8=======>

2022-02-23 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3186
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.3%
in alpha space · 25.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1440.129729-9.91%0.109-24.31%0.3509✓1.0253k2022-03-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.74841.5908-9.02%1.4336-18.01%0.3665✓1.51229k2022-03-25
API3Api3Ethereum6.3575.8322-8.26%5.388-15.24%0.1377✓0.342.0M2022-03-25
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0157-7.66%0.98-10.91%0.2094✓1.00286k2022-03-25
PROPropyEthereum1.781.6473-7.45%1.57-11.80%0.3316✓1.63582k2022-03-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43310.403653-6.80%0.4204-2.93%0.2874✓1.892.0M2022-03-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.012140.011326-6.70%0.013428+10.61%0.0286✓1.1539k2022-03-25
LUNATerraTerra 259.5455.6683-6.50%90.34+51.73%0.2528✗1.334.5M2022-03-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.92990.869773-6.47%0.834-10.31%0.1485✓0.611.5M2022-03-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03660.034373-6.08%0.0411+12.30%0.0245✓0.891.7M2022-03-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.09755.7304-6.02%5.9358-2.65%0.0329✓0.39412k2022-03-25
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.4347-5.63%2.26-12.40%0.2480✓1.00671k2022-03-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0491780.046441-5.57%0.041104-16.42%0.3409✓1.267.5M2022-03-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04760.045015-5.43%0.0808+69.75%0.2767✗1.7864.3M2022-03-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.2389-4.73%2.48+5.53%0.0713✓1.00639k2022-03-25
STXStacksnative1.131.0808-4.35%1.34+18.58%0.0140✓1.32725k2022-03-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.7946.8528-3.97%71.62+46.79%0.1947✗1.327.5M2022-03-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02530.024299-3.96%0.0297+17.39%0.0467✓1.43497k2022-03-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.3513.7898-3.90%13.5-5.92%0.1506✓0.751.8M2022-03-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos25.1524.1783-3.86%28.15+11.93%0.0392✓1.1052.8M2022-03-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018760.018047-3.80%0.02041+8.80%0.0732✓1.132.1M2022-03-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06220.059841-3.79%0.07759+24.74%0.0742✗1.0714k2022-03-25
FTTFTXEthereum40.7839.2348-3.79%49.71+21.90%0.0364✓1.1526.3M2022-03-25
MOVRMoonriverBase67.759165.2177-3.75%58.5245-13.63%0.3691✓1.50243k2022-03-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8071.7395-3.74%1.843+1.99%0.1158✓1.0076k2022-03-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.128635-3.64%0.157+17.60%0.0230✓1.02467k2022-03-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.116389-3.49%0.1402+16.25%0.0454✓1.332.9M2022-03-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2852.2062-3.45%2.285+0.00%0.2370✓1.5713.2M2022-03-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8782.7793-3.43%4.106+42.67%0.2262✗0.95460k2022-03-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.19541.1548-3.40%1.1617-2.82%0.2323✓1.372.6M2022-03-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1353.9964-3.35%5.992+44.91%0.2564✗0.86395k2022-03-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32930.318397-3.31%0.3554+7.93%0.1821✓1.6816.0M2022-03-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7483.6243-3.30%5.057+34.93%0.1131✗1.272.3M2022-03-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,524.2036,291.36-3.29%44,293.40+18.04%0.0314✓0.9739k2022-03-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5325.6705-3.24%48.17+81.57%0.4402✗1.094.9M2022-03-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1815.0135-3.23%6.098+17.70%0.0568✗0.8065k2022-03-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72071.6654-3.21%3.1309+81.96%0.5409✗0.522.7M2022-03-25
XMRMoneroMonero149.01144.4235-3.08%199.98+34.21%0.1516✗1.00966k2022-03-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.6747-3.00%7.02+20.00%0.1416✗0.411.3M2022-03-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.15382.09-2.96%2.6075+21.07%0.0697✗0.8728k2022-03-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3635.2042-2.96%5.224-2.59%0.1770✓1.04241k2022-03-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.86583.7518-2.95%5.1383+32.92%0.1051✗1.21283k2022-03-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4317.887-2.95%18.83+2.17%0.1598✓1.229.2M2022-03-25
XYMSymbolnative0.1470.142715-2.92%0.1486+1.09%0.0991✓0.80345k2022-03-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8118.2633-2.91%21.53+14.46%0.1035✓1.54334k2022-03-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.2916.79-2.89%18.77+8.56%0.0881✓1.1522.3M2022-03-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.659430.640545-2.86%0.83416+26.50%0.0132✓1.45246k2022-03-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.5327.7226-2.83%29.96+5.01%0.0992✓1.021.5M2022-03-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,320.9519,749.39-2.81%20,599.76+1.37%0.1369✓1.035.7M2022-03-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.84182.7634-2.76%4.1956+47.64%0.2415✗1.012.6M2022-03-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044860.043624-2.75%0.05518+23.00%0.0068✓1.31768k2022-03-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037440.036428-2.70%0.0437+16.72%0.0078✓1.0931k2022-03-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.652365-2.63%0.67+0.00%0.3096✓1.941.0M2022-03-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.1944-2.61%3.62+10.37%0.1166✓1.397.0M2022-03-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.011912-2.60%0.01311+7.20%0.0357✓0.7615k2022-03-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1145-2.56%2.55+17.51%0.0113✓1.01275k2022-03-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024840.000024216-2.51%0.00002414-2.82%0.2425✓1.383.7M2022-03-25
UMAUMAEthereum4.9774.8548-2.45%7.625+53.20%0.2779✗1.001.8M2022-03-25
DODODODOEthereum0.4430.432261-2.42%0.436-1.58%0.2288✓1.374.5M2022-03-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06870.067048-2.40%0.0803+16.89%0.0581✓1.371.1M2022-03-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55162.4908-2.38%2.5921+1.59%0.1843✓1.293.2M2022-03-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3182.2628-2.38%6.662+187.40%0.8601✗1.27772k2022-03-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48490.473509-2.35%0.5404+11.45%0.0346✓0.96643k2022-03-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3891.3566-2.34%1.616+16.34%0.0811✓1.48928k2022-03-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71260.696092-2.32%0.7822+9.77%0.0815✓1.149.7M2022-03-25
BANDBandEthereum3.6553.571-2.30%4.03+10.26%0.0987✓1.271.9M2022-03-25
XECeCashnative0.000070220.00006865-2.24%0.0000841+19.77%0.0000✓1.174.4M2022-03-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2941.2655-2.20%1.504+16.23%0.0676✓1.381.8M2022-03-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3831.3527-2.19%1.573+13.74%0.0612✓1.221.0M2022-03-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35360.345887-2.18%0.409+15.67%0.0781✓1.428.4M2022-03-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.159-2.11%8.46+60.53%0.3429✗0.87367k2022-03-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.5711-2.07%6.73+0.30%0.0145✓0.221.2M2022-03-25
GTGateEthereum6.14826.0223-2.05%6.5347+6.29%0.0599✓0.823.0M2022-03-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.1821.7463-1.96%27.78+25.25%0.0052✓1.441.8M2022-03-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5541.5237-1.95%2.256+45.17%0.1990✗1.113.4M2022-03-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.149490.146583-1.94%0.16013+7.12%0.1472✓1.3629k2022-03-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.78752.7334-1.94%4.3602+56.42%0.2912✗1.012.3M2022-03-25
NANOnanopayBase1.90931.8727-1.92%2.4068+26.06%0.0377✗1.23206k2022-03-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.289.1052-1.88%14.45+55.71%0.3363✗0.72758k2022-03-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV82.1780.6455-1.86%89.79+9.27%0.0486✓0.90946k2022-03-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.191.1681-1.84%1.42+19.33%0.0288✓1.29934k2022-03-25
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001867-1.73%0.00000192+1.05%0.1457✓1.0014.4M2022-03-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.0844-1.68%2.48+16.98%0.0406✓1.24324k2022-03-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.58611.5598-1.66%2.245+41.55%0.1783✗1.0772k2022-03-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3311.3104-1.55%1.678+26.07%0.0481✗1.151.6M2022-03-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.75130.739725-1.54%1.058+40.82%0.0910✗1.54317k2022-03-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.49220.484655-1.53%1.1782+139.37%0.6536✗1.352.2M2022-03-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060160.059248-1.52%0.07918+31.62%0.1478✗0.8275k2022-03-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5265790.518708-1.49%0.584855+11.07%0.0820✓1.163.2M2022-03-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.864.7886-1.47%5.03+3.50%0.1229✓0.99682k2022-03-25
XTZTezosTezos2.93312.8915-1.42%3.5173+19.92%0.0291✓1.302.0M2022-03-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2414.0415-1.39%17.57+23.38%0.0463✓1.562.3M2022-03-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,268.1936,754.66-1.38%44,331.85+18.95%0.0139✓1.00632.3M2022-03-25
XVGVergenative0.009380.009257-1.31%0.0103+9.81%0.1163✓1.291.2M2022-03-25
TRXTRONTron0.0607840.060012-1.27%0.064389+5.93%0.0773✓0.85286k2022-03-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.769616-1.20%0.943+21.05%0.0337✓1.362.1M2022-03-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.025930.025619-1.20%0.02608+0.58%0.1166✓0.774.4M2022-03-25
AAVEAaveEthereum130.67129.1244-1.18%162.53+24.38%0.0209✓1.456.5M2022-03-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.23678-1.18%0.3039+26.84%0.0472✗1.17410k2022-03-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273610.125866-1.17%0.130825+2.72%0.1372✓1.013.7M2022-03-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004440.004391-1.11%0.00422-4.95%0.3669✓1.8912.6M2022-03-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.20390.201736-1.06%0.2287+12.16%0.1411✓1.543.3M2022-03-25
ADACardanoCardano0.86640.857297-1.05%1.0966+26.57%0.0466✗1.1597.3M2022-03-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.0071.9867-1.01%2.438+21.47%0.0234✗1.0419k2022-03-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010060.009958-1.01%0.01223+21.57%0.0592✓1.532.2M2022-03-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.591.5743-0.99%2.09+31.45%0.0488✗1.352.0M2022-03-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.5902-0.94%15.84+24.63%0.0511✗1.03369k2022-03-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5992.5748-0.93%3.801+46.25%0.2431✗0.84198k2022-03-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.082870.082103-0.93%0.10144+22.41%0.0189✗1.1147k2022-03-25
ZENHorizenBase32.8432.5409-0.91%44.77+36.33%0.0451✗1.58309k2022-03-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.234.1925-0.89%5.04+19.15%0.0063✓1.10456k2022-03-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8585.8072-0.87%6.938+18.44%0.1145✗0.3729k2022-03-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2210.219201-0.81%0.2593+17.33%0.0062✓1.001.8M2022-03-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36510.362217-0.79%0.3638-0.36%0.2412✓1.411.3M2022-03-25
KCSKuCoinnative18.74918.6014-0.79%18.674-0.40%0.1940✓1.149.6M2022-03-25
COMPCompoundEthereum109.49108.6958-0.73%116.03+5.97%0.1589✓1.2964k2022-03-25
DASHDashDash88.2887.6775-0.68%126.29+43.06%0.1620✗1.171.5M2022-03-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227580.02261-0.65%0.037574+65.10%0.3247✗1.06111k2022-03-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.573.0271-0.64%83.58+13.71%0.1253✓1.50106.7M2022-03-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.08450.083963-0.64%0.1468+73.73%0.3046✗1.46668k2022-03-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.765.726-0.59%6.48+12.50%0.0283✓0.88425k2022-03-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.280372-0.58%0.612+117.02%0.5411✗1.382.0M2022-03-25
QTUMQtumQtum5.74015.7102-0.52%8.2665+44.01%0.1185✗1.45153k2022-03-25
ZECZcashZcash97.5197.0172-0.51%195.35+100.34%0.4978✗1.167.6M2022-03-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.033-0.48%1.282+23.51%0.0023✓1.262.8M2022-03-25
XEMNEMnative0.09430.093899-0.43%0.1077+14.21%0.0423✓1.0337k2022-03-25
UNIUniswapEthereum8.758.7165-0.38%10.58+20.91%0.0355✓1.3210.8M2022-03-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot15.9715.9125-0.36%20.55+28.68%0.0246✗1.3327.9M2022-03-25
HIVEHivenative0.81850.815796-0.33%1.0029+22.53%0.0324✓1.381.7M2022-03-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.41105.0752-0.32%124+17.64%0.0443✓1.2129.5M2022-03-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.17030.17019-0.06%0.2472+45.16%0.1280✗1.412.9M2022-03-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6670.667639+0.10%0.696+4.35%0.1509✗1.112.0M2022-03-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash288.37288.7706+0.14%365.21+26.65%0.0616✓1.007.3M2022-03-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78530.786575+0.16%0.8895+13.27%0.0917✗1.2422.9M2022-03-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9380.939948+0.21%1.647+75.59%0.3472✓1.23934k2022-03-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.43910.440899+0.41%0.6614+50.63%0.1531✓1.45572k2022-03-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.684.7025+0.48%7.1+51.71%0.2727✓0.80431k2022-03-25
KSMKusamaHydration123.58124.2059+0.51%166.41+34.66%0.0855✓1.19930k2022-03-25
SCSiacoinnative0.00840.008444+0.53%0.00999+18.93%0.0104✗1.03525k2022-03-25
SOLSolanaSolana84.6485.085+0.53%98.63+16.53%0.0682✗1.24132.7M2022-03-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.903290.908301+0.55%1.1717+29.72%0.0637✓1.10160k2022-03-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1818880.183201+0.72%0.211296+16.17%0.0395✗1.0521.4M2022-03-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.272.2916+0.95%2.746+20.97%0.0599✗1.39579k2022-03-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06930.070006+1.02%0.0768+10.82%0.0971✗1.09176k2022-03-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2340.236399+1.03%0.255+8.97%0.0782✗0.8959k2022-03-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.3413.492+1.14%15.6+16.94%0.0660✗1.2260.6M2022-03-25
XVSVenusEthereum8.348.4379+1.17%9.96+19.42%0.0588✗1.293.1M2022-03-25
QNTQuantEthereum108.35109.8396+1.37%137.44+26.85%0.0465✓1.026.6M2022-03-25
ETHEthereumEthereum2,580.972,619.98+1.51%3,104.15+20.27%0.0190✗1.09561.7M2022-03-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018020.018606+3.25%0.03913+117.15%0.4605✓1.6311.1M2022-03-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.