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2022-01-06 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2745
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.1%
in alpha space · 92.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1600070.158812-0.75%0.147026-8.11%0.0339✓1.094.6M2022-02-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3860.382948-0.79%0.265-31.35%0.3400✓0.7139k2022-02-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.3281-0.93%1.79-23.83%0.2222✓1.023.7M2022-02-05
NANOnanopayBase3.36643.3346-0.94%2.1933-34.85%0.3767✓1.06754k2022-02-05
TRXTRONTron0.0710750.070392-0.96%0.064762-8.88%0.0462✓0.94589k2022-02-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,083.7642,565.49-1.20%41,404.85-3.90%0.0121✗1.00743.8M2022-02-05
XEMNEMnative0.12320.121666-1.24%0.1129-8.36%0.0348✓1.01111k2022-02-05
XVSVenusEthereum14.5314.3477-1.25%8.67-40.33%0.4589✓1.133.5M2022-02-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.012.9707-1.31%2.17-27.91%0.2623✓1.303.0M2022-02-05
SOLSolanaSolana150.23148.2223-1.34%113.8-24.25%0.2248✓0.99203.4M2022-02-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin32.9832.5331-1.35%21.97-33.38%0.3511✓1.0422.1M2022-02-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8054.7327-1.50%4.51-6.14%0.0238✓0.61498k2022-02-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8763.8169-1.52%3.231-16.64%0.1395✓0.68454k2022-02-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.36218.2289-1.59%6.9281-17.15%0.1180✓1.36268k2022-02-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.9133.6915-1.63%121.8-10.38%0.0402✓1.3336.7M2022-02-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0261.993-1.63%1.761-13.08%0.0793✓1.122.5M2022-02-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash400.02393.157-1.72%320.74-19.82%0.1638✓1.009.0M2022-02-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,220.9042,467.88-1.74%41,460.80-4.07%0.0148✓0.9810k2022-02-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08020.078777-1.77%0.0763-4.86%0.0089✓1.0316k2022-02-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.218.0609-1.82%6.46-21.32%0.1970✓0.61811k2022-02-05
ZECZcashZcash137.22134.7116-1.83%116.08-15.41%0.0979✓1.288.6M2022-02-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,406.033,343.63-1.83%3,014.50-11.50%0.0629✓1.02619.8M2022-02-05
DASHDashDash124.32122.0257-1.85%103.6-16.67%0.1140✓1.251.9M2022-02-05
XYMSymbolnative0.19190.18816-1.95%0.1855-3.34%0.0111✓0.64428k2022-02-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV111.16108.8952-2.04%96.73-12.98%0.0811✓0.942.8M2022-02-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.776.6319-2.04%5.47-19.20%0.1673✓0.64743k2022-02-05
QNTQuantEthereum178.46174.8115-2.04%132.93-25.51%0.2363✓0.957.9M2022-02-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0209680.020535-2.07%0.016433-21.63%0.1741✓1.232.5M2022-02-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3384.2463-2.11%3.6-17.01%0.1350✓0.761.1M2022-02-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.514.1723-2.26%15.87+9.45%0.1403✗0.681.1M2022-02-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63850.623786-2.30%0.5995-6.11%0.0099✓1.254.7M2022-02-05
XECeCashnative0.000103440.000101044-2.32%0.0000839-18.89%0.1467✓0.997.0M2022-02-05
XLMStellarStellar0.26750.261195-2.36%0.213222-20.29%0.1629✓1.0124.9M2022-02-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1631.135-2.41%0.778-33.10%0.3414✓0.912.3M2022-02-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.651.6099-2.43%1.21-26.67%0.2195✓1.66881k2022-02-05
ADACardanoCardano1.27941.248-2.45%1.1255-12.03%0.0610✓1.0697.2M2022-02-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.421.3851-2.46%0.976-31.27%0.2980✓1.313.4M2022-02-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.3528.6289-2.46%28.35-3.41%0.0162✓0.65385k2022-02-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18120.176747-2.46%0.1551-14.40%0.0950✓0.90490k2022-02-05
UNIUniswapEthereum17.0616.6208-2.57%11.27-33.94%0.3387✓1.2514.1M2022-02-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6730.853-2.58%29.42-7.10%0.0077✓1.003.4M2022-02-05
XMRMoneroMonero205.35200.0367-2.59%168.71-17.84%0.1325✓0.953.2M2022-02-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.00212.9239-2.61%3.2266+7.48%0.1461✗1.202.7M2022-02-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7980090.777095-2.62%0.652675-18.21%0.1312✓1.092.8M2022-02-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum79.0276.9427-2.63%56.8-28.12%0.2628✓1.026.3M2022-02-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.157.9342-2.65%6.52-20.00%0.1671✓0.73771k2022-02-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.1132.2331-2.65%20.04-39.47%0.4024✓1.835.4M2022-02-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18710.18202-2.72%0.1293-30.89%0.2945✓1.194.6M2022-02-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63650.61914-2.73%0.4481-29.60%0.2759✓1.1911.8M2022-02-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.773.6667-2.74%4.7941+27.16%0.2638✗-0.11364k2022-02-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6867.475-2.74%6.514-15.25%0.0896✓1.21315k2022-02-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.1632.2359-2.79%22.45-32.30%0.3039✓1.461.1M2022-02-05
COMPCompoundEthereum204.52198.7658-2.81%136.68-33.17%0.3297✓1.13199k2022-02-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.7276-2.82%10.1+0.90%0.0675✗0.751.2M2022-02-05
FTTFTXEthereum38.6437.5408-2.84%46.16+19.46%0.2471✗1.0220.0M2022-02-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7125.9399-2.88%21.35-20.07%0.1444✓1.2771.0M2022-02-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.63885.4761-2.88%5.1203-9.20%0.0217✓1.15480k2022-02-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107790.104681-2.88%0.10107-6.23%0.0088✓1.1026k2022-02-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8220.798005-2.92%0.533-35.16%0.3472✓1.428.1M2022-02-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.154.0255-3.00%2.89-30.36%0.2916✓1.002.5M2022-02-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052120.050553-3.01%0.04465-14.33%0.0816✓1.0716k2022-02-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.0863-3.01%0.77-31.25%0.2764✓1.701.9M2022-02-05
AAVEAaveEthereum220.94214.2713-3.02%166.2-24.78%0.2097✓1.1216.0M2022-02-05
ZENHorizenBase57.7955.9721-3.15%45.61-21.08%0.1487✓1.41805k2022-02-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080650.078109-3.15%0.05888-26.99%0.2251✓1.452.7M2022-02-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12150.117669-3.15%0.0869-28.48%0.2600✓1.09304k2022-02-05
API3Api3Ethereum43.8734-3.17%3.57-10.75%0.0418✓1.00957k2022-02-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5521.8349-3.17%15.3-32.15%0.3274✓0.711.2M2022-02-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3924.5755-3.21%17.77-30.01%0.2779✓1.1769.2M2022-02-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.965.768-3.22%5.76-3.36%0.0432✗1.123.3M2022-02-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3410.329892-3.26%0.2627-22.96%0.1779✓1.252.9M2022-02-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.22621.1856-3.31%0.4421-63.95%0.9500✓0.923.9M2022-02-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.5929.5641-3.35%22.26-27.23%0.2289✓1.3824.4M2022-02-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0621160.060005-3.40%0.040382-34.99%0.3458✓1.267.4M2022-02-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.329.9641-3.45%7.24-29.84%0.3237✓-0.111.9M2022-02-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5371.4832-3.50%1.519-1.17%0.0778✗1.365.5M2022-02-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.16620.160358-3.51%0.1181-28.94%0.2574✓1.222.0M2022-02-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.15242.0759-3.55%1.8014-16.31%0.1002✓1.05102k2022-02-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09230.088993-3.58%0.069-25.24%0.1997✓1.381.4M2022-02-05
XVGVergenative0.015760.015185-3.65%0.01122-28.81%0.2552✓1.192.1M2022-02-05
KSMKusamaHydration269.76259.9022-3.65%185.88-31.09%0.2910✓1.111.3M2022-02-05
GTGateEthereum6.27766.0478-3.66%7.0234+11.88%0.1809✗0.793.9M2022-02-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10190.098161-3.67%0.1089+6.87%0.1436✗1.0033.0M2022-02-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.64761.5869-3.69%1.3221-19.75%0.1488✓0.85663k2022-02-05
KCSKuCoinnative20.96820.1914-3.70%19.686-6.11%0.0379✗1.5913.6M2022-02-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.8411.7713-3.79%0.9682-47.41%0.5288✓1.891.4M2022-02-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.043.8852-3.83%3.4881-13.66%0.0805✓0.6914k2022-02-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.1491.4813-3.85%77.09-18.97%0.1287✓1.07114.6M2022-02-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018160.017462-3.85%0.01353-25.50%0.2314✓0.6030k2022-02-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.8162.7071-3.87%2.562-9.02%0.0202✓0.8836k2022-02-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.0460.044215-3.88%0.03104-32.52%0.3185✓0.898.2M2022-02-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.067372-3.89%0.0368-47.50%0.5506✓1.361.5M2022-02-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0642.9447-3.89%2.728-10.97%0.0139✓1.571.5M2022-02-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18021.1332-3.98%0.92529-21.60%0.1340✓1.731.1M2022-02-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0306510.029429-3.99%0.02206-28.03%0.2475✓1.037.0M2022-02-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.493.3508-3.99%2.31-33.81%0.3322✓1.003.2M2022-02-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030790.000029561-3.99%0.00002254-26.79%0.2218✓1.241.7M2022-02-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1004-4.01%2.66-17.65%0.1150✓0.96995k2022-02-05
BANDBandEthereum5.835.5925-4.07%3.9-33.10%0.3185✓1.052.1M2022-02-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,933.6934,440.98-4.15%25,186.77-29.91%0.2864✓0.6721.4M2022-02-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.683.5271-4.15%2.9-21.20%0.1563✓0.99626k2022-02-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.613177.8737-4.17%85.8205-53.76%0.6913✓0.94574k2022-02-05
LUNATerraTerra 278.3975.1021-4.19%55.39-29.34%0.2647✓1.007.2M2022-02-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30481.2499-4.21%2.054+57.42%0.5402✗1.09922k2022-02-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07041.0244-4.29%0.7727-27.81%0.2264✓1.401.6M2022-02-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.5088.1425-4.30%6.059-28.78%0.2689✓0.67272k2022-02-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95040.909257-4.33%0.9549+0.47%0.0887✗1.00143k2022-02-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.28110.268907-4.34%0.2088-25.72%0.2016✓1.294.6M2022-02-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076780.073441-4.35%0.0405-47.25%0.5465✓1.2220.3M2022-02-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.37080.354403-4.42%0.3102-16.34%0.0771✓1.413.4M2022-02-05
SUSHISushiEthereum7.457.1167-4.47%4.68-37.18%0.3678✓1.2918.2M2022-02-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100880.096284-4.56%0.085-15.74%0.0979✓0.6755k2022-02-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18411.1298-4.58%0.9491-19.85%0.1367✓0.9521.2M2022-02-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.56311.487-4.87%1.0021-35.89%0.3514✓1.0930.0M2022-02-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017060.016228-4.88%0.01113-34.76%0.3269✓1.262.2M2022-02-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.40751.3388-4.88%1.1381-19.14%0.1236✓0.983.6M2022-02-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4514.2307-4.95%3.3404-24.95%0.1860✓1.274.5M2022-02-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5732.4456-4.95%1.921-25.34%0.2000✓1.041.9M2022-02-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64920.61659-5.02%0.4932-24.03%0.1702✓1.342.8M2022-02-05
SCSiacoinnative0.01450.013771-5.02%0.01154-20.41%0.1387✓0.96777k2022-02-05
RADRadworksEthereum9.599.0983-5.13%5.48-42.86%0.4718✓0.881.2M2022-02-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.017050.016166-5.18%0.00674-60.47%0.7815✓2.3529.0M2022-02-05
XTZTezosTezos4.4554.217-5.34%3.9423-11.51%0.0143✓1.344.9M2022-02-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.33460.316564-5.39%0.3148-5.92%0.0348✓1.02293k2022-02-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.910.3068-5.44%6.67-38.81%0.4096✓0.641.2M2022-02-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.182170.172177-5.49%0.20531+12.70%0.2375✗1.555,9572022-02-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5910.557979-5.59%0.354-40.10%0.4049✓1.262.2M2022-02-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.493.2854-5.86%2.21-36.68%0.3443✓1.3110.7M2022-02-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.769.1861-5.88%6.4-34.43%0.3230✓0.974.1M2022-02-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8439.3592-5.93%29.81-28.75%0.2142✓1.602.8M2022-02-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5530.51828-6.28%0.6186+11.86%0.2332✗1.42650k2022-02-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.0437.5241-6.28%30.76-23.18%0.1621✓0.9243.4M2022-02-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.38723.1716-6.37%3.0145-11.00%0.0120✓0.985.6M2022-02-05
HIVEHivenative1.48681.3916-6.40%1.166-21.58%0.1230✓1.365.2M2022-02-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.415.033-6.97%3.42-36.78%0.3318✓1.3729.4M2022-02-05
GITCOINGITCOIN13.0912.154-7.15%8.166-37.62%0.3951✓0.0678k2022-02-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.77860.71493-8.18%0.5202-33.19%0.2492✓1.7335.9M2022-02-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.111.9879-8.49%8.15-37.79%0.3809✓0.133.5M2022-02-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.