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2021-12-18 · +30d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1742
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 75.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3610.364324+0.92%0.35-3.05%0.0362✓0.7354k2022-01-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9553.971+0.40%4.188+5.89%0.1365✓0.80812k2022-01-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6213.6121-0.25%3.798+4.89%0.1199✗0.67576k2022-01-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4662-0.55%2.25-9.27%0.0037✓0.924.9M2022-01-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.792.7733-0.60%2.6-6.81%0.0671✗1.262.9M2022-01-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9354.9037-0.64%4.984+0.99%0.0802✗0.61961k2022-01-17
XVSVenusEthereum15.3115.2112-0.65%13.59-11.23%0.0065✓1.146.7M2022-01-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5519.4189-0.67%23.8+21.74%0.3289✗1.2071.4M2022-01-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.5484-0.75%1.35-13.46%0.0354✗1.652.1M2022-01-17
NANOnanopayBase3.37523.3489-0.78%3.0126-10.74%0.0008✓1.02803k2022-01-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.118.0424-0.83%7.77-4.19%0.0329✗0.651.1M2022-01-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1723360.170826-0.88%0.170944-0.81%0.1159✗1.105.3M2022-01-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.1478.0659-1.00%7.405-9.11%0.0506✗1.31745k2022-01-17
QTUMQtumQtum9.29729.1768-1.30%7.6879-17.31%0.0312✓1.40379k2022-01-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.3635.8824-1.31%28.99-20.27%0.1064✓1.0221.0M2022-01-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.2832.8366-1.33%28.92-13.10%0.0230✗1.441.6M2022-01-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.6923.3672-1.36%29.62+25.03%0.3735✗1.3120.6M2022-01-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1482.1186-1.37%1.829-14.85%0.0314✓1.113.4M2022-01-17
XEMNEMnative0.13050.128658-1.41%0.1148-12.03%0.0034✓1.06191k2022-01-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.836.7316-1.44%6.55-4.10%0.0390✗0.641.1M2022-01-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin148.75146.5817-1.46%151.19+1.64%0.1779✗1.4165.8M2022-01-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,859.4646,175.82-1.46%42,218.01-9.91%0.0147✓1.00763.6M2022-01-17
TRXTRONTron0.0804490.079273-1.46%0.070851-11.93%0.0113✓0.97735k2022-01-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19640.193451-1.50%0.1595-18.79%0.0715✓1.168.9M2022-01-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8313.6154-1.55%15.03+8.68%0.1679✗0.661.7M2022-01-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.195.1095-1.55%4.98-4.05%0.0852✗1.065.5M2022-01-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4491.4262-1.57%1.246-14.01%0.0019✓1.315.4M2022-01-17
DASHDashDash129.54127.497-1.58%135.73+4.78%0.1890✗1.212.3M2022-01-17
UNIUniswapEthereum15.5815.3328-1.59%16.64+6.80%0.2126✗1.2515.1M2022-01-17
QNTQuantEthereum185.67182.7239-1.59%159.74-13.97%0.0432✓0.8712.5M2022-01-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash435.97428.9614-1.61%380.79-12.66%0.0120✓1.0314.2M2022-01-17
SUSHISushiEthereum5.615.5184-1.63%6.44+14.80%0.2880✗1.2812.7M2022-01-17
XECeCashnative0.00011090.000109026-1.69%0.00009954-10.24%0.0125✓0.9914.6M2022-01-17
ADACardanoCardano1.2431.2216-1.72%1.6027+28.94%0.3757✗1.00133.3M2022-01-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2559290.251516-1.72%0.256133+0.08%0.1201✗0.9840.9M2022-01-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.1952-1.74%7.96-4.56%0.0486✗0.74838k2022-01-17
DODODODOEthereum0.850.835185-1.74%0.768-9.65%0.0648✗1.4212.1M2022-01-17
SOLSolanaSolana182.91179.4433-1.90%139.85-23.54%0.1535✓0.92288.0M2022-01-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08480.083172-1.92%0.0826-2.59%0.1048✗1.0729k2022-01-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70210.688572-1.93%0.6916-1.50%0.1275✗1.188.9M2022-01-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,822.3045,917.24-1.93%41,814.50-10.70%0.0092✓0.9915k2022-01-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.4924.986-1.98%25.68+0.75%0.1544✗1.2275.5M2022-01-17
XMRMoneroMonero181.62177.9793-2.00%214.7+18.21%0.2807✗0.893.0M2022-01-17
COMPCompoundEthereum204.84200.5834-2.08%181.47-11.41%0.0075✓1.03228k2022-01-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.60630.593623-2.09%0.5478-9.65%0.0362✗1.1215.1M2022-01-17
AAVEAaveEthereum193.22189.1335-2.11%226.66+17.31%0.2783✗0.9310.9M2022-01-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,961.923,877.66-2.13%3,210.98-18.95%0.0784✓1.06794.7M2022-01-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.70881.6718-2.17%0.8095-52.63%0.6673✓0.569.4M2022-01-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.231-2.22%1.016-19.30%0.0906✓0.975.1M2022-01-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.022510.022007-2.23%0.020723-7.94%0.0706✗1.251.8M2022-01-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.4331.7039-2.24%27.95-13.81%0.0607✓0.63786k2022-01-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7861530.768445-2.25%0.727776-7.43%0.0524✗1.025.2M2022-01-17
FTTFTXEthereum39.938.9888-2.28%44.38+11.23%0.2347✗1.0127.3M2022-01-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.16320.15943-2.31%0.1315-19.42%0.0687✓1.193.7M2022-01-17
BANDBandEthereum5.175.05-2.32%5.3+2.51%0.1668✗1.142.8M2022-01-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.748.5336-2.36%10.47+19.79%0.2775✗0.702.3M2022-01-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0834.2298-2.42%31-11.63%0.0062✓1.017.1M2022-01-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.072770.070974-2.47%0.06638-8.78%0.0370✗1.0023.7M2022-01-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.05123.8638-2.51%109.78-13.59%0.0188✓0.982.3M2022-01-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.37971.3437-2.61%1.3415-2.77%0.1036✗1.0142.1M2022-01-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20050.194994-2.75%0.1755-12.47%0.0163✓0.85776k2022-01-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.51623.4183-2.78%3.7699+7.22%0.0873✗-0.10384k2022-01-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09553.0088-2.80%3.3409+7.93%0.2312✗1.215.2M2022-01-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.40452.3358-2.86%2.0079-16.50%0.0372✓1.09191k2022-01-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3424.6118-2.87%19.46-23.20%0.1634✓0.693.3M2022-01-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112660.10942-2.88%0.10718-4.86%0.0937✗1.1031k2022-01-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.31570.306614-2.88%0.3888+23.15%0.3826✗1.394.9M2022-01-17
MINAMina Protocolnative3.233.1361-2.91%3.41+5.57%0.1832✗0.95845k2022-01-17
MOVRMoonriverBase191.448185.8507-2.92%137.7719-28.04%0.1972✓0.981.3M2022-01-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055990.054347-2.93%0.04979-11.07%0.0243✓1.0723k2022-01-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13780.133744-2.94%0.1064-22.79%0.1139✓1.10662k2022-01-17
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.4936-2.95%3.76-18.79%0.0739✓1.003.1M2022-01-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0111.6464-3.03%9.38-21.90%0.2492✓-0.315.9M2022-01-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.9892.8982-3.04%2.735-8.50%0.0307✓0.85105k2022-01-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.241.2019-3.07%1.02-17.74%0.0598✓1.002.6M2022-01-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.090720.087887-3.12%0.07748-14.59%0.0261✓1.467.1M2022-01-17
GTGateEthereum5.78625.6027-3.17%6.9968+20.92%0.3007✗0.755.4M2022-01-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.05195.8596-3.18%6.2731+3.65%0.1844✗1.11971k2022-01-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.1643-3.23%3.07-6.12%0.0703✗0.961.3M2022-01-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07640.073902-3.27%0.0533-30.24%0.1818✓1.393.6M2022-01-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.222.4396-3.28%39.15+68.75%0.6430✗0.8342.5M2022-01-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum96.393.1065-3.32%76.55-20.51%0.0953✓0.9611.1M2022-01-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.0024.8361-3.32%4.195-16.13%0.0690✓0.7031k2022-01-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.264.1145-3.42%4-6.10%0.0761✗1.001.4M2022-01-17
ZENHorizenBase65.3963.1523-3.42%53.27-18.53%0.0201✓1.442.2M2022-01-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0602670.058196-3.44%0.054069-10.28%0.0781✗1.4515.1M2022-01-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09850.095115-3.44%0.0824-16.35%0.0004✓1.374.0M2022-01-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.31931.2727-3.54%1.6076+21.85%0.3452✗1.071.6M2022-01-17
ZECZcashZcash157.56151.9761-3.54%138.84-11.88%0.0450✗1.3015.2M2022-01-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016260.015672-3.62%0.0145-10.82%0.0502✗1.233.6M2022-01-17
KSMKusamaHydration280.28270.1211-3.62%259.34-7.47%0.0717✗1.081.5M2022-01-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.14921.1074-3.64%1.0077-12.31%0.0649✗1.533.9M2022-01-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.27230.262214-3.70%0.2569-5.66%0.1094✗1.257.6M2022-01-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7451.6803-3.71%1.391-20.29%0.0552✓1.287.6M2022-01-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1291.0856-3.85%1.1616+2.89%0.1641✗0.9225.0M2022-01-17
XVGVergenative0.016970.016315-3.86%0.01314-22.57%0.0933✓1.184.1M2022-01-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum6.256.0011-3.98%3.36-46.24%0.4757✓1.0011.6M2022-01-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,319.3430,056.56-4.03%31,588.07+0.86%0.1111✗0.595.4M2022-01-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7533.6016-4.03%3.294-12.23%0.0150✓1.004.4M2022-01-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36160.346677-4.13%0.312-13.72%0.0312✓1.317.0M2022-01-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102480.098236-4.14%0.08878-13.37%0.0447✓0.54149k2022-01-17
XYMSymbolnative0.26090.249838-4.24%0.1906-26.95%0.2196✓0.49443k2022-01-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum42.6140.7939-4.26%24.33-42.90%0.3138✓1.9515.5M2022-01-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018130.017342-4.35%0.01652-8.88%0.0013✓0.4860k2022-01-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.92014.7033-4.41%4.1906-14.83%0.0275✓1.375.4M2022-01-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.048630.04648-4.42%0.04011-17.52%0.0501✓0.9315.8M2022-01-17
KCSKuCoinnative21.4820.5246-4.45%20.851-2.93%0.1932✗1.7025.7M2022-01-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.576979-4.47%0.51-15.56%0.0036✓1.223.8M2022-01-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031460.000030031-4.54%0.00002883-8.36%0.0635✗1.001.9M2022-01-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.660.629773-4.58%0.6191-6.20%0.1109✗1.239.3M2022-01-17
RADRadworksEthereum9.849.3791-4.68%7.89-19.82%0.0725✓0.962.0M2022-01-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45070.429081-4.80%0.6214+37.87%0.4746✗1.001.9M2022-01-17
XTZTezosTezos4.24694.0416-4.83%4.0538-4.55%0.1384✗1.304.2M2022-01-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4082.291-4.86%2.325-3.45%0.1092✗0.913.5M2022-01-17
SCSiacoinnative0.01540.014643-4.92%0.01352-12.21%0.0151✓0.912.2M2022-01-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0318820.030313-4.92%0.02786-12.62%0.0219✓1.0215.0M2022-01-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.3634.5438-5.00%34.44-5.28%0.1793✗1.757.5M2022-01-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.673.4863-5.00%3.53-3.81%0.1167✗1.0015.6M2022-01-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.33420.317382-5.03%0.3204-4.13%0.1015✗0.88819k2022-01-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17721.1174-5.08%1.0163-13.67%0.0858✗1.731.8M2022-01-17
UMAUMAEthereum8.948.4802-5.14%8.13-9.06%0.0737✗1.114.1M2022-01-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016720.015852-5.19%0.01358-18.78%0.0504✓1.0029.9M2022-01-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.78361.6884-5.34%1.6018-10.19%0.0170✓0.671.5M2022-01-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1410.5417-5.37%8.77-21.27%0.1323✓0.504.2M2022-01-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.7710.1845-5.44%7.359-31.67%0.2514✓0.71388k2022-01-17
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06961.9408-6.22%1.2289-40.62%0.2540✓1.952.4M2022-01-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.534.2426-6.34%4.78+5.52%0.2546✗1.3028.7M2022-01-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.210370.196827-6.44%0.20625-1.96%0.2157✗1.6243k2022-01-17
GITCOINGITCOIN9.8959.2518-6.50%12.477+26.09%0.2820✗-0.16119k2022-01-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche115.94108.1245-6.74%86.68-25.24%0.1096✓1.07164.3M2022-01-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.52711.4222-6.87%1.2267-19.67%0.0427✓1.017.8M2022-01-17
HIVEHivenative1.5151.408-7.06%1.2561-17.09%0.0229✓1.3113.8M2022-01-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.919.2033-7.13%12.58+26.94%0.3013✗-0.113.7M2022-01-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4780.442697-7.39%0.9432+97.32%0.9415✗1.7710.3M2022-01-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.43693.1671-7.85%2.9053-15.46%0.0067✓0.8914.0M2022-01-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.