8=======>

2022-04-17 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1700
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
96.3%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-23.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.620.546918-11.79%0.253-59.19%0.4785✓1.105.9M2022-05-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.7032.3914-11.53%1.413-47.72%0.2622✓0.993.8M2022-05-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.809550.717137-11.42%0.39337-51.41%0.3344✓1.00182k2022-05-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2210.197696-10.54%0.0712-67.78%0.8430✓0.67100k2022-05-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4631.3123-10.30%0.958-34.52%0.0444✓1.021.1M2022-05-17
COMPCompoundEthereum148.41133.4149-10.10%74.69-49.67%0.2598✓1.2076k2022-05-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.22.8785-10.05%1.43-55.31%0.3679✓1.256.7M2022-05-17
PROPropyEthereum1.931.7366-10.02%1.21-37.31%0.1106✓0.94179k2022-05-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5833.1016-9.51%21.76-40.51%0.1268✓1.1016.0M2022-05-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.165.576-9.48%3.314-46.20%0.1318✓1.462.8M2022-05-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.4741.1666-9.46%22.4-50.74%0.2685✓1.288.8M2022-05-17
APEApeCoinEthereum11.69510.5882-9.46%8.877-24.10%0.4031✗2.1846.3M2022-05-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.282.0657-9.40%1.1-51.75%0.3396✓1.091.2M2022-05-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5674.1387-9.38%2.115-53.69%0.2109✓1.732.6M2022-05-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-78.69e-7-9.30%7.15e-7-25.41%0.2788✓-0.31596k2022-05-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.62.3632-9.11%1.16-55.38%0.5781✓0.50546k2022-05-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8540.776822-9.04%0.5004-41.41%0.0769✓1.36870k2022-05-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34860.31733-8.97%0.1798-48.42%0.2548✓1.1810.5M2022-05-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8453.5062-8.81%1.399-63.62%0.5363✓1.44720k2022-05-17
XVGVergenative0.010360.009447-8.81%0.00546-47.30%0.2394✓1.161.7M2022-05-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8060.735212-8.78%0.342-57.57%0.4043✓1.362.7M2022-05-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.41940.382771-8.73%0.2705-35.50%0.0414✓1.46422k2022-05-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.724790.661493-8.73%0.4149-42.76%0.1883✓1.05180k2022-05-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.7626-8.68%1.83-55.58%0.3475✓1.40713k2022-05-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9420.860459-8.66%0.3614-61.63%0.4922✓1.41231k2022-05-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5134.1225-8.65%2.034-54.93%0.4320✓1.03119k2022-05-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4575.9019-8.60%3.13-51.53%0.3363✓1.12340k2022-05-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07460.068285-8.46%0.04738-36.49%0.1439✓0.8350k2022-05-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017490.01604-8.29%0.0104-40.54%0.1672✓1.002.1M2022-05-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77835.3025-8.23%1.6841-70.85%1.0062✓0.535.6M2022-05-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04920.045198-8.13%0.0167-66.06%0.5458✓1.6938.1M2022-05-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004060.003734-8.02%0.00144-64.53%0.6254✓1.239.6M2022-05-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19491.0996-7.97%0.7365-38.36%0.0673✓1.2511.9M2022-05-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.2249-7.77%0.623-53.09%0.3347✓1.283.4M2022-05-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6418.1209-7.73%10.34-47.35%0.2010✓1.35226k2022-05-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0272570.025149-7.73%0.015368-43.62%0.3106✓0.68195k2022-05-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23510.216976-7.71%0.1525-35.13%0.0151✓1.38368k2022-05-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3350.309264-7.68%0.2022-39.64%0.0779✓1.301.6M2022-05-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4324.4062-7.66%13.66-48.32%0.3399✓0.90636k2022-05-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.4021-7.66%2.58-55.90%0.3351✓1.52665k2022-05-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.180.166268-7.63%0.0913-49.28%0.2780✓1.219.4M2022-05-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.05321.8967-7.63%1.2159-40.78%0.1425✓1.141.6M2022-05-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1942.0275-7.59%1.389-36.69%0.0207✓1.347.7M2022-05-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.28383.9607-7.54%2.18-49.11%0.3944✓0.763.9M2022-05-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.11680.108043-7.50%0.0711-39.13%0.1120✓1.15952k2022-05-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.37774.9749-7.49%2.9271-45.57%0.2079✓1.2112.0M2022-05-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.718.2314-7.45%8.56-56.55%0.4590✓1.1210.9M2022-05-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072350.066994-7.40%0.04094-43.41%0.2124✓1.05121k2022-05-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.258.5708-7.34%5.47-40.86%0.1668✓1.068.8M2022-05-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5613.4926-7.33%5.86-59.75%0.7246✓0.412.0M2022-05-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.841.5433-7.27%32.03-28.50%0.0082✓1.0115.1M2022-05-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.955338-7.25%0.38508-62.61%0.5945✓1.18798k2022-05-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.64.2687-7.20%2.04-55.65%0.4830✓0.96785k2022-05-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7112.7257-7.18%12.44-9.26%0.3246✗1.312.5M2022-05-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1155.676-7.18%4.126-32.53%0.1408✓0.671.8M2022-05-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0044.6489-7.10%2.883-42.39%0.1314✓1.307.3M2022-05-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024680.000022939-7.05%0.00001255-49.15%0.3005✓1.142.8M2022-05-17
DIADIAEthereum0.880.817949-7.05%0.39763-54.81%0.5947✓0.48169k2022-05-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.51924.2017-7.03%2.5786-42.94%0.2279✓0.98280k2022-05-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1261.9767-7.02%0.64-69.90%0.8634✓0.9994k2022-05-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010130.009421-7.00%0.00561-44.62%0.2019✓1.19565k2022-05-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13640.126863-6.99%0.0907-33.50%0.0635✓1.02224k2022-05-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4115.2682-6.96%8.62-47.47%0.2970✓1.0318.5M2022-05-17
ZENHorizenBase36.4733.9345-6.95%22.14-39.29%0.0681✓1.35431k2022-05-17
XECeCashnative0.000088780.00008264-6.92%0.00004936-44.40%0.2488✓1.009.5M2022-05-17
BANDBandEthereum3.5543.3083-6.91%1.765-50.34%0.2993✓1.24749k2022-05-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.0741.932-6.85%1.2954-37.54%0.1683✓0.8795k2022-05-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,713.4917,441.58-6.80%9,984.13-46.65%0.2621✓1.115.0M2022-05-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.53246.089-6.79%4.2187-35.42%0.0561✓1.17216k2022-05-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.620.57818-6.75%0.20963-66.19%0.6168✓1.49478k2022-05-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6876660.641526-6.71%0.424817-38.22%0.1164✓1.113.2M2022-05-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.2320.7455-6.68%15.21-31.58%0.0373✓1.31752k2022-05-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71080.663338-6.68%0.4947-30.40%0.0434✓0.9418.3M2022-05-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.03590.968271-6.53%0.61254-40.87%0.1524✓1.15143k2022-05-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049780.046598-6.39%0.02971-40.32%0.1784✓1.02561k2022-05-17
DASHDashDash104.497.7415-6.38%60.11-42.42%0.2112✓1.032.4M2022-05-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.699405-6.37%0.384-48.59%0.3629✓0.892.9M2022-05-17
MOVRMoonriverBase57.227653.61-6.32%24.7107-56.82%0.3836✓1.47223k2022-05-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.2321.7689-6.29%11.46-50.67%0.3489✓1.1031.7M2022-05-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7934.4928-6.26%3.148-34.32%0.2549✓0.384.1M2022-05-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0351820.032982-6.25%0.016233-53.86%0.4119✓1.124.5M2022-05-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7754.4776-6.23%3.057-35.98%0.1242✓0.9772k2022-05-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11340.10655-6.04%0.0562-50.44%0.3604✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
LUNATerraTerra 277.2872.7121-5.91%0.00019-100.00%12.5166✓1.277.7M2022-05-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.370.348215-5.89%0.1418-61.68%0.4155✓1.812.3M2022-05-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022830.021494-5.85%0.00905-60.36%0.5601✓1.15374k2022-05-17
TRXTRONTron0.0601490.056633-5.85%0.072142+19.94%0.4187✗0.66252k2022-05-17
HIVEHivenative0.88580.835116-5.72%0.5411-38.91%0.1477✓1.082.0M2022-05-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.3559-5.71%2.85-49.82%0.4395✓0.721.4M2022-05-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.19250.181555-5.69%0.0892-53.66%0.4058✓1.15251k2022-05-17
KSMKusamaHydration168.62159.1471-5.62%82.04-51.35%0.3826✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.00293.7809-5.55%1.9688-50.82%0.4740✓0.674.8M2022-05-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2812.5458-5.53%6.53-50.83%0.3520✓1.131.5M2022-05-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.745.4247-5.49%3.76-34.49%0.1737✓0.721.1M2022-05-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.69390.655971-5.47%0.2547-63.29%0.8283✓0.44814k2022-05-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.57310.542011-5.42%0.346-39.63%0.1157✓1.25967k2022-05-17
AAVEAaveEthereum167.03157.9716-5.42%92.53-44.60%0.1859✓1.3113.5M2022-05-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6693.4729-5.35%1.748-52.36%0.4850✓0.762.2M2022-05-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32340.306164-5.33%0.1452-55.10%0.3586✓1.469.4M2022-05-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043620.041315-5.28%0.02904-33.43%0.1178✓0.8867k2022-05-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.4076-5.27%1.674-53.46%0.5332✓0.672.5M2022-05-17
STXStacksnative1.131.0706-5.25%0.58-48.67%0.3460✓1.00440k2022-05-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4221.3478-5.22%0.74-47.96%0.2484✓1.32555k2022-05-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.022240.021093-5.16%0.01407-36.74%0.1915✓0.804.9M2022-05-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.7642-5.15%0.97-47.85%0.4090✓0.71238k2022-05-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.18311.3072-5.14%206.73-37.01%0.1456✓0.998.6M2022-05-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19570.185666-5.13%0.0803-58.97%0.2301✓2.29592k2022-05-17
XVSVenusEthereum9.769.2598-5.12%4.73-51.54%0.3644✓1.154.7M2022-05-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06640.063029-5.08%0.0353-46.84%0.2623✓1.19555k2022-05-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.6279.4344-5.01%55.75-33.33%0.1412✓0.803.5M2022-05-17
DODODODOEthereum0.3780.359095-5.00%0.168-55.56%0.4477✓1.177.4M2022-05-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011680.011114-4.85%0.00443-62.07%0.7537✓0.6235k2022-05-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23850.227021-4.81%0.1493-37.40%0.1914✓0.861.7M2022-05-17
ZECZcashZcash137.47130.883-4.79%114.63-16.61%0.1398✗1.029.2M2022-05-17
ADACardanoCardano0.91480.871125-4.77%0.577-36.93%0.1362✓1.0468.9M2022-05-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.7416.8949-4.76%11.02-37.88%0.1460✓1.0619.0M2022-05-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.4571.8594-4.76%34.38-54.43%0.4009✓1.2694.4M2022-05-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.23330.222227-4.75%0.121-48.14%0.2483✓1.353.5M2022-05-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.9180.874883-4.70%0.38048-58.55%0.4858✓1.301.5M2022-05-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8714.1789-4.65%5.35-64.02%0.8436✓0.492.9M2022-05-17
XMRMoneroMonero242230.8185-4.62%172.72-28.63%0.0436✓0.931.7M2022-05-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.009921-4.60%0.00512-50.77%0.3506✓1.173.4M2022-05-17
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9215.6493-4.59%2.75-53.56%0.3189✓1.5118k2022-05-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.431.3644-4.59%0.629-56.01%0.5110✓0.9963k2022-05-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2220.211822-4.58%0.12-45.95%0.2517✓1.193.2M2022-05-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.2244.0305-4.58%1.905-54.90%0.5805✓0.633.4M2022-05-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64490.616119-4.46%0.3906-39.43%0.1780✓1.049.8M2022-05-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1971.1438-4.45%0.593-50.46%0.3818✓1.031.4M2022-05-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.016.7049-4.35%3.61-48.50%0.4167✓0.761.7M2022-05-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,683.5437,966.53-4.33%30,412.12-23.36%0.0442✓1.00529.9M2022-05-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.55352.445-4.25%1.6818-34.14%0.1682✓0.7711k2022-05-17
SOLSolanaSolana100.1895.9804-4.19%57.02-43.08%0.1882✓1.25147.4M2022-05-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140590.013481-4.11%0.008963-36.25%0.1663✓0.9147k2022-05-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034210.032824-4.05%0.0187-45.34%0.3893✓0.65942k2022-05-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,677.8039,039.66-4.03%30,409.80-25.24%0.0037✓0.9526k2022-05-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.8531-3.99%0.91-52.85%0.3577✓1.331.6M2022-05-17
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001825-3.97%0.00000113-40.53%0.2880✓0.729.8M2022-05-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.89595.6631-3.95%4.98-15.53%0.0029✓0.47177k2022-05-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.47370.455941-3.75%0.2109-55.48%0.7140✓0.216,4692022-05-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.78104.7433-3.71%73.04-32.86%0.0862✓1.0323.4M2022-05-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017990.017341-3.61%0.01468-18.40%0.2243✗1.4749.4M2022-05-17
XYMSymbolnative0.11170.107691-3.59%0.0697-37.60%0.2486✓0.70820k2022-05-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.242.161-3.53%1.47-34.38%0.1154✓1.01163k2022-05-17
XEMNEMnative0.09710.093677-3.52%0.0614-36.77%0.1770✓0.9261k2022-05-17
KCSKuCoinnative19.93219.2324-3.51%14.916-25.17%0.0249✓0.865.4M2022-05-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.257662-3.50%0.1311-50.90%0.4476✓0.8636k2022-05-17
XTZTezosTezos3.092.9844-3.42%1.8568-39.91%0.1957✓1.051.0M2022-05-17
NANOnanopayBase2.0742.0032-3.41%1.1607-44.04%0.2515✓1.11243k2022-05-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.28320.273678-3.36%0.1804-36.30%0.1055✓1.17524k2022-05-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393710.13483-3.26%0.090151-35.32%0.1738✓0.865.0M2022-05-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.355.1814-3.15%2.74-48.79%0.4363✓0.751.6M2022-05-17
GTGateEthereum6.41686.2173-3.11%5.7521-10.36%0.0780✗0.594.4M2022-05-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7213.3029-3.04%7.71-43.80%0.2424✓1.1426.0M2022-05-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.1952.1322-2.86%1.231-43.92%0.3368✓0.8025k2022-05-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2391.2042-2.81%0.817-34.06%0.1317✓0.963.5M2022-05-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1966170.1915-2.60%0.141543-28.01%0.0360✓1.0018.8M2022-05-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49690.483993-2.60%0.2589-47.90%0.4145✓0.79490k2022-05-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7291.6876-2.40%0.913-47.19%0.3321✓1.067.8M2022-05-17
QNTQuantEthereum110.99108.7541-2.01%74.46-32.91%0.1328✓0.924.0M2022-05-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092370.090841-1.66%0.05523-40.21%0.2665✓0.8735k2022-05-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143170.140897-1.59%0.07213-49.62%0.4584✓0.7918k2022-05-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,988.402,958.06-1.02%2,088.96-30.10%0.0683✓1.05448.2M2022-05-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.