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2022-01-05 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3164
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.5%
in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.322.3423+0.96%1.77-23.71%0.2345✗1.073.8M2022-02-04
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.192015+0.85%0.1886-0.95%0.0091✓0.63441k2022-02-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin33.0933.2533+0.49%21.63-34.63%0.3850✗1.0522.7M2022-02-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109130.109573+0.41%0.09859-9.66%0.0575✗1.1226k2022-02-04
ETHEthereumEthereum3,539.003,552.47+0.38%2,998.19-15.28%0.1248✗1.05619.8M2022-02-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash399.79400.2697+0.12%306.37-23.37%0.2237✗1.029.0M2022-02-04
QNTQuantEthereum166.2166.393+0.12%134.25-19.22%0.1731✗0.977.9M2022-02-04
XVSVenusEthereum15.1715.149-0.14%8.72-42.52%0.5036✓1.143.5M2022-02-04
NANOnanopayBase3.38543.3784-0.21%2.207-34.81%0.3794✓1.08754k2022-02-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1589360.15859-0.22%0.147947-6.91%0.0223✓1.104.6M2022-02-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.846.8248-0.22%5.39-21.20%0.2086✓0.64778k2022-02-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.6277-0.31%20.51-23.21%0.2056✓1.2971.0M2022-02-04
QTUMQtumQtum8.23288.2028-0.36%6.8761-16.48%0.1154✓1.42268k2022-02-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.40.398504-0.37%0.27-32.50%0.3586✓0.7239k2022-02-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0204890.020412-0.38%0.016562-19.17%0.1570✓1.212.4M2022-02-04
TRXTRONTron0.0711530.070759-0.55%0.06445-9.42%0.0527✓0.95556k2022-02-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8083.783-0.66%3.234-15.07%0.1274✓0.69454k2022-02-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0792.0652-0.66%1.721-17.22%0.1340✓1.132.5M2022-02-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.32134.3278-0.73%121.42-10.27%0.0431✓1.3536.7M2022-02-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,436.0443,086.59-0.80%41,614.64-4.19%0.0081✗1.00727.0M2022-02-04
COMPCompoundEthereum204.79202.6256-1.06%132.7-35.20%0.3736✓1.16211k2022-02-04
XLMStellarStellar0.266040.263068-1.12%0.209216-21.36%0.1855✓1.0224.9M2022-02-04
DASHDashDash122.47121.0425-1.17%103.07-15.84%0.1056✓1.291.9M2022-02-04
SOLSolanaSolana154.44152.5514-1.22%112.69-27.03%0.2564✓1.08211.5M2022-02-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,367.5042,636.58-1.69%40,457.70-6.71%0.0104✓0.9810k2022-02-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.049-1.72%6.43-21.49%0.1979✓0.62828k2022-02-04
ADACardanoCardano1.23041.2088-1.76%1.1398-7.36%0.0118✓1.1097.2M2022-02-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5331.5041-1.89%1.458-4.89%0.0277✗1.375.7M2022-02-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.077.9154-1.92%6.46-19.95%0.1703✓0.77771k2022-02-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.24981.225-1.99%2.0881+67.07%0.5810✗1.11922k2022-02-04
KSMKusamaHydration266.77261.4566-1.99%180.53-32.33%0.3215✓1.141.3M2022-02-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.5262-2.17%1.24-20.51%0.1351✓1.69928k2022-02-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.089169-2.23%0.0663-27.30%0.2377✓1.371.5M2022-02-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.60045.4752-2.24%4.9837-11.01%0.0424✓1.21522k2022-02-04
XECeCashnative0.000104690.000102317-2.27%0.00008267-21.03%0.1705✓1.007.2M2022-02-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.8612.7958-2.28%2.495-12.79%0.0759✓0.8939k2022-02-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.0292-2.28%2.1-32.26%0.3100✓1.323.0M2022-02-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7274.619-2.28%4.373-7.49%0.0278✓0.63498k2022-02-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.6329.9194-2.32%22.27-27.29%0.2351✓1.4024.2M2022-02-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7629.0686-2.32%29.4-1.21%0.0407✗0.69385k2022-02-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.3778.4929-2.34%51.33-36.13%0.3810✓1.026.3M2022-02-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18320.178889-2.35%0.1601-12.61%0.0717✓0.92503k2022-02-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana109.7589-2.41%9.89-1.10%0.0456✗0.751.2M2022-02-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9631.1627-2.49%29.7-7.07%0.0033✓1.043.6M2022-02-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08190.079851-2.50%0.0704-14.04%0.0805✓1.0618k2022-02-04
XMRMoneroMonero206.96201.6632-2.56%165.31-20.12%0.1551✓1.023.2M2022-02-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.4232.5646-2.56%21.99-34.20%0.3275✓1.521.1M2022-02-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.2224.5709-2.57%17.51-30.57%0.2860✓1.2369.2M2022-02-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19040.185325-2.67%0.1262-33.72%0.3316✓1.234.8M2022-02-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.3694.763-2.67%77.91-19.98%0.1475✓1.13115.7M2022-02-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.271227-2.68%0.2023-27.41%0.2370✓1.314.6M2022-02-04
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1116.6404-2.74%11.18-34.66%0.3429✓1.2814.1M2022-02-04
DODODODOEthereum0.8290.806114-2.76%0.543-34.50%0.3328✓1.468.1M2022-02-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.62911.5838-2.78%1.2494-23.31%0.2010✓0.85668k2022-02-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4651.4236-2.83%0.978-33.24%0.3190✓1.323.4M2022-02-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3954.2668-2.92%3.56-19.00%0.1480✓0.771.1M2022-02-04
AAVEAaveEthereum230.12223.3373-2.95%166.87-27.49%0.2419✓1.1614.0M2022-02-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.6321.9571-2.97%15.13-33.14%0.3284✓1.031.2M2022-02-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05010.048569-3.06%0.04407-12.04%0.0490✓1.1316k2022-02-04
KCSKuCoinnative21.22620.5717-3.08%19.447-8.38%0.0128✓1.6113.6M2022-02-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.083690.081097-3.10%0.05692-31.99%0.2921✓1.452.8M2022-02-04
XEMNEMnative0.12970.125675-3.10%0.1096-15.50%0.0923✓1.04115k2022-02-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1781.1414-3.11%0.772-34.47%0.3512✓0.932.4M2022-02-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62980.609898-3.16%0.4406-30.04%0.2698✓1.2911.4M2022-02-04
ZECZcashZcash136.6132.2414-3.19%107.21-21.52%0.1517✓1.369.4M2022-02-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.85032.7589-3.21%3.186+11.78%0.1953✗1.202.7M2022-02-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102190.098883-3.24%0.08239-19.38%0.1538✓0.6755k2022-02-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076530.074019-3.28%0.04226-44.78%0.5073✓1.2420.3M2022-02-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV114.04110.2941-3.28%95.61-16.16%0.1019✓0.963.0M2022-02-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8265020.799325-3.29%0.647332-21.68%0.1623✓1.132.8M2022-02-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017680.017095-3.31%0.0106-40.05%0.4229✓1.292.2M2022-02-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.33.1888-3.37%2.65-19.70%0.1430✓0.98995k2022-02-04
API3Api3Ethereum4.143.9977-3.44%3.57-13.77%0.0703✓1.00962k2022-02-04
FTTFTXEthereum38.0636.7492-3.44%46.03+20.94%0.2708✗1.0719.4M2022-02-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6460.62349-3.48%0.5902-8.64%0.0004✓1.275.0M2022-02-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8667.5918-3.49%6.454-17.95%0.1090✓1.24336k2022-02-04
GTGateEthereum6.18545.964-3.58%7.0386+13.79%0.2019✗0.853.9M2022-02-04
LRCLoopringEthereum1.80481.7394-3.62%0.9113-49.51%0.5643✓1.921.4M2022-02-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12290.118389-3.67%0.0871-29.13%0.2604✓1.09304k2022-02-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.046810.045066-3.73%0.03121-33.33%0.3285✓0.918.2M2022-02-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35540.341712-3.85%0.2513-29.29%0.2537✓1.253.0M2022-02-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2813.7277-3.87%14.97+4.83%0.1163✗0.691.1M2022-02-04
XTZTezosTezos4.50934.3324-3.92%4.0141-10.98%0.0184✓1.354.9M2022-02-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13573.9702-4.00%3.4217-17.26%0.1166✓0.7517k2022-02-04
XVGVergenative0.016010.015361-4.06%0.01084-32.29%0.2973✓1.202.2M2022-02-04
ZENHorizenBase60.3357.7992-4.19%43.19-28.41%0.2273✓1.50807k2022-02-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.8232.3982-4.20%20.65-38.94%0.3718✓1.835.4M2022-02-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.36011.3029-4.21%1.172-13.83%0.0639✓0.983.6M2022-02-04
LSKLiskEthereum2.18862.0955-4.26%1.7925-18.10%0.1079✓1.13100k2022-02-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.28734.0971-4.44%3.373-21.33%0.1402✓1.274.5M2022-02-04
IMXImmutableEthereum4.414.2136-4.45%3-31.97%0.2969✓1.002.5M2022-02-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.0604-4.47%0.8-27.93%0.2389✓1.001.9M2022-02-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018560.017709-4.58%0.01363-26.56%0.2333✓0.6733k2022-02-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.36710.350045-4.65%0.3098-15.61%0.0587✓1.483.4M2022-02-04
SCSiacoinnative0.014460.013764-4.81%0.01119-22.61%0.1656✓0.97783k2022-02-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79773.6117-4.90%5.1583+35.83%0.3518✗-0.11364k2022-02-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030370.000028863-4.96%0.0000222-26.90%0.2093✓1.241.7M2022-02-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06760.064238-4.97%0.0408-39.64%0.3955✓1.361.6M2022-02-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.17230.163691-5.00%0.1207-29.95%0.2525✓1.222.1M2022-02-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.55621.4771-5.08%0.9987-35.82%0.3430✓1.1330.0M2022-02-04
SUSHISushiEthereum7.647.2499-5.11%4.47-41.49%0.4277✓1.3018.2M2022-02-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.376.042-5.15%5.53-13.19%0.0401✓1.133.3M2022-02-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,578.7630,894.66-5.17%24,905.44-23.55%0.1872✓0.6620.1M2022-02-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4422.3128-5.29%1.823-25.35%0.1926✓1.061.9M2022-02-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.33050.312786-5.36%0.3064-7.29%0.0229✓1.02293k2022-02-04
BANDBandEthereum6.235.8954-5.37%3.84-38.36%0.3822✓1.082.1M2022-02-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.693.4912-5.39%2.29-37.94%0.3788✓1.003.3M2022-02-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0991.0396-5.41%0.6793-38.19%0.3655✓1.401.7M2022-02-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1711.1076-5.42%0.9567-18.30%0.1048✓0.9721.2M2022-02-04
LUNATerraTerra 278.4174.1401-5.45%54.06-31.05%0.2730✓1.007.4M2022-02-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17561.1105-5.53%0.89908-23.52%0.1354✓1.771.1M2022-02-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.031940.03015-5.60%0.0224-29.87%0.2534✓1.027.3M2022-02-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186070.175636-5.61%0.20472+10.02%0.2205✗1.576,3502022-02-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10170.095819-5.78%0.0798-21.53%0.1401✓1.0030.6M2022-02-04
RADRadworksEthereum10.089.4949-5.80%5.44-46.03%0.5192✓0.881.2M2022-02-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91412.7433-5.86%2.8185-3.28%0.0691✗0.985.6M2022-02-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55930.524325-6.25%0.5994+7.17%0.1945✗1.42650k2022-02-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95030.889683-6.38%0.964+1.44%0.1231✗1.00144k2022-02-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.6838.1177-6.51%6.123-29.48%0.2546✓0.64286k2022-02-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.28131.1979-6.51%0.41-68.00%1.0346✓0.884.1M2022-02-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6430.600919-6.54%0.4872-24.23%0.1523✓1.342.8M2022-02-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0675530.063101-6.59%0.0408-39.60%0.3805✓1.307.4M2022-02-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5950.55554-6.63%0.352-40.84%0.4014✓1.282.2M2022-02-04
MOVRMoonriverBase198.6558185.3405-6.70%88.7362-55.33%0.6903✓1.08574k2022-02-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0672.8599-6.75%2.734-10.86%0.0224✓1.571.5M2022-02-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.749.999-6.90%7.38-31.28%0.3088✓-0.122.0M2022-02-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.44.9879-7.63%3.43-36.48%0.3145✓1.4029.4M2022-02-04
HIVEHivenative1.51491.3946-7.94%1.1073-26.91%0.1717✓1.385.2M2022-02-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73890.679696-8.01%0.5318-28.03%0.1702✓1.7635.9M2022-02-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.6735.5354-8.11%31.13-19.50%0.0928✓0.9243.4M2022-02-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.3112.1783-8.50%8.01-39.82%0.4151✓0.093.9M2022-02-04
GITCOINGITCOIN13.4612.2975-8.64%7.996-40.59%0.4292✓0.0382k2022-02-04
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.5172-8.88%2.71-29.79%0.2172✓1.02626k2022-02-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018340.016655-9.19%0.00663-63.85%0.8782✓1.0029.0M2022-02-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1810.0738-9.89%6.47-42.13%0.4149✓0.651.2M2022-02-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.197-9.94%2.14-39.72%0.3452✓1.3110.7M2022-02-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.4437.9566-10.56%29.67-30.09%0.1776✓1.602.8M2022-02-04
UMAUMAEthereum11.019.7382-11.55%6.19-43.78%0.4123✓0.953.9M2022-02-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.