2022-02-12 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1953

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+19.00%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.7%

in alpha space · 86.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.09%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0857	0.085756	+0.06%	0.0683	-20.30%	0.1499	✗	1.24	201k	2022-03-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	8.9796	-0.00%	8.49	-5.46%	0.0262	✗	1.31	2.8M	2022-03-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	95.95	95.582	-0.38%	81.24	-15.33%	0.0836	✓	1.26	179.7M	2022-03-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80694	0.803466	-0.43%	0.72186	-10.54%	0.0127	✓	1.50	311k	2022-03-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063473	0.063008	-0.73%	0.060064	-5.37%	0.0086	✗	0.90	351k	2022-03-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.3	2.2801	-0.87%	1.651	-28.22%	0.2617	✓	0.97	2.9M	2022-03-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.02	1.9999	-1.00%	1.69	-16.34%	0.0862	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,919.99	2,890.81	-1.00%	2,590.23	-11.29%	0.0391	✓	1.13	572.6M	2022-03-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.04	16.8569	-1.07%	13.52	-20.66%	0.1108	✓	1.75	3.8M	2022-03-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.144281	0.142538	-1.21%	0.113913	-21.05%	0.1591	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-03-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.93	7.8278	-1.29%	5.85	-26.23%	0.2722	✓	0.30	1.1M	2022-03-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7389	6.6512	-1.30%	5.7568	-14.57%	0.0536	✓	1.45	145k	2022-03-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.83	116.2894	-1.31%	149.64	+27.00%	0.3318	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-03-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1781	2.1481	-1.38%	1.7056	-21.69%	0.1552	✓	1.20	547k	2022-03-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.107087	-1.39%	0.0947	-12.80%	0.0565	✓	1.06	36k	2022-03-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.64	10.4735	-1.57%	8.48	-20.30%	0.1271	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-03-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	330.64	325.4266	-1.58%	289.43	-12.46%	0.0530	✓	1.02	8.9M	2022-03-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9188	0.903942	-1.62%	0.7063	-23.13%	0.1757	✓	1.13	27.1M	2022-03-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.617618	0.607616	-1.62%	0.490244	-20.62%	0.1408	✓	1.18	3.5M	2022-03-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.745	0.732571	-1.67%	0.622	-16.51%	0.0944	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-03-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.16	14.9053	-1.68%	12.66	-16.49%	0.0964	✓	1.06	535k	2022-03-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04235	0.041623	-1.72%	0.03912	-7.63%	0.0088	✓	1.13	30k	2022-03-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.942	0.925656	-1.74%	0.768	-18.47%	0.1000	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-03-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.18	58.1425	-1.75%	47.89	-19.08%	0.1164	✓	1.24	8.8M	2022-03-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,244.97	41,500.96	-1.76%	39,674.17	-6.09%	0.0178	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9401	0.923542	-1.76%	0.6963	-25.93%	0.1856	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4191	0.41164	-1.78%	0.3655	-12.79%	0.0347	✓	1.34	8.7M	2022-03-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0596	1.0404	-1.81%	0.8028	-24.24%	0.1887	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-03-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	133.7	131.2706	-1.82%	113.5	-15.11%	0.0817	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-03-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.78	124.4729	-1.82%	105.58	-16.72%	0.0833	✓	1.30	35.7M	2022-03-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.89	40.1283	-1.86%	38.54	-5.75%	0.0579	✗	1.57	420k	2022-03-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03125	0.030665	-1.87%	0.02467	-21.06%	0.1630	✓	0.87	6.4M	2022-03-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.218218	0.214081	-1.90%	0.180075	-17.48%	0.1078	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-03-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.97	15.6627	-1.92%	13.41	-16.03%	0.0792	✓	1.21	72.0M	2022-03-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7725	1.7379	-1.95%	2.0564	+16.02%	0.2384	✗	1.12	73k	2022-03-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	104.19	102.0823	-2.02%	98.24	-5.71%	0.0333	✗	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.618	1.5851	-2.03%	1.459	-9.83%	0.0100	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-03-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000823	0.000080563	-2.11%	0.00007592	-7.75%	0.0135	✓	1.16	5.6M	2022-03-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.92	1.879	-2.13%	1.04	-45.83%	0.5170	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-03-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0717	0.070153	-2.16%	0.06877	-4.09%	0.0494	✗	1.10	17k	2022-03-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1292	-2.16%	0.9939	-13.88%	0.0620	✓	1.05	239k	2022-03-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.111	18.698	-2.16%	18.087	-5.36%	0.0509	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.562	0.549546	-2.22%	0.6427	+14.36%	0.2397	✗	1.32	2.5M	2022-03-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4604	0.450115	-2.23%	0.3223	-30.00%	0.2393	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00616	0.006016	-2.34%	0.00363	-41.07%	0.3781	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-03-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,568.00	41,565.32	-2.36%	39,373.20	-7.51%	0.0067	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.514	0.50158	-2.42%	0.369	-28.21%	0.2156	✓	1.46	4.9M	2022-03-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.786	4.6701	-2.42%	4.541	-5.12%	0.0247	✗	0.84	348k	2022-03-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.98	5.835	-2.42%	3.73	-37.63%	0.3774	✓	1.12	645k	2022-03-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1035	0.10098	-2.43%	0.0894	-13.62%	0.0227	✓	1.58	1.2M	2022-03-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.67	6.5056	-2.46%	6.85	+2.70%	0.1078	✗	0.90	406k	2022-03-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.0923	-2.48%	0.942	-15.89%	0.0600	✓	1.40	655k	2022-03-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.69	1.6481	-2.48%	1.336	-20.95%	0.1307	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-03-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	166.09	161.9081	-2.52%	120.47	-27.47%	0.2190	✓	1.22	930k	2022-03-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01149	0.01119	-2.61%	0.00916	-20.28%	0.1122	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-03-14
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.934859	-2.62%	0.89	-7.29%	0.0136	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.96	50.5555	-2.70%	94.79	+82.43%	0.7182	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-03-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.34	79.0784	-2.78%	68.98	-15.20%	0.0514	✓	1.36	98.5M	2022-03-14
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.03	2.9452	-2.80%	2	-33.99%	0.3242	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.37	0.35953	-2.83%	0.421	+13.78%	0.2438	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0443	1.0143	-2.87%	1.1348	+8.66%	0.1884	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-03-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.56	2.4846	-2.95%	2.18	-14.84%	0.0659	✓	1.03	431k	2022-03-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2514	0.243943	-2.97%	0.2384	-5.17%	0.0457	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.76	2.6781	-2.97%	5.312	+92.46%	0.7699	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.4	6.2099	-2.97%	8.06	+25.94%	0.3129	✗	0.83	428k	2022-03-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.267	1.2285	-3.04%	1.144	-9.71%	0.0075	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-03-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18496	0.179339	-3.04%	0.1444	-21.93%	0.1147	✓	1.62	40k	2022-03-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1393	0.135017	-3.07%	0.1186	-14.86%	0.0447	✓	1.35	3.2M	2022-03-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.82	18.2398	-3.08%	17.69	-6.00%	0.0553	✗	1.37	36.1M	2022-03-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	28.49	27.6087	-3.09%	23.42	-17.80%	0.0691	✓	1.52	2.0M	2022-03-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.044288	0.042916	-3.10%	0.039855	-10.01%	0.0027	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.27	4.1371	-3.11%	3.366	-21.17%	0.1280	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-14
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.404	2.3285	-3.14%	1.61	-33.03%	0.3062	✓	1.00	68k	2022-03-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7989	4.6479	-3.15%	4.0362	-15.89%	0.0635	✓	1.24	399k	2022-03-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07609	0.073695	-3.15%	0.0694	-8.79%	0.0128	✓	0.75	86k	2022-03-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.19	29.2389	-3.15%	27.37	-9.34%	0.0056	✓	0.96	830k	2022-03-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2064	0.199895	-3.15%	0.1955	-5.28%	0.0669	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-03-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2852	0.276203	-3.15%	0.2584	-9.40%	0.0033	✓	1.11	538k	2022-03-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05601	0.054223	-3.19%	0.04611	-17.68%	0.0729	✓	1.42	1.2M	2022-03-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.5	2.4197	-3.21%	1.67	-33.20%	0.2891	✓	1.30	390k	2022-03-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013179	-3.24%	0.01174	-13.80%	0.0665	✓	0.78	13k	2022-03-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.916	5.7238	-3.25%	4.77	-19.37%	0.1263	✓	0.89	72k	2022-03-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2838	0.274508	-3.27%	0.1945	-31.47%	0.2464	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-03-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.758	6.533	-3.33%	6.346	-6.10%	0.0278	✓	0.90	4.0M	2022-03-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.908685	-3.33%	0.58	-38.30%	0.3258	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-03-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.338	0.326637	-3.36%	0.228	-32.54%	0.3002	✓	0.94	76k	2022-03-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.11	90.9299	-3.38%	75.63	-19.64%	0.1275	✓	0.90	1.3M	2022-03-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000292	0.000028206	-3.40%	0.00002203	-24.55%	0.1581	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-03-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.48	5.2934	-3.41%	6.81	+24.27%	0.3018	✗	0.79	377k	2022-03-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1672	0.161428	-3.45%	0.1527	-8.67%	0.0102	✓	1.05	470k	2022-03-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.67	30.556	-3.52%	25.92	-18.16%	0.0979	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-03-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.812	1.7477	-3.55%	1.327	-26.77%	0.1931	✓	1.31	1.1M	2022-03-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6501	0.627043	-3.55%	0.3858	-40.66%	0.3883	✓	1.55	743k	2022-03-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01068	0.010296	-3.59%	0.00877	-17.88%	0.0960	✓	1.03	514k	2022-03-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09377	0.090361	-3.64%	0.09014	-3.87%	0.0646	✗	1.07	50k	2022-03-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.86	20.1	-3.64%	17.46	-16.30%	0.0647	✓	1.21	10.8M	2022-03-14
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000217	0.000002091	-3.65%	0.00000175	-19.35%	0.1152	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03381	0.032575	-3.65%	0.01958	-42.09%	0.4383	✓	1.13	9.7M	2022-03-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	162.52	156.5555	-3.67%	118.38	-27.16%	0.1909	✓	1.41	9.3M	2022-03-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1736	0.167194	-3.69%	0.1322	-23.85%	0.1898	✓	0.72	406k	2022-03-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8439	82.6704	-3.70%	46.9295	-45.33%	0.4758	✓	1.44	315k	2022-03-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4544	0.437307	-3.76%	0.3117	-31.40%	0.2261	✓	1.79	32.6M	2022-03-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5079	3.3759	-3.76%	4.315	+23.01%	0.3159	✗	1.12	2.5M	2022-03-14
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.11157	-3.82%	0.104	-10.34%	0.0075	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.05	17.3515	-3.87%	13.26	-26.54%	0.2241	✓	0.71	984k	2022-03-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.052	1.0112	-3.87%	0.8427	-19.90%	0.0903	✓	1.47	1.9M	2022-03-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.2576	-4.09%	2.098	-10.88%	0.0062	✓	1.07	22k	2022-03-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	127.26	122.0291	-4.11%	99.59	-21.74%	0.1224	✓	1.29	59k	2022-03-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	173.82	166.5333	-4.19%	185.79	+6.89%	0.1752	✗	1.05	1.3M	2022-03-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8744	0.837581	-4.21%	0.7121	-18.56%	0.0953	✓	1.07	12.7M	2022-03-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.03	10.5624	-4.24%	11.32	+2.63%	0.1143	✗	0.72	660k	2022-03-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.939	6.6432	-4.26%	4.522	-34.83%	0.3201	✓	1.03	407k	2022-03-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.89	4.6797	-4.30%	3.965	-18.92%	0.0881	✓	1.24	2.6M	2022-03-14
STX	Stacks	native	1.52	1.4545	-4.31%	1.28	-15.79%	0.0650	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0682	0.065249	-4.33%	0.0558	-18.18%	0.0467	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-03-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.07	3.8931	-4.35%	4.765	+17.08%	0.2232	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-03-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021888	0.020936	-4.35%	0.01619	-26.03%	0.1802	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.312	3.168	-4.35%	4.071	+22.92%	0.3070	✗	0.90	502k	2022-03-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.54	21.5492	-4.40%	18.64	-17.30%	0.0461	✓	1.58	383k	2022-03-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.18	42.2203	-4.44%	41.47	-6.13%	0.0563	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-03-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01276	0.012177	-4.57%	0.01143	-10.42%	0.0338	✓	1.55	1.7M	2022-03-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,131.85	22,070.41	-4.59%	18,523.08	-19.92%	0.1152	✓	0.96	7.8M	2022-03-14
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.7	2.5736	-4.68%	2.3	-14.81%	0.0496	✓	1.00	779k	2022-03-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7974	3.6194	-4.69%	3.6677	-3.42%	0.0739	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-03-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9446	5.6586	-4.81%	5.8951	-0.83%	0.0605	✗	0.31	447k	2022-03-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9115	2.7678	-4.94%	2.3068	-20.77%	0.1189	✓	1.01	2.8M	2022-03-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.162	3.0026	-5.04%	3.453	+9.20%	0.1908	✗	0.81	212k	2022-03-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.0699	-5.06%	4.39	-17.79%	0.0781	✓	1.05	682k	2022-03-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.32	5.9981	-5.09%	7.574	+19.84%	0.2947	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.07	19.0429	-5.12%	16.18	-19.38%	0.0896	✓	1.17	25.0M	2022-03-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.721	-5.19%	1.952	-31.99%	0.2429	✓	1.42	19.1M	2022-03-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.07	25.6237	-5.34%	26.83	-0.89%	0.1175	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-03-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.781	7.3618	-5.39%	5.436	-30.14%	0.2810	✓	0.35	38k	2022-03-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2471	1.1797	-5.40%	1.4082	+12.92%	0.2768	✗	1.59	119k	2022-03-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0956	0.090336	-5.51%	0.0663	-30.65%	0.2219	✓	1.39	585k	2022-03-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028632	0.027032	-5.59%	0.021474	-25.00%	0.1491	✓	1.29	111k	2022-03-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0322	0.030361	-5.71%	0.0228	-29.19%	0.1941	✓	1.47	490k	2022-03-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.527	3.3206	-5.85%	2.033	-42.36%	0.4352	✓	0.88	30k	2022-03-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.15	3.8978	-6.08%	2.9	-30.12%	0.2086	✓	1.39	8.0M	2022-03-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.7935	-6.10%	1.236	-35.29%	0.2851	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-03-14
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2939	1.2116	-6.36%	0.7046	-45.54%	0.4859	✓	0.90	1.8M	2022-03-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.109	3.8455	-6.41%	3.0001	-26.99%	0.1661	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6015	0.562314	-6.51%	0.3874	-35.59%	0.2535	✓	1.90	1.8M	2022-03-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8422	1.7206	-6.60%	2.9	+57.42%	0.5607	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-03-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.78	7.2532	-6.77%	5.44	-30.08%	0.2643	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-03-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5785	0.536787	-7.21%	0.4889	-15.49%	0.0271	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-03-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015897	0.014701	-7.52%	0.01177	-25.96%	0.1488	✓	1.17	630k	2022-03-14
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04741	0.043795	-7.63%	0.03625	-23.54%	0.1436	✓	0.72	4.4M	2022-03-14
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	2.0323	-8.46%	1.43	-35.59%	0.2264	✓	1.99	1.1M	2022-03-14
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.904	4.3649	-10.99%	2.368	-51.71%	0.5539	✓	0.92	909k	2022-03-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.