2022-03-01 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1748

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.87%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

29.1%

in alpha space · 25.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.45%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,977.72	3,049.94	+2.43%	3,283.08	+10.25%	0.0484	✓	1.04	561.7M	2022-03-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198927	0.201882	+1.49%	0.228422	+14.83%	0.0977	✓	1.07	20.5M	2022-03-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0743	0.075386	+1.46%	0.0836	+12.52%	0.0795	✓	0.99	155k	2022-03-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133991	0.135567	+1.18%	0.138112	+3.08%	0.0042	✓	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.36	15.5371	+1.15%	16.93	+10.22%	0.0573	✓	1.18	52.2M	2022-03-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	112.65	113.9238	+1.13%	123.87	+9.96%	0.0566	✓	1.12	29.5M	2022-03-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.51	6.5775	+1.04%	6.53	+0.31%	0.0285	✗	0.88	452k	2022-03-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	119.35	120.4922	+0.96%	137.61	+15.30%	0.1089	✓	0.99	6.4M	2022-03-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.52	5.5708	+0.92%	7.78	+40.94%	0.3133	✓	0.86	510k	2022-03-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	328.78	331.1385	+0.72%	384.15	+16.84%	0.1250	✓	0.97	7.6M	2022-03-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.35	9.4146	+0.69%	11.81	+26.31%	0.1973	✓	1.21	3.4M	2022-03-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.697	0.701694	+0.67%	0.915	+31.28%	0.2396	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-03-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.242	0.243564	+0.65%	0.283	+16.94%	0.1293	✓	0.86	59k	2022-03-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.1097	0.110389	+0.63%	0.1183	+7.84%	0.0457	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	98.7	99.2417	+0.55%	122.86	+24.48%	0.1830	✓	1.26	131.2M	2022-03-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.55	139.2837	+0.53%	188.49	+36.04%	0.2746	✓	1.15	973k	2022-03-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.746	20.8516	+0.51%	20.465	-1.35%	0.0428	✗	0.99	9.5M	2022-03-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8569	0.861125	+0.49%	0.9295	+8.47%	0.0491	✓	1.13	20.7M	2022-03-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.68	88.0909	+0.47%	94.5	+7.78%	0.0499	✓	0.84	905k	2022-03-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16553	0.165965	+0.26%	0.16325	-1.38%	0.0453	✗	1.19	24k	2022-03-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.062179	0.062257	+0.13%	0.073796	+18.68%	0.1515	✓	0.77	299k	2022-03-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9211	1.9224	+0.07%	2.4796	+29.07%	0.2261	✓	1.18	179k	2022-03-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01656	0.016549	-0.07%	0.03531	+113.22%	0.7212	✗	1.52	12.5M	2022-03-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.224	1.2226	-0.11%	1.51	+23.37%	0.1822	✗	1.20	2.9M	2022-03-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.01	99.8745	-0.14%	127.13	+27.12%	0.2140	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1954	0.195122	-0.14%	0.2832	+44.93%	0.3394	✗	1.37	2.8M	2022-03-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00471	0.004701	-0.19%	0.00431	-8.49%	0.1266	✓	1.64	9.6M	2022-03-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9643	0.962352	-0.20%	1.1417	+18.40%	0.1440	✗	1.11	97.3M	2022-03-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,439.95	44,348.37	-0.21%	45,528.45	+2.45%	0.0021	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7553	6.736	-0.29%	6.6752	-1.19%	0.0261	✓	0.70	2.8M	2022-03-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.771	5.753	-0.31%	6.001	+3.99%	0.0169	✗	1.05	181k	2022-03-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00979	0.009753	-0.38%	0.01207	+23.29%	0.1828	✗	1.25	563k	2022-03-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3996	0.398093	-0.38%	0.4674	+16.97%	0.1260	✗	1.43	1.3M	2022-03-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.318	0.316774	-0.39%	0.609	+91.51%	0.6220	✗	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2318	0.230619	-0.51%	0.2732	+17.86%	0.1339	✗	1.47	2.6M	2022-03-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.14	10.0877	-0.52%	16.52	+62.92%	0.4772	✗	0.66	928k	2022-03-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.34	10.2858	-0.52%	11.29	+9.19%	0.0647	✗	1.18	10.8M	2022-03-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09224	0.091696	-0.59%	0.12603	+36.63%	0.2924	✗	1.06	43k	2022-03-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0922	3.0739	-0.59%	4.2237	+36.59%	0.2964	✗	0.88	2.4M	2022-03-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7053	6.6622	-0.64%	8.2842	+23.55%	0.1854	✗	1.34	226k	2022-03-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.96	86.2599	-0.81%	97.42	+12.03%	0.0870	✗	1.43	118.3M	2022-03-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2576	0.255212	-0.93%	0.2695	+4.62%	0.0324	✗	0.91	2.0M	2022-03-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1523	0.150837	-0.96%	0.1461	-4.07%	0.0516	✓	0.81	294k	2022-03-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.071	3.0408	-0.98%	3.891	+26.70%	0.2251	✗	0.89	218k	2022-03-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.09	13.9495	-1.00%	15.65	+11.07%	0.0886	✗	1.09	331k	2022-03-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2579	2.2345	-1.04%	2.8148	+24.66%	0.2136	✗	0.71	26k	2022-03-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0846	1.0732	-1.05%	1.3386	+23.42%	0.1888	✗	1.33	175k	2022-03-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012097	-1.09%	0.01312	+7.28%	0.0633	✗	0.74	13k	2022-03-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1217	3.084	-1.21%	4.4084	+41.22%	0.3361	✗	0.88	3.6M	2022-03-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	119.02	117.5384	-1.24%	178.39	+49.88%	0.3899	✗	1.13	7.2M	2022-03-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	143.34	141.5523	-1.25%	207	+44.41%	0.3476	✗	1.34	6.8M	2022-03-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.18	2.1528	-1.25%	2.65	+21.56%	0.1796	✗	1.17	354k	2022-03-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.89	0.878793	-1.26%	1.212	+36.18%	0.2905	✗	1.28	2.3M	2022-03-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.617	1.596	-1.30%	2.033	+25.73%	0.2142	✗	1.15	1.8M	2022-03-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.9	18.6543	-1.30%	21.35	+12.96%	0.1056	✗	1.21	29.4M	2022-03-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.328	1.3107	-1.30%	1.594	+20.03%	0.1640	✗	1.31	2.0M	2022-03-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2804	4.2232	-1.34%	5.4868	+28.18%	0.2341	✗	1.14	244k	2022-03-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.823	6.7283	-1.39%	7.189	+5.36%	0.0325	✗	1.39	27k	2022-03-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02885	0.028447	-1.40%	0.02695	-6.59%	0.0728	✓	0.77	4.1M	2022-03-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.502	4.4367	-1.45%	8.197	+82.07%	0.5935	✗	0.84	435k	2022-03-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.573577	0.565052	-1.49%	0.773803	+34.91%	0.2870	✗	1.13	2.8M	2022-03-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04187	0.041245	-1.49%	0.05271	+25.89%	0.2213	✗	0.99	29k	2022-03-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.26	15.0278	-1.52%	18.07	+18.41%	0.1486	✗	1.48	2.4M	2022-03-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3058	0.300973	-1.58%	0.3602	+17.79%	0.1477	✗	1.32	328k	2022-03-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5253	0.516515	-1.67%	0.6676	+27.09%	0.2233	✗	1.37	484k	2022-03-31
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000199	0.000001956	-1.69%	0.00000214	+7.54%	0.0736	✗	0.66	14.0M	2022-03-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007896	0.000077625	-1.69%	0.00009285	+17.59%	0.1526	✗	1.10	4.5M	2022-03-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002713	0.00002666	-1.73%	0.00002586	-4.68%	0.0608	✓	1.25	3.9M	2022-03-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.34	38.6565	-1.74%	48.75	+23.92%	0.1969	✗	1.45	280k	2022-03-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.01044	0.010258	-1.74%	0.01339	+28.26%	0.2363	✗	1.24	1.3M	2022-03-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.522	1.4954	-1.75%	1.775	+16.62%	0.1444	✗	1.12	939k	2022-03-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07633	0.074911	-1.86%	0.09501	+24.47%	0.2075	✗	1.25	69k	2022-03-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.582	1.5521	-1.89%	2.352	+48.67%	0.3903	✗	1.05	3.4M	2022-03-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.396	2.3477	-2.02%	2.756	+15.03%	0.1383	✗	0.91	23k	2022-03-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8359	0.81868	-2.06%	1.1619	+39.00%	0.3150	✗	1.45	270k	2022-03-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.86	4.7581	-2.10%	6	+23.46%	0.1954	✗	1.51	456k	2022-03-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.571	-2.22%	6.73	+0.15%	0.0115	✓	0.51	1.2M	2022-03-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.445	5.3232	-2.24%	6.029	+10.73%	0.1025	✗	0.91	71k	2022-03-31
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0352	1.0114	-2.30%	1.2151	+17.38%	0.1547	✗	1.19	2.1M	2022-03-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022682	0.022153	-2.33%	0.03269	+44.12%	0.3682	✗	0.86	124k	2022-03-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.29	1.2595	-2.37%	1.41	+9.30%	0.0877	✗	1.04	885k	2022-03-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.35	29.6309	-2.37%	47.48	+56.44%	0.4454	✗	1.08	5.2M	2022-03-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.415	-2.37%	13.89	-12.03%	0.1213	✓	0.71	2.2M	2022-03-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3753	0.36622	-2.42%	0.4698	+25.18%	0.2162	✗	1.36	8.7M	2022-03-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,756.24	21,214.18	-2.49%	22,229.80	+2.18%	0.0231	✓	0.98	5.9M	2022-03-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	4.9889	-2.56%	5.41	+5.66%	0.0566	✗	1.01	828k	2022-03-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.25	45.0557	-2.58%	48.83	+5.58%	0.0546	✗	1.07	22.8M	2022-03-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.86	30.0505	-2.62%	31.27	+1.33%	0.0173	✓	0.93	1.5M	2022-03-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01146	0.011156	-2.65%	0.01361	+18.76%	0.1651	✗	1.39	2.8M	2022-03-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8371	2.761	-2.68%	2.6098	-8.01%	0.0854	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-03-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,139.10	42,954.68	-2.68%	45,846.40	+3.87%	0.0416	✗	0.97	52k	2022-03-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1048	0.10198	-2.69%	0.1229	+17.27%	0.1504	✗	1.50	613k	2022-03-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.99	1.9344	-2.80%	2.24	+12.56%	0.1146	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.47	3.3707	-2.86%	4.41	+27.09%	0.2382	✗	1.26	6.8M	2022-03-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.245	1.2068	-3.07%	2.101	+68.76%	0.5287	✗	1.06	1.3M	2022-03-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.94	122.0539	-3.09%	149.85	+18.99%	0.1757	✗	1.22	58k	2022-03-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0786	0.07614	-3.13%	0.0852	+8.40%	0.0808	✗	1.31	1.0M	2022-03-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3652	1.3223	-3.14%	1.2649	-7.34%	0.0773	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-03-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0729	0.070592	-3.17%	0.09183	+25.97%	0.2386	✗	1.01	12k	2022-03-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8	0.774488	-3.19%	0.8523	+6.54%	0.0693	✗	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.479	0.463648	-3.21%	0.518	+8.14%	0.0797	✗	1.29	4.2M	2022-03-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.3793	-3.28%	2.68	+8.94%	0.0948	✗	1.00	263k	2022-03-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75556	0.730381	-3.33%	0.86577	+14.59%	0.1369	✗	1.37	206k	2022-03-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.607	1.553	-3.36%	1.795	+11.70%	0.1099	✗	1.45	863k	2022-03-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.227	4.0837	-3.39%	4.893	+15.76%	0.1492	✗	1.30	1.8M	2022-03-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.98	20.2533	-3.46%	24.45	+16.54%	0.1613	✗	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	27.26	26.31	-3.48%	27.75	+1.80%	0.0199	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-03-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.34	18.6645	-3.49%	21	+8.58%	0.0899	✗	1.16	20.6M	2022-03-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5765	0.556305	-3.50%	0.5966	+3.49%	0.0479	✗	0.91	642k	2022-03-31
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.33	2.2474	-3.54%	2.68	+15.02%	0.1518	✗	1.00	443k	2022-03-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.626	2.5309	-3.62%	3.115	+18.62%	0.1755	✗	1.33	584k	2022-03-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	177.8	171.3472	-3.63%	212.94	+19.76%	0.1931	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-31
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.06	1.0214	-3.64%	1.1	+3.77%	0.0677	✗	0.27	286k	2022-03-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.546	2.4524	-3.68%	2.638	+3.61%	0.0376	✗	1.46	13.6M	2022-03-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04868	0.046878	-3.70%	0.05488	+12.74%	0.1284	✗	1.20	681k	2022-03-31
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.4828	-3.77%	2.3	-10.85%	0.1007	✓	1.00	488k	2022-03-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9861	1.9093	-3.87%	2.5204	+26.90%	0.2525	✗	1.04	75k	2022-03-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.203	3.0781	-3.90%	4.122	+28.69%	0.2714	✗	0.85	477k	2022-03-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.82	6.5521	-3.93%	7.31	+7.18%	0.0752	✗	1.41	942k	2022-03-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4918	3.3525	-3.99%	3.7255	+6.69%	0.0745	✗	1.28	2.1M	2022-03-31
STX	Stacks	native	1.29	1.2361	-4.18%	1.44	+11.63%	0.1237	✗	1.20	596k	2022-03-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1615	0.154682	-4.22%	0.1579	-2.23%	0.0042	✓	1.03	446k	2022-03-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.177	3.9992	-4.26%	6.818	+63.23%	0.5036	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-03-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0282	0.026984	-4.31%	0.03408	+20.85%	0.2014	✗	1.33	500k	2022-03-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1362	0.130322	-4.32%	0.2417	+77.46%	0.5865	✗	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.193	3.052	-4.41%	6.061	+89.82%	0.6630	✗	0.95	741k	2022-03-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.14	29.7652	-4.42%	28.9	-7.19%	0.0572	✓	1.14	50.3M	2022-03-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	57.19	54.6637	-4.42%	63.53	+11.09%	0.1189	✗	1.30	6.7M	2022-03-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.02	21.0372	-4.46%	25.7	+16.71%	0.1654	✗	1.44	328k	2022-03-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	66.4156	63.3901	-4.56%	66.8749	+0.69%	0.0200	✓	1.38	223k	2022-03-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9499	5.6758	-4.61%	5.834	-1.95%	0.0201	✓	0.31	433k	2022-03-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049485	0.047122	-4.78%	0.041867	-15.39%	0.1441	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-31
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.123	0.117098	-4.80%	0.174	+41.46%	0.3829	✗	0.54	44k	2022-03-31
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.81	1.7219	-4.87%	1.839	+1.60%	0.0450	✓	0.86	76k	2022-03-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02045	0.019454	-4.87%	0.02088	+2.10%	0.0444	✓	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4218	0.400362	-5.08%	0.4968	+17.78%	0.1760	✗	1.64	14.7M	2022-03-31
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.11e-7	5.78e-7	-5.31%	8.72e-7	+42.71%	0.3860	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.5724	2.4292	-5.57%	3.2595	+26.71%	0.2726	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.734395	-5.85%	0.82	+5.13%	0.0688	✗	1.71	1.0M	2022-03-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03426	0.032211	-5.98%	0.0405	+18.21%	0.2072	✗	0.90	1.2M	2022-03-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7582	0.707537	-6.68%	1.1908	+57.06%	0.4868	✗	1.39	2.5M	2022-03-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7268	0.678188	-6.69%	1.071	+47.36%	0.4486	✗	0.35	1.2M	2022-03-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01249	0.011624	-6.94%	0.016106	+28.95%	0.3012	✗	1.03	15k	2022-03-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.27	7.6653	-7.31%	9.25	+11.85%	0.1657	✗	0.92	461k	2022-03-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0703	0.065111	-7.38%	0.0684	-2.70%	0.0066	✓	1.76	76.7M	2022-03-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7018	1.5759	-7.40%	1.3868	-18.51%	0.1585	✓	1.27	278k	2022-03-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	8.094	7.4394	-8.09%	5.195	-35.82%	0.3709	✓	0.49	2.9M	2022-03-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.84	1.6872	-8.30%	1.57	-14.67%	0.1013	✓	1.21	452k	2022-03-31
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5394	0.48723	-9.67%	0.5827	+8.03%	0.1303	✗	2.01	2.1M	2022-03-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	89.72	81.0054	-9.71%	102.96	+14.76%	0.2051	✗	1.43	4.8M	2022-03-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.447	7.8461	-16.95%	7.803	-17.40%	0.0398	✓	1.42	1.9M	2022-03-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.