2022-02-25 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2935

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.63%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.7%

in alpha space · 6.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+19.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.7998	-8.17%	1.74	-11.22%	0.3231	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.493228	-7.46%	0.585	+9.76%	0.0064	✓	0.93	643k	2022-03-27
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.51e-7	-7.00%	0.000001225	+75.07%	0.4553	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.5955	-6.97%	5.854	-17.43%	0.1850	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.064772	-6.94%	0.0803	+15.37%	0.1252	✓	1.92	72.8M	2022-03-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.531	-6.89%	1.5221	-7.43%	0.2611	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.033046	-6.81%	0.04272	+20.47%	0.1018	✗	0.87	1.5M	2022-03-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.7438	-6.22%	3.1908	+71.59%	0.4846	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.393843	-6.00%	0.5139	+22.65%	0.1002	✓	2.07	2.1M	2022-03-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.2253	-5.91%	2.621	+10.82%	0.1069	✓	1.53	13.2M	2022-03-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	5.9502	-5.85%	7.41	+17.25%	0.0309	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-03-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.1096	-5.77%	3.99	+20.91%	0.0093	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-03-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	68.9885	-5.75%	94.25	+28.76%	0.0661	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	63.355	-5.62%	67.174	+0.07%	0.2051	✓	1.49	231k	2022-03-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.011073	-5.47%	0.01504	+28.40%	0.1094	✗	1.11	35k	2022-03-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.2439	-5.40%	1.595	+21.29%	0.0048	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	25.8594	-5.28%	29.95	+9.71%	0.0513	✓	1.12	52.8M	2022-03-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.83732	-5.21%	0.9207	+4.23%	0.0069	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.026291	-5.09%	0.03351	+20.97%	0.0161	✓	1.46	497k	2022-03-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.6874	-5.08%	7.939	+60.77%	0.3615	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-03-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.05	-5.07%	3.8564	+20.02%	0.0041	✓	1.35	2.1M	2022-03-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.017213	-5.06%	0.02076	+14.51%	0.0100	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	16.7969	-4.99%	21.9	+23.87%	0.0609	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.333762	-4.99%	0.3911	+11.33%	0.1420	✓	1.70	15.9M	2022-03-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.15	-4.96%	1.54	+27.27%	0.0653	✗	1.28	885k	2022-03-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.1195	-4.96%	2.49	+11.66%	0.0162	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.0932	-4.94%	1.45	+26.09%	0.0514	✗	1.30	695k	2022-03-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.046311	-4.84%	0.043509	-10.60%	0.2785	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-03-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.7453	-4.84%	1.995	+8.78%	0.0436	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.021627	-4.78%	0.040217	+77.07%	0.4327	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.069999	-4.63%	0.0842	+14.71%	0.0629	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-03-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.4078	-4.59%	5.47	+18.40%	0.0569	✓	1.54	432k	2022-03-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.191	-4.53%	1.2328	-1.17%	0.2207	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-03-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.123385	-4.50%	0.168	+30.03%	0.0763	✗	1.31	3.1M	2022-03-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.1794	-4.41%	2.73	+19.74%	0.0458	✗	1.01	270k	2022-03-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.6586	-4.37%	6.1368	+3.71%	0.0069	✓	0.42	433k	2022-03-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.6176	-4.35%	2.7417	+0.18%	0.1856	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-03-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.251761	-4.35%	0.3422	+30.02%	0.0609	✗	1.39	451k	2022-03-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.863163	-4.30%	1.1454	+27.00%	0.0572	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.132172	-4.22%	0.114	-17.39%	0.3171	✓	0.95	51k	2022-03-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.3888	-4.22%	1.796	+23.86%	0.0138	✓	1.53	941k	2022-03-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.009731	-4.22%	0.01417	+39.47%	0.1106	✗	1.50	2.5M	2022-03-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	49.0089	-4.20%	68.29	+33.48%	0.0933	✗	1.35	7.3M	2022-03-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.977296	-4.19%	1.07	+4.90%	0.0861	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.5274	-4.12%	4.57	+24.22%	0.0291	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.044198	-4.10%	0.05681	+23.26%	0.0303	✓	1.24	703k	2022-03-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	20.2954	-4.09%	24.3	+14.84%	0.1016	✓	1.59	325k	2022-03-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.708637	-4.06%	0.875	+18.47%	0.0153	✓	1.10	9.6M	2022-03-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.004165	-4.02%	0.00436	+0.46%	0.2815	✓	1.85	12.3M	2022-03-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	147.5616	-4.02%	216.11	+40.57%	0.2038	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001824	-3.99%	0.00000214	+12.63%	0.0367	✓	0.69	14.7M	2022-03-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	3.8573	-3.97%	5.413	+34.75%	0.1071	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.6218	-3.96%	2.33	-14.65%	0.2953	✓	1.00	544k	2022-03-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.1221	-3.93%	1.768	+51.37%	0.2342	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	24.2809	-3.91%	29.14	+15.31%	0.0804	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-03-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.429599	-3.89%	0.49	+9.62%	0.1124	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-03-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.69205	-3.88%	0.73	+1.39%	0.2877	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.0393	-3.86%	7.352	+17.03%	0.0472	✓	1.38	28k	2022-03-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.028097	-3.84%	0.02786	-4.65%	0.1489	✓	0.79	4.4M	2022-03-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.141168	-3.84%	0.1655	+12.74%	0.0296	✓	1.06	446k	2022-03-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.1034	-3.82%	2.589	+18.38%	0.0210	✓	1.05	19k	2022-03-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	134.4116	-3.79%	169.24	+21.15%	0.0278	✓	1.46	6.5M	2022-03-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	19,408.60	-3.78%	22,263.59	+10.37%	0.0398	✓	1.00	5.7M	2022-03-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	29.121	-3.76%	31.17	+3.01%	0.1136	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-03-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.6272	-3.76%	4.2578	+55.97%	0.3100	✗	0.98	2.3M	2022-03-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.6287	-3.75%	4.1683	+52.62%	0.2967	✗	0.93	2.9M	2022-03-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.3415	-3.74%	5.33	+18.18%	0.0434	✗	0.91	696k	2022-03-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	41.4856	-3.72%	51.99	+20.65%	0.0218	✓	1.15	23.5M	2022-03-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.0215	-3.72%	14.36	+53.26%	0.3449	✗	0.68	853k	2022-03-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.141535	-3.65%	0.1543	+5.04%	0.0566	✓	0.81	321k	2022-03-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.7538	-3.63%	6.421	+30.16%	0.1539	✗	0.83	65k	2022-03-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.478	-3.62%	3.779	+46.99%	0.2746	✗	0.83	207k	2022-03-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	108.6476	-3.56%	126.01	+11.85%	0.0815	✓	1.30	58k	2022-03-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.4816	-3.54%	2.32	+51.04%	0.2541	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.0452	-3.53%	2.6409	+24.56%	0.1003	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.082966	-3.49%	0.11008	+28.04%	0.0854	✗	1.11	46k	2022-03-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.3077	-3.44%	2.864	+19.83%	0.0333	✓	1.41	572k	2022-03-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	16.6868	-3.43%	22.48	+30.09%	0.0619	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-03-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	27.053	-3.42%	48.03	+71.47%	0.3761	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-03-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008501	-3.40%	0.0124	+40.91%	0.1487	✗	1.29	546k	2022-03-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.286985	-3.37%	0.617	+107.74%	0.5197	✗	1.39	2.1M	2022-03-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.2436	-3.37%	13.48	-8.55%	0.1819	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-03-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.00921	-3.36%	0.01253	+31.48%	0.0785	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.3101	-3.33%	23.71	+25.18%	0.0349	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-03-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.168388	-3.28%	0.2692	+54.62%	0.2188	✗	1.41	2.8M	2022-03-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.44823	-3.27%	0.7181	+54.96%	0.2086	✗	1.48	572k	2022-03-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	78.4031	-3.27%	89.91	+10.93%	0.1281	✓	1.49	106.7M	2022-03-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.079336	-3.25%	0.1288	+57.07%	0.2089	✗	1.55	668k	2022-03-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.017602	-3.23%	0.03666	+101.54%	0.4491	✗	1.60	12.7M	2022-03-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.1287	-3.23%	8.4	+58.49%	0.3409	✗	0.86	435k	2022-03-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.360736	-3.21%	0.4246	+13.93%	0.0975	✓	1.47	1.3M	2022-03-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.1083	-3.21%	1.444	+26.11%	0.0335	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-03-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.748572	-3.20%	1.1104	+43.59%	0.1229	✗	1.53	299k	2022-03-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.2621	-3.16%	6.324	+170.72%	0.8064	✗	1.25	727k	2022-03-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.1141	-3.16%	6.5917	+4.41%	0.0640	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.4612	-3.08%	5.701	+1.17%	0.1320	✓	0.99	223k	2022-03-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0256	-3.08%	2.79	+33.49%	0.1026	✗	1.23	343k	2022-03-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.011664	-2.96%	0.01382	+14.98%	0.0356	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.216712	-2.95%	0.275	+23.15%	0.0605	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.8236	-2.93%	5.4302	+37.85%	0.1379	✗	1.20	284k	2022-03-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.35053	-2.93%	0.4313	+19.44%	0.0453	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-03-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.063014	-2.91%	0.08788	+35.41%	0.1137	✗	1.23	74k	2022-03-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.4385	-2.90%	18.45	+24.08%	0.0240	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-03-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	38,261.15	-2.86%	46,722.30	+18.63%	0.0297	✗	0.96	49k	2022-03-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	18.9133	-2.84%	19.247	-1.13%	0.1715	✓	1.07	9.6M	2022-03-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000024135	-2.80%	0.00002557	+2.98%	0.1821	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.857451	-2.78%	1.058	+19.95%	0.0330	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.4825	-2.77%	7.01	+52.06%	0.3091	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	121.1552	-2.76%	173.98	+39.63%	0.1483	✗	1.20	930k	2022-03-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.8213	-2.71%	4.074	+40.48%	0.2016	✗	0.94	477k	2022-03-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.206387	-2.69%	0.2582	+21.74%	0.0464	✓	1.53	3.3M	2022-03-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.4143	-2.66%	1.749	+20.37%	0.0007	✓	1.19	963k	2022-03-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	5.9733	-2.60%	8.5079	+38.73%	0.0974	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000073304	-2.56%	0.0000982	+30.53%	0.0834	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-03-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.062956	-2.54%	0.08599	+33.11%	0.1229	✗	1.07	13k	2022-03-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.154655	-2.54%	0.16715	+5.33%	0.1647	✓	1.37	28k	2022-03-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.5718	-2.54%	2.4727	+53.32%	0.2753	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	3.9915	-2.43%	6.005	+46.79%	0.2623	✗	0.82	414k	2022-03-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.68541	-2.40%	0.90403	+28.72%	0.0213	✓	1.44	224k	2022-03-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.526589	-2.40%	0.728031	+34.94%	0.1167	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-03-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4104	-2.39%	1.952	+35.09%	0.1126	✗	1.20	1.6M	2022-03-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	33.9041	-2.38%	50.08	+44.20%	0.1254	✗	1.49	309k	2022-03-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.5271	-2.36%	16.11	+25.57%	0.0699	✗	1.02	340k	2022-03-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.878536	-2.35%	1.1845	+31.65%	0.0925	✗	1.16	97.3M	2022-03-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.52	-2.30%	6.49	+14.87%	0.0138	✓	0.84	430k	2022-03-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.038031	-2.23%	0.0495	+27.25%	0.0738	✗	1.07	30k	2022-03-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.93499	-2.19%	1.3301	+39.14%	0.1033	✗	1.41	165k	2022-03-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.813379	-2.14%	0.9498	+14.27%	0.0614	✓	1.22	22.9M	2022-03-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	9.0546	-2.11%	11.42	+23.46%	0.0053	✓	1.34	10.8M	2022-03-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	83.0584	-2.05%	95	+12.03%	0.0226	✓	0.89	946k	2022-03-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.64067	-2.04%	0.745	+13.91%	0.0546	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-03-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.6267	-2.01%	2.28	+37.35%	0.1020	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	302.9856	-1.96%	376.78	+21.92%	0.0403	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	14.111	-1.94%	16.87	+17.23%	0.0410	✓	1.24	59.6M	2022-03-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.472851	-1.92%	1.3598	+182.06%	0.8197	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	38,506.80	-1.86%	46,850.01	+19.40%	0.0188	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	91.3241	-1.70%	133.07	+43.24%	0.1760	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	110.6578	-1.65%	148.67	+32.13%	0.1128	✗	1.03	6.4M	2022-03-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.23	-1.58%	7.13	+12.64%	0.0604	✗	0.42	1.2M	2022-03-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.058558	-1.55%	0.069166	+16.29%	0.0199	✗	0.83	286k	2022-03-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,727.45	-1.52%	3,296.29	+19.02%	0.0021	✓	1.08	561.7M	2022-03-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	105.1003	-1.52%	210.67	+97.40%	0.4957	✗	1.13	7.6M	2022-03-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.188325	-1.47%	0.229866	+20.26%	0.0020	✓	1.11	20.5M	2022-03-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	107.7839	-1.41%	129.68	+18.61%	0.0261	✓	1.19	29.5M	2022-03-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.225882	-1.36%	0.271	+18.34%	0.0306	✗	0.85	57k	2022-03-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.0768	-1.34%	10.9	+18.48%	0.0461	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.8523	-1.33%	2.5487	+35.77%	0.1020	✗	1.23	196k	2022-03-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.126599	-0.92%	0.144798	+13.32%	0.0430	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	92.0101	-0.89%	107.09	+15.35%	0.0770	✓	1.29	132.7M	2022-03-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.097836	-0.67%	0.1176	+19.39%	0.0016	✓	1.05	38k	2022-03-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.068775	-0.18%	0.0851	+23.51%	0.0274	✗	1.05	168k	2022-03-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.