8=======>

2022-02-11 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1771
149 of 149 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.1%
in alpha space · 85.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08680.087084+0.33%0.0674-22.35%0.1146✗1.23209k2022-03-13
XVSVenusEthereum8.928.9393+0.22%8.26-7.40%0.0702✓1.302.8M2022-03-13
SOLSolanaSolana96.596.3365-0.17%78.75-18.39%0.0580✓1.25179.7M2022-03-13
IMXImmutableEthereum2.312.2964-0.59%1.693-26.71%0.1932✓0.972.9M2022-03-13
TRXTRONTron0.0639580.063578-0.59%0.059286-7.30%0.0339✗0.90357k2022-03-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2417.1043-0.79%12.73-26.16%0.0949✓1.753.8M2022-03-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,929.082,901.75-0.93%2,516.41-14.09%0.0140✓1.12572.6M2022-03-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.823290.81522-0.98%0.67151-18.44%0.0222✓1.50311k2022-03-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.072.0493-1.00%1.59-23.19%0.1045✓1.302.3M2022-03-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.77.6219-1.01%5.75-25.32%0.2469✓0.301.0M2022-03-13
QTUMQtumQtum6.56036.4915-1.05%5.5491-15.41%0.0095✓1.45145k2022-03-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.144850.143252-1.10%0.111494-23.03%0.1320✓1.037.1M2022-03-13
ZECZcashZcash116.54115.2287-1.13%155+33.00%0.4418✗1.277.3M2022-03-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.01316.7583-1.32%279.78-12.84%0.0067✓1.028.9M2022-03-13
NANOnanopayBase2.18192.1509-1.42%1.6373-24.96%0.1354✓1.20675k2022-03-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6169040.607988-1.45%0.47407-23.15%0.1148✓1.173.5M2022-03-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.0758.2032-1.47%45.18-23.51%0.1121✓1.238.8M2022-03-13
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6510.4907-1.50%8.2-23.00%0.0935✓1.3312.5M2022-03-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,386.4741,729.86-1.55%37,793.01-10.84%0.0156✗1.00642.7M2022-03-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9614.7267-1.56%12.22-18.32%0.0661✓1.05576k2022-03-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93450.91982-1.57%0.6829-26.92%0.1179✓1.57672k2022-03-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.960.944813-1.58%0.745-22.40%0.0797✓1.382.4M2022-03-13
ZENHorizenBase40.3639.7187-1.59%36.36-9.91%0.0906✗1.56461k2022-03-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7710.758732-1.59%0.605-21.53%0.1003✓1.101.7M2022-03-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91690.901944-1.63%0.6813-25.70%0.1524✓1.1228.1M2022-03-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41810.411214-1.65%0.3341-20.09%0.0551✓1.338.9M2022-03-13
QNTQuantEthereum129.51127.3262-1.69%111.99-13.53%0.0116✓1.027.8M2022-03-13
XEMNEMnative0.10860.106768-1.69%0.0913-15.93%0.0354✓1.0635k2022-03-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,347.7041,625.60-1.71%37,704.30-10.96%0.0120✓0.9741k2022-03-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041880.041166-1.71%0.03768-10.03%0.0405✗1.1230k2022-03-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.69123.522-1.72%101.69-19.09%0.0444✓1.3135.7M2022-03-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.77561.744-1.78%2.0346+14.58%0.2816✗1.1178k2022-03-13
ADACardanoCardano1.08031.0603-1.85%0.7875-27.10%0.1691✓1.12115.7M2022-03-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2215.9193-1.85%12.71-21.64%0.0867✓1.2173.6M2022-03-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2153930.21138-1.86%0.176342-18.13%0.0627✓1.0324.3M2022-03-13
DASHDashDash103.99101.9479-1.96%93.78-9.82%0.0469✗1.142.2M2022-03-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00620.006078-1.97%0.00336-45.81%0.3606✓2.0218.8M2022-03-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.16231.1394-1.97%0.99147-14.70%0.0183✓1.05239k2022-03-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4534.364-2.00%4.823+8.31%0.1963✗0.84346k2022-03-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45830.44881-2.07%0.2898-36.77%0.2656✓1.502.2M2022-03-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6371.603-2.07%1.398-14.60%0.0042✓1.161.6M2022-03-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.991.9486-2.08%1.05-47.24%0.4823✓1.191.5M2022-03-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3010.294725-2.08%0.221-26.58%0.1803✓0.9476k2022-03-13
XECeCashnative0.000083910.000082159-2.09%0.00007348-12.43%0.0220✗1.175.6M2022-03-13
KCSKuCoinnative19.08718.6874-2.09%17.691-7.31%0.0991✗1.3410.4M2022-03-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.557491-2.13%0.6265+9.99%0.2673✗1.312.6M2022-03-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.070459-2.14%0.0678-5.83%0.0873✗1.1019k2022-03-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.995.8586-2.19%3.71-38.06%0.3280✓1.12689k2022-03-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.476.3279-2.20%6.56+1.39%0.1384✗0.89406k2022-03-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.032980.032255-2.20%0.02433-26.23%0.1828✓0.866.4M2022-03-13
DODODODOEthereum0.520.508379-2.23%0.364-30.00%0.1682✓1.454.9M2022-03-13
KSMKusamaHydration165.1161.3446-2.27%117.74-28.69%0.1751✓1.22973k2022-03-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.11.0743-2.34%0.926-15.82%0.0113✓1.39655k2022-03-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.10860.106003-2.39%0.0962-11.42%0.0827✗1.571.3M2022-03-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.711.6683-2.44%1.312-23.27%0.0959✓1.261.4M2022-03-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0627.3669-2.47%27.22-2.99%0.1047✗0.96679k2022-03-13
XVGVergenative0.011510.011225-2.48%0.00883-23.28%0.0815✓1.381.3M2022-03-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3750.365474-2.54%0.354-5.60%0.1241✗1.361.9M2022-03-13
ORCAOrcaSolana3.113.0268-2.67%2.04-34.41%0.2799✓1.002.0M2022-03-13
LUNATerraTerra 250.3548.9964-2.69%87.46+73.70%0.7433✗1.437.8M2022-03-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8179.5966-2.71%67.97-16.92%0.0034✓1.3592.3M2022-03-13
DIADIAEthereum0.960.933885-2.72%0.87-9.38%0.0438✗1.00281k2022-03-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0477190.046399-2.77%0.039353-17.53%0.0256✓1.218.7M2022-03-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.0638-2.82%8.22+31.73%0.3991✗0.83441k2022-03-13
FIDABonfidaSolana2.5512.4787-2.83%1.578-38.14%0.3369✓1.0068k2022-03-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.674-2.90%5.547+101.42%0.8850✗1.351.1M2022-03-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.5045-2.93%2.09-18.99%0.0634✓1.02457k2022-03-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2571.2199-2.95%1.073-14.64%0.0151✓1.253.2M2022-03-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70164.5622-2.96%3.931-16.39%0.0083✓1.23442k2022-03-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25940.251702-2.97%0.2266-12.64%0.0196✓1.091.6M2022-03-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1170.11352-2.97%0.106-9.40%0.0462✗1.0072k2022-03-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.920.892445-3.00%0.58-36.96%0.2059✓1.961.1M2022-03-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.20560.199407-3.01%0.194-5.64%0.1355✗1.423.7M2022-03-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189070.183338-3.03%0.14262-24.57%0.0659✓1.6240k2022-03-13
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.4624-3.05%1.63-35.83%0.2643✓1.29401k2022-03-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.28420.275469-3.07%0.2459-13.48%0.0149✓1.12538k2022-03-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.09761.0638-3.08%1.0999+0.21%0.1711✗1.202.3M2022-03-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9918.3988-3.11%17.22-9.32%0.0899✗1.3636.1M2022-03-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077470.075015-3.17%0.0675-12.87%0.0170✓0.7789k2022-03-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15660.151635-3.17%0.1446-7.66%0.0725✗1.05430k2022-03-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028720.000027795-3.22%0.00002153-25.03%0.0927✓1.421.7M2022-03-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.015.8148-3.25%4.629-22.98%0.1224✓0.9272k2022-03-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.6491.5517-3.26%75.36-20.37%0.0907✓0.911.3M2022-03-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.9628.9733-3.29%22.26-25.70%0.0911✓1.502.0M2022-03-13
BANDBandEthereum4.254.1099-3.30%3.308-22.16%0.0749✓1.241.9M2022-03-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013590.013139-3.32%0.01167-14.13%0.0291✓0.7813k2022-03-13
GTGateEthereum6.73996.5147-3.34%6.2488-7.29%0.0613✗0.904.0M2022-03-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.2871-3.34%6.27+14.63%0.2614✗0.79377k2022-03-13
XYMSymbolnative0.17350.167692-3.35%0.133-23.34%0.1495✓0.72406k2022-03-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.28880.279083-3.36%0.1939-32.86%0.1863✓1.554.2M2022-03-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.7431.6306-3.39%25.38-22.48%0.0988✓1.064.6M2022-03-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40513.2886-3.42%4.8654+42.89%0.5190✗1.112.5M2022-03-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9816.3945-3.45%13.44-20.85%0.1172✓0.71919k2022-03-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1490.143807-3.49%0.1131-24.09%0.0850✓1.353.2M2022-03-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8331.769-3.49%1.3-29.08%0.1580✓1.311.2M2022-03-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0920.3432-3.54%17.25-18.21%0.0264✓1.2110.8M2022-03-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056220.054229-3.54%0.04657-17.16%0.0114✓1.431.2M2022-03-13
MOVRMoonriverBase84.832181.8173-3.55%45.1-46.84%0.4299✓1.44319k2022-03-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65370.630422-3.56%0.4011-38.64%0.2754✓1.54743k2022-03-13
SCSiacoinnative0.010560.010177-3.62%0.0083-21.40%0.0866✓1.02550k2022-03-13
AAVEAaveEthereum163.71157.6964-3.67%115.63-29.37%0.1488✓1.419.5M2022-03-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036530.035182-3.69%0.01279-64.99%0.8830✓1.129.5M2022-03-13
BTTCBTTC0.000002160.00000208-3.69%0.00000174-19.44%0.0639✓1.0014.6M2022-03-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45030.433398-3.75%0.2937-34.78%0.1793✓1.8335.7M2022-03-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097520.09384-3.77%0.0888-8.94%0.0673✗1.0750k2022-03-13
HIVEHivenative1.0741.0334-3.78%0.829-22.81%0.0528✓1.461.9M2022-03-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.19.7126-3.84%11.77+16.53%0.2735✗0.71660k2022-03-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.2615-3.93%2.066-12.23%0.0313✓1.0622k2022-03-13
XMRMoneroMonero169.21162.4638-3.99%176.15+4.10%0.2010✗1.051.4M2022-03-13
API3Api3Ethereum3.973.8085-4.07%4.835+21.79%0.2773✗0.341.8M2022-03-13
COMPCompoundEthereum124.54119.4323-4.10%98.79-20.68%0.0431✓1.2865k2022-03-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2196.9226-4.11%4.381-39.31%0.3400✓1.02407k2022-03-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.293.1536-4.14%4.399+33.71%0.4350✗0.89525k2022-03-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226110.02167-4.16%0.01603-29.11%0.1622✓1.212.4M2022-03-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87540.838712-4.19%0.6804-22.28%0.0875✓1.0613.0M2022-03-13
RADRadworksEthereum5.45.173-4.20%4.43-17.96%0.0358✓1.04701k2022-03-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3621.4159-4.22%17.54-21.56%0.0194✓1.57387k2022-03-13
STXStacksnative1.511.4459-4.25%1.22-19.21%0.0552✓1.001.2M2022-03-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.63.4451-4.30%3.9184+8.84%0.2395✗0.972.2M2022-03-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06540.062509-4.42%0.0539-17.58%0.0523✗1.7542.7M2022-03-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012440.011888-4.43%0.01121-9.89%0.1159✗1.521.7M2022-03-13
FTTFTXEthereum43.4641.5245-4.45%39.8-8.42%0.0928✗1.1832.3M2022-03-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.6759-4.57%3.91-20.20%0.0369✓1.242.6M2022-03-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,115.1322,046.48-4.62%18,034.56-21.98%0.0910✓0.968.0M2022-03-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.082876-4.63%0.0636-26.81%0.1058✓1.39567k2022-03-13
UMAUMAEthereum5.965.679-4.72%7.326+22.92%0.3674✗0.981.9M2022-03-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.18685.89-4.80%5.8335-5.71%0.0268✓0.32447k2022-03-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.92222.7801-4.86%2.256-22.80%0.0939✓1.003.0M2022-03-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8218.8529-4.88%15.75-20.53%0.0464✓1.1625.3M2022-03-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.14831.0913-4.96%1.3+13.21%0.3574✗1.59114k2022-03-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1542.9961-5.01%3.576+13.38%0.2699✗0.81206k2022-03-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.892.7441-5.05%1.919-33.60%0.1959✓1.4120.0M2022-03-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5625.1678-5.24%26.25-1.17%0.1717✗1.1376.9M2022-03-13
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9237.4902-5.46%5.225-34.05%0.3196✓0.3538k2022-03-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.59413.3944-5.56%2.0246-43.67%0.4154✓0.8830k2022-03-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03190.030079-5.71%0.02245-29.62%0.1215✓1.49490k2022-03-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0321240.030168-6.09%0.015747-50.98%0.5022✓1.29111k2022-03-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.951.8312-6.09%1.151-40.97%0.3051✓1.393.0M2022-03-13
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.8385-6.15%2.78-32.03%0.1644✓1.388.0M2022-03-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.22691.151-6.19%0.7095-42.17%0.3806✓0.901.8M2022-03-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63580.595487-6.34%0.364-42.75%0.2783✓1.871.8M2022-03-13
XTZTezosTezos4.31294.033-6.49%2.9117-32.49%0.1766✓1.302.4M2022-03-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91511.7887-6.60%2.5839+34.92%0.4381✗0.612.9M2022-03-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.42-6.90%5.25-34.13%0.3031✓0.371.7M2022-03-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59560.552685-7.21%0.478-19.74%0.0240✓1.061.1M2022-03-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.051110.047159-7.73%0.0383-25.06%0.0934✓1.004.9M2022-03-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158720.014621-7.88%0.011138-29.83%0.1376✓1.17689k2022-03-13
PROPropyEthereum2.282.092-8.25%1.5-34.21%0.2179✓1.001.4M2022-03-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1574.5871-11.05%2.25-56.37%0.6071✓0.921.0M2022-03-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.