8=======>

2022-02-02 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1145
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 58.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006070.0065+7.08%0.004-34.10%0.6229✗2.3322.6M2022-03-04
XVSVenusEthereum7.838.1854+4.54%8.58+9.58%0.0304✓1.312.7M2022-03-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3160.328017+3.80%0.274-13.29%0.2601✗1.361.8M2022-03-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86640.89867+3.72%0.7354-15.12%0.3087✗1.83852k2022-03-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07940.081949+3.21%0.0671-15.49%0.2719✗1.22299k2022-03-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.0118.5075+2.76%15.26-15.27%0.3011✗1.833.9M2022-03-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.7614.0738+2.28%12.38-10.03%0.1871✗1.00762k2022-03-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,682.662,741.85+2.21%2,623.07-2.22%0.1095✗1.11575.5M2022-03-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7190.73412+2.10%0.69-4.03%0.1251✗1.071.7M2022-03-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.775.8818+1.94%4.05-29.81%0.4291✗0.95835k2022-03-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.182.2217+1.91%1.17-46.33%0.7261✗1.442.3M2022-03-04
QNTQuantEthereum113.54115.5059+1.73%118.5+4.37%0.0335✗1.007.6M2022-03-04
SOLSolanaSolana101.99103.6734+1.65%88.32-13.40%0.2319✗1.22187.6M2022-03-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash278282.2154+1.52%290.67+4.56%0.0318✗1.046.8M2022-03-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.18030.182971+1.48%0.1952+8.26%0.0139✓1.333.7M2022-03-04
RADRadworksEthereum5.225.2882+1.31%5.07-2.87%0.1042✗1.051000k2022-03-04
MOVRMoonriverBase73.597274.4304+1.13%60.2327-18.16%0.2877✗1.29383k2022-03-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.1249.6483+1.08%49.7+1.18%0.0690✗1.198.0M2022-03-04
HIVEHivenative0.94550.955411+1.05%0.9048-4.30%0.1445✗1.531.9M2022-03-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.250.252376+0.95%0.24-4.00%0.1058✗0.9470k2022-03-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.8768.4773+0.89%75.82+11.71%0.0210✓1.3789.7M2022-03-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42770.431433+0.87%0.35-18.17%0.2934✗1.432.2M2022-03-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.110956+0.87%0.0851-22.64%0.3537✗1.501.6M2022-03-04
SCSiacoinnative0.009830.009913+0.84%0.00847-13.84%0.2180✗1.03565k2022-03-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009520.009599+0.83%0.01111+16.70%0.0702✓1.291.9M2022-03-04
XVGVergenative0.009780.009857+0.79%0.00944-3.48%0.1212✗1.321.5M2022-03-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8830.889809+0.77%0.78-11.66%0.2129✗1.382.3M2022-03-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.536.5801+0.77%6.1-6.58%0.0897✗0.241.1M2022-03-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.11251.1205+0.72%0.94943-14.66%0.2251✗1.01338k2022-03-04
KSMKusamaHydration162.31163.4508+0.70%120.67-25.65%0.3732✗1.181.3M2022-03-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.644284+0.67%0.65+1.56%0.1016✗1.871.0M2022-03-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04180.042072+0.65%0.01443-65.48%1.1358✗1.119.1M2022-03-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10920.109851+0.60%0.1169+7.05%0.0163✗1.333.6M2022-03-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.029270.029438+0.58%0.0266-9.12%0.1528✗0.878.4M2022-03-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92350.928793+0.57%0.7605-17.65%0.2690✗1.1734.5M2022-03-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020640.000020758+0.57%0.00002353+14.00%0.0427✓1.401.6M2022-03-04
QTUMQtumQtum6.0256.058+0.55%5.9254-1.65%0.1072✗1.44174k2022-03-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05990.060226+0.54%0.0692+15.53%0.0631✓1.29554k2022-03-04
ZECZcashZcash98.3598.8727+0.53%117.05+19.01%0.0903✓1.337.0M2022-03-04
NANOnanopayBase2.10642.1156+0.44%1.7529-16.78%0.2600✗1.22888k2022-03-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.045.0615+0.43%5.38+6.75%0.0166✓0.75404k2022-03-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.073790.074076+0.39%0.06438-12.75%0.1838✗0.7480k2022-03-04
ZENHorizenBase38.1338.2641+0.35%33.61-11.85%0.2243✗1.60626k2022-03-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.7915.8204+0.19%13.74-12.98%0.2131✗1.2285.9M2022-03-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1931510.193439+0.15%0.17606-8.85%0.1550✗1.0326.2M2022-03-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62810.627645-0.07%0.4504-28.29%0.4230✓1.541.2M2022-03-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23140.231209-0.08%0.235+1.56%0.0525✓1.171.9M2022-03-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.056.0375-0.21%6.27+3.64%0.0136✓0.87529k2022-03-04
TRXTRONTron0.0586390.058457-0.31%0.058264-0.64%0.0576✓0.92403k2022-03-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.36108.0212-0.31%101.05-6.75%0.1466✓1.3633.8M2022-03-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.57180.569515-0.40%0.495114-13.41%0.2109✓1.203.3M2022-03-04
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.4873-0.41%8.81-16.33%0.2538✓1.3512.5M2022-03-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.60051.5926-0.49%1.9091+19.28%0.1169✗1.0979k2022-03-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4650.462571-0.52%0.412-11.40%0.2053✓1.524.6M2022-03-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039130.038908-0.57%0.03781-3.37%0.0941✓1.1129k2022-03-04
BANDBandEthereum3.373.3492-0.62%3.72+10.39%0.0311✗1.252.4M2022-03-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.04231.0358-0.62%1.2576+20.66%0.1193✗1.272.4M2022-03-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.871.8571-0.69%1.72-8.02%0.1537✓1.312.8M2022-03-04
KCSKuCoinnative17.77617.651-0.70%18.238+2.60%0.0562✓1.5110.6M2022-03-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7618.6236-0.73%16.79-10.50%0.1860✓1.4047.3M2022-03-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.2780.275705-0.83%0.2623-5.65%0.1171✓1.14545k2022-03-04
XECeCashnative0.000075820.000075176-0.85%0.00007061-6.87%0.1298✓1.145.7M2022-03-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,923.3936,596.79-0.88%39,166.51+6.08%0.0089✓1.00717.4M2022-03-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.5723.3547-0.91%28.68+21.68%0.1583✗0.80484k2022-03-04
COMPCompoundEthereum121.22120.0669-0.95%108.79-10.25%0.1758✓1.3159k2022-03-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089410.088515-1.00%0.08893-0.54%0.0562✓1.0346k2022-03-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40480.40067-1.02%0.34-16.01%0.2435✓1.3510.0M2022-03-04
XEMNEMnative0.10150.100314-1.17%0.096-5.42%0.1031✓1.0041k2022-03-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8835.8135-1.18%5-15.01%0.2112✓1.03341k2022-03-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2791.2638-1.19%1.114-12.90%0.1998✓1.253.5M2022-03-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5891.5695-1.23%1.413-11.08%0.1741✓1.171.6M2022-03-04
DASHDashDash93.0591.8794-1.26%89.59-3.72%0.0948✓1.182.9M2022-03-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1371040.135354-1.28%0.122392-10.73%0.1632✓1.067.1M2022-03-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.370.365249-1.28%0.438+18.38%0.0831✗1.671.9M2022-03-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.032.9902-1.31%2.883-4.85%0.0844✓0.81262k2022-03-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0202460.019978-1.32%0.01761-13.02%0.1868✓1.032.7M2022-03-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0358720.035392-1.34%0.044148+23.07%0.1474✗1.259.4M2022-03-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5526.1818-1.39%22.86-13.90%0.2338✓1.662.5M2022-03-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.53980.53203-1.44%0.7304+35.31%0.2391✗1.322.8M2022-03-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.13573.09-1.46%3.0093-4.03%0.0913✓1.102.7M2022-03-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13480.132795-1.49%0.1472+9.20%0.0443✗1.00337k2022-03-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.631.6057-1.49%1.348-17.30%0.2515✓1.302.0M2022-03-04
IMXImmutableEthereum3.032.9846-1.50%1.32-56.44%0.9012✓1.452.2M2022-03-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.1919.8691-1.59%18.82-6.79%0.1252✓1.2011.3M2022-03-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01260.012394-1.64%0.01211-3.89%0.0750✓0.8813k2022-03-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.025.9194-1.67%8.51+41.36%0.3161✗0.80504k2022-03-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7545.6536-1.75%4.97-13.63%0.1789✓0.85116k2022-03-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.91.8658-1.80%1.346-29.16%0.4157✓1.513.9M2022-03-04
LUNATerraTerra 247.646.7028-1.88%83.49+75.40%0.4802✗1.718.8M2022-03-04
AAVEAaveEthereum151.26148.3135-1.95%124.3-17.82%0.2603✓1.4212.2M2022-03-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6961.661-2.06%1.358-19.93%0.2760✓1.271.4M2022-03-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,883.4037,089.31-2.10%39,591.90+4.51%0.0059✓1.0151k2022-03-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.412.3593-2.10%2.22-7.88%0.1209✓1.02667k2022-03-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.369.1553-2.19%10.37+10.79%0.0800✗0.76709k2022-03-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.5372.4815-2.19%2.4781-2.32%0.0574✓0.953.1M2022-03-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.2925.6979-2.25%27.63+5.10%0.0090✓1.083.4M2022-03-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.27830.271989-2.27%0.209-24.90%0.3598✓1.634.3M2022-03-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1663.0936-2.29%2.877-9.13%0.1238✓0.87766k2022-03-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.9039-2.35%4.438+11.01%0.0798✗0.82351k2022-03-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.0919.6109-2.38%18.21-9.36%0.1670✓1.57438k2022-03-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06430.062762-2.39%0.0679+5.60%0.0140✓1.1021k2022-03-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810120.789931-2.49%0.65401-19.27%0.2905✓1.72419k2022-03-04
GITCOINGITCOIN7.5647.3747-2.50%5.851-22.65%0.2466✓0.2641k2022-03-04
ADACardanoCardano1.02681.001-2.51%0.845-17.71%0.2373✓1.15113.2M2022-03-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84040.818887-2.56%0.71-15.52%0.2078✓1.1015.7M2022-03-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.63074.5074-2.66%3.9678-14.31%0.2043✓1.30365k2022-03-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.2352.1747-2.70%2.134-4.52%0.0819✓1.0722k2022-03-04
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.9767-2.77%3.04-25.67%0.3509✓1.408.8M2022-03-04
XMRMoneroMonero145.08140.9464-2.85%159.78+10.13%0.0664✗1.001.8M2022-03-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.462.3876-2.94%2.02-17.89%0.2394✓1.22566k2022-03-04
XYMSymbolnative0.17560.170388-2.97%0.1405-19.99%0.2333✓0.69457k2022-03-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5822.505-2.98%3.317+28.47%0.1925✗1.50986k2022-03-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV9087.1296-3.19%79.36-11.82%0.1489✓0.941.6M2022-03-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147830.014305-3.23%0.011391-22.95%0.2961✓1.162.7M2022-03-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.191180.184939-3.26%0.15063-21.21%0.3014✓1.6325k2022-03-04
API3Api3Ethereum3.43.289-3.27%6.311+85.62%0.6380✗0.231.5M2022-03-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.547.2894-3.32%5.82-22.81%0.2427✓0.301.8M2022-03-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053250.051476-3.33%0.04735-11.08%0.1673✓1.421.6M2022-03-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.86660.835065-3.64%1.4243+64.35%0.4477✗1.46103k2022-03-04
GTGateEthereum6.80166.5496-3.71%6.6818-1.76%0.0357✓0.944.2M2022-03-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.46660.449169-3.74%0.3464-25.76%0.3734✓1.9346.2M2022-03-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,029.3622,157.22-3.79%19,859.01-13.77%0.1669✓0.9714.8M2022-03-04
UMAUMAEthereum5.495.2789-3.84%9.216+67.87%0.4922✗1.102.1M2022-03-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.0913.5052-4.15%17.4+23.49%0.2122✗0.70851k2022-03-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03522.9085-4.17%3.0177-0.58%0.0238✓1.032.2M2022-03-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.112.9783-4.24%2.252-27.59%0.3664✓1.4723.3M2022-03-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.30423.1605-4.35%2.0304-38.55%0.4940✓0.8725k2022-03-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53610.510945-4.69%0.5292-1.29%0.0334✓1.161.7M2022-03-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0340.032353-4.84%0.0277-18.53%0.2413✓1.46513k2022-03-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.3324.9913-5.08%30.51+15.88%0.1303✗1.17120.6M2022-03-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.5920.4716-5.18%17.62-18.39%0.2219✓1.2234.3M2022-03-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.13553.92-5.21%5.5379+33.91%0.3451✗0.01376k2022-03-04
FTTFTXEthereum42.940.611-5.34%40.5-5.59%0.0753✓1.2337.0M2022-03-04
XTZTezosTezos3.75243.5509-5.37%3.0789-17.95%0.2242✓1.382.5M2022-03-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07860.073978-5.88%0.0566-27.99%0.4181✓2.5525.7M2022-03-04
STXStacksnative1.411.3267-5.91%1.11-21.28%0.2373✓1.001.6M2022-03-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0372040.03494-6.09%0.018594-50.02%0.7204✓1.52149k2022-03-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.86131.7431-6.35%2.5067+34.67%0.3216✗0.713.2M2022-03-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043590.040674-6.69%0.03451-20.83%0.2233✓1.005.3M2022-03-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.334.9295-7.51%3.618-32.12%0.3839✓1.273.0M2022-03-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.361.2573-7.55%1.039-23.60%0.2771✓1.46490k2022-03-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1190.109159-8.27%0.105-11.76%0.0978✓1.00125k2022-03-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.241.1237-9.38%0.7817-36.96%0.4218✓1.002.9M2022-03-04
PROPropyEthereum2.121.919-9.48%1.76-16.98%0.1455✓1.002.9M2022-03-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0814.5431-10.59%3.09-39.19%0.4444✓1.001.4M2022-03-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.