8=======>

2022-02-07 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1405
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.7%
in alpha space · 81.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383890.03332-13.20%0.015975-58.39%0.6787✓1.27117k2022-03-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.2875.5278-12.08%2.61-58.49%0.7058✓1.001.2M2022-03-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.64830.575529-11.22%0.4297-33.72%0.2100✓1.841.8M2022-03-09
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.4566-10.15%3.19-35.69%0.2729✓1.388.3M2022-03-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2991.1872-8.60%0.76-41.49%0.4015✓1.002.4M2022-03-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09010.082459-8.48%0.0648-28.08%0.1661✓1.6827.2M2022-03-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03690.034029-7.78%0.024-34.96%0.2804✓1.54490k2022-03-09
PROPropyEthereum2.22.0328-7.60%1.67-24.09%0.1520✓1.001.7M2022-03-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032550.00003012-7.47%0.00002383-26.79%0.1718✓1.401.3M2022-03-09
CELLCellframeEthereum1.22681.1365-7.36%1.5521+26.52%0.3800✗1.53103k2022-03-09
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9718.3483-6.94%6.28-30.00%0.2690✓0.3538k2022-03-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.068.4389-6.86%6.31-30.35%0.2743✓0.371.6M2022-03-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.95.5117-6.58%4.727-19.88%0.0982✓1.242.6M2022-03-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.047780.044653-6.54%0.0398-16.70%0.0704✓1.005.1M2022-03-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015840.014806-6.53%0.01242-21.59%0.1092✓1.491.7M2022-03-09
UMAUMAEthereum6.616.1814-6.48%8.061+21.95%0.3101✗1.001.9M2022-03-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.79933.5537-6.47%2.1758-42.73%0.4508✓0.8927k2022-03-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.6329.6077-6.39%30.07-4.93%0.0661✗1.14103.7M2022-03-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.563.3365-6.28%2.159-39.35%0.3723✓1.4120.8M2022-03-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.125014-6.00%0.104-21.80%0.1394✓1.0090k2022-03-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09150.08604-5.97%0.0717-21.64%0.1204✓1.39540k2022-03-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.568173-5.62%0.3619-39.88%0.3705✓1.8040.2M2022-03-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.1343-5.56%1.287-43.05%0.4446✓1.373.3M2022-03-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0422.7438-5.39%17.47-27.33%0.2118✓1.1726.9M2022-03-09
STXStacksnative1.721.6277-5.37%1.12-34.88%0.3292✓1.001.3M2022-03-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99871.8917-5.35%3.1069+55.45%0.5244✗0.633.1M2022-03-09
MINAMina Protocolnative3.092.9258-5.31%1.89-38.83%0.3823✓1.23407k2022-03-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.950.899655-5.30%0.66-30.53%0.2239✓1.92996k2022-03-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,559.7225,191.60-5.15%20,404.96-23.17%0.1682✓0.9512.1M2022-03-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.99850.94709-5.15%0.7395-25.94%0.2003✓1.0613.5M2022-03-09
XTZTezosTezos4.14083.9293-5.11%3.1801-23.20%0.1527✓1.322.3M2022-03-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.79020.750002-5.09%0.4455-43.62%0.4522✓1.541.0M2022-03-09
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28783.123-5.01%2.4947-24.12%0.1812✓0.972.8M2022-03-09
XMRMoneroMonero185.08175.9206-4.95%188.71+1.96%0.1171✗1.051.6M2022-03-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.5424.2885-4.90%20.31-20.48%0.1088✓1.57411k2022-03-09
MOVRMoonriverBase105.8832100.7131-4.88%54.9209-48.13%0.5423✓1.44319k2022-03-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2315.4736-4.66%14.6-10.04%0.0273✓0.69908k2022-03-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.227240.21671-4.63%0.15435-32.08%0.2685✓1.5936k2022-03-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.9626.6429-4.58%5.1-26.75%0.2236✓0.9181k2022-03-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.82334.6023-4.58%5.8487+21.26%0.2510✗0.25376k2022-03-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62570.597786-4.46%0.5284-15.55%0.0755✓1.071.4M2022-03-09
COMPCompoundEthereum145.96139.628-4.34%108.96-25.35%0.1905✓1.2965k2022-03-09
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0236-4.33%0.94-12.15%0.0406✓1.00293k2022-03-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0942.0049-4.25%1.394-33.43%0.3060✓1.291.2M2022-03-09
FTTFTXEthereum47.2245.2185-4.24%42.75-9.47%0.0038✓1.1733.0M2022-03-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.763.6125-3.92%2.89-23.14%0.1848✓0.86585k2022-03-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.017210.016543-3.87%0.011931-30.67%0.2739✓1.192.0M2022-03-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.062920.060497-3.85%0.04842-23.05%0.1588✓1.431.5M2022-03-09
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.6452-3.82%5.441+43.56%0.4147✗0.321.5M2022-03-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6631.4141-3.81%28.04-14.15%0.0660✓1.073.8M2022-03-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.40295.2006-3.74%3.9867-26.21%0.2107✓1.24442k2022-03-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.3317-3.71%2.9836-13.77%0.0680✓0.952.0M2022-03-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.241.1943-3.68%1.024-17.42%0.0941✓1.34511k2022-03-09
AAVEAaveEthereum182.29175.7915-3.56%127.5-30.06%0.2587✓1.409.8M2022-03-09
CBKCobakEthereum2.6562.5638-3.47%2.232-15.96%0.0910✓1.0722k2022-03-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0790.076262-3.47%0.073-7.59%0.0051✓1.0921k2022-03-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.7898.3309-3.39%83.31-18.15%0.1248✓0.921.5M2022-03-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.966860.934459-3.35%0.68283-29.38%0.2471✓1.49311k2022-03-09
UOSUltraEthereum1.30021.257-3.33%1.2223-6.00%0.0257✓1.202.3M2022-03-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15930.154064-3.29%0.1627+2.13%0.1006✗1.03349k2022-03-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.5223.7148-3.28%18.83-23.21%0.1774✓1.1910.4M2022-03-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.7537.5013-3.25%5.029-35.13%0.3542✓1.02394k2022-03-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9452.8494-3.25%3.427+16.37%0.2444✗1.34986k2022-03-09
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3082.235-3.16%1.786-22.62%0.1796✓1.0066k2022-03-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3063.2088-2.94%2.732-17.36%0.1250✓0.80206k2022-03-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.32470.315175-2.93%0.2116-34.83%0.3286✓1.564.1M2022-03-09
XEMNEMnative0.11750.114228-2.78%0.101-14.04%0.0760✓1.0535k2022-03-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.50650.492462-2.77%0.3463-31.63%0.2925✓1.349.3M2022-03-09
GTGateEthereum7.30857.1063-2.77%6.654-8.96%0.0263✓0.894.1M2022-03-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5764.4495-2.76%4.263-6.84%0.0058✓0.83359k2022-03-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.656.4711-2.69%8+20.30%0.2477✗0.80441k2022-03-09
BTTCBTTC0.000002350.000002288-2.63%0.00000186-20.85%0.1626✓1.0015.1M2022-03-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.8797-2.61%1.376-28.70%0.2556✓1.261.7M2022-03-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,893.5042,749.85-2.61%41,967.60-4.39%0.0246✓0.9741k2022-03-09
STORJStorjEthereum1.39811.3617-2.60%0.98649-29.44%0.2757✓1.05308k2022-03-09
ADACardanoCardano1.19911.1686-2.55%0.8495-29.16%0.2688✓1.12109.8M2022-03-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.0631.2619-2.49%25.07-21.80%0.1551✓1.472.0M2022-03-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.272.2154-2.41%1.79-21.15%0.1548✓1.312.2M2022-03-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.822.7541-2.34%2.3-18.44%0.1350✓1.01504k2022-03-09
XECeCashnative0.000090070.000088033-2.26%0.00007564-16.02%0.1005✓1.155.5M2022-03-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.3721.8645-2.26%17.86-20.16%0.1415✓1.3640.7M2022-03-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0227.392-2.24%28.87+3.03%0.0959✗0.97528k2022-03-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63740.623127-2.24%0.7336+15.09%0.2219✗1.322.6M2022-03-09
LUNATerraTerra 259.4858.1605-2.22%99.22+66.81%0.5971✗1.418.8M2022-03-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13820.135149-2.21%0.1245-9.91%0.0205✓1.383.2M2022-03-09
QNTQuantEthereum154.1150.766-2.16%118.86-22.87%0.1926✓1.017.6M2022-03-09
XVGVergenative0.012220.011963-2.10%0.01052-13.91%0.0698✓1.321.3M2022-03-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8681.8293-2.07%1.586-15.10%0.0908✓1.171.5M2022-03-09
ZENHorizenBase48.247.2046-2.07%41.61-13.67%0.0566✓1.56457k2022-03-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3266.9184-2.05%48.63-28.82%0.2646✓1.227.8M2022-03-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013540.013266-2.02%0.01282-5.32%0.0020✓0.8113k2022-03-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0230540.022589-2.02%0.01738-24.61%0.2076✓1.222.5M2022-03-09
DASHDashDash115.9113.5785-2.00%99.72-13.96%0.0790✓1.152.4M2022-03-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.410.192-2.00%10.46+0.58%0.0571✗0.70627k2022-03-09
DODODODOEthereum0.5830.571742-1.93%0.407-30.19%0.2754✓1.454.6M2022-03-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4951.4665-1.90%1.185-20.74%0.1567✓1.273.4M2022-03-09
HIVEHivenative1.23171.2086-1.87%0.9131-25.87%0.2152✓1.461.9M2022-03-09
ZECZcashZcash128.86126.5091-1.82%141.65+9.93%0.1705✗1.296.6M2022-03-09
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3812.1559-1.81%9.21-25.61%0.2186✓1.3212.5M2022-03-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.56463.5027-1.74%2.9949-15.98%0.1072✓1.112.5M2022-03-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27140.266759-1.71%0.2319-14.55%0.0939✓1.031.7M2022-03-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin137.43135.0977-1.70%106.99-22.15%0.1756✓1.2930.6M2022-03-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0427450.042025-1.68%0.041988-1.77%0.0513✗1.178.4M2022-03-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1652910.162584-1.64%0.121511-26.49%0.2448✓1.047.1M2022-03-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.041070.040401-1.63%0.01383-66.33%1.0230✓1.109.0M2022-03-09
BANDBandEthereum4.063.9961-1.57%3.737-7.96%0.0105✓1.272.0M2022-03-09
SCSiacoinnative0.012110.01192-1.57%0.00949-21.64%0.1826✓1.02572k2022-03-09
RADRadworksEthereum65.9093-1.51%4.63-22.83%0.1967✓1.06867k2022-03-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,868.0743,237.68-1.44%41,953.97-4.36%0.0145✗1.00642.7M2022-03-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.104410.102957-1.39%0.09322-10.72%0.0524✓1.0547k2022-03-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.07061.0558-1.39%0.7672-28.34%0.2705✓1.0929.2M2022-03-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.92311.8966-1.38%2.007+4.36%0.1062✗1.1176k2022-03-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046570.045937-1.36%0.04098-12.00%0.0640✓1.1229k2022-03-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.089850.088661-1.32%0.07646-14.90%0.1132✓0.7886k2022-03-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.679550.670625-1.31%0.524645-22.80%0.1938✓1.163.5M2022-03-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.32670.322483-1.29%0.2736-16.25%0.1144✓1.12554k2022-03-09
XYMSymbolnative0.19160.189319-1.19%0.1415-26.15%0.2590✓0.72419k2022-03-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.6679-1.12%14.02-25.74%0.2337✓1.1876.9M2022-03-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.5585-1.10%5.23-6.94%0.0265✓0.77356k2022-03-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0731.0622-1.01%0.921-14.17%0.0808✓1.392.3M2022-03-09
QTUMQtumQtum7.47037.3955-1.00%6.0487-19.03%0.1359✓1.46156k2022-03-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.387.3129-0.91%4.25-42.41%0.4967✓1.03751k2022-03-09
KSMKusamaHydration198.23196.7691-0.74%135.22-31.79%0.3210✓1.211.0M2022-03-09
KCSKuCoinnative20.30920.1732-0.67%18.777-7.54%0.0120✓1.3410.4M2022-03-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.796.7469-0.63%6.1-10.16%0.0618✓0.87416k2022-03-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.417.3644-0.62%6.19-16.46%0.1591✓0.331.1M2022-03-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.2382.723-0.61%77.65-6.70%0.0034✓1.3485.1M2022-03-09
NANOnanopayBase2.36272.3485-0.60%1.7476-26.03%0.2430✓1.18845k2022-03-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.23450.233106-0.59%0.2005-14.50%0.0893✓1.383.6M2022-03-09
XLMStellarStellar0.2396230.238248-0.57%0.188762-21.23%0.1866✓1.0424.4M2022-03-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.12341.2012-0.56%307.25-10.45%0.0589✓1.036.8M2022-03-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.283523-0.52%0.237-16.84%0.1362✓0.9770k2022-03-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.5350.532529-0.46%0.3204-40.11%0.4440✓1.442.0M2022-03-09
TRXTRONTron0.0685170.06822-0.43%0.060814-11.24%0.0744✓0.91362k2022-03-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.033230.033148-0.25%0.02596-21.88%0.2044✓0.907.3M2022-03-09
IMXImmutableEthereum2.862.8547-0.19%1.602-43.99%0.5364✓0.932.4M2022-03-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.816.8388+0.23%13.1-22.02%0.2043✗1.05616k2022-03-09
SOLSolanaSolana117.62118.0494+0.37%88.1-25.10%0.2375✗1.24181.0M2022-03-09
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16641.1717+0.45%0.741-36.47%0.3900✗1.53725k2022-03-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8540.860268+0.73%0.662-22.48%0.2129✗1.101.6M2022-03-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.12480.125971+0.94%0.0841-32.61%0.3341✗1.571.6M2022-03-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.382.4045+1.03%1.23-48.32%0.6175✗1.192.0M2022-03-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.8122.0632+1.16%14.69-32.65%0.3297✗1.733.8M2022-03-09
XVSVenusEthereum10.3310.4673+1.33%8.93-13.55%0.1005✗1.312.3M2022-03-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3840.389199+1.35%0.279-27.34%0.2735✗1.331.7M2022-03-09
ETHEthereumEthereum3,141.893,187.87+1.46%2,727.60-13.19%0.1067✗1.10544.5M2022-03-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09480.096767+2.08%0.0713-24.79%0.2508✗1.22244k2022-03-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007010.007188+2.54%0.0039-44.37%0.5225✗1.9919.8M2022-03-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.