GNS

Syli · · gru_s2

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 3,999

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1876

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0273

actual -0.0603

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.46673	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.424126	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.379848	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.381841	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.425076	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.44296	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.477116	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.505273	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.656555	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.3576	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.370914	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.381746	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.377866	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.371086	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.369897	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.389127	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.407153	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.411376	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.408134	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.419807	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.445358	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.452387	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.467929	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.46548	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.488449	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.465954	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.472348	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.459716	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.453253	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.466713	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.439694	-2.29%	0.499	+10.89%	0.1549	✗	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.435269	-1.63%	0.454	+2.60%	0.0278	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.429238	-1.55%	0.408	-6.42%	0.0556	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.428778	-1.77%	0.4145	-5.04%	0.0431	✓	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.402585	-3.22%	0.453	+8.89%	0.0769	✗	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.394199	-3.15%	0.467	+14.74%	0.1258	✗	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.395318	-2.99%	0.503	+23.44%	0.1871	✗	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.416311	-2.16%	0.535	+25.73%	0.2244	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.419919	-2.23%	0.7175	+67.05%	0.4855	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.422029	-1.97%	0.369	-14.29%	0.1703	✓	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.434996	-1.70%	0.3875	-12.43%	0.1670	✓	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.435851	-0.94%	0.3985	-9.43%	0.1397	✓	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.467071	-0.52%	0.3935	-16.19%	0.2023	✓	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.485627	-0.08%	0.3835	-21.09%	0.2621	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.489297	+0.47%	0.3815	-21.66%	0.2815	✗	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.494344	+1.30%	0.403	-17.42%	0.2433	✗	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.487698	+2.14%	0.4235	-11.31%	0.1850	✗	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.488557	+2.96%	0.426	-10.22%	0.1895	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.539543	+3.56%	0.421	-19.19%	0.2725	✗	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.530658	+3.64%	0.432	-15.62%	0.2650	✗	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.540311	+4.11%	0.461	-11.18%	0.2209	✗	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.548422	+5.26%	0.467	-10.36%	0.1944	✗	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.537444	+6.00%	0.483	-4.73%	0.1460	✗	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.553973	+5.92%	0.4795	-8.32%	0.1775	✗	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.553252	+5.78%	0.507	-3.06%	0.1292	✗	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.568721	+6.50%	0.4785	-10.39%	0.1985	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.56152	+5.75%	0.486	-8.47%	0.1762	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.562379	+4.92%	0.472	-11.94%	0.2120	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.565861	+4.60%	0.464	-14.23%	0.2326	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.575025	+3.80%	0.4795	-13.45%	0.2377	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.56723	+3.89%	0.45	-17.58%	0.2949	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.562066	+4.67%	0.4425	-17.60%	0.2587	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.541929	+2.44%	0.436	-17.58%	0.2843	✗	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.514259	-0.91%	0.4365	-15.90%	0.2643	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.492763	-1.84%	0.416	-17.13%	0.2831	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.496404	-2.09%	0.407	-19.72%	0.3096	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.499	-1.38%	0.4075	-19.47%	0.3291	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.509078	-1.72%	0.4255	-17.86%	0.3260	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.514187	-1.87%	0.4295	-18.03%	0.3186	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.514765	-2.14%	0.4305	-18.16%	0.3188	✓	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.512251	-2.24%	0.4425	-15.55%	0.2922	✓	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.516264	-2.59%	0.44	-16.98%	0.2972	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.515833	-2.86%	0.4695	-11.58%	0.2474	✓	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.510934	-3.42%	0.486	-8.13%	0.1948	✓	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.497413	-3.42%	0.487	-5.44%	0.1724	✓	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.486025	-3.57%	0.488	-3.17%	0.1738	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.479652	-3.30%	0.4775	-3.73%	0.1852	✓	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.474529	-4.14%	0.4745	-4.14%	0.1749	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.475631	-4.30%	0.521	+4.83%	0.1050	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.479222	-3.77%	0.512	+2.81%	0.0978	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.482982	-3.21%	0.519	+4.01%	0.0895	✓	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.474619	-2.94%	0.521	+6.54%	0.0889	✓	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.478267	-2.59%	0.507	+3.26%	0.1137	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.476535	-3.34%	0.523	+6.09%	0.0654	✓	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.472486	-2.98%	0.523	+7.39%	0.0697	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.480818	-3.06%	0.534	+7.66%	0.0891	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.483007	-3.01%	0.531	+6.63%	0.0956	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.516478	-3.10%	0.536	+0.56%	0.1222	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.519131	-3.51%	0.541	+0.56%	0.1403	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.514812	-3.41%	0.554	+3.94%	0.0967	✓	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.534385	-2.84%	0.546	-0.73%	0.1263	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.548085	-1.95%	0.537	-3.94%	0.1671	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.549493	-1.70%	0.529	-5.37%	0.1184	✓	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.549522	-2.05%	0.519	-7.49%	0.1087	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.58644	-2.58%	0.502	-16.61%	0.1555	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.590281	-2.75%	0.507	-16.47%	0.1477	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.594417	-3.19%	0.506	-17.59%	0.1458	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.596586	-3.47%	0.518	-16.18%	0.1304	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.612177	-3.75%	0.524	-17.61%	0.1306	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.602524	-4.06%	0.526	-16.24%	0.1136	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.571385	-4.45%	0.524	-12.37%	0.1028	✓	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.582596	-4.49%	0.53	-13.11%	0.0917	✓	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.587115	-4.38%	0.531	-13.52%	0.1023	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.589891	-4.08%	0.529	-13.98%	0.1184	✓	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.580514	-4.21%	0.515	-15.02%	0.1425	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.578884	-4.47%	0.504	-16.83%	0.1735	✓	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.592445	-3.67%	0.496	-19.35%	0.1900	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.607588	-3.40%	0.495	-21.30%	0.2128	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.613642	-3.52%	0.497	-21.86%	0.2170	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.618055	-3.58%	0.498	-22.31%	0.2210	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.610438	-3.87%	0.499	-21.42%	0.2143	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.605648	-4.17%	0.489	-22.63%	0.2309	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.575932	-4.80%	0.491	-18.84%	0.1971	✓	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.536454	-5.55%	0.493	-13.20%	0.1622	✓	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.503371	-4.21%	0.487	-7.33%	0.0844	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.49189	-3.74%	0.496	-2.94%	0.0516	✓	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.497465	-3.96%	0.498	-3.86%	0.0504	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.494474	-4.54%	0.533	+2.90%	0.0028	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.487931	-5.26%	0.538	+4.47%	0.0350	✓	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.490867	-6.32%	0.533	+1.72%	0.0403	✓	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.503661	-7.07%	0.55	+1.48%	0.0558	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.519999	-7.47%	0.559	-0.53%	0.0447	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.529263	-7.15%	0.559	-1.93%	0.0118	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.539881	-7.40%	0.561	-3.77%	0.0252	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.527461	-7.14%	0.602	+5.99%	0.1160	✗	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.530126	-6.83%	0.607	+6.68%	0.1095	✗	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.542476	-7.27%	0.614	+4.96%	0.1312	✗	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.544868	-7.34%	0.618	+5.10%	0.1510	✗	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.559525	-7.36%	0.636	+5.30%	0.1498	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.557198	-7.13%	0.628	+4.67%	0.1295	✗	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.554698	-6.93%	0.598	+0.34%	0.1061	✗	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.567979	-7.04%	0.61	-0.16%	0.0685	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.524263	-6.88%	0.614	+9.06%	0.1550	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.484521	-6.64%	0.615	+18.50%	0.2014	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.464848	-6.66%	0.606	+21.69%	0.2443	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.461843	-6.70%	0.606	+22.42%	0.2834	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.448613	-6.73%	0.615	+27.86%	0.3152	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.425896	-7.41%	0.629	+36.74%	0.3465	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.421287	-8.02%	0.636	+38.86%	0.3770	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.454397	-8.02%	0.641	+29.76%	0.3532	✗	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.482534	-8.96%	0.635	+19.81%	0.2935	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.446046	-8.41%	0.632	+29.77%	0.4219	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.466485	-7.07%	0.605	+20.52%	0.4166	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.476371	-5.29%	0.568	+12.92%	0.3894	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.478048	-4.77%	0.5255	+4.68%	0.2852	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.460235	-4.71%	0.511	+5.80%	0.3000	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.442518	-4.63%	0.518	+11.64%	0.3464	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.444283	-4.46%	0.518	+11.40%	0.3529	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.449978	-5.07%	0.515	+8.65%	0.3578	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.463931	-5.70%	0.524	+6.50%	0.3550	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.452464	-5.34%	0.542	+13.39%	0.3833	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.46648	-5.38%	0.562	+14.00%	0.3512	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.441569	-3.80%	0.57	+24.18%	0.4121	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.441087	-5.35%	0.583	+25.11%	0.4481	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.434783	-4.44%	0.568	+24.84%	0.4478	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.457017	-3.99%	0.569	+19.54%	0.4014	✗	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.477708	-3.69%	0.585	+17.94%	0.3744	✗	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.470026	-2.69%	0.588	+21.74%	0.3852	✗	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.503641	-3.15%	0.604	+16.15%	0.3396	✗	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.5233	-3.27%	0.6	+10.91%	0.3133	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.56001	-2.10%	0.596	+4.20%	0.2772	✗	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.541872	-3.92%	0.611	+8.33%	0.3284	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.584364	-1.62%	0.563	-5.22%	0.1772	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.60124	+0.37%	0.519	-13.36%	0.1145	✓	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.639702	-0.05%	0.498	-22.19%	0.0134	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.57552	+0.44%	0.495	-13.61%	0.0656	✓	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.569873	+1.22%	0.481	-14.56%	0.0365	✓	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.572884	+2.12%	0.46	-18.00%	0.0128	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.564746	+2.12%	0.458	-17.18%	0.0357	✓	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.556128	+2.23%	0.494	-9.19%	0.0552	✓	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.56114	+1.29%	0.53	-4.33%	0.1051	✓	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.543781	-0.41%	0.487	-10.81%	0.0091	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.547521	+0.46%	0.502	-7.89%	0.0151	✗	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.529839	-0.03%	0.503	-5.09%	0.0073	✓	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.505131	+1.03%	0.502	+0.40%	0.0172	✓	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.537714	+0.70%	0.483	-9.55%	0.0850	✗	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.656852	+1.21%	0.464	-28.51%	0.3218	✗	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.700376	+1.36%	0.465	-32.71%	0.3822	✗	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.719507	+2.06%	0.474	-32.77%	0.3922	✗	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.713178	+2.17%	0.492	-29.51%	0.3677	✗	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.713776	+1.82%	0.478	-31.81%	0.3966	✗	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.705968	+2.76%	0.493	-28.24%	0.3445	✗	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.711065	+2.16%	0.459	-34.05%	0.4127	✗	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.702549	-0.35%	0.466	-33.90%	0.4215	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.688768	-0.32%	0.455	-34.15%	0.4292	✓	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.65758	-2.29%	0.476	-29.27%	0.3502	✓	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.697106	-1.40%	0.496	-29.84%	0.3512	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.715506	+0.07%	0.483	-32.45%	0.3957	✗	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.681287	-1.55%	0.52	-24.86%	0.2963	✓	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.68525	-2.11%	0.541	-22.71%	0.2738	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.690693	-2.99%	0.572	-19.66%	0.2498	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.689135	-1.97%	0.564	-19.77%	0.2447	✓	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.675807	-2.90%	0.594	-14.66%	0.2154	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.705093	-2.48%	0.599	-17.15%	0.2375	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.712366	-2.01%	0.64	-11.97%	0.1854	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.715036	-1.92%	0.573	-21.40%	0.2985	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.715589	-1.84%	0.563	-22.77%	0.3197	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.735634	-1.78%	0.561	-25.10%	0.3415	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.705013	-2.62%	0.553	-23.62%	0.3538	✓	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.703812	-2.11%	0.544	-24.34%	0.3627	✓	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.708496	-2.41%	0.554	-23.69%	0.3594	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.705769	-2.25%	0.546	-24.38%	0.3622	✓	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.706787	-2.24%	0.545	-24.62%	0.3672	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.720208	-2.41%	0.53	-28.18%	0.3982	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.71455	-2.52%	0.5	-31.79%	0.4312	✓	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.701277	-2.74%	0.534	-25.94%	0.3561	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.691024	-2.81%	0.649	-8.72%	0.1590	✓	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.699774	-2.94%	0.691	-4.16%	0.1140	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.70461	-2.95%	0.705	-2.89%	0.1113	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.726831	-3.09%	0.698	-6.93%	0.1193	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.771239	-1.88%	0.701	-10.81%	0.1485	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.774565	-2.32%	0.687	-13.37%	0.1869	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.78075	-1.79%	0.696	-12.45%	0.1781	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.736947	-2.78%	0.705	-6.99%	0.1182	✓	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.755767	-2.61%	0.691	-10.95%	0.1496	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.783569	-1.56%	0.673	-15.45%	0.1808	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.774974	-1.90%	0.707	-10.51%	0.1415	✓	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.814786	-1.12%	0.715	-13.23%	0.1804	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.868097	-1.91%	0.692	-21.81%	0.2368	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.853296	-2.26%	0.7	-19.82%	0.1976	✓	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.838464	-1.59%	0.712	-16.43%	0.1748	✓	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.827466	-1.26%	0.703	-16.11%	0.1903	✓	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.824951	-1.20%	0.696	-16.65%	0.1683	✓	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.820355	-1.28%	0.723	-13.00%	0.1484	✓	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.804866	-1.24%	0.727	-10.80%	0.1260	✓	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.777582	-1.20%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0805	✓	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.778025	-1.14%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0887	✓	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.76107	-1.67%	0.749	-3.23%	0.0702	✓	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.755733	-2.61%	0.724	-6.70%	0.0577	✓	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.754839	-3.10%	0.719	-7.70%	0.0569	✓	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.774494	-2.70%	0.726	-8.79%	0.0317	✓	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.779253	-3.08%	0.722	-10.20%	0.0235	✓	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.773264	-2.98%	0.723	-9.28%	0.0530	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.784308	-2.75%	0.738	-8.49%	0.0537	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.744716	-4.15%	0.733	-5.66%	0.0401	✓	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.769768	-3.30%	0.721	-9.42%	0.0631	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.77606	-3.83%	0.711	-11.90%	0.0886	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.809672	-2.92%	0.721	-13.55%	0.1042	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.809251	-2.73%	0.726	-12.74%	0.0921	✓	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.727122	-4.33%	0.75	-1.32%	0.0135	✓	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.738534	-3.96%	0.786	+2.21%	0.0009	✓	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.732701	-3.08%	0.793	+4.89%	0.0516	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.735656	-3.33%	0.795	+4.47%	0.0497	✗	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.710222	-3.24%	0.758	+3.27%	0.0665	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.689244	-3.06%	0.776	+9.14%	0.0998	✗	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.691637	-3.13%	0.796	+11.48%	0.1012	✗	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.810473	-3.63%	0.79	-6.06%	0.0479	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.83009	-3.92%	0.824	-4.63%	0.0286	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.82692	-3.96%	0.885	+2.79%	0.0228	✓	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.840849	-4.23%	0.873	-0.57%	0.0062	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.843959	-4.20%	0.852	-3.29%	0.0258	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.820714	-3.45%	0.838	-1.41%	0.0245	✓	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.788078	-3.42%	0.835	+2.33%	0.0231	✓	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.810457	-4.20%	0.831	-1.77%	0.0099	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.844206	-4.72%	0.815	-8.01%	0.0361	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.848312	-4.90%	0.787	-11.77%	0.0723	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.858185	-4.96%	0.787	-12.85%	0.0794	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.830043	-5.57%	0.774	-11.95%	0.0284	✓	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.815928	+1.23%	0.776	-3.72%	0.0906	✗	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.806355	-6.99%	0.779	-10.15%	0.0144	✓	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.83735	-6.55%	0.796	-11.16%	0.0051	✓	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.87027	-4.89%	0.804	-12.13%	0.0221	✓	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.848744	-5.59%	0.797	-11.35%	0.0215	✓	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.880667	-4.69%	0.8065	-12.72%	0.0134	✓	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.927878	-2.12%	0.777	-18.04%	0.0209	✓	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.920605	-1.54%	0.796	-14.87%	0.0433	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.960562	-1.78%	0.807	-17.48%	0.0744	✗	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.955796	-1.87%	0.834	-14.37%	0.0901	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.934815	-1.49%	0.832	-12.33%	0.0906	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.903306	-0.95%	0.76	-16.67%	0.0612	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.917486	-2.40%	0.769	-18.19%	0.0720	✗	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.906984	-2.47%	0.756	-18.71%	0.0407	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.890473	-2.36%	0.761	-16.56%	0.0613	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.887476	-2.58%	0.734	-19.43%	0.0285	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.914229	-3.26%	0.711	-24.76%	0.0275	✓	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.957907	-2.55%	0.714	-27.37%	0.0253	✓	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.977526	-1.36%	0.841	-15.14%	0.1146	✗	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	0.993483	-1.24%	0.864	-14.12%	0.1207	✗	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	0.998087	-1.57%	0.861	-15.09%	0.1178	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.972313	-1.49%	0.878	-11.04%	0.1533	✗	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.0041	-2.13%	0.881	-14.13%	0.1407	✗	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.949072	-0.20%	0.85	-10.62%	0.1674	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	1.021	+1.39%	0.816	-18.97%	0.0475	✓	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	1.0289	+2.18%	0.846	-15.99%	0.0511	✓	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0885	+0.97%	0.886	-17.81%	0.0260	✓	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0898	+1.09%	0.892	-17.25%	0.0325	✓	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0931	+0.56%	0.903	-16.93%	0.0633	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.1108	-0.46%	0.879	-21.24%	0.0750	✗	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1407	-1.41%	0.806	-30.34%	0.1351	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1417	-1.15%	0.867	-24.94%	0.0269	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.143	-1.38%	0.896	-22.69%	0.0074	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1491	-1.53%	0.915	-21.59%	0.0509	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.1438	-1.57%	0.899	-22.63%	0.0455	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.1288	-1.76%	0.924	-19.58%	0.0500	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.1131	-2.01%	0.948	-16.55%	0.1123	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.1193	-1.38%	0.935	-17.62%	0.1246	✓	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.101	-1.61%	0.978	-12.60%	0.1475	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.0956	-0.94%	0.974	-11.93%	0.1351	✓	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.127	-1.23%	0.949	-16.83%	0.1782	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.1793	-1.97%	0.912	-24.19%	0.2464	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.2066	-2.15%	0.94	-23.76%	0.2770	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.2371	-2.28%	0.93	-26.54%	0.3121	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2665	-2.57%	0.912	-29.85%	0.3581	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2541	-2.48%	0.911	-29.16%	0.3315	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.2414	-2.56%	0.945	-25.82%	0.2680	✓	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.2336	-2.64%	0.983	-22.42%	0.2899	✓	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2447	-2.84%	0.991	-22.64%	0.3098	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.1895	-2.34%	1.006	-17.41%	0.3104	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.1994	-2.41%	1.014	-17.49%	0.3058	✓	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.2258	-3.18%	0.987	-22.04%	0.3299	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.2126	-2.21%	1.026	-17.26%	0.3215	✓	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.2419	-3.35%	0.951	-25.99%	0.3723	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.2615	-4.50%	1.007	-23.77%	0.2391	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.249	-4.51%	1.007	-23.01%	0.2241	✓	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.2746	-5.73%	1.078	-20.27%	0.1356	✓	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.307	-6.11%	1.078	-22.56%	0.1700	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.343	-6.73%	1.087	-24.51%	0.1870	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.3019	-6.61%	1.116	-19.94%	0.1634	✓	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.2936	-7.01%	1.157	-16.82%	0.1603	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.3176	-6.95%	1.155	-18.43%	0.2004	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.2948	-6.78%	1.159	-16.56%	0.1433	✓	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.3494	-7.19%	1.167	-19.74%	0.1228	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.3764	-7.13%	1.162	-21.59%	0.1171	✓	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.3331	-6.71%	1.149	-19.59%	0.1096	✓	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.3185	-5.35%	1.136	-18.45%	0.1692	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.3793	-6.30%	1.135	-22.89%	0.1628	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.3805	-6.31%	1.119	-24.06%	0.1493	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.3996	-6.19%	1.106	-25.87%	0.1862	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4042	-6.13%	1.141	-23.73%	0.1505	✓	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.3946	-6.03%	1.203	-18.94%	0.0960	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.3875	-5.68%	1.233	-16.18%	0.1154	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.3812	-5.79%	1.266	-13.64%	0.0759	✓	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.321	-5.37%	1.3	-6.88%	0.0267	✓	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.3054	-5.20%	1.286	-6.61%	0.0837	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.2975	-5.22%	1.274	-6.94%	0.0814	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.3342	-5.71%	1.267	-10.46%	0.0830	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.3669	-5.86%	1.281	-11.78%	0.0020	✓	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.3772	-5.87%	1.218	-16.75%	0.0184	✓	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.3477	-5.75%	1.229	-14.06%	0.0205	✓	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.3457	-5.83%	1.266	-11.41%	0.0582	✓	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.3636	-6.02%	1.24	-14.54%	0.0775	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3217	-5.80%	1.285	-8.41%	0.0907	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.3533	-4.96%	1.321	-7.23%	0.1562	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.4015	-4.53%	1.308	-10.90%	0.1476	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.4046	-4.32%	1.352	-7.90%	0.1598	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.4496	-4.57%	1.392	-8.36%	0.2192	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.4372	-4.76%	1.44	-4.57%	0.2291	✗	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.4059	-5.20%	1.394	-6.00%	0.2193	✗	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.4372	-5.57%	1.391	-8.61%	0.2117	✗	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.3314	-3.38%	1.416	+2.76%	0.2883	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3475	-3.54%	1.389	-0.57%	0.3028	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.303	-3.12%	1.454	+8.10%	0.2873	✗	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3261	-4.66%	1.482	+6.54%	0.3632	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.4526	-4.87%	1.429	-6.42%	0.3456	✗	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.4525	-4.79%	1.393	-8.69%	0.4221	✗	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4285	-4.51%	1.472	-1.60%	0.3978	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.3882	-4.59%	1.4735	+1.27%	0.3957	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.4043	-3.48%	1.492	+2.54%	0.4312	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.4292	-1.90%	1.496	+2.68%	0.4678	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.4609	-0.68%	1.484	+0.88%	0.4778	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4845	-0.77%	1.471	-1.67%	0.5311	✗	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.4202	-0.82%	1.466	+2.37%	0.5030	✗	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.4157	-0.86%	1.396	-2.24%	0.4834	✗	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3946	-0.38%	1.377	-1.64%	0.5172	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.3766	-0.89%	1.369	-1.44%	0.4743	✗	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3848	-0.08%	1.415	+2.09%	0.4821	✗	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.4102	+0.16%	1.452	+3.12%	0.4240	✓	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.399	-0.00%	1.463	+4.57%	0.3664	✗	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.3708	-0.30%	1.43	+4.00%	0.3547	✗	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.3544	-0.11%	1.429	+5.38%	0.3052	✗	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.3543	+0.99%	1.451	+8.20%	0.3273	✓	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.3968	+1.95%	1.403	+2.41%	0.3399	✓	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.4337	+2.48%	1.424	+1.79%	0.2625	✓	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.4701	+2.09%	1.468	+1.94%	0.2675	✓	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.4024	+4.50%	1.468	+9.39%	0.2764	✓	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.3669	+6.13%	1.519	+17.93%	0.1994	✓	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.4137	+5.42%	1.509	+12.53%	0.2259	✓	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.6329	-3.09%	1.483	-11.99%	0.2277	✗	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.7096	-3.52%	1.522	-14.11%	0.2150	✗	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.6969	-3.09%	1.378	-21.30%	0.1241	✗	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.7857	-4.41%	1.397	-25.21%	0.0825	✗	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.736	-4.51%	1.345	-26.02%	0.0970	✗	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.7669	-4.75%	1.391	-25.01%	0.0119	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.8002	-5.40%	1.527	-19.76%	0.0185	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.873	-5.55%	1.5255	-23.07%	0.0358	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.8309	-4.64%	1.496	-22.08%	0.0543	✓	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.7544	-2.75%	1.455	-19.35%	0.0904	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.824	-3.03%	1.455	-22.65%	0.1588	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.7912	-2.65%	1.457	-20.82%	0.2177	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.7592	-2.59%	1.471	-18.55%	0.2519	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.7407	-2.59%	1.496	-16.28%	0.2324	✓	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.6923	-2.12%	1.432	-17.18%	0.2116	✓	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.8214	-2.60%	1.428	-23.64%	0.2051	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.7908	-2.14%	1.4	-23.50%	0.2142	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.8801	-2.33%	1.389	-27.84%	0.2104	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.1017	-3.41%	1.386	-36.31%	0.3025	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.0816	-3.45%	1.408	-34.69%	0.3230	✓	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	2.0607	-3.43%	1.399	-34.44%	0.3085	✓	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.1898	-4.58%	1.375	-40.09%	0.3596	✓	1.20
2025-09-17	oos	2.329	2.2192	-4.72%	1.356	-41.78%	0.3873	✓	1.17

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.