2022-01-12 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2435

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+21.06%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

88.5%

in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.49%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,373.64	3,401.03	+0.81%	2,929.08	-13.18%	0.1115	✗	1.07	569.1M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	383.83	384.8976	+0.28%	321.01	-16.37%	0.1453	✗	1.02	8.3M	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.24	2.2427	+0.12%	1.71	-23.66%	0.2325	✗	1.09	3.1M	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2877	3.2862	-0.05%	2.1819	-33.63%	0.3695	✓	1.12	699k	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.378594	-0.11%	0.301	-20.58%	0.2028	✓	0.75	40k	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.9176	7.9052	-0.16%	6.5603	-17.14%	0.1357	✓	1.43	273k	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.23	14.206	-0.17%	8.92	-37.32%	0.4246	✓	1.15	3.2M	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.77	30.701	-0.22%	21.09	-31.46%	0.3376	✓	1.07	16.7M	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068101	0.067883	-0.32%	0.063958	-6.08%	0.0255	✓	0.96	536k	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	168.76	168.1676	-0.35%	129.51	-23.26%	0.2279	✓	0.94	7.3M	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11114	0.110641	-0.45%	0.09752	-12.25%	0.0855	✓	1.15	25k	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.905	1.8963	-0.45%	1.637	-14.07%	0.1062	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01979	0.019697	-0.47%	0.015872	-19.80%	0.1723	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.162908	0.162095	-0.50%	0.14485	-11.08%	0.0727	✓	1.12	5.4M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2011	0.199772	-0.66%	0.1735	-13.72%	0.1171	✓	0.67	441k	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,920.37	43,457.11	-1.05%	42,386.47	-3.49%	0.0106	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	142.02	140.3478	-1.18%	125.69	-11.50%	0.0619	✓	1.36	33.4M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	151.56	149.7724	-1.18%	96.5	-36.33%	0.3994	✓	1.13	191.4M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.89	2.8551	-1.21%	2.07	-28.37%	0.2747	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.32	26.9651	-1.30%	18.99	-30.49%	0.3034	✓	1.33	68.4M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.98	6.8879	-1.32%	5.47	-21.63%	0.2071	✓	0.66	643k	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.117371	-1.53%	0.1086	-8.89%	0.0403	✓	1.05	62k	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.49	1.4666	-1.57%	1.257	-15.64%	0.1057	✓	1.37	4.9M	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.282353	0.277747	-1.63%	0.215393	-23.71%	0.2173	✓	1.04	24.9M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	196.42	193.0905	-1.70%	124.54	-36.60%	0.3970	✓	1.17	153k	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,982.00	43,199.47	-1.78%	42,347.70	-3.72%	0.0151	✓	0.98	14k	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.922	3.8456	-1.95%	3.154	-19.58%	0.1733	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.89	28.2898	-2.08%	28.06	-2.87%	0.0168	✓	0.70	360k	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009819	0.00009609	-2.14%	0.00008391	-14.54%	0.0996	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	275.54	269.6227	-2.15%	165.1	-40.08%	0.4487	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.6281	1.593	-2.15%	0.9345	-42.60%	0.4655	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.0095	-2.20%	6.47	-21.00%	0.1861	✓	0.77	767k	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.372	19.9164	-2.24%	19.087	-6.31%	0.0148	✓	1.61	12.5M	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.88	20.3894	-2.35%	14.96	-28.35%	0.2726	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	199.2	194.4839	-2.37%	169.21	-15.06%	0.1024	✓	1.04	2.9M	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09754	0.095212	-2.39%	0.07747	-20.58%	0.1808	✓	0.71	48k	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.015052	-2.39%	0.01244	-19.33%	0.1439	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.29	15.8984	-2.40%	10.65	-34.62%	0.3546	✓	1.29	12.7M	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.084	1.0575	-2.44%	0.771	-28.87%	0.2819	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3944	-2.49%	1.1	-23.08%	0.1775	✓	1.68	657k	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.363	1.3289	-2.50%	0.96	-29.57%	0.2770	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0875	0.085306	-2.51%	0.0869	-0.69%	0.0678	✗	1.39	1.2M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.76	26.0767	-2.55%	16.22	-39.39%	0.4331	✓	1.17	70.9M	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.853	2.7801	-2.55%	2.354	-17.49%	0.1342	✓	0.90	27k	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.19	7.9807	-2.56%	6.24	-23.81%	0.2237	✓	0.63	675k	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.99	27.2658	-2.59%	17.24	-38.41%	0.3933	✓	1.83	4.5M	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04277	0.041647	-2.63%	0.03298	-22.89%	0.2012	✓	0.90	8.5M	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.313	1.2785	-2.63%	1.0803	-17.72%	0.1281	✓	1.13	95.6M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	143.32	139.5506	-2.63%	103.99	-27.44%	0.2510	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2778	0.270475	-2.64%	0.2056	-25.99%	0.2271	✓	1.33	4.4M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752838	0.732445	-2.71%	0.616904	-18.06%	0.1309	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.6869	-2.72%	3.97	+4.75%	0.1005	✗	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	218.61	212.5335	-2.78%	163.71	-25.11%	0.2196	✓	1.17	17.6M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0825	0.080178	-2.81%	0.072	-12.73%	0.0684	✓	1.10	19k	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1668	0.162072	-2.83%	0.149	-10.67%	0.0401	✓	1.24	4.2M	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1144	0.111133	-2.86%	0.0868	-24.13%	0.2077	✓	1.11	303k	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.15	30.2575	-2.87%	32.74	+5.10%	0.1164	✗	1.06	3.0M	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.667	1.6186	-2.90%	1.1623	-30.28%	0.3003	✓	0.87	581k	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	96.02	93.166	-2.97%	81.81	-14.80%	0.0884	✓	1.17	110.4M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.64	5.4723	-2.97%	4.25	-24.65%	0.2124	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.1716	-3.01%	2.58	-21.10%	0.1715	✓	0.98	949k	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.201	-3.03%	10.1	-3.99%	0.0169	✓	0.75	994k	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1826	0.177025	-3.05%	0.1566	-14.24%	0.0900	✓	0.92	450k	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.51	30.5372	-3.09%	22.36	-29.04%	0.2571	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4029	1.3594	-3.10%	1.9151	+36.51%	0.3735	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	78.16	75.7106	-3.13%	59.07	-24.42%	0.2104	✓	1.06	6.3M	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3269	0.316387	-3.22%	0.2594	-20.65%	0.1535	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5942	0.574824	-3.26%	0.4181	-29.64%	0.2720	✓	1.30	12.2M	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.416	4.2692	-3.32%	3.29	-25.50%	0.2325	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.49	139.6386	-3.36%	116.54	-19.34%	0.1342	✓	1.31	10.9M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01475	0.014249	-3.39%	0.01151	-21.97%	0.1699	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0507	0.048977	-3.40%	0.04188	-17.40%	0.1162	✓	1.14	18k	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07298	0.070499	-3.40%	0.03653	-49.95%	0.6141	✓	1.22	16.9M	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.43	5.2428	-3.45%	4.9	-9.76%	0.0260	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.833	0.803603	-3.53%	0.52	-37.58%	0.3829	✓	1.47	8.0M	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08196	0.079062	-3.54%	0.05622	-31.41%	0.2904	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.64	108.6432	-3.55%	94.64	-15.98%	0.1041	✓	0.95	2.4M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.895	5.6844	-3.57%	4.7016	-20.24%	0.1461	✓	1.23	446k	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.032	4.8469	-3.68%	4.453	-11.51%	0.0611	✓	0.67	481k	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3843	4.2216	-3.71%	4.3129	-1.63%	0.0696	✗	1.36	4.6M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01729	0.01664	-3.76%	0.01359	-21.40%	0.1772	✓	0.71	25k	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1554	0.149309	-3.92%	0.1086	-30.12%	0.2736	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.43	39.7995	-3.94%	43.46	+4.90%	0.1271	✗	1.10	21.0M	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3521	1.2984	-3.98%	1.0976	-18.83%	0.1310	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.73	3.5817	-3.98%	2.31	-38.07%	0.3901	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3542	0.339918	-4.03%	0.2888	-18.46%	0.1094	✓	1.51	3.6M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6995	0.671239	-4.04%	0.5696	-18.57%	0.1191	✓	1.27	4.4M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.99	33.535	-4.16%	19.82	-43.36%	0.4767	✓	1.38	31.1M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.02	2.8943	-4.16%	1.99	-34.11%	0.3317	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8595	3.6974	-4.20%	6.1868	+60.30%	0.5124	✗	-0.07	364k	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01401	0.013419	-4.22%	0.01056	-24.63%	0.2045	✓	0.99	730k	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0604	0.05785	-4.22%	0.0319	-47.19%	0.5472	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1488	2.0576	-4.24%	1.7756	-17.37%	0.1079	✓	1.11	83k	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8813	6.589	-4.25%	6.7399	-2.05%	0.0533	✗	0.86	3.8M	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4989	1.4322	-4.45%	0.9169	-38.83%	0.4051	✓	1.15	30.5M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0819	0.07825	-4.46%	0.0654	-20.15%	0.1438	✓	1.00	28.2M	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2451	3.0984	-4.52%	3.6	+10.94%	0.1929	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	59.25	56.5654	-4.53%	40.36	-31.88%	0.2842	✓	1.50	711k	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000315	0.000030071	-4.53%	0.00002872	-8.83%	0.0013	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.13	7.7582	-4.57%	5.4	-33.58%	0.3307	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.779	7.4155	-4.67%	7.219	-7.20%	0.0198	✓	1.31	271k	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9279	3.7418	-4.74%	3.5941	-8.50%	0.0135	✓	0.75	2,942	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.33	14.5979	-4.78%	16.98	+10.76%	0.1752	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060875	0.057953	-4.80%	0.047719	-21.61%	0.1520	✓	1.19	7.4M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.2739	4.0666	-4.85%	3.4051	-20.33%	0.1318	✓	1.29	4.1M	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.113	-4.87%	0.92	-21.37%	0.1230	✓	1.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029842	0.028357	-4.98%	0.022611	-24.23%	0.1900	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1158	1.06	-5.00%	0.82329	-26.22%	0.1896	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3384	0.321314	-5.05%	0.2842	-16.02%	0.0867	✓	1.01	397k	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	169.994	161.1364	-5.21%	84.8321	-50.10%	0.6015	✓	1.13	540k	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1883	1.1241	-5.41%	0.8754	-26.33%	0.2150	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,839.55	31,980.93	-5.49%	23,115.13	-31.69%	0.3017	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.12	6.7273	-5.52%	4.09	-42.56%	0.4514	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.93	77.3251	-5.62%	50.35	-38.55%	0.3935	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0716	1.0108	-5.68%	0.6537	-39.00%	0.3861	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.539	0.508267	-5.70%	0.375	-30.43%	0.2581	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0897	2.9114	-5.77%	2.9222	-5.42%	0.0393	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18305	0.172443	-5.79%	0.18907	+3.29%	0.1477	✗	1.57	5,360	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.89	8.3721	-5.83%	5.96	-32.96%	0.3059	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.521	2.3655	-6.17%	1.833	-27.29%	0.2157	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.07	9.428	-6.38%	7.7	-23.54%	0.2039	✓	-0.04	1.6M	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.452	7.909	-6.42%	6.01	-28.89%	0.2508	✓	0.67	209k	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01576	0.014713	-6.65%	0.0062	-60.66%	0.7798	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6228	0.581108	-6.69%	0.5956	-4.37%	0.0754	✗	1.43	736k	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.3474	-6.76%	2.54	-29.25%	0.2384	✓	1.06	807k	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3807	1.2862	-6.84%	1.074	-22.21%	0.1310	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0214	0.951024	-6.89%	1.1483	+12.42%	0.2238	✗	0.99	116k	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6859	0.635936	-7.28%	0.4583	-33.18%	0.2776	✓	1.41	2.7M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.91	4.5478	-7.38%	2.89	-41.14%	0.4032	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.904	11.018	-7.44%	7.923	-33.44%	0.3265	✓	0.09	54k	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.21	9.4452	-7.49%	5.99	-41.33%	0.4306	✓	0.70	1.1M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.1869	1.0977	-7.51%	0.6358	-46.43%	0.5115	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12	11.0921	-7.57%	7.97	-33.58%	0.3251	✓	0.15	2.8M	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.25	37.0393	-7.98%	26.56	-34.01%	0.2998	✓	0.92	72.1M	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	39.17	36.0243	-8.03%	29.96	-23.51%	0.1258	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.75	3.4288	-8.57%	1.95	-48.00%	0.5184	✓	1.29	9.1M	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7422	0.672483	-9.39%	0.4503	-39.33%	0.3374	✓	1.79	38.7M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081805	0.07369	-9.92%	0.032124	-60.73%	0.7947	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.605	3.2336	-10.30%	2.754	-23.61%	0.0989	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.