8=======>

2022-02-16 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2430
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.7%
in alpha space · 63.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.088082+3.50%0.0717-15.75%0.1458✗1.21194k2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,197.00+2.32%2,939.17-5.93%0.0279✗1.13581.4M2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.006136+2.09%0.00358-40.43%0.4392✗2.0117.9M2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.107126+1.83%0.0868-17.49%0.1338✗1.55996k2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.8925+1.75%1.05-43.55%0.5293✗1.211.3M2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.800177+1.67%0.64-18.68%0.1685✗1.111.9M2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55339.3377+1.43%305.71-8.62%0.0552✗0.998.9M2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.992128+1.33%0.7552-22.87%0.2119✗1.2326.7M2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.03238+1.25%0.04379+36.93%0.3680✓1.3410.7M2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration166.77168.8379+1.24%148.53-10.94%0.0688✗1.20973k2022-03-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.04521+1.23%0.04078-8.69%0.0483✗1.1131k2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana101.94103.1576+1.19%89.87-11.84%0.0751✗1.27179.7M2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9116.0891+1.13%13.65-14.20%0.1131✗1.04483k2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.221185+1.12%0.192891-11.82%0.0859✗1.0321.9M2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.098971+1.10%0.0956-2.34%0.0202✓1.1150k2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.377049+1.09%0.616+65.15%0.5582✓1.362.3M2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.7676+0.67%15.01-14.96%0.0829✗1.733.4M2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.55130.3985+0.65%116.39-10.16%0.0635✗1.017.8M2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.221487+0.58%0.2087-5.22%0.0096✓1.393.7M2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.010842+0.58%0.00919-14.75%0.1135✗1.05483k2022-03-18
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.2833+0.56%9.62-14.26%0.0931✗1.3412.2M2022-03-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4981+0.51%6.43+17.55%0.1958✓0.79407k2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.308175+0.48%0.3002-2.12%0.0295✓1.13538k2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.680114+0.45%0.537425-20.63%0.1786✗1.153.6M2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.4096+0.40%1.645-31.46%0.3318✗1.013.2M2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.081401+0.28%0.07318-9.84%0.0692✗0.7589k2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.985466+0.25%0.836-14.95%0.0968✗1.372.4M2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.28861+0.21%0.233-19.10%0.1680✗0.9373k2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5643,980.77+0.19%41,774.98-4.83%0.0019✓1.00642.7M2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.066581+0.16%0.061738-7.12%0.0335✗0.85344k2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.8068+0.14%18.96-4.15%0.0238✓1.3633.6M2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.475902+0.11%0.3288-30.84%0.2962✗1.481.9M2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.961141+0.10%0.7275-24.23%0.2035✗1.52552k2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.8741+0.09%18.259-12.45%0.0707✗1.2710.1M2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.03217+0.03%0.02515-21.80%0.2040✗0.856.2M2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1417.144+0.02%15.02-12.37%0.0728✗1.2070.2M2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.617-0.01%41.26+1.58%0.0939✗1.58364k2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8228-0.07%2.1269+16.60%0.2106✗1.1469k2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.086.0718-0.14%4.24-30.26%0.3074✓1.04555k2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.148474-0.18%0.119322-19.78%0.1683✓1.016.1M2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2715-0.20%1.216-4.55%0.0165✗1.233.4M2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.7438-0.24%6.37-5.77%0.0137✓0.88430k2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.7508-0.25%8.77-25.55%0.2284✓1.303.1M2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.2504-0.35%2.3491+4.02%0.1052✗1.26367k2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.187-0.38%1.0729-9.96%0.0472✓1.09193k2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84127.2844-0.43%111.9-12.47%0.0678✓1.2332.4M2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.283674-0.47%0.2119-25.65%0.2156✓1.544.0M2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 256.0255.7452-0.49%88.61+58.18%0.5337✗1.426.3M2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.1969-0.59%6.14-15.19%0.1454✓0.271.2M2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6771-0.65%1.574-6.75%0.0062✓1.162.1M2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.1951-0.68%3.346+4.01%0.0856✗0.80215k2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3994.7132-0.71%85.76-10.10%0.0273✓1.45104.0M2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.1133-0.78%1.85-13.15%0.0668✓1.342.1M2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0743-0.83%0.852-21.35%0.1754✓1.14106.9M2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3128.0691-0.85%28.09-0.78%0.0480✗0.951.2M2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.6865-0.87%12.43+15.31%0.1841✗0.67821k2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.88276.822-0.88%6.34-7.88%0.0307✓0.863.8M2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.3761-0.89%25.79-9.92%0.0207✓1.512.0M2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.26685-0.91%0.2478-7.98%0.0232✓1.031.8M2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative1.11251.102-0.95%0.9186-17.43%0.1032✓1.591.9M2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.11420.113118-0.95%0.1-12.43%0.0730✓1.0137k2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.8272-0.98%0.84294+0.91%0.0937✗1.51334k2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.7815-1.10%6.123-22.18%0.1668✓1.47153k2022-03-18
DASHDashDash115.33113.9968-1.16%98.87-14.27%0.0875✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.561632-1.17%0.8733+53.67%0.5088✗1.362.4M2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6374-1.22%2.4-10.11%0.0432✓1.03373k2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4262.6414-1.23%50.47-20.42%0.1534✓1.269.2M2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.011710.011554-1.33%0.00928-20.75%0.1531✓1.331.2M2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000084252-1.33%0.00008127-4.82%0.0205✗1.144.7M2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.3538-1.34%4.924-33.94%0.3533✓0.96407k2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.173803-1.38%0.1531-13.13%0.0473✓1.6132k2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.7848-1.39%1.591-12.10%0.0532✓1.251.3M2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8043,342.72-1.41%41,510.70-5.57%0.0050✓0.9751k2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash125.58123.7847-1.43%172.57+37.42%0.3923✗1.217.4M2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44167.8501-1.52%160.34-5.93%0.0241✗1.418.0M2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.53078-1.52%0.402-25.42%0.2070✓1.434.5M2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013672-1.57%0.01224-11.88%0.0719✓0.7814k2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.4167-1.58%8.18+25.46%0.2837✗0.83463k2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.171932-1.58%0.133-23.87%0.2241✓0.66388k2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.102-1.61%1.515+35.27%0.3871✗1.39694k2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.021419-1.63%0.01673-23.16%0.1855✓1.242.4M2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4116-1.65%2.189-10.73%0.0449✓1.0520k2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum6.075.9667-1.70%4.31-29.00%0.2750✓1.02701k2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002142-1.73%0.00000186-14.68%0.0917✓1.0014.3M2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.074375-1.75%0.0728-3.83%0.0319✗1.0817k2022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.478513-1.78%0.4108-15.68%0.0832✓1.408.9M2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2531.6399-1.89%28.05-13.02%0.0677✓1.065.5M2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.5275-2.06%4.3273+20.15%0.2544✗1.012.5M2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.684481-2.06%0.4424-36.70%0.3624✓1.50665k2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.9089-2.21%1.451-25.67%0.2052✓1.401.1M2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.873508-2.22%0.7285-18.45%0.1286✓1.0711.9M2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.013141-2.22%0.0115-14.43%0.0559✓1.571.8M2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.721-2.24%4.289-11.19%0.0366✓1.20335k2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.0983-2.26%2.19-30.91%0.2974✓1.00829k2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.087796-2.45%0.0711-21.00%0.1437✓1.36868k2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.692.2001-2.54%80.59-14.81%0.0905✓0.891.1M2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.421-2.65%3.671+4.47%0.1145✗0.89481k2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.6756-2.65%4.828+0.52%0.0731✗0.83379k2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.3845.1483-2.66%44.58-3.88%0.0463✗1.1930.4M2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.163247-2.71%0.1516-9.65%0.0229✓1.03470k2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.7325-2.72%6.275+123.39%0.8979✗1.341.0M2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.2839-2.73%1.639-30.20%0.2823✓1.0084k2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.4345-2.80%17.61-23.70%0.1820✓1.2110.5M2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5751-2.83%2.26-14.72%0.0680✓1.26390k2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.000030034-2.96%0.00002236-27.75%0.2256✓1.402.8M2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01131.9115-3.01%119.38-12.23%0.0353✓1.3058k2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum4.874.722-3.04%3.723-23.55%0.1759✓1.251.9M2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero179.36173.864-3.06%195+8.72%0.1649✗1.011.2M2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.1558-3.18%5.34-16.01%0.1005✓0.8472k2022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.7431-3.20%5.029+2.63%0.1205✗1.252.6M2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos4.03823.9051-3.30%3.1614-21.71%0.1476✓1.292.4M2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7516.1957-3.31%13.06-22.03%0.1823✓0.661.5M2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.581557-3.40%0.512-14.95%0.0831✓0.89840k2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.3776-3.41%1.1296-20.80%0.1354✓1.272.4M2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.970.936533-3.45%0.94-3.09%0.0532✗1.00269k2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.150715-3.51%0.1214-22.28%0.1495✓1.353.2M2022-03-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.4182-3.53%4.609+0.63%0.0602✗0.361.8M2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0323.1509-3.66%20.21-15.90%0.0595✓1.54387k2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.6-3.75%2.1916-41.40%0.4501✓0.9330k2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.430898-3.86%0.3368-24.85%0.1605✓1.7321.4M2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.066767-3.93%0.0633-8.92%0.0340✓1.7664.3M2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2397.9141-3.94%5.917-28.18%0.2775✓0.2737k2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.7949-3.96%3.8721-2.01%0.0640✗0.892.3M2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.1323-4.01%2.4451-25.07%0.1882✓1.203.3M2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.055272-4.02%0.04977-13.58%0.0359✓1.391.2M2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.1762-4.04%2.07-37.46%0.3786✓1.00681k2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.247.9046-4.07%5.95-27.79%0.2698✓0.291.7M2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551591.5869-4.15%54.2608-43.21%0.4477✓1.53315k2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.016244-4.27%0.011938-29.65%0.2519✓1.13450k2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5127.2887-4.28%28.63+0.42%0.1025✗1.1066.4M2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.111017-4.30%0.105-9.48%0.0062✓1.0064k2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.551.4827-4.34%1.3-16.13%0.0820✓1.00980k2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0022,631.70-4.47%20,575.06-13.15%0.0452✓1.017.2M2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0821.0701-4.57%16.88-23.55%0.1646✓1.1524.2M2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.7728-4.69%1.365-26.61%0.1926✓1.392.9M2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.1741-4.74%3.3831+48.24%0.4711✗0.582.9M2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.173.0186-4.77%2.251-28.99%0.2192✓1.5016.5M2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.050.999697-4.79%0.68-35.24%0.2851✓2.021.1M2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.5808-4.88%6.0844+3.71%0.1035✗0.35441k2022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.053099-5.32%0.0395-29.57%0.2344✓1.247.6M2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.34.0278-6.33%3.31-23.02%0.1274✓1.397.9M2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.042871-6.46%0.03367-26.53%0.2018✓0.802.2M2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.03131-6.54%0.0271-19.10%0.0699✓1.50499k2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.0717-7.02%7.638+16.97%0.2796✗1.011.9M2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.0262-7.37%0.017275-38.92%0.3525✓1.2989k2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum2.342.1531-7.99%1.4-40.17%0.3342✓1.94812k2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.104-8.14%0.74-38.43%0.3534✓0.941.5M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.4879-8.75%1.578-3.22%0.1358✗1.55140k2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.567599-9.18%0.4549-27.22%0.1267✓1.911.8M2022-03-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.4168-12.47%2.369-53.05%0.5724✓1.02664k2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.