2023-08-06 · +30d
gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted
These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
rank IC
–
0 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
–
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
–
in alpha space · – on raw price
BTC over horizon
–
the unhedgeable market factor
Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)
| token | name | chain | anchor px | pred px ▴ | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d | vol 30d | target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YGG | Yield Guild Games | Ethereum | 0.544 | 0.363929 | -33.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 6,795 | 2023-09-05 |
| BONE | Bone ShibaSwap | Ethereum | 1.6705 | 1.2721 | -23.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 2,805 | 2023-09-05 |
| CKB | Nervos Network | native | 0.00295 | 0.002321 | -21.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 701 | 2023-09-05 |
| JOE | JOE | Arbitrum | 0.3138 | 0.251904 | -19.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 | 65 | 2023-09-05 |
| SHIB | Shiba Inu | Ethereum | 0.00000937 | 0.000007832 | -16.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 | 380k | 2023-09-05 |
| NUM | Numbers Protocol | Ethereum | 0.025724 | 0.022376 | -13.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.93 | 148 | 2023-09-05 |
| CERE | Cere Network | Ethereum | 0.003131 | 0.002766 | -11.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 | 37k | 2023-09-05 |
| POR | Portugal National Team Fan Token | Solana | 0.9906 | 0.8905 | -10.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.44 | 14k | 2023-09-05 |
| ASTR | Astar | Ethereum | 0.05 | 0.045021 | -9.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.29 | 38k | 2023-09-05 |
| POKT | Pocket Network | Ethereum | 0.0287 | 0.025884 | -9.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 36k | 2023-09-05 |
| XYM | Symbol | native | 0.028161 | 0.025937 | -7.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 13k | 2023-09-05 |
| UOS | Ultra | Ethereum | 0.18013 | 0.166309 | -7.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 | 84k | 2023-09-05 |
| IDEX | IDEX | Ethereum | 0.0516 | 0.04771 | -7.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 | 1,057 | 2023-09-05 |
| HOT | Holo | Ethereum | 0.001293 | 0.0012 | -7.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.72 | 373 | 2023-09-05 |
| GITCOIN | GITCOIN | 1.1717 | 1.0928 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 | 14k | 2023-09-05 | |
| IQ | IQ | Ethereum | 0.0054 | 0.005053 | -6.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 4 | 2023-09-05 |
| ETHW | EthereumPoW | native | 1.6954 | 1.5877 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 229 | 2023-09-05 |
| ID | SPACE ID | Ethereum | 0.25636 | 0.240937 | -6.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.79 | 4.9M | 2023-09-05 |
| QUICK | Quickswap | Ethereum | 0.045432 | 0.043263 | -4.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 | 520 | 2023-09-05 |
| BCHSV | Bitcoin Cash SV | 35.412 | 33.8978 | -4.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 | 465k | 2023-09-05 | |
| ONG | Ontology Gas | native | 0.2419 | 0.232364 | -3.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 18 | 2023-09-05 |
| SLP | Smooth Love Potion | Ethereum | 0.00159 | 0.00153 | -3.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.43 | 109 | 2023-09-05 |
| LQTY | Liquity | Ethereum | 1.0678 | 1.0332 | -3.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 | 383 | 2023-09-05 |
| FIS | Stafi | Ethereum | 0.2622 | 0.254174 | -3.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 | 631 | 2023-09-05 |
| COMP | Compound | Ethereum | 56.81 | 55.155 | -2.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 | 14k | 2023-09-05 |
| VRA | Verasity | Ethereum | 0.00468 | 0.004553 | -2.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 | 3,915 | 2023-09-05 |
| POND | Marlin | Ethereum | 0.008448 | 0.008254 | -2.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.06 | 4,410 | 2023-09-05 |
| OMG | OMG Network | Ethereum | 0.552375 | 0.539993 | -2.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.61 | 25k | 2023-09-05 |
| GLMR | Moonbeam | Base | 0.227 | 0.222821 | -1.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.04 | 17k | 2023-09-05 |
| XEM | NEM | native | 0.030051 | 0.029517 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.04 | 18k | 2023-09-05 |
| FIDA | Bonfida | Solana | 0.213 | 0.209307 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.15 | 2,075 | 2023-09-05 |
| GALA | GALA | Ethereum | 0.0235 | 0.023124 | -1.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 | 482k | 2023-09-05 |
| BORA | BORA | Klay Token | 0.14206 | 0.140542 | -1.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 13k | 2023-09-05 |
| GNO | Gnosis | Ethereum | 111.303 | 110.1788 | -1.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 11 | 2023-09-05 |
| LEO | LEO Token | Ethereum | 4.0118 | 3.9802 | -0.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.26 | 111k | 2023-09-05 |
| PEOPLE | ConstitutionDAO | Ethereum | 0.01283 | 0.01276 | -0.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 | 779k | 2023-09-05 |
| QTUM | Qtum | Qtum | 2.5767 | 2.5659 | -0.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 | 8,373 | 2023-09-05 |
| XVS | Venus | Ethereum | 4.37 | 4.3576 | -0.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 | 972k | 2023-09-05 |
| MED | Medibloc | Osmosis | 0.01206 | 0.012049 | -0.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 | 12k | 2023-09-05 |
| ELON | Dogelon Mars | Ethereum | 1.54e-7 | 1.54e-7 | -0.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 | 1,373 | 2023-09-05 |
| FET | Artificial Superintelligence Alliance | Ethereum | 0.1966 | 0.197029 | +0.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 | 74k | 2023-09-05 |
| IOST | IOST | Binance Smart Chain | 0.008606 | 0.008628 | +0.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.22 | 10 | 2023-09-05 |
| CRO | Cronos | Ethereum | 0.05837 | 0.058669 | +0.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 | 7,807 | 2023-09-05 |
| ORDI | ORDI | Solana | 5.581 | 5.6243 | +0.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 239 | 2023-09-05 |
| REQ | Request | Ethereum | 0.07595 | 0.076544 | +0.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.97 | 66 | 2023-09-05 |
| EWT | Energy Web Token | Ethereum | 2.392 | 2.4111 | +0.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 | 56k | 2023-09-05 |
| NIM | Nimiq | native | 0.0008774 | 0.00088517 | +0.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 | 10k | 2023-09-05 |
| RIF | Rootstock Infrastructure Framework | Ethereum | 0.0766 | 0.077454 | +1.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 | 721k | 2023-09-05 |
| POLYX | Polymesh | native | 0.12984 | 0.131476 | +1.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 521 | 2023-09-05 |
| STRAX | Xertra | native | 0.46632 | 0.472426 | +1.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 5 | 2023-09-05 |
| XTZ | Tezos | Tezos | 0.8015 | 0.812406 | +1.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 | 67k | 2023-09-05 |
| ONT | Ontology | native | 0.19055 | 0.193182 | +1.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 54 | 2023-09-05 |
| BAT | Basic Attention | Ethereum | 0.21026 | 0.213299 | +1.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 | 36k | 2023-09-05 |
| PROM | Prom | Ethereum | 4.38 | 4.444 | +1.46% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 | 165k | 2023-09-05 |
| XCH | Chia | native | 30.411 | 30.8755 | +1.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 56 | 2023-09-05 |
| AGI | Delysium | Ethereum | 0.054421 | 0.055286 | +1.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 | 64k | 2023-09-05 |
| WBETH | Wrapped Beacon ETH | Ethereum | 1,847.95 | 1,877.70 | +1.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 28k | 2023-09-05 |
| TWT | Trust Wallet | Binance Smart Chain | 0.8922 | 0.907792 | +1.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 1.3M | 2023-09-05 |
| TLM | Alien Worlds | Ethereum | 0.01125 | 0.011451 | +1.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 | 542 | 2023-09-05 |
| GMX | GMX | Arbitrum | 52.99 | 53.9971 | +1.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.29 | 31k | 2023-09-05 |
| WOO | WOO | Ethereum | 0.1774 | 0.18096 | +2.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.78 | 9,757 | 2023-09-05 |
| DOGE | Dogecoin | Dogecoin | 0.074159 | 0.075693 | +2.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 | 4.5M | 2023-09-05 |
| PSG | Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token | Solana | 3.74 | 3.824 | +2.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 | 828k | 2023-09-05 |
| BFC | Bifrost | Ethereum | 0.04314 | 0.044109 | +2.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 | 11k | 2023-09-05 |
| BTT | BitTorrent | Ethereum | 4.70e-7 | 4.81e-7 | +2.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 | 6,599 | 2023-09-05 |
| MOVR | Moonriver | Base | 4.8508 | 4.9647 | +2.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 | 11k | 2023-09-05 |
| JUV | Juventus Fan Token | Solana | 2.377 | 2.433 | +2.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 548k | 2023-09-05 |
| TRX | TRON | Tron | 0.076815 | 0.078739 | +2.50% | – | pending | – | – | 0.49 | 356k | 2023-09-05 |
| NEO | NEO | Neo | 8.4799 | 8.6968 | +2.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 18 | 2023-09-05 |
| DKA | dKargo | Ethereum | 0.03106 | 0.03186 | +2.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 | 11k | 2023-09-05 |
| CWEB | Coinweb | Ethereum | 0.017987 | 0.018481 | +2.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.34 | 54k | 2023-09-05 |
| LRC | Loopring | Ethereum | 0.2166 | 0.222555 | +2.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 | 16k | 2023-09-05 |
| RONIN | RONIN | Solana | 0.68619 | 0.705186 | +2.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 10 | 2023-09-05 |
| METRONOME | METRONOME | 1.2186 | 1.2527 | +2.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 | 11k | 2023-09-05 | |
| CITY | Manchester City Fan Token | Solana | 3.36 | 3.4591 | +2.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 | 802k | 2023-09-05 |
| MINA | Mina Protocol | native | 0.435 | 0.448144 | +3.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 | 50k | 2023-09-05 |
| OG | OG Fan Token | Solana | 3.717 | 3.83 | +3.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 1.4M | 2023-09-05 |
| BRISE | Bitgert | Ethereum | 2.22e-7 | 2.29e-7 | +3.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 | 521k | 2023-09-05 |
| WAXP | WAX | Ethereum | 0.050292 | 0.051846 | +3.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.72 | 186 | 2023-09-05 |
| GNS | Syli | 4.584 | 4.7328 | +3.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.16 | 615k | 2023-09-05 | |
| RVN | Ravencoin | native | 0.017635 | 0.018226 | +3.35% | – | pending | – | – | 2.00 | 92 | 2023-09-05 |
| NEXO | NEXO | Ethereum | 0.647 | 0.668733 | +3.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 | 494k | 2023-09-05 |
| ANKR | Ankr Network | Ethereum | 0.02415 | 0.024965 | +3.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 | 17k | 2023-09-05 |
| QKC | QuarkChain | Ethereum | 0.009661 | 0.009989 | +3.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 318k | 2023-09-05 |
| MBL | MovieBloc | Ontology | 0.003394 | 0.003511 | +3.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.33 | 297 | 2023-09-05 |
| CTK | Shentu | Osmosis | 0.56 | 0.580458 | +3.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 | 341k | 2023-09-05 |
| IOTX | IoTeX | Ethereum | 0.017694 | 0.018354 | +3.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 150 | 2023-09-05 |
| LUNA | Terra | Terra 2 | 0.00007894 | 0.000081938 | +3.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 | 96k | 2023-09-05 |
| DODO | DODO | Ethereum | 0.0987 | 0.102463 | +3.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.46 | 562k | 2023-09-05 |
| RDNT | Radiant Capital | Ethereum | 0.29179 | 0.303255 | +3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.72 | 451k | 2023-09-05 |
| ASR | AS Roma Fan Token | Solana | 2.602 | 2.7051 | +3.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 612k | 2023-09-05 |
| XEC | eCash | native | 0.00002904 | 0.000030192 | +3.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 | 4.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| MANA | Decentraland | Ethereum | 0.37312 | 0.388124 | +4.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 | 60k | 2023-09-05 |
| CHR | Chromia | Ethereum | 0.1144 | 0.119015 | +4.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 | 524 | 2023-09-05 |
| ORBS | Orbs | Ethereum | 0.02649 | 0.027576 | +4.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 | 4,100 | 2023-09-05 |
| XVG | Verge | native | 0.004242 | 0.004417 | +4.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 | 8.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| OBI | Orbofi AI | Ethereum | 0.010141 | 0.010561 | +4.14% | – | pending | – | – | 0.98 | 3,736 | 2023-09-05 |
| RUNE | THORChain | THORChain | 0.943 | 0.982409 | +4.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 | 38k | 2023-09-05 |
| BEL | Bella Protocol | Ethereum | 0.6535 | 0.680885 | +4.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 | 1.5M | 2023-09-05 |
| NAKA | Nakamoto Games | Polygon | 0.49312 | 0.514071 | +4.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 | 2.0M | 2023-09-05 |
| CELR | Celer Network | Ethereum | 0.014292 | 0.0149 | +4.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.57 | 1,481 | 2023-09-05 |
| ENJ | Enjin Coin | Ethereum | 0.288 | 0.300392 | +4.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 | 21k | 2023-09-05 |
| MAV | Maverick Protocol | Ethereum | 0.3073 | 0.320607 | +4.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 | 6.0M | 2023-09-05 |
| LAZIO | Lazio Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 2.211 | 2.308 | +4.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 | 633k | 2023-09-05 |
| LADYS | Milady Meme Coin | Ethereum | 2.65e-8 | 2.77e-8 | +4.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 | 3,797 | 2023-09-05 |
| XPR | XPR Network | Ethereum | 0.000895 | 0.000935168 | +4.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 | 271k | 2023-09-05 |
| SANTOS | Santos FC Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 3.149 | 3.2909 | +4.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.97 | 848k | 2023-09-05 |
| VSYS | V.SYSTEMS | native | 0.001052 | 0.0011 | +4.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 | 3,929 | 2023-09-05 |
| ADX | heyAura | Ethereum | 0.13865 | 0.145023 | +4.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.80 | 466 | 2023-09-05 |
| ZIL | Zilliqa | Binance Smart Chain | 0.020156 | 0.021114 | +4.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 135 | 2023-09-05 |
| TFUEL | Theta Fuel | native | 0.040726 | 0.042714 | +4.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.77 | 15 | 2023-09-05 |
| CBK | Cobak | Ethereum | 0.62604 | 0.656846 | +4.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 | 12k | 2023-09-05 |
| STORJ | Storj | Ethereum | 0.29101 | 0.305531 | +4.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 19k | 2023-09-05 |
| BAR | FC Barcelona Fan Token | Solana | 2.753 | 2.8928 | +5.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.28 | 594k | 2023-09-05 |
| LUNC | Terra Luna Classic | native | 0.00007867 | 0.000082742 | +5.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 41k | 2023-09-05 |
| SC | Siacoin | native | 0.00361 | 0.003797 | +5.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 | 69k | 2023-09-05 |
| KSM | Kusama | Hydration | 21.95 | 23.0926 | +5.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 | 82k | 2023-09-05 |
| ACM | AC Milan Fan Token | Solana | 2.227 | 2.3515 | +5.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 | 387k | 2023-09-05 |
| PORTO | FC Porto | Binance Smart Chain | 2.192 | 2.3213 | +5.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 | 869k | 2023-09-05 |
| CELL | Cellframe | Ethereum | 0.2091 | 0.221505 | +5.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.35 | 32k | 2023-09-05 |
| DYDX | dYdX | Cosmos | 2.036 | 2.1612 | +6.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 | 63k | 2023-09-05 |
| TKO | Tokocrypto | Binance Smart Chain | 0.2384 | 0.253222 | +6.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.98 | 399k | 2023-09-05 |
| KCS | KuCoin | native | 5.614 | 5.9661 | +6.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 | 541k | 2023-09-05 |
| SYN | Synapse | Ethereum | 0.5678 | 0.603652 | +6.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 | 25k | 2023-09-05 |
| ALPINE | Alpine F1 Team Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 2.016 | 2.145 | +6.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 835k | 2023-09-05 |
| USTC | TerraClassicUSD | Terra | 0.015153 | 0.016147 | +6.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 | 4.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| GT | Gate | Ethereum | 4.1208 | 4.3944 | +6.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 | 322k | 2023-09-05 |
| XNO | Nano | native | 0.66243 | 0.70647 | +6.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 13 | 2023-09-05 |
| IOTA | IOTA | IOTA | 0.1691 | 0.180669 | +6.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 732k | 2023-09-05 |
| BTTC | BTTC | 4.70e-7 | 5.03e-7 | +7.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 | 293k | 2023-09-05 | |
| WBTC | Wrapped Bitcoin | Ethereum | 29,139.30 | 31,210.93 | +7.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.96 | 4,494 | 2023-09-05 |
| ATM | Atletico Madrid Fan Token | Solana | 2.763 | 2.962 | +7.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 | 939k | 2023-09-05 |
| DEXE | DeXe | Ethereum | 2.226 | 2.3882 | +7.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 165k | 2023-09-05 |
| THETA | Theta Network | native | 0.7224 | 0.775333 | +7.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 8 | 2023-09-05 |
| LSK | Lisk | Ethereum | 0.849425 | 0.912599 | +7.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 | 28k | 2023-09-05 |
| SUN | Sun Token | Tron | 0.005474 | 0.0059 | +7.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 | 8,070 | 2023-09-05 |
| XMR | Monero | Monero | 159.48 | 172.1399 | +7.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 449k | 2023-09-05 |
| PHA | PHALA | Ethereum | 0.091 | 0.098242 | +7.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 4,303 | 2023-09-05 |
| DUSK | DUSK | Ethereum | 0.122 | 0.132226 | +8.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 | 1.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| MTL | Metal DAO | Metal L2 | 1.368 | 1.4898 | +8.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 3.7M | 2023-09-05 |
| NANO | nanopay | Base | 0.668965 | 0.72876 | +8.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 | 20k | 2023-09-05 |
| DGB | DigiByte | native | 0.007916 | 0.008682 | +9.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.79 | 328 | 2023-09-05 |
| STEEM | Steem | native | 0.1832 | 0.202928 | +10.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 | 405k | 2023-09-05 |
| HIVE | Hive | native | 0.3463 | 0.385499 | +11.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.89 | 428k | 2023-09-05 |
| LMWR | LimeWire | Ethereum | 0.0625 | 0.0707 | +13.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.89 | 1,224 | 2023-09-05 |
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add
&limit=2000 to widen.