2022-02-17 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2407

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+17.69%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.0%

in alpha space · 58.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.18%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0849	0.085007	+0.13%	0.0761	-10.37%	0.1569	✗	1.13	201k	2022-03-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	93.56	93.0908	-0.50%	92.39	-1.25%	0.0581	✓	1.23	179.7M	2022-03-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.062402	0.061879	-0.84%	0.061921	-0.77%	0.0337	✓	0.84	344k	2022-03-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,893.56	2,866.18	-0.95%	2,952.16	+2.03%	0.0160	✓	1.11	588.4M	2022-03-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.138407	0.136957	-1.05%	0.123635	-10.67%	0.1433	✓	1.00	5.9M	2022-03-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.268	0.264602	-1.27%	0.239	-10.82%	0.1385	✓	0.90	70k	2022-03-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.9	1.8755	-1.29%	1.93	+1.58%	0.0263	✓	1.34	2.1M	2022-03-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	119.39	117.8258	-1.31%	119.96	+0.48%	0.0232	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-03-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04103	0.040484	-1.33%	0.04149	+1.12%	0.0206	✓	1.10	32k	2022-03-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1047	0.1033	-1.34%	0.1011	-3.44%	0.0631	✓	1.01	37k	2022-03-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	113.58	111.9751	-1.41%	179.68	+58.20%	0.4235	✗	1.21	7.6M	2022-03-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	116.39	114.6753	-1.47%	116.82	+0.37%	0.0313	✓	1.22	31.6M	2022-03-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,536.73	39,929.09	-1.50%	42,232.26	+4.18%	0.0151	✓	1.00	686.5M	2022-03-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.46	7.3478	-1.50%	6.3	-15.55%	0.1627	✓	0.22	1.3M	2022-03-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	313.15	308.3322	-1.54%	328.01	+4.75%	0.0219	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-03-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.13	2.0971	-1.54%	2.084	-2.16%	0.0489	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-03-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.76017	0.748399	-1.55%	0.84022	+10.53%	0.0556	✗	1.47	334k	2022-03-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202261	0.199128	-1.55%	0.20054	-0.85%	0.0344	✓	1.01	21.9M	2022-03-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1008	2.068	-1.56%	2.2702	+8.07%	0.0429	✗	1.23	315k	2022-03-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.62107	0.610472	-1.71%	0.547794	-11.80%	0.1546	✓	1.13	3.6M	2022-03-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0203	1.0022	-1.77%	0.903	-11.50%	0.1497	✓	1.11	102.4M	2022-03-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.74	36.0872	-1.78%	41.99	+14.29%	0.0881	✗	1.55	405k	2022-03-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.541	1.5122	-1.87%	1.639	+6.36%	0.0335	✗	1.15	2.1M	2022-03-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.41	10.2147	-1.88%	9.74	-6.44%	0.1011	✓	1.31	11.7M	2022-03-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8983	0.881233	-1.90%	0.7651	-14.83%	0.1913	✓	1.22	26.6M	2022-03-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.78	15.4791	-1.91%	16.43	+4.12%	0.0093	✓	1.68	3.2M	2022-03-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.894	0.876731	-1.93%	0.863	-3.47%	0.0708	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-03-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.742	0.727392	-1.97%	0.654	-11.86%	0.1501	✓	1.07	1.9M	2022-03-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.66	1.6273	-1.97%	1.21	-27.11%	0.3461	✓	1.21	1.2M	2022-03-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.58	14.2814	-2.05%	22.51	+54.39%	0.4131	✗	1.02	483k	2022-03-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	104.76	102.6012	-2.06%	103.03	-1.65%	0.0409	✓	1.10	1.8M	2022-03-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,651.20	39,799.77	-2.09%	42,269.50	+3.98%	0.0203	✓	0.97	58k	2022-03-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0731	1.0506	-2.10%	1.0989	+2.41%	0.0015	✓	1.06	189k	2022-03-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.44	11.1959	-2.13%	9.14	-20.10%	0.2529	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-03-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6695	1.6334	-2.16%	2.1759	+30.33%	0.2401	✗	1.14	72k	2022-03-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007849	0.00007678	-2.18%	0.00008321	+6.01%	0.0342	✗	1.13	4.8M	2022-03-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.6	15.2593	-2.18%	15.01	-3.78%	0.0652	✓	1.19	69.3M	2022-03-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0698	0.068237	-2.24%	0.07384	+5.79%	0.0351	✗	1.07	17k	2022-03-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16982	0.166004	-2.25%	0.15441	-9.07%	0.1312	✓	1.43	32k	2022-03-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.542	0.529679	-2.27%	0.8804	+62.44%	0.4547	✗	1.30	2.4M	2022-03-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.015	6.8534	-2.30%	6.3544	-9.42%	0.1353	✓	1.46	165k	2022-03-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02995	0.029258	-2.31%	0.02695	-10.02%	0.1169	✓	0.85	5.8M	2022-03-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4344	0.424223	-2.34%	0.3558	-18.09%	0.2356	✓	1.46	1.8M	2022-03-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2558	0.249786	-2.35%	0.2115	-17.32%	0.2288	✓	1.52	3.9M	2022-03-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4369	0.426468	-2.39%	0.4109	-5.95%	0.0937	✓	1.38	8.9M	2022-03-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0969	0.094577	-2.40%	0.0886	-8.57%	0.1271	✓	1.51	944k	2022-03-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.71	19.2332	-2.42%	18.631	-5.47%	0.0823	✓	1.23	10.0M	2022-03-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.71	85.5645	-2.45%	83.33	-4.99%	0.0628	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.567	4.4537	-2.48%	4.875	+6.74%	0.0574	✗	0.81	379k	2022-03-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.61	25.9492	-2.48%	29.06	+9.21%	0.0747	✗	0.94	1.2M	2022-03-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	155.14	151.2745	-2.49%	146.84	-5.35%	0.0777	✓	1.17	973k	2022-03-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.42	6.2583	-2.52%	6.42	+0.00%	0.0093	✓	0.85	449k	2022-03-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0054	0.005264	-2.52%	0.0036	-33.33%	0.4595	✓	1.94	16.8M	2022-03-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.37	54.9087	-2.59%	52.05	-7.66%	0.1053	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-03-19
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.92	2.843	-2.64%	2.13	-27.05%	0.3297	✓	1.00	775k	2022-03-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.0107	0.010412	-2.69%	0.00967	-9.63%	0.1277	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.07	1.0411	-2.70%	1.512	+41.31%	0.3188	✗	1.33	751k	2022-03-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.65	1.6051	-2.72%	1.635	-0.91%	0.0315	✓	1.22	1.3M	2022-03-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.142	1.1109	-2.73%	1.285	+12.52%	0.0950	✗	1.24	3.4M	2022-03-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.27	48.8845	-2.76%	92.1	+83.21%	0.5755	✗	1.41	6.1M	2022-03-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.54	24.8203	-2.82%	27.71	+8.50%	0.0495	✗	1.48	2.0M	2022-03-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.3951	4.2709	-2.83%	4.7092	+7.14%	0.0496	✗	1.17	335k	2022-03-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2746	0.26661	-2.91%	0.2986	+8.74%	0.0668	✗	1.14	538k	2022-03-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.03	5.8531	-2.93%	8.09	+34.16%	0.2898	✗	0.83	435k	2022-03-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.58	6.385	-2.96%	6.3214	-3.93%	0.0440	✓	0.83	3.7M	2022-03-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.668	2.5887	-2.97%	5.895	+120.95%	0.7704	✗	1.28	986k	2022-03-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2525	0.244878	-3.02%	0.2536	+0.44%	0.0060	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.35	14.8858	-3.02%	13.17	-14.20%	0.1503	✓	0.68	1.7M	2022-03-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	88.28	85.5873	-3.05%	89.58	+1.47%	0.0121	✓	1.41	106.7M	2022-03-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.16	17.6059	-3.05%	19.42	+6.94%	0.0433	✗	1.34	32.8M	2022-03-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07416	0.071891	-3.06%	0.07465	+0.66%	0.0063	✓	0.77	89k	2022-03-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.45	5.2819	-3.09%	4.65	-14.68%	0.1704	✓	1.05	532k	2022-03-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.883	0.855161	-3.15%	0.936	+6.00%	0.0313	✓	1.44	501k	2022-03-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01258	0.012183	-3.15%	0.01239	-1.51%	0.0161	✓	0.80	15k	2022-03-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0902	0.087316	-3.20%	0.09651	+7.00%	0.0554	✗	1.09	50k	2022-03-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.47	2.391	-3.20%	2.4	-2.83%	0.0380	✓	1.02	361k	2022-03-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2015	0.195011	-3.22%	0.2114	+4.91%	0.0249	✓	1.36	3.6M	2022-03-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.334	0.322848	-3.34%	0.698	+108.98%	0.7155	✗	1.36	2.3M	2022-03-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6239	0.602651	-3.41%	0.4542	-27.20%	0.3412	✓	1.43	665k	2022-03-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.493	0.476087	-3.43%	0.435	-11.76%	0.1476	✓	1.40	4.5M	2022-03-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.36	5.1745	-3.46%	6.43	+19.96%	0.1865	✗	0.75	415k	2022-03-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002821	0.000027231	-3.47%	0.00002416	-14.36%	0.1764	✓	1.38	3.5M	2022-03-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.43	28.4018	-3.49%	33.99	+15.49%	0.1361	✗	1.06	5.4M	2022-03-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.499	6.27	-3.52%	5.261	-19.05%	0.2157	✓	0.98	407k	2022-03-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.99	147.5948	-3.53%	157.26	+2.79%	0.0061	✓	1.40	7.8M	2022-03-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.72	42.1736	-3.54%	44.92	+2.74%	0.0154	✓	1.16	30.4M	2022-03-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00987	0.009521	-3.54%	0.00981	-0.61%	0.0123	✓	1.03	489k	2022-03-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.231	2.1517	-3.55%	2.249	+0.81%	0.0011	✓	1.05	20k	2022-03-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.906228	-3.59%	0.66	-29.79%	0.3978	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-03-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02758	0.026576	-3.64%	0.03602	+30.60%	0.2482	✗	1.36	11.0M	2022-03-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.56	2.4666	-3.65%	2.16	-15.62%	0.1814	✓	1.19	390k	2022-03-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.1	5.8773	-3.65%	5.284	-13.38%	0.1396	✓	0.81	71k	2022-03-19
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000206	0.000001984	-3.67%	0.00000187	-9.22%	0.1004	✓	1.00	14.2M	2022-03-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.59	4.4213	-3.68%	5.173	+12.70%	0.1072	✗	1.22	2.6M	2022-03-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.741	1.6766	-3.70%	1.51	-13.27%	0.1604	✓	1.36	1.1M	2022-03-19
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.119409	-3.70%	0.11	-11.29%	0.1284	✓	1.13	57k	2022-03-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.227	3.1073	-3.71%	4.1949	+29.99%	0.2594	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-03-19
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.105	2.0266	-3.73%	1.718	-18.38%	0.2062	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1536	0.147848	-3.74%	0.155	+0.91%	0.0050	✓	1.03	470k	2022-03-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.54	19.7687	-3.75%	18.21	-11.34%	0.1322	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-03-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4073	0.391857	-3.79%	0.3541	-13.06%	0.1694	✓	1.66	18.6M	2022-03-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.24	9.8513	-3.80%	12.43	+21.39%	0.2057	✗	0.65	821k	2022-03-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0138	0.974637	-3.86%	0.9324	-8.03%	0.1078	✓	1.55	1.9M	2022-03-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.7	118.8602	-3.91%	118.78	-3.98%	0.0533	✓	1.28	65k	2022-03-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8222	0.789989	-3.92%	0.7509	-8.67%	0.0942	✓	1.06	11.6M	2022-03-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	163.89	157.38	-3.97%	197.76	+20.67%	0.1869	✗	1.01	1.2M	2022-03-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0608	0.05838	-3.98%	0.066	+8.55%	0.0514	✗	1.74	64.3M	2022-03-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1642	0.157634	-4.00%	0.137	-16.57%	0.1673	✓	0.66	388k	2022-03-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051055	0.049002	-4.02%	0.042197	-17.35%	0.1989	✓	1.21	7.6M	2022-03-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2511	1.2007	-4.03%	1.1565	-7.57%	0.0899	✓	1.28	2.5M	2022-03-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.3	20.4117	-4.17%	20.56	-3.47%	0.0550	✓	1.52	387k	2022-03-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0825	0.079053	-4.18%	0.072	-12.73%	0.1477	✓	1.32	966k	2022-03-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020359	0.019505	-4.20%	0.02061	+1.23%	0.0081	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.9444	82.2251	-4.33%	56.5062	-34.25%	0.4367	✓	1.50	315k	2022-03-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.107	6.7987	-4.34%	7.016	-1.28%	0.0170	✓	0.35	37k	2022-03-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1568	0.149959	-4.36%	0.1318	-15.94%	0.1806	✓	1.26	3.3M	2022-03-19
STX	Stacks	native	1.4	1.3389	-4.37%	1.32	-5.71%	0.0552	✓	1.00	963k	2022-03-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.268	3.1244	-4.39%	3.759	+15.02%	0.1488	✗	0.88	481k	2022-03-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05215	0.049857	-4.40%	0.05148	-1.28%	0.0242	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3132	3.167	-4.41%	3.779	+14.06%	0.1380	✗	0.94	2.3M	2022-03-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01178	0.011255	-4.46%	0.01214	+3.06%	0.0118	✓	1.56	2.0M	2022-03-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,441.70	21,433.62	-4.49%	20,673.79	-7.88%	0.0771	✓	1.00	6.9M	2022-03-19
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.89	2.7599	-4.50%	2.15	-25.61%	0.2907	✓	1.00	723k	2022-03-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.5502	5.2969	-4.56%	6.054	+9.08%	0.1181	✗	0.38	441k	2022-03-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.026932	0.0257	-4.57%	0.019485	-27.65%	0.3240	✓	1.15	89k	2022-03-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.44	4.2347	-4.62%	3.81	-14.19%	0.1562	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-03-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.08	2.9297	-4.88%	3.33	+8.12%	0.0965	✗	0.77	212k	2022-03-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.54	5.2647	-4.97%	4.69	-15.34%	0.1572	✓	1.02	701k	2022-03-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.08	26.6784	-4.99%	28.65	+2.03%	0.0286	✓	1.04	66.4M	2022-03-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5	4.7471	-5.06%	5.02	+0.40%	0.0463	✓	0.23	1.8M	2022-03-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0801	2.9236	-5.08%	2.508	-18.58%	0.2004	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-03-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	18.8312	-5.18%	17.62	-11.28%	0.1138	✓	1.16	24.4M	2022-03-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.91	2.7562	-5.29%	2.286	-21.44%	0.2482	✓	1.49	15.9M	2022-03-19
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.2	1.1361	-5.33%	0.94	-21.67%	0.2304	✓	1.00	270k	2022-03-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.03	5.704	-5.41%	7.689	+27.51%	0.2578	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6686	3.4693	-5.43%	3.2577	-11.20%	0.1148	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-03-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0309	0.02922	-5.44%	0.02698	-12.69%	0.1393	✓	1.45	499k	2022-03-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.95	3.7329	-5.50%	3.36	-14.94%	0.1613	✓	1.37	8.2M	2022-03-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4641	3.2728	-5.52%	2.2005	-36.48%	0.4352	✓	0.93	28k	2022-03-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.69	1.5936	-5.71%	1.588	-6.04%	0.0591	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-03-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.1	6.6699	-6.06%	7.03	-0.99%	0.0375	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-03-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4805	1.3875	-6.28%	1.5032	+1.53%	0.0176	✓	1.53	144k	2022-03-19
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2327	1.151	-6.63%	0.766	-37.86%	0.4372	✓	0.73	1.5M	2022-03-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5382	0.502027	-6.72%	0.4445	-17.41%	0.1967	✓	1.83	1.8M	2022-03-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015816	0.014737	-6.82%	0.012233	-22.65%	0.2315	✓	1.11	417k	2022-03-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5558	0.517738	-6.85%	0.5182	-6.77%	0.0361	✓	0.90	804k	2022-03-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.2781	2.1198	-6.95%	3.3286	+46.11%	0.4290	✗	0.54	3.1M	2022-03-19
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04378	0.040518	-7.45%	0.03453	-21.13%	0.1886	✓	0.70	2.0M	2022-03-19
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.17	2.0001	-7.83%	1.53	-29.49%	0.3414	✓	1.79	782k	2022-03-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.316	3.8907	-9.85%	2.85	-33.97%	0.3567	✓	1.11	620k	2022-03-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.