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2022-01-30 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1004
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.2%
in alpha space · 46.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+17.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7375.1748-9.80%2.626-54.23%0.8375✓1.001.4M2022-03-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.39131.2568-9.67%0.7268-47.76%0.7068✓1.003.2M2022-03-01
PROPropyEthereum2.272.0599-9.25%1.84-18.94%0.2721✓1.003.4M2022-03-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.111614-8.51%0.123+0.82%0.0620✓1.00149k2022-03-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.254.8389-7.83%4.177-20.44%0.3496✓1.273.1M2022-03-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.053110.049059-7.63%0.03426-35.49%0.5182✓1.005.9M2022-03-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07740.072198-6.72%0.0703-9.17%0.4246✓2.5023.2M2022-03-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.55930.522614-6.56%0.4218-24.58%0.5126✓1.8748.9M2022-03-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73861.6324-6.11%2.5724+47.96%0.3331✗0.762.8M2022-03-01
STXStacksnative1.491.3998-6.05%1.29-13.42%0.2408✓1.002.1M2022-03-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.182.9996-5.67%2.546-19.94%0.3869✓1.4024.6M2022-03-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037430.035383-5.47%0.022682-39.40%0.6636✓1.38199k2022-03-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1925.7145-5.43%31.14+14.53%0.0124✓1.12127.6M2022-03-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.925.6024-5.36%9.447+59.58%0.3515✗1.072.3M2022-03-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.0213.2693-5.35%15.79+12.62%0.0654✗0.68829k2022-03-01
FTTFTXEthereum41.0538.8615-5.33%46.25+12.67%0.0197✓1.2235.1M2022-03-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54790.519969-5.10%0.5765+5.22%0.0836✓1.172.1M2022-03-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.05950.05657-4.92%0.04868-18.18%0.3827✓1.461.7M2022-03-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,834.5922,728.32-4.64%21,756.24-8.72%0.1906✓0.9218.0M2022-03-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.033613-4.51%0.0282-19.89%0.4100✓1.47756k2022-03-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01372.8804-4.42%3.1217+3.58%0.0856✓1.042.0M2022-03-01
GTGateEthereum6.79156.5179-4.03%6.7553-0.53%0.1124✓0.934.1M2022-03-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.5873.451-3.79%5.9499+65.87%0.5481✗-0.02323k2022-03-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.32360.311522-3.73%0.2318-28.37%0.5447✓1.574.2M2022-03-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.180140.173566-3.65%0.16553-8.11%0.2980✓1.5723k2022-03-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.84830.817841-3.59%1.7018+100.61%0.4909✗1.52106k2022-03-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7881.7255-3.50%1.607-10.12%0.2781✓1.301.5M2022-03-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6932.6003-3.44%3.193+18.57%0.0387✓1.53986k2022-03-01
XTZTezosTezos3.27813.1656-3.43%3.4918+6.52%0.1190✓1.362.5M2022-03-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.83434.6695-3.41%4.2804-11.46%0.2832✓1.23430k2022-03-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.5071-3.39%8.094+122.98%0.8020✗0.221.1M2022-03-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.2818.6291-3.38%19.34+0.31%0.1621✓1.2534.3M2022-03-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.3487.2946-3.37%87.68-2.94%0.1466✓0.951.6M2022-03-01
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.9566-3.26%3.47-15.16%0.3456✓1.359.9M2022-03-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.132.0621-3.19%1.328-37.65%0.6847✓1.544.2M2022-03-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.287.0551-3.09%6.82-6.32%0.0810✓0.301.9M2022-03-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0783.9559-2.99%4.502+10.40%0.0041✓0.79381k2022-03-01
ADACardanoCardano1.03591.0055-2.93%0.9643-6.91%0.2217✓1.13113.2M2022-03-01
LUNATerraTerra 246.2144.862-2.92%89.72+94.16%0.4323✗1.648.8M2022-03-01
XMRMoneroMonero148.16143.9151-2.87%177.8+20.01%0.0499✗1.012.0M2022-03-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1383.0498-2.81%3.203+2.07%0.0891✓0.87840k2022-03-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.02142.9367-2.80%2.2579-25.27%0.4018✓0.8722k2022-03-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.833040.810147-2.75%0.75556-9.30%0.3418✓1.71534k2022-03-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1015.9343-2.73%5.445-10.75%0.2189✓0.83119k2022-03-01
XYMSymbolnative0.17810.173236-2.73%0.1523-14.49%0.2360✓0.67500k2022-03-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.482.4147-2.63%2.46-0.81%0.1439✓1.02789k2022-03-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013260.012919-2.57%0.01223-7.77%0.1996✓0.9117k2022-03-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4141.3784-2.52%1.224-13.44%0.3218✓1.283.5M2022-03-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.81420.793905-2.49%0.8-1.74%0.1678✓1.1017.8M2022-03-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.329.0906-2.46%10.14+8.80%0.0098✓0.75744k2022-03-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.50782.4463-2.45%2.8371+13.13%0.0017✓0.942.6M2022-03-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.166.0139-2.37%8.27+34.25%0.1939✗0.78481k2022-03-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.2432.1901-2.36%2.396+6.82%0.0827✓1.0823k2022-03-01
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2337.065-2.32%6.823-5.67%0.0752✓0.2539k2022-03-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.0519.5854-2.32%22.02+9.83%0.1324✓1.57687k2022-03-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.9224.3577-2.26%30.35+21.79%0.0482✗1.083.3M2022-03-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.7525.1807-2.21%30.86+19.84%0.0789✗0.78430k2022-03-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0660.06458-2.15%0.0729+10.45%0.0576✓1.1221k2022-03-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,655.6036,854.63-2.13%44,139.10+17.22%0.0190✓1.0147k2022-03-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.272.2218-2.12%2.18-3.96%0.2076✓1.18602k2022-03-01
AAVEAaveEthereum149.01145.8715-2.11%143.34-3.81%0.2346✓1.3612.7M2022-03-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0388870.038089-2.05%0.049485+27.25%0.0658✗1.239.4M2022-03-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0673.0044-2.04%3.071+0.13%0.1047✓0.80378k2022-03-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44440.435675-1.96%0.5394+21.38%0.0208✓1.472.0M2022-03-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7717.4265-1.93%15.36-13.56%0.3200✓1.2284.3M2022-03-01
DASHDashDash92.7791.0396-1.87%100.01+7.80%0.0948✓1.192.9M2022-03-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2925.8273-1.76%27.26+3.69%0.2138✓1.682.6M2022-03-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393180.136875-1.75%0.133991-3.82%0.1885✓1.057.1M2022-03-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8419.5175-1.63%20.98+5.75%0.1170✓1.1912.6M2022-03-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140980.013873-1.59%0.01249-11.41%0.2943✓1.192.7M2022-03-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.634-1.57%1.522-8.31%0.2751✓1.282.1M2022-03-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.07761.0615-1.49%1.3652+26.69%0.0469✗1.292.4M2022-03-01
BANDBandEthereum3.453.3993-1.47%4.227+22.52%0.0195✗1.252.5M2022-03-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040350.039773-1.43%0.04187+3.77%0.1290✓1.1329k2022-03-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.047090.046445-1.37%0.01656-64.83%1.2453✓1.349.2M2022-03-01
UNIUniswapEthereum10.810.6568-1.33%10.34-4.26%0.2429✓1.3412.2M2022-03-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,901.3537,401.08-1.32%44,439.95+17.25%0.0133✓1.00682.8M2022-03-01
DODODODOEthereum0.4960.489678-1.27%0.479-3.43%0.2671✓1.545.0M2022-03-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09593.0575-1.24%3.0922-0.12%0.1637✓1.103.3M2022-03-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.07884-1.19%0.07633-4.34%0.1576✓0.7976k2022-03-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.51230.506234-1.18%0.7582+48.00%0.1870✗1.362.6M2022-03-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39970.395008-1.17%0.3753-6.10%0.2558✓1.2910.0M2022-03-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210080.020768-1.14%0.02045-2.66%0.1959✓1.133.1M2022-03-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.25710.254178-1.14%0.3058+18.94%0.0039✓1.14557k2022-03-01
XECeCashnative0.000075240.000074386-1.13%0.00007896+4.94%0.1185✓1.125.8M2022-03-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.8787-1.12%1.99+4.74%0.1613✓1.372.8M2022-03-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7895.7248-1.11%5.771-0.31%0.1501✓0.99320k2022-03-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088180.087231-1.08%0.09224+4.60%0.1353✓1.2046k2022-03-01
XEMNEMnative0.10240.101301-1.07%0.1097+7.13%0.0882✓1.0540k2022-03-01
COMPCompoundEthereum117.46116.3507-0.94%125.94+7.22%0.1242✓1.2866k2022-03-01
KCSKuCoinnative17.40717.2543-0.88%20.746+19.18%0.0569✓1.5210.6M2022-03-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12510.124026-0.86%0.1615+29.10%0.1120✗0.96285k2022-03-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1918.0378-0.84%18.9+3.90%0.1730✓1.3848.0M2022-03-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5533130.54952-0.69%0.573577+3.66%0.1520✓1.223.4M2022-03-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.59107.8554-0.68%112.65+3.74%0.1691✓1.3433.8M2022-03-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.0999-0.65%6.51+6.03%0.0700✓0.85529k2022-03-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4861.4765-0.64%1.617+8.82%0.0980✓1.191.6M2022-03-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.2489-0.59%5.52+4.55%0.0653✓0.73429k2022-03-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.56411.5562-0.50%1.9861+26.99%0.0667✗1.1182k2022-03-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.94470.940088-0.49%0.8569-9.29%0.2783✓1.1734.5M2022-03-01
TRXTRONTron0.0586920.058452-0.41%0.062179+5.94%0.0892✓0.95431k2022-03-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1953990.194602-0.41%0.198927+1.81%0.1435✓1.0426.2M2022-03-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23980.238894-0.38%0.2576+7.42%0.1226✓1.241.9M2022-03-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.12190.121675-0.18%0.1048-14.03%0.3887✓1.501.8M2022-03-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.453.3509-0.09%57.19+7.10%0.1156✓1.167.8M2022-03-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11530.11526-0.03%0.1362+18.13%0.0424✓1.323.8M2022-03-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.029620.029625+0.02%0.02885-2.60%0.1752✗0.938.7M2022-03-01
ZENHorizenBase40.2240.2316+0.03%39.34-2.19%0.2760✗1.59639k2022-03-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45190.452037+0.03%0.3996-11.57%0.3432✗1.382.2M2022-03-01
NANOnanopayBase2.23012.2315+0.07%1.9211-13.85%0.3474✗1.24888k2022-03-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.1581.1588+0.07%1.0846-6.34%0.2266✗1.01369k2022-03-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061986+0.14%0.0786+26.98%0.0103✓1.43564k2022-03-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021090.00002112+0.14%0.00002713+28.64%0.0256✓1.411.6M2022-03-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009710.00973+0.20%0.01146+18.02%0.0399✗1.282.1M2022-03-01
KSMKusamaHydration163.11163.6272+0.32%138.55-15.06%0.3581✗1.201.2M2022-03-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8970.900287+0.37%0.89-0.78%0.2313✗1.382.3M2022-03-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.9868.25+0.40%86.96+27.92%0.0297✓1.3483.8M2022-03-01
QTUMQtumQtum5.98846.0143+0.43%6.7053+11.97%0.1208✗1.44204k2022-03-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009840.009883+0.44%0.00979-0.51%0.1777✗1.06588k2022-03-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59440.59737+0.50%0.5253-11.63%0.3728✗1.531.3M2022-03-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.04291.5638+0.53%328.78+13.36%0.0462✗1.046.8M2022-03-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.18160.182665+0.59%0.1954+7.60%0.1494✗1.363.8M2022-03-01
IMXImmutableEthereum2.572.5864+0.64%1.582-38.44%0.7369✗1.542.2M2022-03-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2510.252702+0.68%0.242-3.59%0.1970✗0.9761k2022-03-01
XVGVergenative0.009970.010038+0.68%0.01044+4.71%0.1729✗1.331.6M2022-03-01
HIVEHivenative0.93750.944826+0.78%1.0352+10.42%0.1498✗1.522.0M2022-03-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.64548+0.86%0.78+21.88%0.1078✗1.871.2M2022-03-01
ZECZcashZcash93.0293.8818+0.93%119.02+27.95%0.0252✓1.336.6M2022-03-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.376.4365+1.04%6.72+5.49%0.0075✓0.221.2M2022-03-01
RADRadworksEthereum5.095.1534+1.25%5.12+0.59%0.1647✗0.991.0M2022-03-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.926.013+1.57%4.86-17.91%0.3666✗0.97953k2022-03-01
MOVRMoonriverBase75.091876.366+1.70%66.4156-11.55%0.3356✗1.23410k2022-03-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7320.745449+1.84%0.697-4.78%0.2430✗1.101.7M2022-03-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.2314.5166+2.01%14.09-0.98%0.1876✗0.99847k2022-03-01
SOLSolanaSolana93.3195.2554+2.08%98.7+5.78%0.1543✗1.19152.8M2022-03-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,602.892,661.37+2.25%2,977.72+14.40%0.0646✗1.11557.7M2022-03-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.810.829895+2.46%1.245+53.70%0.1650✓1.51511k2022-03-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.142.1942+2.53%1.29-39.72%0.7796✗1.562.4M2022-03-01
LRCLoopringEthereum1.00171.0298+2.80%0.8359-16.55%0.5212✗1.96984k2022-03-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07970.08205+2.95%0.0743-6.78%0.2959✗1.24317k2022-03-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.119.7154+3.22%15.26-20.10%0.5493✗1.843.9M2022-03-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00740.007653+3.42%0.00471-36.35%0.8618✗2.3622.6M2022-03-01
QNTQuantEthereum94.7798.0847+3.50%119.35+25.94%0.0309✓1.047.3M2022-03-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3130.324361+3.63%0.318+1.60%0.2407✗1.391.6M2022-03-01
XVSVenusEthereum7.798.1016+4.00%9.35+20.03%0.0659✗1.312.8M2022-03-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.