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2021-12-24 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2582
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.7%
in alpha space · 96.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.368792+0.22%0.278-24.46%0.0328✗0.7445k2022-01-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1645+0.18%3.138-24.51%0.0092✗0.81714k2022-01-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0641-0.52%1.82-40.91%0.0921✓1.273.2M2022-01-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9815-0.56%2.945-26.45%0.0615✓0.71473k2022-01-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.314-0.73%16.67-22.36%0.1674✗1.2269.7M2022-01-23
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.71-0.76%8.17-48.39%0.2748✓1.125.0M2022-01-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2344-0.77%3.844-27.13%0.0957✓0.63846k2022-01-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.184585-0.93%0.141702-23.95%0.1061✗1.106.1M2022-01-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7158-1.24%1.7-38.18%0.1409✓0.974.7M2022-01-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4735.9846-1.33%19.51-46.50%0.2723✓1.0123.1M2022-01-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2358-1.33%1.421-37.29%0.0836✓1.103.4M2022-01-23
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.653,995.43-1.34%2,541.19-37.25%0.1080✓1.02768.5M2022-01-23
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.079802-1.35%0.057499-28.92%0.0085✓0.95659k2022-01-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.058.927-1.36%5.92-34.59%0.1863✓0.661.0M2022-01-23
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.5909-1.41%2.227-38.85%0.1264✓1.04819k2022-01-23
XEMNEMnative0.13590.133956-1.43%0.0976-28.18%0.0379✗1.05202k2022-01-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,053.67-1.57%36,282.47-28.65%0.0158✗1.00750.8M2022-01-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.5445-1.57%6.033-30.50%0.0854✗1.28511k2022-01-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27445.0281-1.60%302.74-33.06%0.0462✓1.0013.7M2022-01-23
SOLSolanaSolana190.65187.5725-1.61%99.82-47.64%0.3217✓0.92257.1M2022-01-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.078.9225-1.63%5.85-35.50%0.1727✓0.74836k2022-01-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5656-1.72%0.881-44.70%0.1378✓1.305.2M2022-01-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6049,833.71-1.74%36,274.40-28.47%0.0126✓0.989,2792022-01-23
QNTQuantEthereum199.57196.0939-1.74%109.75-45.01%0.2713✓0.9212.0M2022-01-23
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.1681-1.90%11.43-34.69%0.0244✗1.2814.6M2022-01-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.273083-1.99%0.201066-27.84%0.0300✗1.0036.2M2022-01-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.602-2.04%5.02-35.31%0.2019✓0.631.0M2022-01-23
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3641-2.11%1.1249-19.28%0.1565✗1.03124.4M2022-01-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6637-2.13%0.85-50.00%0.1079✓1.671.5M2022-01-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58126.8009-2.14%93.79-27.62%0.0249✗0.973.2M2022-01-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.086893-2.15%0.0613-30.97%0.0056✓1.0521k2022-01-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.2718-2.17%22.3-34.43%0.1854✓0.64649k2022-01-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35157.6979-2.26%112.35-30.37%0.1220✗1.3758.6M2022-01-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2576-2.29%0.731-43.20%0.2239✓0.944.1M2022-01-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.022724-2.31%0.015019-35.43%0.0024✓1.222.2M2022-01-23
XMRMoneroMonero204.44199.7241-2.31%156.73-23.34%0.0651✗0.912.7M2022-01-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.4985-2.31%3.5571-0.68%0.0133✓-0.09384k2022-01-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.3429-2.37%12.97-22.52%0.0016✓0.681.4M2022-01-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.5812-2.43%3.94-31.12%0.0219✓1.105.0M2022-01-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.0357-2.53%19.45-44.30%0.0721✓1.441.3M2022-01-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1727.4548-2.54%18.82-33.19%0.0334✗1.2277.3M2022-01-23
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000114165-2.67%0.00007477-36.26%0.0927✓0.9811.7M2022-01-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.210291-2.73%0.1477-31.68%0.0675✓0.85776k2022-01-23
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2223.7536-2.80%128.28-44.27%0.1977✓1.06239k2022-01-23
DASHDashDash149.49145.2906-2.81%99.58-33.39%0.0367✗1.232.2M2022-01-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3424.6095-2.88%14.05-44.55%0.3224✓0.712.7M2022-01-23
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.882754-2.89%0.507-44.22%0.0746✓1.429.3M2022-01-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.1938-2.94%0.66-46.34%0.2551✓1.002.4M2022-01-23
BANDBandEthereum5.635.4629-2.97%3.59-36.23%0.0322✓1.153.0M2022-01-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3411.9732-2.97%6.52-47.16%0.6970✓-0.264.9M2022-01-23
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.4991-2.99%5.815-40.62%0.0284✓1.37349k2022-01-23
FTTFTXEthereum42.6841.4027-2.99%35.99-15.67%0.1989✗1.0021.8M2022-01-23
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.4911-3.00%2.49-46.22%0.2523✓1.002.5M2022-01-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.675946-3.02%0.4151-40.44%0.0937✓1.1714.0M2022-01-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6326.7618-3.14%21.28-22.98%0.2341✗1.3724.1M2022-01-23
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.6786-3.29%4.66-41.31%0.0416✓1.3614.9M2022-01-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6331,494.06-3.33%25,099.20-22.96%0.0462✓0.547.0M2022-01-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.20987-3.33%0.1139-47.54%0.2106✓1.196.5M2022-01-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.822247-3.33%0.54463-35.97%0.0649✓1.033.7M2022-01-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.6687-3.34%4.37-9.52%0.2714✗1.001.5M2022-01-23
GTGateEthereum6.31286.0972-3.42%6.1111-3.20%0.2511✗0.744.6M2022-01-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.117731-3.42%0.08478-30.45%0.0353✗1.0830k2022-01-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.6921-3.50%8.96-19.13%0.0845✗0.771.5M2022-01-23
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.0277-3.55%2.095-33.26%0.0845✓0.84100k2022-01-23
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.23577-3.57%0.1617-33.87%0.2129✓0.49410k2022-01-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.055901-3.59%0.0379-34.63%0.0322✓1.0617k2022-01-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4028-3.60%2.41-31.73%0.0207✓0.961.3M2022-01-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.2864-3.60%2.7981-17.93%0.2621✗1.253.4M2022-01-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8725.9007-3.61%34.65+28.95%0.5802✗0.8640.2M2022-01-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4236.0343-3.70%25.17-32.74%0.0207✓1.006.1M2022-01-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.132791-3.70%0.0783-43.22%0.1710✓1.06445k2022-01-23
KSMKusamaHydration288.88277.9213-3.79%191.51-33.71%0.0149✓1.061.5M2022-01-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.4773-3.83%1.6289-36.76%0.0511✓1.09152k2022-01-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.765832-3.86%0.5301-33.45%0.0457✗1.237.7M2022-01-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.088867-4.00%0.05508-40.50%0.0201✓1.484.8M2022-01-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9189-4.01%1.154-42.27%0.0699✓1.307.9M2022-01-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.194587-4.05%0.1069-47.29%0.2130✓1.144.3M2022-01-23
ZECZcashZcash165.18158.47-4.06%97.58-40.93%0.0678✓1.2413.6M2022-01-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5119-4.07%0.9895-37.21%0.0775✓1.0334.9M2022-01-23
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33259.247-4.10%158.72-41.29%0.1446✓1.0211.4M2022-01-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62100.323-4.11%54.81-47.61%0.2772✓0.978.8M2022-01-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.0034-4.13%2.9942-42.63%0.2840✓0.6829k2022-01-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.5983-4.24%6.129-38.85%0.2238✓0.67455k2022-01-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3256-4.33%1.4593+5.32%0.4525✗1.061.4M2022-01-23
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.386-4.35%2.44-31.07%0.0055✓0.99807k2022-01-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.059488-4.39%0.039977-35.75%0.0802✗1.419.5M2022-01-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.2657-4.43%2.57-53.36%0.3797✓1.006.5M2022-01-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1363-4.43%0.8434-29.07%0.0395✓1.00190k2022-01-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.0681-4.49%0.596-46.70%0.0819✓1.492.5M2022-01-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.047168-4.60%0.02905-41.24%0.1843✓0.8912.1M2022-01-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.7828-4.61%3.1436-37.30%0.0388✓1.365.2M2022-01-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.364394-4.76%0.2414-36.91%0.0180✓1.276.2M2022-01-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2233-4.79%0.8156-36.52%0.0653✓1.0122.8M2022-01-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.3603-4.80%4.4346-33.62%0.0182✓1.12876k2022-01-23
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.2743-4.81%3.0753-31.51%0.0997✗1.275.4M2022-01-23
KCSKuCoinnative22.8121.7081-4.83%15.88-30.38%0.2468✗1.6621.0M2022-01-23
ZENHorizenBase70.5367.1226-4.83%35.77-49.28%0.1537✓1.411.4M2022-01-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2496-4.89%0.76101-42.08%0.0838✗1.721.6M2022-01-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.103274-4.90%0.0576-46.96%0.1193✓1.383.0M2022-01-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.386229-4.92%0.2697-33.60%0.1279✗1.444.4M2022-01-23
XVGVergenative0.017980.017089-4.95%0.00969-46.11%0.1683✓1.182.8M2022-01-23
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748178.7786-4.99%84.9691-54.85%0.4154✓0.97720k2022-01-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.074199-4.99%0.0335-57.11%0.3526✓1.312.5M2022-01-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.078598-5.12%0.05184-37.42%0.0148✓1.1921.7M2022-01-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.017794-5.15%0.01032-44.99%0.1324✓1.223.2M2022-01-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.104403-5.23%0.06514-40.87%0.2754✓0.58143k2022-01-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.285578-5.31%0.1855-38.49%0.0064✓1.266.2M2022-01-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.01867-5.32%0.01258-36.21%0.2216✓0.5160k2022-01-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000034215-5.33%0.0000225-37.74%0.0816✓1.002.2M2022-01-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.5898-5.36%2.649-30.16%0.0337✓1.003.5M2022-01-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7242.969-6.02%17.17-62.45%0.2937✓1.858.8M2022-01-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.6217-6.13%1.611-42.32%0.1616✓0.962.2M2022-01-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.434335-6.17%0.5547+19.83%0.7267✗1.431.2M2022-01-23
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.17-6.27%5.21-51.98%0.3474✓0.951.6M2022-01-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.7778-6.27%0.5018-73.54%1.0218✓0.728.1M2022-01-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.8208-6.48%1.0945-43.78%0.2684✓0.711.3M2022-01-23
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.015422-6.59%0.00983-40.46%0.1377✓0.931.4M2022-01-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.8376-6.79%3.02-41.81%0.0364✓1.2928.7M2022-01-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.020416-6.82%0.00841-61.62%0.5493✓1.0039.8M2022-01-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93107.0266-6.88%64.85-43.57%0.1415✓1.06142.8M2022-01-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.2646-6.98%5.9-51.28%0.4681✓0.532.7M2022-01-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.704735-7.22%0.4546-40.15%0.0075✓1.285.1M2022-01-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.4936-7.33%2.24-40.58%0.1069✓1.0011.9M2022-01-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.035429-7.37%0.022662-40.75%0.1007✓1.0312.1M2022-01-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.334056-7.49%0.2245-37.83%0.0909✓0.91388k2022-01-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1540.8329-7.51%24.37-44.80%0.0600✓1.714.7M2022-01-23
UMAUMAEthereum9.568.8388-7.54%6.38-33.26%0.0391✓1.084.1M2022-01-23
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.0432-7.67%0.8591-61.18%0.2179✓1.922.1M2022-01-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.703174-7.74%0.609-20.10%0.4404✗1.7314.6M2022-01-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.620183-7.85%0.331-50.82%0.2166✓1.223.0M2022-01-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.196891-8.35%0.16077-25.16%0.3353✗1.5924k2022-01-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.602-8.51%0.90224-48.47%0.2371✓1.006.7M2022-01-23
HIVEHivenative1.5931.4481-9.09%0.839-47.33%0.1078✓1.3010.4M2022-01-23
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61114.04-10.06%7.243-53.60%0.6730✓-0.03133k2022-01-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.714.1055-10.16%7.33-53.31%0.6456✓0.034.8M2022-01-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.1387-10.32%2.1145-39.59%0.0960✓0.899.0M2022-01-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.