2022-02-07 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1926

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.54%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

85.8%

in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-4.36%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0948	0.095356	+0.59%	0.0713	-24.79%	0.2361	✗	1.22	244k	2022-03-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	117.62	117.9735	+0.30%	88.1	-25.10%	0.2368	✗	1.24	181.0M	2022-03-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.33	10.3511	+0.20%	8.93	-13.55%	0.0893	✗	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068517	0.06848	-0.05%	0.060814	-11.24%	0.0782	✓	0.91	362k	2022-03-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.81	21.7885	-0.10%	14.69	-32.65%	0.3172	✓	1.73	3.8M	2022-03-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.41	7.3888	-0.29%	6.19	-16.46%	0.1624	✓	0.33	1.1M	2022-03-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1664	1.1618	-0.39%	0.741	-36.47%	0.3815	✓	1.53	725k	2022-03-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.86	2.8446	-0.54%	1.602	-43.99%	0.5329	✓	0.93	2.4M	2022-03-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.042745	0.042464	-0.66%	0.041988	-1.77%	0.0409	✗	1.17	8.4M	2022-03-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,141.89	3,119.17	-0.72%	2,727.60	-13.19%	0.0849	✓	1.10	544.5M	2022-03-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.165291	0.163943	-0.82%	0.121511	-26.49%	0.2531	✓	1.04	7.1M	2022-03-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.27	2.2514	-0.82%	1.79	-21.15%	0.1709	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3627	2.3427	-0.84%	1.7476	-26.03%	0.2405	✓	1.18	845k	2022-03-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	128.86	127.6701	-0.92%	141.65	+9.93%	0.1613	✗	1.29	6.6M	2022-03-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,893.50	43,426.69	-1.06%	41,967.60	-4.39%	0.0089	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.8	16.6213	-1.06%	13.1	-22.02%	0.1913	✓	1.05	616k	2022-03-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1175	0.116217	-1.09%	0.101	-14.04%	0.0933	✓	1.05	35k	2022-03-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00701	0.006931	-1.13%	0.0039	-44.37%	0.4861	✓	1.99	19.8M	2022-03-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.239623	0.236867	-1.15%	0.188762	-21.23%	0.1808	✓	1.04	24.4M	2022-03-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	343.12	339.0204	-1.19%	307.25	-10.45%	0.0525	✓	1.03	6.8M	2022-03-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.4703	7.3798	-1.21%	6.0487	-19.03%	0.1337	✓	1.46	156k	2022-03-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,868.07	43,323.38	-1.24%	41,953.97	-4.36%	0.0125	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.67955	0.670767	-1.29%	0.524645	-22.80%	0.1940	✓	1.16	3.5M	2022-03-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.285	0.281075	-1.38%	0.237	-16.84%	0.1275	✓	0.97	70k	2022-03-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.32	67.3778	-1.38%	48.63	-28.82%	0.2715	✓	1.22	7.8M	2022-03-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04657	0.045898	-1.44%	0.04098	-12.00%	0.0632	✓	1.12	29k	2022-03-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.576	4.5094	-1.46%	4.263	-6.84%	0.0192	✓	0.83	359k	2022-03-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.854	0.841498	-1.46%	0.662	-22.48%	0.1908	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-03-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	137.43	135.3838	-1.49%	106.99	-22.15%	0.1777	✓	1.29	30.6M	2022-03-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.073	1.0569	-1.50%	0.921	-14.17%	0.0758	✓	1.39	2.3M	2022-03-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03323	0.032716	-1.55%	0.02596	-21.88%	0.1913	✓	0.90	7.3M	2022-03-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.88	18.58	-1.59%	14.02	-25.74%	0.2290	✓	1.18	76.9M	2022-03-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	115.9	114.0282	-1.61%	99.72	-13.96%	0.0829	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-03-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.38	12.1704	-1.69%	9.21	-25.61%	0.2198	✓	1.32	12.5M	2022-03-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.79	6.6749	-1.69%	6.1	-10.16%	0.0511	✓	0.87	416k	2022-03-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1991	1.1777	-1.79%	0.8495	-29.16%	0.2766	✓	1.12	109.8M	2022-03-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1248	0.12254	-1.81%	0.0841	-32.61%	0.3065	✓	1.57	1.6M	2022-03-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5065	0.497206	-1.83%	0.3463	-31.63%	0.3021	✓	1.34	9.3M	2022-03-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.384	0.376781	-1.88%	0.279	-27.34%	0.2411	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-03-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9231	1.8864	-1.91%	2.007	+4.36%	0.1116	✗	1.11	76k	2022-03-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.309	19.9161	-1.93%	18.777	-7.54%	0.0008	✓	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009007	0.000088313	-1.95%	0.00007564	-16.02%	0.1037	✓	1.15	5.5M	2022-03-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	48.2	47.2527	-1.97%	41.61	-13.67%	0.0576	✓	1.56	457k	2022-03-09
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0486	-2.00%	0.94	-12.15%	0.0647	✓	1.00	293k	2022-03-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.02	27.444	-2.06%	28.87	+3.03%	0.0940	✗	0.97	528k	2022-03-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.96686	0.94684	-2.07%	0.68283	-29.38%	0.2603	✓	1.49	311k	2022-03-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0706	1.0477	-2.14%	0.7672	-28.34%	0.2628	✓	1.09	29.2M	2022-03-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.079	0.077303	-2.15%	0.073	-7.59%	0.0084	✓	1.09	21k	2022-03-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1382	0.135228	-2.15%	0.1245	-9.91%	0.0211	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	154.1	150.7222	-2.19%	118.86	-22.87%	0.1923	✓	1.01	7.6M	2022-03-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.868	1.8265	-2.22%	1.586	-15.10%	0.0892	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.535	0.523007	-2.24%	0.3204	-40.11%	0.4259	✓	1.44	2.0M	2022-03-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01222	0.011944	-2.25%	0.01052	-13.91%	0.0682	✓	1.32	1.3M	2022-03-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6374	0.622728	-2.30%	0.7336	+15.09%	0.2226	✗	1.32	2.6M	2022-03-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.583	0.569408	-2.33%	0.407	-30.19%	0.2713	✓	1.45	4.6M	2022-03-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.211	-2.34%	1.024	-17.42%	0.1079	✓	1.34	511k	2022-03-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1593	0.155564	-2.35%	0.1627	+2.13%	0.0909	✗	1.03	349k	2022-03-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	198.23	193.58	-2.35%	135.22	-31.79%	0.3046	✓	1.21	1.0M	2022-03-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.8835	-2.41%	1.376	-28.70%	0.2576	✓	1.26	1.7M	2022-03-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3981	1.364	-2.44%	0.98649	-29.44%	0.2774	✓	1.05	308k	2022-03-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.06	3.9597	-2.47%	3.737	-7.96%	0.0013	✓	1.27	2.0M	2022-03-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.95	0.926439	-2.48%	0.66	-30.53%	0.2533	✓	1.92	996k	2022-03-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.38	7.1967	-2.48%	4.25	-42.41%	0.4807	✓	1.03	751k	2022-03-09
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.308	2.2504	-2.50%	1.786	-22.62%	0.1865	✓	1.00	66k	2022-03-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2714	0.264389	-2.58%	0.2319	-14.55%	0.0849	✓	1.03	1.7M	2022-03-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.38	2.3185	-2.59%	1.23	-48.32%	0.5810	✓	1.19	2.0M	2022-03-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1916	0.186484	-2.67%	0.1415	-26.15%	0.2439	✓	0.72	419k	2022-03-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08985	0.087433	-2.69%	0.07646	-14.90%	0.0992	✓	0.78	86k	2022-03-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.23	80.9458	-2.74%	77.65	-6.70%	0.0183	✓	1.34	85.1M	2022-03-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.65	6.4662	-2.76%	8	+20.30%	0.2485	✗	0.80	441k	2022-03-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.23	15.7806	-2.77%	14.6	-10.04%	0.0470	✓	0.69	908k	2022-03-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	32.06	31.1684	-2.78%	25.07	-21.80%	0.1521	✓	1.47	2.0M	2022-03-09
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.1293	-2.78%	0.104	-21.80%	0.1731	✓	1.00	90k	2022-03-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01354	0.013162	-2.79%	0.01282	-5.32%	0.0098	✓	0.81	13k	2022-03-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.76	3.6539	-2.82%	2.89	-23.14%	0.1962	✓	0.86	585k	2022-03-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.4612	-2.83%	5.23	-6.94%	0.0088	✓	0.77	356k	2022-03-09
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000235	0.000002284	-2.83%	0.00000186	-20.85%	0.1605	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-03-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.945	2.8612	-2.85%	3.427	+16.37%	0.2403	✗	1.34	986k	2022-03-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.82	2.7371	-2.94%	2.3	-18.44%	0.1289	✓	1.01	504k	2022-03-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06292	0.061056	-2.96%	0.04842	-23.05%	0.1680	✓	1.43	1.5M	2022-03-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6	5.8206	-2.99%	4.63	-22.83%	0.1816	✓	1.06	867k	2022-03-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5646	3.4571	-3.02%	2.9949	-15.98%	0.0940	✓	1.11	2.5M	2022-03-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2345	0.227364	-3.04%	0.2005	-14.50%	0.0644	✓	1.38	3.6M	2022-03-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.78	98.675	-3.05%	83.31	-18.15%	0.1283	✓	0.92	1.5M	2022-03-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.8233	4.6749	-3.08%	5.8487	+21.26%	0.2354	✗	0.25	376k	2022-03-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.4029	5.2345	-3.12%	3.9867	-26.21%	0.2172	✓	1.24	442k	2022-03-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.66	31.639	-3.13%	28.04	-14.15%	0.0732	✓	1.07	3.8M	2022-03-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	59.48	57.6058	-3.15%	99.22	+66.81%	0.6067	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.52	23.7227	-3.25%	18.83	-23.21%	0.1777	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	22.37	21.6339	-3.29%	17.86	-20.16%	0.1309	✓	1.36	40.7M	2022-03-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.09	2.9881	-3.30%	1.89	-38.83%	0.4033	✓	1.23	407k	2022-03-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01211	0.011707	-3.33%	0.00949	-21.64%	0.1645	✓	1.02	572k	2022-03-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.656	2.5669	-3.36%	2.232	-15.96%	0.0922	✓	1.07	22k	2022-03-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3267	0.315606	-3.40%	0.2736	-16.25%	0.0928	✓	1.12	554k	2022-03-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.3085	7.0568	-3.44%	6.654	-8.96%	0.0193	✓	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-09
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.6606	-3.45%	1.12	-34.88%	0.3493	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.023054	0.022256	-3.46%	0.01738	-24.61%	0.1927	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-03-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.4	10.0255	-3.60%	10.46	+0.58%	0.0736	✗	0.70	627k	2022-03-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.54	24.6131	-3.63%	20.31	-20.48%	0.1221	✓	1.57	411k	2022-03-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.753	7.4712	-3.63%	5.029	-35.13%	0.3501	✓	1.02	394k	2022-03-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04107	0.039575	-3.64%	0.01383	-66.33%	1.0023	✓	1.10	9.0M	2022-03-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10441	0.100605	-3.64%	0.09322	-10.72%	0.0293	✓	1.05	47k	2022-03-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.962	6.7076	-3.65%	5.1	-26.75%	0.2333	✓	0.91	81k	2022-03-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	105.8832	102.0139	-3.65%	54.9209	-48.13%	0.5552	✓	1.44	319k	2022-03-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22724	0.218933	-3.66%	0.15435	-32.08%	0.2787	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.495	1.4403	-3.66%	1.185	-20.74%	0.1387	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-03-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.08	178.2985	-3.66%	188.71	+1.96%	0.1037	✗	1.05	1.6M	2022-03-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.094	2.0171	-3.67%	1.394	-33.43%	0.3121	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3002	1.2522	-3.70%	1.2223	-6.00%	0.0295	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-03-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3247	0.312433	-3.78%	0.2116	-34.83%	0.3199	✓	1.56	4.1M	2022-03-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7902	0.760337	-3.78%	0.4455	-43.62%	0.4659	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-03-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.6466	-3.78%	5.441	+43.56%	0.4143	✗	0.32	1.5M	2022-03-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2317	1.1847	-3.82%	0.9131	-25.87%	0.1952	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.4602	3.328	-3.82%	2.9836	-13.77%	0.0669	✓	0.95	2.0M	2022-03-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	182.29	175.2906	-3.84%	127.5	-30.06%	0.2558	✓	1.40	9.8M	2022-03-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.61	6.3513	-3.91%	8.061	+21.95%	0.2829	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	145.96	140.1805	-3.96%	108.96	-25.35%	0.1945	✓	1.29	65k	2022-03-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003255	0.000031239	-4.03%	0.00002383	-26.79%	0.2083	✓	1.40	1.3M	2022-03-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.602	0.576726	-4.20%	0.3619	-39.88%	0.3855	✓	1.80	40.2M	2022-03-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9985	0.956286	-4.23%	0.7395	-25.94%	0.2099	✓	1.06	13.5M	2022-03-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.306	3.1659	-4.24%	2.732	-17.36%	0.1115	✓	0.80	206k	2022-03-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.04	23.0052	-4.30%	17.47	-27.33%	0.2232	✓	1.17	26.9M	2022-03-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.22	45.1762	-4.33%	42.75	-9.47%	0.0028	✓	1.17	33.0M	2022-03-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.9	5.6238	-4.68%	4.727	-19.88%	0.1184	✓	1.24	2.6M	2022-03-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2878	3.1317	-4.75%	2.4947	-24.12%	0.1840	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-03-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,559.72	25,292.86	-4.77%	20,404.96	-23.17%	0.1722	✓	0.95	12.1M	2022-03-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2268	1.1669	-4.88%	1.5521	+26.52%	0.3535	✗	1.53	103k	2022-03-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01584	0.015017	-5.20%	0.01242	-21.59%	0.1234	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0369	0.034979	-5.21%	0.024	-34.96%	0.3079	✓	1.54	490k	2022-03-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0901	0.085316	-5.31%	0.0648	-28.08%	0.2001	✓	1.68	27.2M	2022-03-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7993	3.5959	-5.35%	2.1758	-42.73%	0.4626	✓	0.89	27k	2022-03-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.63	29.9165	-5.42%	30.07	-4.93%	0.0558	✗	1.14	103.7M	2022-03-09
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.299	1.2283	-5.44%	0.76	-41.49%	0.4355	✓	1.00	2.4M	2022-03-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0915	0.086498	-5.47%	0.0717	-21.64%	0.1257	✓	1.39	540k	2022-03-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.26	2.1341	-5.57%	1.287	-43.05%	0.4445	✓	1.37	3.3M	2022-03-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.56	3.3615	-5.57%	2.159	-39.35%	0.3798	✓	1.41	20.8M	2022-03-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1408	3.8984	-5.85%	3.1801	-23.20%	0.1448	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-03-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.971	8.4295	-6.04%	6.28	-30.00%	0.2787	✓	0.35	38k	2022-03-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01721	0.016131	-6.27%	0.011931	-30.67%	0.2486	✓	1.19	2.0M	2022-03-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6483	0.607446	-6.30%	0.4297	-33.72%	0.2639	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-03-09
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.2	2.0565	-6.52%	1.67	-24.09%	0.1636	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-03-09
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04778	0.044523	-6.82%	0.0398	-16.70%	0.0675	✓	1.00	5.1M	2022-03-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.06	8.405	-7.23%	6.31	-30.35%	0.2703	✓	0.37	1.6M	2022-03-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6257	0.580122	-7.28%	0.5284	-15.55%	0.0455	✓	1.07	1.4M	2022-03-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.96	4.5987	-7.28%	3.19	-35.69%	0.3043	✓	1.38	8.3M	2022-03-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.038389	0.035553	-7.39%	0.015975	-58.39%	0.7435	✓	1.27	117k	2022-03-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9987	1.8494	-7.47%	3.1069	+55.45%	0.5470	✗	0.63	3.1M	2022-03-09
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.287	5.7074	-9.22%	2.61	-58.49%	0.7378	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.