8=======>

2022-04-24 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1412
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.1%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-24.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.85225.6663-3.18%4.9324-15.72%0.0035✓0.50201k2022-05-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.136510.132083-3.24%0.07079-48.14%0.4122✓0.7415k2022-05-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.8366-3.34%0.91-52.11%0.3328✓1.291.6M2022-05-24
ORCAOrcaSolana1.951.8812-3.53%0.83-57.44%0.6153✓0.71250k2022-05-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.333.2123-3.54%2.528-24.08%0.0774✓0.571.9M2022-05-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.59100.829-3.60%70.2-32.88%0.0711✓1.0119.2M2022-05-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1896270.182729-3.64%0.132961-29.88%0.0429✓0.9618.1M2022-05-24
ETHEthereumEthereum2,921.962,812.09-3.76%1,978.15-32.30%0.0672✓0.99429.7M2022-05-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.911.4336-3.92%7.85-34.03%0.2736✓0.361.9M2022-05-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.7583-4.03%3.38-43.67%0.3710✓0.561.0M2022-05-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.131840.126477-4.07%0.083563-36.62%0.1740✓0.845.0M2022-05-24
XEMNEMnative0.09430.090424-4.11%0.053-43.80%0.2747✓0.9167k2022-05-24
QNTQuantEthereum110.44105.8755-4.13%68.32-38.14%0.2070✓0.813.4M2022-05-24
GTGateEthereum6.42366.1575-4.14%5.6407-12.19%0.0487✗0.484.6M2022-05-24
IMXImmutableEthereum1.731.6568-4.23%0.956-44.74%0.2727✓0.977.8M2022-05-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.32650.312409-4.32%0.1178-63.92%0.4940✓1.682.2M2022-05-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,464.5637,740.08-4.37%29,626.44-24.93%0.0447✓1.00519.1M2022-05-24
TRXTRONTron0.0656880.062805-4.39%0.080507+22.56%0.4222✗0.61302k2022-05-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.43440.414736-4.53%0.1976-54.51%0.6703✓0.255,3242022-05-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.17780.169736-4.54%0.0899-49.44%0.0055✓2.24398k2022-05-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,699.3037,861.99-4.63%29,426.00-25.88%0.0119✓0.9225k2022-05-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0315770.030083-4.73%0.021733-31.17%0.0398✓0.994.5M2022-05-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1981.1413-4.74%0.818-31.72%0.0379✓1.033.8M2022-05-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.2812.6508-4.74%7.22-45.63%0.2495✓1.0925.8M2022-05-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.60040.5716-4.80%0.2111-64.84%0.9093✓0.30796k2022-05-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.5205-4.82%4.23-27.07%0.0866✓0.631.3M2022-05-24
SOLSolanaSolana99.2594.4169-4.87%49.64-49.98%0.2948✓1.21127.9M2022-05-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.182.0736-4.88%1.37-37.16%0.1324✓0.98128k2022-05-24
KCSKuCoinnative19.56118.6051-4.89%16.061-17.89%0.0743✗0.775.8M2022-05-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.6610.62845-4.92%0.3398-48.59%0.3404✓0.968.4M2022-05-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043970.041782-4.98%0.02779-36.80%0.1765✓0.8167k2022-05-24
XMRMoneroMonero252.68239.9364-5.04%193.08-23.59%0.0401✓0.903.0M2022-05-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02220.021076-5.06%0.00921-58.51%0.5385✓1.01398k2022-05-24
FIDABonfidaSolana1.3581.289-5.08%0.578-57.44%0.5195✓0.9959k2022-05-24
FTTFTXEthereum40.7938.7154-5.09%29.83-26.87%0.0061✓0.8919.0M2022-05-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31150.29564-5.09%0.1537-50.66%0.2570✓1.388.8M2022-05-24
ADACardanoCardano0.8860.840837-5.10%0.5214-41.15%0.1851✓1.0253.5M2022-05-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1880.178394-5.11%0.0719-61.76%0.7888✓0.42175k2022-05-24
XECeCashnative0.000088480.000083912-5.16%0.00005051-42.91%0.2448✓0.929.8M2022-05-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6960.659972-5.18%0.406-41.67%0.2709✓0.752.8M2022-05-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09150.086756-5.18%0.05492-39.98%0.2336✓0.7836k2022-05-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2770.262495-5.24%0.1342-51.55%0.4813✓0.6638k2022-05-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3736.0378-5.26%2.928-54.06%0.4026✓1.12216k2022-05-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0143360.013581-5.27%0.00909-36.59%0.1544✓0.8653k2022-05-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7212.0481-5.28%6.58-48.27%0.3076✓1.04985k2022-05-24
STXStacksnative1.121.0605-5.32%0.59-47.32%0.3186✓0.93422k2022-05-24
API3Api3Ethereum4.2344.0085-5.33%1.725-59.26%0.5781✓0.923.1M2022-05-24
DIADIAEthereum0.880.833111-5.33%0.46798-46.82%0.4377✓0.4899k2022-05-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23830.225377-5.42%0.1312-44.94%0.3094✓0.811.6M2022-05-24
MOVRMoonriverBase51.60148.7925-5.44%24.8641-51.81%0.2718✓1.40219k2022-05-24
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.00000173-5.45%0.00000113-38.25%0.2224✓0.719.3M2022-05-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.1223.7503-5.45%12.98-48.33%0.3496✓0.89458k2022-05-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.032350.030564-5.52%0.0274-15.30%0.0609✗0.59555k2022-05-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,270.3217,257.12-5.55%9,069.18-50.36%0.3608✓0.994.0M2022-05-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.254.9578-5.57%3.67-30.10%0.1221✓0.62894k2022-05-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.570.538216-5.58%0.21807-61.74%0.4936✓1.43387k2022-05-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2314.9393-5.58%2.995-42.75%0.2283✓0.9564k2022-05-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1654.8763-5.59%3.68-28.75%0.1260✓0.541.6M2022-05-24
XVSVenusEthereum10.389.7992-5.59%4.72-54.53%0.4356✓1.034.5M2022-05-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash307.63290.3678-5.61%195.39-36.49%0.1218✓0.966.0M2022-05-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3891.3108-5.63%0.688-50.47%0.2921✓1.23496k2022-05-24
STORJStorjEthereum1.06521.0053-5.63%0.57632-45.90%0.2398✓1.10162k2022-05-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.54420.513551-5.63%0.2993-45.00%0.2257✓1.10747k2022-05-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.1870.176441-5.65%0.0832-55.51%0.4268✓1.13219k2022-05-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13330.12576-5.66%0.088-33.98%0.0734✓0.99203k2022-05-24
DODODODOEthereum0.3890.366983-5.66%0.178-54.24%0.4111✓1.098.0M2022-05-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06610.062359-5.66%0.0377-42.97%0.1874✓1.10309k2022-05-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.887540.836775-5.72%0.38492-56.63%0.4281✓1.221.6M2022-05-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.72220.680887-5.72%0.39571-45.21%0.2552✓1.00145k2022-05-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.021690.020448-5.73%0.01327-38.82%0.2212✓0.744.2M2022-05-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.41710.393144-5.74%0.2606-37.52%0.0132✓1.39308k2022-05-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0851.0224-5.77%0.574-47.10%0.2757✓1.051.3M2022-05-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.8975.2396-5.82%53.4-33.16%0.1167✓0.793.4M2022-05-24
HIVEHivenative0.91810.864561-5.83%0.4945-46.14%0.2853✓0.951.9M2022-05-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5462.3971-5.85%1.43-43.83%0.2396✓0.979.9M2022-05-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.9217.813-5.85%8.4-55.60%0.4607✓1.0110.7M2022-05-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.30230.284587-5.86%0.1788-40.85%0.1511✓1.09518k2022-05-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.35534.0996-5.87%2.2059-49.35%0.4738✓0.515.4M2022-05-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0266140.025047-5.89%0.016993-36.15%0.2335✓0.54199k2022-05-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.2618.1187-5.93%9.7-49.64%0.2415✓1.34175k2022-05-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8094940.761473-5.93%0.429766-46.91%0.2615✓1.084.2M2022-05-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.574.2988-5.93%4.54-0.66%0.1249✗0.252.8M2022-05-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.58612.4311-5.99%1.5353-40.63%0.2725✓0.6511k2022-05-24
NANOnanopayBase2.03481.9127-6.00%1.1245-44.74%0.2524✓0.97188k2022-05-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15451.0844-6.07%0.6659-42.32%0.1381✓1.2210.2M2022-05-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.21330.200325-6.08%0.1196-43.93%0.1541✓1.263.3M2022-05-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.1524.5558-6.10%13.61-47.95%0.2388✓1.23685k2022-05-24
ZENHorizenBase36.0633.859-6.10%20.61-42.85%0.1288✓1.28292k2022-05-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70080.657945-6.12%0.4187-40.25%0.1926✓0.9012.2M2022-05-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0750.070406-6.13%0.04853-35.29%0.1546✓0.7631k2022-05-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1517.0381-6.13%10.18-43.91%0.2277✓1.0014.6M2022-05-24
ZECZcashZcash160.92150.9453-6.20%100.18-37.75%0.1298✓0.987.7M2022-05-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.4995-6.26%3.35-30.21%0.0984✓0.691.2M2022-05-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.86920.814604-6.28%0.3889-55.26%0.3817✓1.25212k2022-05-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.320.8991-6.28%11.07-50.36%0.3391✓1.0323.3M2022-05-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.790060.740355-6.29%0.41311-47.71%0.2621✓1.12140k2022-05-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011290.010577-6.32%0.00448-60.32%0.6984✓0.5636k2022-05-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009890.009264-6.33%0.00457-53.79%0.3725✓1.173.0M2022-05-24
MINAMina Protocolnative2.192.0513-6.33%1.022-53.33%0.4053✓1.021.2M2022-05-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.21170.198253-6.35%0.1191-43.74%0.1924✓1.112.8M2022-05-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.5466.9787-6.38%29.03-59.42%0.4966✓1.1857.0M2022-05-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51060.477857-6.41%0.2682-47.47%0.3317✓0.86511k2022-05-24
KSMKusamaHydration159.48149.232-6.43%81.64-48.81%0.3008✓1.051.1M2022-05-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.544.2476-6.44%2.048-54.89%0.3650✓1.27121k2022-05-24
XTZTezosTezos2.96062.7697-6.45%2.1228-28.30%0.0252✓1.02893k2022-05-24
XYMSymbolnative0.10960.102504-6.47%0.062-43.43%0.3151✓0.65806k2022-05-24
UNIUniswapEthereum8.718.1459-6.48%5.6-35.71%0.0846✓1.016.8M2022-05-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4181.3257-6.51%0.994-29.90%0.0007✓1.00650k2022-05-24
GITCOINGITCOIN5.885.4965-6.52%2.642-55.07%0.3177✓1.4518k2022-05-24
SCSiacoinnative0.010160.009495-6.54%0.00549-45.96%0.2211✓1.14476k2022-05-24
DASHDashDash10093.4524-6.55%62.33-37.67%0.1175✓1.001.6M2022-05-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.12751.9882-6.55%1.2873-39.49%0.1948✓0.84100k2022-05-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.5474.2473-6.59%2.5793-43.27%0.2251✓0.95266k2022-05-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17880.166993-6.60%0.0832-53.47%0.3668✓1.159.4M2022-05-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.0712.2001-6.66%5.55-57.54%0.6610✓0.442.7M2022-05-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.2215.1282-6.73%7.92-51.17%0.3424✓1.0613.0M2022-05-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.023.7488-6.75%1.93-51.99%0.2825✓1.33436k2022-05-24
MANADecentralandEthereum2.00171.8664-6.76%1.0387-48.11%0.2800✓1.071.2M2022-05-24
XVGVergenative0.009920.009245-6.81%0.00532-46.37%0.2476✓1.061.4M2022-05-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044850.041789-6.82%0.03718-17.10%0.1156✗0.81381k2022-05-24
AAVEAaveEthereum166.31154.9505-6.83%106.62-35.89%0.0159✓1.2512.2M2022-05-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023940.000022297-6.86%0.00001174-50.96%0.3409✓1.052.0M2022-05-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.10935.6895-6.87%3.5129-42.50%0.1498✓1.1610.7M2022-05-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2841.1954-6.90%0.691-46.18%0.2213✓1.142.6M2022-05-24
CBKCobakEthereum2.2192.0655-6.92%1.186-46.55%0.3535✓0.7025k2022-05-24
QTUMQtumQtum6.32615.8883-6.92%4.1082-35.06%0.0383✓1.12147k2022-05-24
AVTAventusEthereum2.412.2416-6.99%1.15-52.28%0.5250✓0.50320k2022-05-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.33510.311487-7.05%0.1891-43.57%0.1295✓1.291.2M2022-05-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0480.044613-7.06%0.0273-43.12%0.0248✓1.6332.1M2022-05-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.82843.5555-7.13%2.4297-36.53%0.2211✓0.564.6M2022-05-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.875.4496-7.16%2.68-54.34%0.2887✓1.47433k2022-05-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.024940.023148-7.19%0.01251-49.84%0.1934✓1.4748.3M2022-05-24
COMPCompoundEthereum130.05120.5372-7.31%69.91-46.24%0.2258✓1.1165k2022-05-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3314.207-7.33%12.4-19.11%0.2239✗1.262.1M2022-05-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.89220.826784-7.33%0.5547-37.83%0.0502✓1.22514k2022-05-24
BANDBandEthereum3.6073.3423-7.34%1.766-51.04%0.2949✓1.20715k2022-05-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.3344.0157-7.34%2.135-50.74%0.1409✓1.712.0M2022-05-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072590.067192-7.44%0.03974-45.25%0.2403✓0.99134k2022-05-24
LUNATerraTerra 290.5483.7982-7.45%0.00018-100.00%12.6901✓1.269.9M2022-05-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004010.003711-7.47%0.00138-65.59%0.6880✓1.057.1M2022-05-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.11930.110369-7.49%0.0653-45.26%0.2617✓0.92917k2022-05-24
RADRadworksEthereum4.384.0496-7.54%2.08-52.51%0.4252✓0.84741k2022-05-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.850.78581-7.55%0.383-54.94%0.3329✓1.352.1M2022-05-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017470.016128-7.68%0.00963-44.88%0.2604✓0.891.5M2022-05-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.875.4183-7.70%2.624-55.30%0.3437✓1.338.1M2022-05-24
UMAUMAEthereum6.0745.6037-7.74%3.449-43.22%0.0668✓1.462.6M2022-05-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.2983.0336-8.02%1.391-57.82%0.3527✓1.49826k2022-05-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10660.098046-8.02%0.054-49.34%0.3305✓0.932.4M2022-05-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2012.9422-8.08%2.4-25.02%0.0168✓0.651.6M2022-05-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.040.955586-8.12%0.84969-18.30%0.1787✗1.03620k2022-05-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum44.3440.7291-8.14%21.26-52.05%0.3085✓1.197.3M2022-05-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.6730.9225-8.16%24.18-28.19%0.0602✓1.0710.0M2022-05-24
PROPropyEthereum1.731.5857-8.34%1.06-38.73%0.2718✓0.46214k2022-05-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.74744.3421-8.54%2.2726-52.13%0.4291✓0.767.7M2022-05-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.7032.4704-8.61%1.255-53.57%0.3214✓1.248.3M2022-05-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35740.326554-8.63%0.1547-56.72%0.4071✓1.199.2M2022-05-24
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.0639-8.81%1.66-50.60%0.2708✓1.194.7M2022-05-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.8851.7145-9.05%0.678-64.03%0.6491✓0.9778k2022-05-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24920.225747-9.41%0.1472-40.93%0.0583✓1.29236k2022-05-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6060.547672-9.63%0.239-60.56%0.5472✓0.985.2M2022-05-24
APEApeCoinEthereum16.81315.1542-9.87%7.505-55.36%0.0864✓2.1545.4M2022-05-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000019.00e-7-10.08%6.94e-7-30.61%0.3154✓-0.20596k2022-05-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.