8=======>

2022-03-21 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2784
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.4%
in alpha space · 54.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ETHEthereumEthereum2,891.082,849.22-1.45%3,077.06+6.43%0.0677✗1.05492.6M2022-04-20
KCSKuCoinnative18.0917.6221-2.59%20.915+15.62%0.1634✗0.906.2M2022-04-20
TRXTRONTron0.061790.06012-2.70%0.062638+1.37%0.0354✗0.64259k2022-04-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.226.0512-2.71%5.71-8.20%0.0643✓0.721.3M2022-04-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6570.638943-2.75%0.743+13.09%0.1429✗0.911.9M2022-04-20
XYMSymbolnative0.13710.133262-2.80%0.1203-12.25%0.1092✓0.79298k2022-04-20
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001777-2.88%0.0000019+3.83%0.0613✗0.6212.1M2022-04-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51050.494539-3.13%0.5123+0.35%0.0288✓0.74399k2022-04-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1030.099727-3.18%0.216+109.71%0.7681✗0.5429k2022-04-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum1514.5207-3.20%14.03-6.47%0.0437✓1.0733.1M2022-04-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.46.1922-3.25%5.17-19.22%0.1869✓0.741.6M2022-04-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7632.6679-3.44%4.076+47.52%0.4137✗1.15514k2022-04-20
QNTQuantEthereum119.55115.424-3.45%110.63-7.46%0.0504✓0.914.2M2022-04-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2036920.196601-3.48%0.20034-1.65%0.0102✓0.9917.0M2022-04-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.2112.1299-3.67%2.315+4.70%0.0765✗0.7921k2022-04-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1191840.114788-3.69%0.140583+17.95%0.1956✗0.822.6M2022-04-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2281.1823-3.72%1.215-1.06%0.0186✓0.992.8M2022-04-20
HIVEHivenative0.91430.879222-3.84%0.9124-0.21%0.0273✓1.122.1M2022-04-20
XVSVenusEthereum9.379.0101-3.84%10.78+15.05%0.1703✗1.043.0M2022-04-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.2682.9255-3.87%78.24-9.30%0.0695✓1.30118.0M2022-04-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25060.240566-4.00%0.2497-0.36%0.0301✓0.821.9M2022-04-20
XEMNEMnative0.10710.102771-4.04%0.1006-6.07%0.0287✓0.8540k2022-04-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3133.1761-4.13%3.54+6.85%0.1021✗0.731.2M2022-04-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,017.7139,294.48-4.20%41,377.61+0.88%0.0429✓1.00680.6M2022-04-20
GTGateEthereum6.36916.1009-4.21%6.5262+2.47%0.0618✗0.643.6M2022-04-20
SCSiacoinnative0.009560.009152-4.27%0.01086+13.60%0.1615✗1.10441k2022-04-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.230.220045-4.33%0.2422+5.30%0.0872✗1.00372k2022-04-20
QTUMQtumQtum6.82366.5256-4.37%6.7512-1.06%0.0242✓1.1297k2022-04-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07520.071912-4.37%0.1132+50.53%0.4455✗0.94146k2022-04-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin116.13111.0396-4.38%111.86-3.68%0.0014✓1.0125.9M2022-04-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011780.011229-4.68%0.0108-8.32%0.0497✓1.223.2M2022-04-20
AAVEAaveEthereum153.89146.6732-4.69%186.29+21.05%0.2278✗1.298.5M2022-04-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.7518.8205-4.71%21.27+7.70%0.1108✗1.33246k2022-04-20
ADACardanoCardano0.91790.874264-4.75%0.9367+2.05%0.0602✗1.0160.9M2022-04-20
XMRMoneroMonero191.87182.7299-4.76%266.68+38.99%0.3697✗0.951.7M2022-04-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,105.8039,144.54-4.77%41,418.20+0.76%0.0481✓0.9652k2022-04-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041260.039291-4.77%0.04465+8.22%0.1205✗0.8423k2022-04-20
XVGVergenative0.00990.009426-4.78%0.01074+8.48%0.1204✗1.151.7M2022-04-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012620.012014-4.80%0.0114-9.67%0.0586✓0.709,3002022-04-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7517.8419-4.84%19.1+1.87%0.0587✗1.0824.4M2022-04-20
SOLSolanaSolana88.6284.3275-4.84%105.59+19.15%0.2138✗1.2692.6M2022-04-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.2120.201598-4.91%0.245+15.57%0.1837✗1.291.8M2022-04-20
MANADecentralandEthereum2.40892.2861-5.10%2.1077-12.51%0.0915✓1.181.3M2022-04-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.16541.1056-5.12%1.0291-11.69%0.0830✓1.291.7M2022-04-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.23580.22361-5.17%0.1961-16.84%0.1400✓1.00173k2022-04-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.74430.705769-5.18%0.6777-8.95%0.0486✓0.927.2M2022-04-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.372.2464-5.22%2.28-3.80%0.0063✓0.98142k2022-04-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.29330.277823-5.28%0.3026+3.17%0.0755✗1.13192k2022-04-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.93317.2546-5.28%330.55-1.31%0.0329✓0.947.0M2022-04-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8513.6473-5.29%3.585-6.91%0.0227✓0.63683k2022-04-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.891.79-5.29%2.04+7.94%0.1195✗1.281.0M2022-04-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.08970.084935-5.31%0.119+32.66%0.3265✗1.23504k2022-04-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.20320.192381-5.32%0.2258+11.12%0.1501✗1.162.3M2022-04-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094860.089806-5.33%0.09555+0.73%0.0543✓0.8828k2022-04-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8515.0001-5.36%14.63-7.70%0.0364✓1.312.6M2022-04-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,359.4019,263.14-5.38%19,161.36-5.88%0.0150✓1.115.7M2022-04-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9834.7132-5.42%5.929+18.98%0.2238✗0.66716k2022-04-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22070.208682-5.45%0.1973-10.60%0.0648✓1.001.7M2022-04-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.0333-5.52%17.1+0.77%0.0556✓1.0014.5M2022-04-20
DIADIAEthereum0.940.888103-5.52%0.92-2.13%0.0321✓0.36248k2022-04-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.5286-5.52%2.83+74.91%0.6072✗0.992.3M2022-04-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.10491.0439-5.53%1.1896+7.66%0.1207✗1.13128k2022-04-20
MINAMina Protocolnative2.091.9738-5.56%2.42+15.79%0.1947✗1.04354k2022-04-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.850.80269-5.57%0.877+3.18%0.0769✗1.332.1M2022-04-20
RADRadworksEthereum4.744.4723-5.65%4.72-0.42%0.0463✓0.87626k2022-04-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.48130.45409-5.65%0.4393-8.73%0.0418✓1.001.3M2022-04-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.9880.0539-5.80%85.34+0.42%0.0574✓0.751.1M2022-04-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.7723.5512-5.85%5.2876+40.18%0.3927✗0.623.9M2022-04-20
KSMKusamaHydration154.99145.8313-5.91%180.41+16.40%0.2029✗1.13685k2022-04-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.026170.024612-5.95%0.02266-13.41%0.0892✓0.752.7M2022-04-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3475.9685-5.96%6.841+7.78%0.1277✗1.00475k2022-04-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025750.024199-6.02%0.0229-11.07%0.0646✓1.08211k2022-04-20
SUSHISushiEthereum3.313.1099-6.05%3.51+6.04%0.1109✗1.166.4M2022-04-20
PROPropyEthereum1.591.4938-6.05%1.83+15.09%0.1941✗1.02242k2022-04-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2540.238639-6.05%0.285+12.20%0.1705✗0.8129k2022-04-20
UNIUniswapEthereum9.358.7843-6.05%9.32-0.32%0.0502✓1.036.1M2022-04-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.5727.7682-6.09%26.49-10.42%0.0551✓0.91767k2022-04-20
DASHDashDash123.68116.1388-6.10%107.03-13.46%0.0902✓0.981.7M2022-04-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.15442.0231-6.10%2.2075+2.46%0.0804✗0.79126k2022-04-20
XTZTezosTezos3.24073.0418-6.14%3.1443-2.97%0.0236✓1.091.1M2022-04-20
FTTFTXEthereum44.6741.9001-6.20%42.77-4.25%0.0115✓1.0414.3M2022-04-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1962.0582-6.28%2.331+6.15%0.1130✗1.319.5M2022-04-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.712.8366-6.30%14.85+8.39%0.1413✗0.502.0M2022-04-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.0489-6.35%1.1-1.79%0.0384✓1.04525k2022-04-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.8280.775335-6.36%0.7421-10.37%0.0525✓1.0016.8M2022-04-20
ZECZcashZcash181.56169.9935-6.37%156.61-13.74%0.0905✓0.9813.8M2022-04-20
ZENHorizenBase43.5940.8007-6.40%37.73-13.44%0.0897✓1.31309k2022-04-20
COMPCompoundEthereum113.52106.2234-6.43%146.98+29.47%0.3146✗1.1748k2022-04-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5311.4325-6.44%1.543+0.78%0.0654✓1.02644k2022-04-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34390.321553-6.50%0.3518+2.30%0.0774✗1.439.4M2022-04-20
NANOnanopayBase2.2122.0678-6.52%2.1203-4.15%0.0150✓1.15139k2022-04-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403440.037698-6.56%0.034071-15.55%0.1095✓0.954.1M2022-04-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5215.4185-6.67%13.95-15.56%0.1106✓1.21510k2022-04-20
AVTAventusEthereum2.272.1175-6.72%2.5+10.13%0.1626✗0.39309k2022-04-20
XECeCashnative0.000080420.000075016-6.72%0.00009119+13.39%0.1868✗0.964.8M2022-04-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152260.142004-6.74%0.14828-2.61%0.0358✓0.8514k2022-04-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5992.4238-6.74%2.105-19.01%0.1497✓1.0052k2022-04-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.19695.777-6.78%5.9614-3.80%0.0278✓0.42179k2022-04-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34150.318085-6.86%0.353+3.37%0.0926✗1.32997k2022-04-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022940.000021362-6.88%0.00002483+8.24%0.1402✗1.172.3M2022-04-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.5990.557609-6.91%0.4818-19.57%0.1549✓1.004,8802022-04-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.12323.838-6.92%4.0391-2.04%0.0454✓0.654.7M2022-04-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41180.383255-6.93%0.363-11.85%0.0644✓1.169.3M2022-04-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5181.412-6.98%1.439-5.20%0.0102✓1.001.6M2022-04-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94680.880585-6.99%1.2813+35.33%0.3645✗1.214.7M2022-04-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4331.3318-7.06%1.516+5.79%0.1176✗1.36466k2022-04-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.410.381025-7.07%0.3835-6.46%0.0103✓1.912.1M2022-04-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018960.01762-7.07%0.01775-6.38%0.0016✓1.031.4M2022-04-20
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6871.5676-7.08%1.46-13.46%0.0782✓0.8150k2022-04-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039030.036254-7.11%0.03471-11.07%0.0493✓0.66963k2022-04-20
ORCAOrcaSolana2.151.9971-7.11%1.99-7.44%0.0094✓0.67176k2022-04-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5501760.51084-7.15%1.0951+99.05%0.7535✗1.041.6M2022-04-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074220.068899-7.17%0.07671+3.35%0.0981✗1.0659k2022-04-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.16352.9348-7.23%4.385+38.61%0.3944✗0.824.1M2022-04-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.9325.9095-7.23%24.27-13.10%0.0751✓1.1140.2M2022-04-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.424.096-7.33%4.44+0.45%0.0683✓1.41375k2022-04-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.097.4968-7.33%6.41-20.77%0.1628✓0.712.6M2022-04-20
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.388132-7.37%0.429+2.39%0.0905✗1.102.8M2022-04-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053580.049594-7.44%0.04767-11.03%0.0487✓1.05474k2022-04-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8811.9041-7.58%13.9+7.92%0.1513✗0.433.0M2022-04-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79690.73615-7.62%0.652-18.18%0.1244✓0.34620k2022-04-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074440.068685-7.73%0.07605+2.16%0.0949✗0.799,2172022-04-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80750.744496-7.80%0.9538+18.12%0.2362✗1.32111k2022-04-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.9714.5769-7.93%6.611+32.99%0.3565✗1.282.6M2022-04-20
STXStacksnative1.31.1968-7.94%1.18-9.23%0.0223✓0.94481k2022-04-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0345.5519-7.99%5.831-3.36%0.0408✓0.9582k2022-04-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.8216.3909-8.02%19.6+9.99%0.1702✗0.985.1M2022-04-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.816550.750992-8.03%0.76066-6.84%0.0030✓1.12118k2022-04-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.455.9303-8.06%6-6.98%0.0052✓0.74822k2022-04-20
BANDBandEthereum3.7493.4461-8.08%3.946+5.25%0.1257✗1.11590k2022-04-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82754.4353-8.12%4.7537-1.53%0.0612✓0.93208k2022-04-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15240.139925-8.19%0.1377-9.65%0.0251✓1.04215k2022-04-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.9174.5096-8.29%5.265+7.08%0.1494✗0.637.0M2022-04-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.6081.4737-8.35%1.455-9.51%0.0237✓1.253.7M2022-04-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0128140.011721-8.53%0.01453+13.39%0.2069✗0.9111k2022-04-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13260.120993-8.75%0.199+50.08%0.4872✗1.192.1M2022-04-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.7524.4075-8.76%23.41-12.49%0.0529✓1.28735k2022-04-20
UMAUMAEthereum7.5756.9013-8.89%6.337-16.34%0.0967✓1.306.0M2022-04-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06250.05689-8.98%0.0532-14.88%0.0821✓1.7243.9M2022-04-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256440.02333-9.02%0.026519+3.41%0.1216✗0.75198k2022-04-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.9675.4224-9.13%4.782-19.86%0.1344✓1.00498k2022-04-20
MOVRMoonriverBase62.259656.5704-9.14%58.9613-5.30%0.0297✓1.34154k2022-04-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4991.3598-9.29%0.9519-36.50%0.3686✓1.37204k2022-04-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07120.064336-9.64%0.0706-0.84%0.0825✓1.19337k2022-04-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.1915.5811-9.85%4.876-21.24%0.1392✓0.485.9M2022-04-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.30432.0772-9.86%2.4899+8.05%0.1749✗0.7213k2022-04-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.1745.1502-10.01%46.2-7.91%0.0120✓1.254.8M2022-04-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.555.8915-10.05%6.29-3.97%0.0533✓1.39447k2022-04-20
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5295.8709-10.08%6.238-4.46%0.0487✓1.3724k2022-04-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.573814-10.34%0.63-1.56%0.0801✓1.52440k2022-04-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4134.4006-10.44%36.54-4.87%0.0518✓0.983.9M2022-04-20
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1411.9088-10.84%2.01-6.12%0.0433✓0.964.0M2022-04-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004410.003927-10.96%0.0042-4.76%0.0558✓1.315.3M2022-04-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001180.000001049-11.11%0.000001102-6.64%0.0527✓-0.421.7M2022-04-20
LUNATerraTerra 295.8285.0279-11.26%94.77-1.10%0.0964✓1.389.1M2022-04-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0064.4323-11.46%4.846-3.20%0.0809✓0.95102k2022-04-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62320.546882-12.25%0.6061-2.74%0.0918✓1.26447k2022-04-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6940.596705-14.02%0.622-10.37%0.0313✓1.182.1M2022-04-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.035880.030534-14.90%0.0241-32.83%0.2501✓1.5413.3M2022-04-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.95267.2263-19.28%5.8153-35.04%0.2260✓1.0047.9M2022-04-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.