8=======>

2022-01-18 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1603
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.824577-9.92%0.4073-55.51%0.6271✓1.7748.9M2022-02-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.069014-9.22%0.026932-64.57%0.8968✓1.001.1M2022-02-17
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38210.4485-8.20%7.107-37.56%0.3817✓0.0844k2022-02-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4110.5058-7.92%7.1-37.77%0.3853✓0.152.8M2022-02-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2735.3858-7.54%28.08-26.63%0.1885✓0.9798.5M2022-02-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.1248-7.50%2.668-21.02%0.0817✓1.731.2M2022-02-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.2332-7.17%2.91-36.18%0.3128✓1.4032.4M2022-02-17
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.2131-6.87%2.56-25.80%0.1792✓1.09811k2022-02-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.2971-6.86%1.69-52.26%0.6116✓1.288.5M2022-02-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03520.965914-6.69%1.4805+43.02%0.4750✗1.08108k2022-02-17
SUSHISushiEthereum6.215.8037-6.54%3.95-36.39%0.3275✓1.3017.7M2022-02-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.382718-6.47%0.2558-37.49%0.3371✓1.494.1M2022-02-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08033.8172-6.45%3.4641-15.10%0.0640✓0.752,2572022-02-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.3531-6.18%5+7.76%0.1808✗0.95471k2022-02-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0932.0484-5.99%25.54-25.08%0.1535✓1.662.7M2022-02-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.1407-5.99%1.741-23.54%0.1567✓1.132.0M2022-02-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.185994-5.96%0.16982-14.14%0.0215✓1.576,4462022-02-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.567277-5.88%0.5558-7.78%0.0409✓1.391.5M2022-02-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.275-5.75%5.45-37.93%0.3857✓0.72995k2022-02-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.0411-5.48%0.8222-25.36%0.1925✓0.9823.2M2022-02-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4130,810.68-5.48%22,441.70-31.15%0.2868✓0.6822.2M2022-02-17
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.5175-5.32%6.03-24.06%0.1777✓0.973.9M2022-02-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.9742.5966-5.28%43.72-2.78%0.0754✗1.1223.6M2022-02-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3556.9698-5.24%6.1-17.06%0.1024✓0.70170k2022-02-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.577737-5.18%0.4344-28.71%0.2240✓1.382.7M2022-02-17
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.0563-5.16%5.54-25.54%0.2030✓0.881.1M2022-02-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.911375-5.00%0.6239-34.96%0.3170✓1.401.5M2022-02-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6431.0119-4.99%29.43-9.83%0.0049✓1.073.0M2022-02-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.7177-4.94%3.0801+7.74%0.1707✗1.034.6M2022-02-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.6521-4.89%4.3951-26.04%0.1977✓1.22457k2022-02-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.034.7883-4.81%4.59-8.75%0.0106✓1.203.2M2022-02-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.015992-4.75%0.01258-25.07%0.2073✓0.7423k2022-02-17
HIVEHivenative1.21491.1573-4.74%1.0138-16.55%0.0705✓1.403.7M2022-02-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.0506-4.68%15.35+4.14%0.1186✗0.68916k2022-02-17
LUNATerraTerra 280.4976.7378-4.66%50.27-37.55%0.3398✓1.887.6M2022-02-17
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.3931-4.51%1.0203-30.06%0.2621✓1.1198.5M2022-02-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.3955-4.49%7.46-15.13%0.1189✓-0.021.3M2022-02-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.08161.9892-4.44%1.6695-19.80%0.1260✓1.1189k2022-02-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.476972-4.41%0.334-33.07%0.2985✓1.311.8M2022-02-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00430.959959-4.41%0.76017-24.31%0.1545✓1.78896k2022-02-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.0812-4.41%3.3132+2.79%0.1247✗1.182.3M2022-02-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.049783-4.40%0.051055-1.96%0.0784✗1.209.0M2022-02-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.4098-4.29%2.2781+54.66%0.5175✗0.851.1M2022-02-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos76.7012-4.27%6.499-7.16%0.0268✓1.30271k2022-02-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.1114-4.26%1.66-48.92%0.5735✓1.242.8M2022-02-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.026012-4.24%0.020359-25.05%0.1996✓1.035.2M2022-02-17
GTGateEthereum7.04646.7497-4.21%6.58-6.62%0.0126✓0.864.1M2022-02-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11973.9463-4.21%3.227-21.67%0.1455✓1.264.1M2022-02-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.7285-4.20%4.567-7.48%0.0051✓0.67469k2022-02-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.653117-4.18%0.542-20.48%0.1297✓1.283.5M2022-02-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.300002-4.09%0.2746-12.21%0.0429✓1.03397k2022-02-17
ZENHorizenBase52.3250.2002-4.05%36.74-29.78%0.2462✓1.49642k2022-02-17
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45223.0371-4.05%152.99-34.18%0.3242✓1.1917.6M2022-02-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41104.0595-4.01%87.71-19.09%0.1287✓0.961.9M2022-02-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8426.7245-4.01%21.3-23.49%0.1584✓1.551.0M2022-02-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.072136-4.00%0.05215-30.60%0.2614✓1.432.3M2022-02-17
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.012769-3.99%0.00987-25.79%0.2135✓1.00654k2022-02-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.1873-3.94%1.2511+1.22%0.0990✗1.062.6M2022-02-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.2661-3.93%0.8983-31.84%0.2910✓1.1830.5M2022-02-17
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.710215-3.90%0.493-33.29%0.2993✓1.498.0M2022-02-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.148126-3.88%0.1568+1.75%0.1128✗1.264.2M2022-02-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.168175-3.85%0.1536-12.18%0.0503✓0.91397k2022-02-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.062328-3.80%0.02758-57.43%0.7609✓1.2312.4M2022-02-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012258-3.78%0.0054-57.61%0.7127✓2.4223.7M2022-02-17
ZECZcashZcash131.97127.0245-3.75%113.58-13.93%0.0548✓1.2910.6M2022-02-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8671.1023-3.73%56.37-23.68%0.1844✓1.086.4M2022-02-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.5339-3.73%5.5502+51.19%0.4486✗-0.06361k2022-02-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.060816-3.62%0.0608-3.65%0.0440✗1.0024.6M2022-02-17
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.586-3.60%2.13-42.74%0.4569✓1.452.2M2022-02-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.511801-3.60%0.4369-17.71%0.1003✓1.3111.7M2022-02-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.046412-3.59%0.04103-14.77%0.0748✓1.1023k2022-02-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3828.331-3.57%19.86-32.40%0.2928✓1.4134.3M2022-02-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.302013-3.48%0.2525-19.30%0.1224✓1.282.0M2022-02-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.695035-3.47%0.62107-13.75%0.0617✓1.152.4M2022-02-17
XTZTezosTezos4.11623.9761-3.40%3.6686-10.87%0.0197✓1.373.3M2022-02-17
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385122.0958-3.39%85.9444-32.00%0.3013✓1.13489k2022-02-17
XVGVergenative0.013220.012794-3.22%0.0107-19.06%0.1237✓1.242.0M2022-02-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.000027222-3.16%0.00002821+0.36%0.0955✗1.351.8M2022-02-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.250893-3.13%0.2015-22.20%0.1602✓1.334.0M2022-02-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.949386-3.12%0.94-4.08%0.0746✗1.911.5M2022-02-17
BANDBandEthereum5.054.8942-3.08%4.44-12.08%0.0484✓1.112.1M2022-02-17
XMRMoneroMonero204.44198.1367-3.08%163.89-19.83%0.1461✓0.993.1M2022-02-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.6128-3.06%3.08-17.36%0.1283✓0.71526k2022-02-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1173.9931-3.01%3.268-20.62%0.1654✓0.791.1M2022-02-17
DASHDashDash130.54126.6225-3.00%104.76-19.75%0.1368✓1.192.8M2022-02-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2417-3.00%1.07-16.41%0.0752✓1.66556k2022-02-17
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000092841-2.94%0.00007849-17.94%0.1230✓1.016.5M2022-02-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0283.5094-2.92%88.28+2.63%0.1081✗1.19100.4M2022-02-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.563-2.91%6.03-22.59%0.1985✓0.63680k2022-02-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2362-2.89%0.894-29.77%0.2636✓1.372.4M2022-02-17
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.5199-2.88%10.41-34.86%0.3414✓1.3112.4M2022-02-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.04847-2.87%0.0309-38.08%0.3897✓1.371.3M2022-02-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.022.9346-2.83%2.47-18.21%0.1286✓0.99891k2022-02-17
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35173.3224-2.82%123.7-30.64%0.2855✓1.17100k2022-02-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.507-2.79%1.0731-30.78%0.3005✓0.88423k2022-02-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.0544-2.76%10.24-0.97%0.0515✗0.75872k2022-02-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.102129-2.73%0.0849-19.14%0.1350✓1.12244k2022-02-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.013862-2.73%0.01178-17.33%0.1047✓1.312.1M2022-02-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.037816-2.71%0.02995-22.95%0.1930✓0.918.4M2022-02-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.07865-2.66%0.0825+2.10%0.1095✗1.40990k2022-02-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0080.981729-2.61%0.742-26.39%0.2369✓0.972.2M2022-02-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5619.0504-2.61%14.58-25.46%0.2206✓1.06841k2022-02-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.077643-2.46%0.0698-12.31%0.0581✓1.0921k2022-02-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.6267-2.39%2.231-17.09%0.1233✓0.9125k2022-02-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.37119.8965-2.33%19.71-3.24%0.0617✗1.6110.7M2022-02-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.086462-2.23%0.07416-16.14%0.1212✓0.7350k2022-02-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4041,561.41-2.20%40,651.20-4.34%0.0216✓0.9914k2022-02-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53138.5536-2.10%116.39-17.76%0.1146✓1.3531.1M2022-02-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.368164-2.08%0.268-28.72%0.2832✓0.7847k2022-02-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9822.5148-2.02%15.6-32.11%0.3140✓1.2072.8M2022-02-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2626.7291-1.95%26.61-2.38%0.0269✗0.71353k2022-02-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.6617-1.90%6.42-17.80%0.1430✓0.77652k2022-02-17
KSMKusamaHydration253.4248.7809-1.82%155.14-38.78%0.4196✓1.191.4M2022-02-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4827.9658-1.81%20.54-27.88%0.2604✓1.0915.1M2022-02-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.6921-1.77%7.015-10.42%0.0285✓1.44263k2022-02-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.1518-1.74%1.65-24.66%0.2182✓1.072.7M2022-02-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.162321-1.72%0.138407-16.20%0.1109✓1.106.0M2022-02-17
XEMNEMnative0.11420.112243-1.71%0.1047-8.32%0.0228✓1.0643k2022-02-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1524.7334-1.66%18.16-27.79%0.2491✓1.3560.5M2022-02-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.850825-1.62%0.5382-37.77%0.4124✓1.032.6M2022-02-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.3273-1.54%1.142-15.28%0.0898✓1.373.8M2022-02-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.3315-1.53%5.36-16.64%0.1374✓0.66564k2022-02-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7667-1.52%1.541-14.10%0.0856✓1.162.0M2022-02-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7441,741.47-1.48%40,536.73-4.33%0.0149✗1.00636.6M2022-02-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.250573-1.35%0.202261-20.37%0.1684✓1.0324.4M2022-02-17
SOLSolanaSolana141.35139.6395-1.21%93.56-33.81%0.3502✓1.14152.8M2022-02-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.01924-1.18%0.015816-18.76%0.1417✓1.232.7M2022-02-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.522-1.10%1.9-25.49%0.2247✓1.323.2M2022-02-17
XVSVenusEthereum13.0412.907-1.02%11.44-12.27%0.0702✓1.142.7M2022-02-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.128066-0.95%0.0969-25.06%0.2221✓1.282.1M2022-02-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47377.8563-0.95%313.15-17.91%0.1429✓1.027.0M2022-02-17
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.067818-0.88%0.062402-8.79%0.0412✓0.95494k2022-02-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.104728-0.65%0.0902-14.43%0.0990✓1.1430k2022-02-17
QNTQuantEthereum146.04145.796-0.17%119.39-18.25%0.1587✓0.936.7M2022-02-17
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.186169-0.12%0.1642-11.91%0.0956✓0.68577k2022-02-17
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.9251+0.01%2.1008-28.17%0.2805✗1.14665k2022-02-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.6141+0.91%15.78-32.56%0.3206✗1.863.9M2022-02-17
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1735+1.06%0.883-23.96%0.1996✗1.921.3M2022-02-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,201.11+1.27%2,893.56-8.46%0.0535✗1.07496.9M2022-02-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.