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2021-12-21 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2569
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.7%
in alpha space · 89.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.359732+0.77%0.328-8.12%0.0421✓0.7354k2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9614+0.39%3.861-2.15%0.1189✓0.78734k2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.3334-0.55%20.18+3.81%0.2624✗1.1969.7M2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.169873-0.60%0.155509-9.01%0.1119✗1.095.5M2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.4592-0.70%7.481-0.41%0.2378✗1.27635k2022-01-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4213-0.77%2.03-16.80%0.0095✓0.904.8M2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0356-0.82%4.731-6.82%0.0511✗0.621.0M2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7679-0.82%3.583-5.69%0.0749✗0.68544k2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.1539-0.83%11.36-25.65%0.0798✓1.136.2M2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9147-0.86%2.35-20.07%0.0189✗1.273.1M2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.1280.126544-1.14%0.1095-14.45%0.0473✗1.04202k2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.3912-1.16%2.8203-17.79%0.0040✓1.02819k2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1015-1.25%1.679-21.10%0.0216✓1.103.3M2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3134.8217-1.38%26.19-25.83%0.0997✓1.0021.2M2022-01-20
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0614.837-1.48%14.49-3.78%0.2050✗1.2414.2M2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.6058-1.49%1.11-31.90%0.0633✓1.661.8M2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.3421-1.51%7.38-12.87%0.0036✓0.641.2M2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum186.26183.2671-1.61%132.32-28.96%0.1613✓0.8912.3M2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.078850.077556-1.64%0.067694-14.15%0.0387✗0.95787k2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94430.6537-1.66%357.74-18.31%0.0006✓1.0114.2M2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.4934-1.68%24.39-23.85%0.0077✓1.431.5M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.75176.7298-1.68%127.52-29.06%0.1597✓0.90275.4M2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.457-1.69%1.143-22.87%0.0016✓1.315.6M2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,060.75-1.75%40,670.97-16.85%0.0176✓1.00754.4M2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3047,588.26-1.78%41,418.10-14.51%0.0418✗0.9815k2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,945.42-1.78%3,000.94-25.30%0.0827✓1.03768.5M2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4190.7583-1.87%162.17-16.58%0.0256✗1.02228k2022-01-20
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16182.6519-1.88%198.37+6.56%0.2531✗0.9211.0M2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.737-1.93%5.81-0.68%0.2517✗1.3013.8M2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.262641-1.99%0.231498-13.61%0.0542✗0.9840.4M2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.2527-2.00%4.78-10.82%0.1025✗1.075.5M2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.084343-2.04%0.0723-16.03%0.0412✗1.0624k2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.254-2.04%1.2589-1.66%0.1876✗1.00131.8M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.0292-2.05%7.057-23.45%0.0067✓1.37349k2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8151.613-2.06%129.8-16.15%0.0985✗1.3860.7M2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000106987-2.10%0.00009053-17.16%0.0142✓0.9812.6M2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.1954-2.10%0.939-23.10%0.0648✓0.964.4M2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.5066-2.11%7.4-14.84%0.0040✓0.73934k2022-01-20
DASHDashDash133.6130.6656-2.20%121.15-9.32%0.1473✗1.212.2M2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.7176-2.21%14.59-3.06%0.1120✗0.651.6M2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64121.8684-2.22%104.32-16.30%0.0222✓0.962.5M2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1122.5958-2.22%24.98+8.09%0.3417✗1.3120.8M2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022238-2.25%0.018378-19.22%0.0357✗1.231.9M2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1724.6022-2.26%23-8.62%0.1560✗1.2175.1M2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1632.4004-2.29%25.43-23.31%0.1255✓0.63744k2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero188.96184.4744-2.37%188.73-0.12%0.1837✗0.872.9M2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.843202-2.52%0.682-21.16%0.0510✗1.439.9M2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.198547-2.63%0.1484-27.22%0.0780✓1.158.6M2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.4959-2.65%6.14-20.26%0.0832✓0.631.1M2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.6944-2.67%10.09+1.31%0.1772✗0.741.9M2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.762097-2.68%0.655547-16.29%0.0366✗1.014.8M2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5021-2.75%3.7088+2.99%0.0405✗-0.09372k2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.0537-2.77%18.34-25.87%0.1441✓0.692.8M2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.108602-2.89%0.0964-13.81%0.0799✗1.0830k2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum5.325.1642-2.93%4.68-12.03%0.1114✗1.142.8M2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.203726-2.94%0.1666-20.63%0.0440✓0.85756k2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum41.9640.7178-2.96%45.17+7.65%0.2895✗1.0125.2M2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3173-2.97%1.1614-14.46%0.0590✗1.0035.7M2022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.8287-3.00%3.8114-23.43%0.1096✓0.6931k2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1537-3.05%0.89-25.21%0.0750✓1.002.4M2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.8182-3.05%2.539-12.66%0.0497✗0.83104k2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.697852-3.08%0.6442-10.53%0.1400✗1.197.7M2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2411.8625-3.08%7.97-34.89%0.4519✓-0.295.7M2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.130815-3.10%0.1002-25.78%0.0669✓1.08559k2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.091-3.12%3.1598-0.97%0.2445✗1.214.7M2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.054443-3.13%0.04537-19.27%0.0138✓1.0622k2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.4651-3.14%3.36-27.11%0.0998✓1.002.5M2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3334.2058-3.18%29.37-16.87%0.0314✓1.006.5M2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.686231-3.31%0.5001-29.53%0.1006✓1.1715.1M2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.302634-3.37%0.3693+17.91%0.4526✗1.374.9M2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.2176-3.38%2.8-15.92%0.0375✗0.961.3M2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration267.01257.7576-3.47%239.61-10.26%0.1204✗1.051.5M2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6522.8301-3.47%38.97+64.78%0.6944✗0.8741.0M2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum6.04465.8334-3.49%7.0322+16.34%0.3253✗0.754.9M2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.3474-3.59%1.8707-23.17%0.0224✓1.11169k2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7118-3.61%1.272-28.38%0.0616✓1.286.8M2022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.7591-3.66%4.19-15.18%0.0572✗1.001.9M2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2793.6461-3.73%69.09-28.97%0.1261✓0.969.8M2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.1181-3.76%3.35+3.40%0.2454✗0.94807k2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.233808-3.82%0.1782-26.70%0.1841✓0.47428k2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2339-3.92%1.5815+23.15%0.4432✗1.061.6M2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash162.44155.9284-4.01%118.84-26.84%0.0362✓1.2813.6M2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0601-4.01%0.8682-21.39%0.0804✗1.523.3M2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.059163-4.06%0.050637-17.88%0.1102✗1.4413.0M2022-01-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.6178-4.08%0.6721-60.15%0.7694✓0.598.7M2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13545.8833-4.11%5.2113-15.06%0.0849✗1.12833k2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase64.3761.6473-4.23%47.6-26.05%0.0026✓1.421.9M2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9933,224.84-4.24%31,414.30-9.46%0.0457✗0.556.8M2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.065851-4.29%0.0452-34.30%0.1245✓1.362.7M2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.094938-4.30%0.0736-25.81%0.0032✓1.363.3M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964175.8682-4.40%119.9355-34.80%0.2031✓0.97853k2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.4056-4.50%2.79-50.71%0.4768✓1.007.1M2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.097676-4.51%0.06885-32.69%0.0717✓1.516.8M2022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.0801-4.58%1.0839-4.25%0.1881✗1.00215k2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.267427-4.59%0.2346-16.30%0.0978✗1.247.0M2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.352635-4.62%0.2832-23.40%0.0198✓1.306.6M2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.017350.016544-4.64%0.01234-28.88%0.0766✓1.173.1M2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.87520.8583-4.65%19.429-11.18%0.2357✗1.6622.7M2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.211992-4.68%0.1141-48.70%0.4078✓1.154.2M2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.099428-4.68%0.08157-21.80%0.0955✓0.56143k2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2589.777-4.69%6.92-32.54%0.2199✓0.68388k2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.046098-4.72%0.03533-26.97%0.0959✓0.9215.8M2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.0353-4.73%3.715-12.29%0.1537✗1.284.7M2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017186-4.84%0.01227-32.06%0.1104✓1.233.6M2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000031219-4.96%0.00002648-19.39%0.0199✓1.001.8M2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.6397-5.04%3.095-19.25%0.0225✓1.003.6M2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.7578-5.05%3.9838-20.50%0.0749✗1.375.2M2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9238.7927-5.20%21.12-48.39%0.2659✓1.8513.1M2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1056-5.21%0.90658-22.28%0.1150✗1.701.5M2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2446-5.33%1.0173-22.62%0.0117✓1.0323.6M2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.2679-5.33%6.89-29.62%0.1217✓0.951.9M2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.3036-5.48%2.111-13.38%0.0799✗0.913.2M2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.423874-5.49%0.5776+28.78%0.5714✗1.421.8M2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.018598-5.64%0.01551-21.31%0.0943✓0.4761k2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.631955-5.85%0.5606-16.48%0.1073✗1.237.1M2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5334.375-5.90%30.25-17.19%0.1909✗1.735.5M2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7017-5.95%1.3945-22.93%0.0685✓0.711.4M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.014818-5.98%0.01217-22.78%0.0280✓0.911.6M2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.091769-6.14%0.06785-30.60%0.0767✓1.2222.6M2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.2539-6.19%7.96-27.17%0.1599✓0.514.1M2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4638.8744-6.22%9.432-0.33%0.0377✓-0.13119k2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.332-6.23%3.97-14.07%0.1570✗1.3228.7M2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.5846-6.31%0.428-31.41%0.0902✓1.203.2M2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.311474-6.41%0.2825-15.11%0.0662✗0.89544k2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.3748-6.52%3.06-15.24%0.0866✗1.0012.1M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum98.392-6.76%7.75-13.89%0.1220✗1.094.1M2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.548.8763-6.96%9.52-0.21%0.0574✓-0.073.7M2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27114.4291-7.17%79.35-35.63%0.1658✓1.09164.3M2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.035423-7.51%0.026039-32.01%0.1189✓1.0215.0M2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.3874-7.54%1.1313-24.61%0.0182✓1.017.8M2022-01-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.021195-7.61%0.01207-47.38%0.3785✓1.0033.0M2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.2172-7.68%1.0653-55.64%0.3687✓1.972.4M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.190049-7.74%0.18914-8.18%0.2907✗1.6034k2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.47581.3602-7.83%1.0699-27.50%0.0022✓1.2911.9M2022-01-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.55454-7.88%0.757+25.75%0.6451✗1.8112.4M2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28692.9985-8.77%2.6385-19.73%0.0303✓0.8610.1M2022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.