	26.72	+17.87%	0.0545	✗	1.33	20.5M	2021-12-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3252	0.324252	-0.29%	0.371	+14.08%	0.0603	✗	0.88	775k	2021-12-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.889	3.8752	-0.36%	4.37	+12.37%	0.0509	✗	0.82	780k	2021-12-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.21	5.1902	-0.38%	6.24	+19.77%	0.0930	✗	1.08	5.5M	2021-12-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.55	3.5354	-0.41%	4.113	+15.86%	0.0946	✗	0.67	532k	2021-12-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.96	7.9259	-0.43%	9.64	+21.11%	0.1400	✗	0.66	1.1M	2021-12-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	182.22	181.429	-0.43%	194.3	+6.63%	0.0072	✓	0.90	12.3M	2021-12-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.908	7.8733	-0.44%	9.232	+16.74%	0.0446	✗	1.36	640k	2021-12-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.89	34.7342	-0.45%	37.92	+8.68%	0.0017	✓	1.06	6.9M	2021-12-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.45	13.3872	-0.47%	16.92	+25.80%	0.1772	✗	0.67	1.6M	2021-12-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.131	2.1209	-0.47%	2.289	+7.41%	0.0185	✓	1.12	3.4M	2021-12-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.826	0.821839	-0.50%	1.002	+21.31%	0.0739	✗	1.47	12.1M	2021-12-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	432.94	430.7229	-0.51%	451.86	+4.37%	0.0409	✓	1.05	14.2M	2021-12-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.722	4.697	-0.53%	5.487	+16.20%	0.1022	✗	0.63	961k	2021-12-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.78	24.6472	-0.54%	31.34	+26.47%	0.1346	✗	1.25	75.1M	2021-12-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.9559	5.9238	-0.54%	6.8179	+14.47%	0.0403	✗	1.19	876k	2021-12-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0769	1.0711	-0.54%	1.1705	+8.69%	0.0399	✓	1.52	3.6M	2021-12-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.48	15.3959	-0.54%	17.11	+10.53%	0.0078	✗	1.16	6.6M	2021-12-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.88	18.7766	-0.55%	22.99	+21.77%	0.0937	✗	1.29	69.7M	2021-12-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6518	1.6424	-0.57%	2.196	+32.95%	0.2496	✗	0.48	9.0M	2021-12-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.604	0.600479	-0.58%	0.73	+20.86%	0.0904	✗	1.24	3.4M	2021-12-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.023172	0.023032	-0.60%	0.024422	+5.39%	0.0460	✓	1.24	1.9M	2021-12-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	183.97	182.8163	-0.63%	216.57	+17.72%	0.0871	✗	0.98	2.9M	2021-12-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.02	122.1804	-0.68%	127.5	+3.64%	0.0417	✓	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.71	2.691	-0.70%	3.08	+13.65%	0.0269	✗	1.28	2.9M	2021-12-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.64	6.593	-0.71%	7.96	+19.88%	0.1343	✗	0.64	1.1M	2021-12-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2631	0.261135	-0.75%	0.3303	+25.54%	0.1280	✗	1.27	7.4M	2021-12-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.97	14.8563	-0.76%	18.67	+24.72%	0.1198	✗	1.29	14.2M	2021-12-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0947	0.093975	-0.77%	0.113	+19.32%	0.0695	✗	1.36	3.6M	2021-12-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.58	8.5131	-0.78%	11.25	+31.12%	0.2197	✗	0.70	1.9M	2021-12-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2443	1.2343	-0.80%	1.4549	+16.93%	0.0772	✗	1.03	131.8M	2021-12-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11104	0.110149	-0.80%	0.12458	+12.19%	0.0285	✗	1.12	31k	2021-12-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09206	0.091306	-0.82%	0.09987	+8.48%	0.0336	✓	1.46	7.0M	2021-12-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253885	0.251676	-0.87%	0.291987	+15.01%	0.0652	✗	0.99	39.3M	2021-12-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,687.19	46,259.49	-0.92%	50,801.79	+8.81%	0.0092	✓	1.00	744.5M	2021-12-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.12	5.072	-0.94%	5.85	+14.26%	0.0429	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0846	0.083801	-0.94%	0.0896	+5.91%	0.0272	✓	1.11	24k	2021-12-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.079504	0.078752	-0.95%	0.081508	+2.52%	0.0489	✓	0.99	735k	2021-12-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4774	3.4441	-0.96%	3.4826	+0.15%	0.0196	✗	-0.10	372k	2021-12-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.55	1.5349	-0.98%	2.22	+43.23%	0.2261	✗	1.69	2.1M	2021-12-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.34	8.2573	-0.99%	9.4	+12.71%	0.0633	✗	0.79	824k	2021-12-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.984	2.9537	-1.01%	3.279	+9.89%	0.0319	✗	0.86	105k	2021-12-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3316	2.3077	-1.03%	2.4928	+6.91%	0.0233	✓	1.19	191k	2021-12-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01537	0.015211	-1.04%	0.01668	+8.52%	0.0146	✗	0.92	2.1M	2021-12-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1365	0.135004	-1.10%	0.1438	+5.35%	0.0298	✓	1.10	648k	2021-12-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,925.79	3,882.46	-1.10%	4,065.91	+3.57%	0.0454	✓	1.08	768.5M	2021-12-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.25	31.8902	-1.12%	34.4	+6.67%	0.0199	✗	0.66	754k	2021-12-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	129.18	127.7389	-1.12%	149.09	+15.41%	0.0487	✗	1.25	2.2M	2021-12-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	95.29	94.2268	-1.12%	107.53	+12.84%	0.0513	✗	0.96	10.9M	2021-12-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.74	39.2936	-1.12%	42.59	+7.17%	0.0094	✓	1.07	26.1M	2021-12-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2577	0.254788	-1.13%	0.2394	-7.10%	0.1021	✓	0.47	434k	2021-12-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.7983	5.7324	-1.14%	6.7502	+16.42%	0.0944	✗	0.82	5.2M	2021-12-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0707	0.069871	-1.17%	0.084	+18.81%	0.0674	✗	1.38	3.5M	2021-12-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.453	1.4358	-1.18%	1.668	+14.80%	0.0380	✗	1.33	5.6M	2021-12-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01761	0.017402	-1.18%	0.01869	+6.13%	0.0348	✓	1.26	3.6M	2021-12-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.77037	0.76125	-1.18%	0.879132	+14.12%	0.0528	✗	1.08	4.8M	2021-12-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.3556	3.3155	-1.19%	3.8689	+15.30%	0.0661	✗	1.04	781k	2021-12-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.2785	1.263	-1.21%	1.3933	+8.98%	0.0062	✓	1.09	1.6M	2021-12-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	153.31	151.4494	-1.21%	155.96	+1.73%	0.0919	✓	1.44	63.2M	2021-12-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1922	0.189857	-1.22%	0.24	+24.87%	0.1325	✗	1.21	8.9M	2021-12-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0233	2.986	-1.23%	3.66	+21.06%	0.1011	✗	1.21	4.7M	2021-12-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2012	0.198664	-1.26%	0.219	+8.85%	0.0234	✗	0.88	776k	2021-12-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010867	0.000107282	-1.28%	0.00012144	+11.75%	0.0392	✗	1.00	14.3M	2021-12-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.42	2.389	-1.28%	2.76	+14.05%	0.0633	✗	0.96	4.9M	2021-12-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.73	24.4034	-1.32%	25.82	+4.41%	0.0337	✓	1.07	3.0M	2021-12-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.5	4.4403	-1.33%	4.72	+4.89%	0.0234	✓	1.00	3.1M	2021-12-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	179.95	177.5541	-1.33%	198	+10.03%	0.0224	✗	1.02	281.0M	2021-12-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4351	0.429305	-1.33%	0.469	+7.79%	0.0040	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7362	4.673	-1.34%	5.3426	+12.80%	0.0182	✗	1.37	5.2M	2021-12-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01674	0.016516	-1.34%	0.01937	+15.71%	0.0594	✗	1.18	3.6M	2021-12-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	195.44	192.7696	-1.37%	235.5	+20.50%	0.1101	✗	1.07	228k	2021-12-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.22	3.1759	-1.37%	3.61	+12.11%	0.0444	✗	0.99	1.3M	2021-12-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05564	0.054866	-1.39%	0.05866	+5.43%	0.0291	✓	1.14	22k	2021-12-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0641	1.0491	-1.41%	1.3907	+30.69%	0.2012	✗	0.95	23.6M	2021-12-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.23	20.9206	-1.46%	22.898	+7.86%	0.0556	✓	1.73	24.3M	2021-12-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1383	4.0774	-1.47%	4.8691	+17.66%	0.0660	✗	1.32	4.2M	2021-12-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3063	0.301674	-1.51%	0.4225	+37.94%	0.2124	✗	1.47	4.9M	2021-12-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	22.18	21.843	-1.52%	32.17	+45.04%	0.3168	✗	0.83	42.5M	2021-12-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.8	35.2545	-1.52%	37.29	+4.16%	0.0313	✓	1.03	20.8M	2021-12-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.9334	4.8563	-1.56%	4.9306	-0.06%	0.0503	✓	0.78	31k	2021-12-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.83	40.191	-1.57%	45.66	+11.83%	0.0364	✓	1.94	13.8M	2021-12-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6482	0.637833	-1.60%	0.7354	+13.45%	0.0380	✗	1.24	14.9M	2021-12-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.755	1.7242	-1.76%	1.942	+10.66%	0.0095	✓	1.30	7.6M	2021-12-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.1288	0.126524	-1.77%	0.1412	+9.63%	0.0162	✓	1.11	191k	2021-12-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	274.31	269.3394	-1.81%	322.4	+17.53%	0.0859	✗	1.11	1.5M	2021-12-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1312	1.1103	-1.85%	1.3324	+17.78%	0.0321	✗	1.78	1.6M	2021-12-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.09	8.9213	-1.86%	10.41	+14.52%	0.0606	✗	1.11	4.1M	2021-12-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35.14	34.4757	-1.89%	43.55	+23.93%	0.0852	✗	1.76	6.8M	2021-12-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.628	3.5583	-1.92%	4.307	+18.72%	0.1065	✗	1.00	3.8M	2021-12-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060896	0.059707	-1.95%	0.06404	+5.16%	0.0572	✓	1.51	13.9M	2021-12-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6847	1.6512	-1.99%	2.0712	+22.94%	0.1715	✗	0.65	1.4M	2021-12-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.429	0.420326	-2.02%	0.7068	+64.76%	0.3673	✗	1.80	10.2M	2021-12-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10048	0.098418	-2.05%	0.11329	+12.75%	0.0960	✗	0.53	143k	2021-12-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.18	3.1112	-2.16%	3.81	+19.81%	0.1196	✗	0.98	821k	2021-12-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.219	1.1924	-2.18%	1.317	+8.04%	0.0153	✓	1.00	5.1M	2021-12-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.1433	-2.28%	1.28	+9.40%	0.0285	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.2	4.1041	-2.28%	4.79	+14.05%	0.0701	✗	1.00	1.7M	2021-12-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.6	10.356	-2.30%	13.1	+23.58%	0.1929	✗	0.50	4.2M	2021-12-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.88	11.6046	-2.32%	12.67	+6.65%	0.1161	✗	-0.33	5.9M	2021-12-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.335	2.2807	-2.32%	3.19	+36.62%	0.2579	✗	0.92	3.4M	2021-12-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	65.52	63.969	-2.37%	70.3	+7.30%	0.0362	✓	1.55	2.2M	2021-12-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20367	0.198844	-2.37%	0.20968	+2.95%	0.0861	✓	1.65	37k	2021-12-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,997.51	31,228.05	-2.40%	31,193.34	-2.51%	0.0497	✓	0.57	5.5M	2021-12-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.9	9.6594	-2.43%	10.61	+7.17%	0.0124	✓	0.97	1.9M	2021-12-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.78	153.921	-2.45%	167.45	+6.13%	0.0329	✓	1.39	15.2M	2021-12-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.322	10.0615	-2.52%	9.727	-5.76%	0.0900	✓	0.67	374k	2021-12-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003076	0.00002998	-2.54%	0.00003825	+24.35%	0.1591	✗	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.72	5.5729	-2.57%	5.23	-8.57%	0.1480	✓	1.00	11.5M	2021-12-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3564	1.3203	-2.66%	1.6079	+18.54%	0.1078	✗	1.06	38.2M	2021-12-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3658	0.356043	-2.67%	0.4265	+16.59%	0.0698	✗	1.31	7.0M	2021-12-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.17	4.0573	-2.70%	5.75	+37.89%	0.2367	✗	1.33	28.7M	2021-12-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6458	0.628133	-2.74%	0.8093	+25.32%	0.1495	✗	1.23	8.7M	2021-12-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	107.6	104.6205	-2.77%	115.07	+6.94%	0.0006	✓	1.13	164.3M	2021-12-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.048	0.046652	-2.81%	0.05082	+5.88%	0.0046	✓	0.96	15.8M	2021-12-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4701	1.4286	-2.82%	1.6918	+15.08%	0.0841	✗	1.01	7.8M	2021-12-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.53	3.4237	-3.01%	5.75	+62.89%	0.4340	✗	1.00	12.1M	2021-12-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.279	8.9955	-3.06%	15.136	+63.12%	0.5384	✗	-0.21	119k	2021-12-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.2	8.896	-3.30%	15.17	+64.89%	0.5471	✗	-0.16	3.7M	2021-12-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0519	1.984	-3.31%	2.3444	+14.26%	0.0005	✓	1.97	2.3M	2021-12-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4642	1.4132	-3.48%	1.7664	+20.64%	0.1103	✗	1.33	12.4M	2021-12-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2567	3.1427	-3.50%	3.862	+18.59%	0.1317	✗	0.88	12.2M	2021-12-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02035	0.01956	-3.88%	0.01958	-3.78%	0.0462	✓	0.56	61k	2021-12-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01689	0.016118	-4.57%	0.02201	+30.31%	0.2271	✗	1.00	33.0M	2021-12-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.038495	0.036539	-5.08%	0.03765	-2.20%	0.0561	✓	1.02	15.0M	2021-12-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2768	0.250935	-9.34%	0.2011	-27.35%	0.3241	✓	1.22	3.7M	2021-12-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.