8=======>

2022-04-25 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0771
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
93.8%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.95195.7717-3.03%4.9103-17.50%0.0050✓0.50208k2022-05-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.138440.133903-3.28%0.0708-48.86%0.4052✓0.7417k2022-05-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.911.8461-3.34%0.87-54.45%0.3478✓1.281.6M2022-05-25
XEMNEMnative0.09540.092179-3.38%0.0519-45.60%0.2891✓0.9072k2022-05-25
ORCAOrcaSolana1.971.9023-3.44%0.85-56.85%0.5824✓0.71230k2022-05-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1922160.185293-3.60%0.132074-31.29%0.0365✓0.9618.9M2022-05-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.56100.7869-3.61%68.16-34.81%0.0725✓1.0119.7M2022-05-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.4311.002-3.74%8.16-28.61%0.1896✓0.352.0M2022-05-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2913.1664-3.79%2.628-20.15%0.0099✓0.561.8M2022-05-25
QNTQuantEthereum107.81103.5394-3.96%67.06-37.80%0.1836✓0.803.4M2022-05-25
ETHEthereumEthereum3,007.222,887.66-3.98%1,940.83-35.46%0.0841✓0.99438.2M2022-05-25
GTGateEthereum6.31816.0634-4.03%5.5974-11.41%0.0679✗0.474.7M2022-05-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.165.9098-4.06%3.31-46.27%0.4005✓0.571.0M2022-05-25
TRXTRONTron0.0653240.062636-4.11%0.084706+29.67%0.4913✗0.60304k2022-05-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.030480.029176-4.28%0.021686-28.85%0.0118✓0.984.4M2022-05-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,439.2238,693.52-4.32%29,503.49-27.04%0.0441✓1.00544.9M2022-05-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1691.1183-4.34%0.793-32.16%0.0242✓1.013.9M2022-05-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,523.2038,747.25-4.38%29,838.20-26.37%0.0291✓0.9225k2022-05-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7991.7175-4.53%0.934-48.08%0.3032✓0.978.6M2022-05-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.31470.30027-4.59%0.1164-63.01%0.4228✓1.662.2M2022-05-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.4412.8206-4.61%6.95-48.29%0.2706✓1.0826.0M2022-05-25
KCSKuCoinnative19.75918.8297-4.70%16.114-18.45%0.0864✗0.775.8M2022-05-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.44820.427049-4.72%0.1942-56.67%0.7063✓0.265,5292022-05-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04330.041251-4.73%0.02754-36.40%0.1519✓0.8067k2022-05-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.52650.501555-4.74%0.2104-60.04%0.7864✓0.26777k2022-05-25
DIADIAEthereum0.840.799519-4.82%0.45862-45.40%0.4071✓0.4788k2022-05-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64990.61844-4.84%0.3344-48.55%0.3162✓0.959.2M2022-05-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.257838-4.86%0.1355-50.00%0.4367✓0.6636k2022-05-25
XMRMoneroMonero254.06241.6112-4.90%204.07-19.68%0.1131✗0.893.1M2022-05-25
FTTFTXEthereum41.8339.7694-4.93%29-30.67%0.0359✓0.8919.0M2022-05-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1750.166354-4.94%0.067-61.71%0.7820✓0.40190k2022-05-25
SOLSolanaSolana100.9995.9679-4.97%47.94-52.53%0.3126✓1.21127.9M2022-05-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1579870.150106-4.99%0.082855-47.56%0.3186✓0.875.1M2022-05-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18480.175523-5.02%0.106-42.64%0.1977✗2.23398k2022-05-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090680.086114-5.04%0.05634-37.87%0.1802✓0.7736k2022-05-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2991.2335-5.04%0.53-59.20%0.5389✓0.9762k2022-05-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1058-5.14%1.34-39.64%0.1420✓0.98128k2022-05-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023040.021852-5.15%0.00903-60.81%0.5642✓1.01383k2022-05-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23530.223153-5.16%0.1281-45.56%0.3032✓0.801.6M2022-05-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140930.013365-5.17%0.009336-33.75%0.0897✓0.8553k2022-05-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3080.292036-5.18%0.1393-54.77%0.3056✓1.388.8M2022-05-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.223.9999-5.22%1.67-60.43%0.5829✓0.923.1M2022-05-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.680.64445-5.23%0.394-42.06%0.2587✓0.742.8M2022-05-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.98023.7717-5.24%2.5249-36.56%0.2485✓0.485.6M2022-05-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.2555.9269-5.24%2.862-54.24%0.3798✓1.10216k2022-05-25
XECeCashnative0.000086730.000082178-5.25%0.00004919-43.28%0.2273✓0.919.8M2022-05-25
STXStacksnative1.111.0516-5.26%0.59-46.85%0.2854✓0.93422k2022-05-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.685.3773-5.33%4.65-18.13%0.0493✓0.621.3M2022-05-25
XVSVenusEthereum109.4619-5.38%4.6-54.00%0.4021✓1.014.5M2022-05-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03110.029409-5.44%0.02708-12.93%0.1027✗0.59536k2022-05-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.00000173-5.47%0.00000113-38.25%0.2031✓0.719.3M2022-05-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.8412.1361-5.48%6.35-50.55%0.3223✓1.031.1M2022-05-25
DODODODOEthereum0.3840.362945-5.48%0.171-55.47%0.4127✓1.088.0M2022-05-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.29220.276161-5.49%0.1738-40.52%0.1229✓1.08492k2022-05-25
ADACardanoCardano0.89750.84819-5.49%0.5139-42.74%0.1793✓1.0253.5M2022-05-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.05740.998693-5.55%0.56044-47.00%0.2317✓1.10156k2022-05-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3811.304-5.58%0.683-50.54%0.2618✓1.22496k2022-05-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.18260.172392-5.59%0.08-56.19%0.4157✓1.12220k2022-05-25
XYMSymbolnative0.1070.101014-5.59%0.0602-43.74%0.3142✓0.65823k2022-05-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.125997-5.62%0.0878-34.23%0.0483✓0.99203k2022-05-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.723570.682807-5.63%0.38953-46.17%0.2478✓0.99152k2022-05-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1184.8284-5.66%2.82-44.90%0.2423✓0.9464k2022-05-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,700.5017,639.16-5.68%8,462.79-54.75%0.4239✓0.984.0M2022-05-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51750.488046-5.69%0.2923-43.52%0.1734✓1.08719k2022-05-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06510.061387-5.70%0.0346-46.85%0.2294✓1.09296k2022-05-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9464.6629-5.72%3.812-22.93%0.0353✓0.531.6M2022-05-25
MOVRMoonriverBase50.540647.645-5.73%24.0075-52.50%0.2472✓1.39223k2022-05-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.021670.020428-5.73%0.01278-41.02%0.2391✓0.734.5M2022-05-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7778150.733207-5.74%0.419069-46.12%0.2235✓1.074.6M2022-05-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.41642.2775-5.75%1.6245-32.77%0.1378✓0.6311k2022-05-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.570.536979-5.79%0.21127-62.94%0.4846✓1.42395k2022-05-25
HIVEHivenative0.90460.851729-5.84%0.4895-45.89%0.2557✓0.951.9M2022-05-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.41210.387992-5.85%0.2576-37.49%0.0167✓1.35282k2022-05-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0260330.024506-5.86%0.01699-34.74%0.1982✓0.53197k2022-05-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.6875.9435-5.87%53.342-33.88%0.1047✓0.793.4M2022-05-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash314.56296.0738-5.88%190.03-39.59%0.1416✓0.966.0M2022-05-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6317.5303-5.90%8.17-56.15%0.4460✓1.0110.7M2022-05-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.194.8776-6.02%4.06-21.77%0.0111✓0.62865k2022-05-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.6282.4698-6.02%1.391-47.07%0.2683✓0.979.9M2022-05-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.959580.901623-6.04%0.37157-61.28%0.5022✓1.221.7M2022-05-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.0916.9969-6.04%9.87-45.44%0.2298✓1.0014.6M2022-05-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3724.7692-6.07%13.32-49.49%0.2356✓1.22685k2022-05-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01140.010707-6.08%0.00442-61.23%0.7086✓0.5632k2022-05-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0721.0065-6.11%0.592-44.78%0.2021✓1.041.3M2022-05-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8917.7301-6.14%9.44-50.03%0.2124✓1.33190k2022-05-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3654.0967-6.15%4.696+7.58%0.2093✗0.232.7M2022-05-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50060.469504-6.21%0.2692-46.22%0.2883✓0.85511k2022-05-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70310.658671-6.32%0.4053-42.36%0.2017✓0.9012.2M2022-05-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5064.2208-6.33%2.078-53.88%0.3103✓1.26121k2022-05-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.1662.0278-6.38%1.245-42.52%0.2698✓0.6925k2022-05-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7535.3859-6.38%2.581-55.14%0.2838✓1.4318k2022-05-25
NANOnanopayBase2.1191.9836-6.39%1.0864-48.73%0.2946✓0.98188k2022-05-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024370.000022803-6.43%0.0000116-52.40%0.3457✓1.052.1M2022-05-25
XTZTezosTezos2.95422.7642-6.43%2.1289-27.94%0.0576✓1.01893k2022-05-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18291.1068-6.44%0.6487-45.16%0.1507✓1.2210.2M2022-05-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.2210.206685-6.48%0.1203-45.57%0.1426✓1.263.3M2022-05-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche72.9168.1717-6.50%27.21-62.68%0.5474✓1.1862.8M2022-05-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1220.6802-6.51%10.73-51.49%0.3321✓1.0323.3M2022-05-25
MANADecentralandEthereum1.98011.8511-6.51%1.0553-46.70%0.2282✓1.061.2M2022-05-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.778920.728173-6.52%0.45588-41.47%0.1340✓1.06140k2022-05-25
ZECZcashZcash165.73154.915-6.53%95.54-42.35%0.1741✓0.987.2M2022-05-25
ZENHorizenBase36.3934.0138-6.53%20.29-44.24%0.1144✓1.28275k2022-05-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88230.82465-6.53%0.3875-56.08%0.3639✓1.24208k2022-05-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.7225.9077-6.54%12.51-54.87%0.4420✓0.91517k2022-05-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.82735.4461-6.54%3.5129-39.72%0.0810✓1.1311.2M2022-05-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.52274.2252-6.58%2.5303-44.05%0.2143✓0.95275k2022-05-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009620.008985-6.60%0.00435-54.78%0.3623✓1.153.0M2022-05-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.09731.9584-6.63%1.277-39.11%0.1676✓0.82100k2022-05-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.21270.198592-6.63%0.1199-43.63%0.1568✓1.102.6M2022-05-25
SCSiacoinnative0.010140.009467-6.64%0.00535-47.24%0.2136✓1.13476k2022-05-25
UNIUniswapEthereum8.748.1565-6.68%5.62-35.70%0.0545✓1.016.3M2022-05-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.5311.692-6.69%5.92-52.75%0.5453✓0.432.8M2022-05-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.664.3457-6.74%4.36-6.44%0.2159✗0.671.2M2022-05-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.66163.4136-6.77%2.5703-29.80%0.1126✓0.544.6M2022-05-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4191.3225-6.80%0.967-31.85%0.0011✓1.00593k2022-05-25
DASHDashDash99.4192.6147-6.84%62.12-37.51%0.0851✓1.001.6M2022-05-25
KSMKusamaHydration164.32153.0485-6.86%79.21-51.80%0.3254✓1.061.1M2022-05-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17840.166148-6.87%0.0827-53.64%0.3376✓1.148.8M2022-05-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.252.0944-6.91%0.976-56.62%0.4425✓1.021.3M2022-05-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2361.15-6.96%0.649-47.49%0.2162✓1.132.6M2022-05-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.1415.014-6.98%7.75-51.98%0.3274✓1.0613.0M2022-05-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022950.021348-6.98%0.01238-46.06%0.0888✓1.4549.4M2022-05-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045150.04198-7.02%0.02834-37.23%0.1373✓0.81381k2022-05-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.073004-7.12%0.04828-38.58%0.1728✓0.7631k2022-05-25
XVGVergenative0.009960.00925-7.13%0.00508-49.00%0.2662✓1.061.4M2022-05-25
COMPCompoundEthereum132.68123.0685-7.24%66.82-49.64%0.2608✓1.1165k2022-05-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.8209-7.26%1.91-53.64%0.2752✓1.33416k2022-05-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072990.067686-7.27%0.03816-47.72%0.2614✓0.99124k2022-05-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04780.044297-7.33%0.0239-50.00%0.1086✓1.6132.1M2022-05-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.11340.10506-7.35%0.0612-46.03%0.2560✓0.90791k2022-05-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.32790.30378-7.36%0.1867-43.06%0.0846✓1.281.3M2022-05-25
QTUMQtumQtum6.46725.9914-7.36%4.0707-37.06%0.0334✓1.12170k2022-05-25
AAVEAaveEthereum168.93156.4699-7.38%101.87-39.70%0.0365✓1.2512.2M2022-05-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.89180.825898-7.39%0.6112-31.46%0.0767✓1.20487k2022-05-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.424.0928-7.40%3.37-23.76%0.0709✓0.84741k2022-05-25
BANDBandEthereum3.6163.3476-7.42%1.687-53.35%0.3106✓1.19715k2022-05-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003910.003618-7.46%0.00137-64.96%0.6444✓1.047.1M2022-05-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.452.2669-7.47%1.14-53.47%0.5301✓0.50322k2022-05-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.85.3659-7.48%2.61-55.00%0.2615✓1.46461k2022-05-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7314.5392-7.57%12.26-22.06%0.2250✗1.252.2M2022-05-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01680.015522-7.61%0.00979-41.73%0.1843✓0.881.5M2022-05-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10320.095306-7.65%0.0529-48.74%0.3014✓0.912.5M2022-05-25
LUNATerraTerra 296.8589.4135-7.68%0.00019-100.00%12.6612✓1.2710.3M2022-05-25
UMAUMAEthereum5.945.4787-7.77%3.37-43.27%0.0297✓1.452.5M2022-05-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8440.778316-7.78%0.396-53.08%0.2551✓1.331.9M2022-05-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.3363.9877-8.03%2.13-50.88%0.0963✓1.681.8M2022-05-25
PROPropyEthereum1.61.4699-8.13%1.06-33.75%0.1878✓0.44247k2022-05-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.165.6587-8.14%2.551-58.59%0.3764✓1.338.3M2022-05-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.4843.1932-8.35%1.299-62.72%0.4287✓1.49896k2022-05-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum42.8939.3055-8.36%20.88-51.32%0.2611✓1.186.3M2022-05-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.7432.5095-8.51%1.233-55.05%0.3217✓1.238.4M2022-05-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.942248-8.52%0.78513-23.77%0.1434✗1.03595k2022-05-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1162.8476-8.61%2.531-18.77%0.0848✓0.641.5M2022-05-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.6530.7469-8.63%23.79-29.30%0.0783✓1.068.8M2022-05-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.07784.6357-8.71%2.1481-57.70%0.5274✓0.778.0M2022-05-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.282.988-8.90%1.65-49.70%0.2219✓1.184.4M2022-05-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36040.328053-8.98%0.1511-58.07%0.4037✓1.189.2M2022-05-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.8321.6656-9.08%0.684-62.66%0.5886✓0.9678k2022-05-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24370.221082-9.28%0.1473-39.56%0.0108✓1.25236k2022-05-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5750.519105-9.72%0.223-61.22%0.5414✓0.964.9M2022-05-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.91e-78.92e-7-9.99%6.44e-7-35.03%0.3899✓-0.20596k2022-05-25
APEApeCoinEthereum19.35717.3759-10.23%7.33-62.13%0.1598✓2.2345.4M2022-05-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.