XNO

Nano · native · gru_s2

token id: #417
symbol: XNO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-11-02
predictions: 3,849

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1519

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0160

actual -0.0255

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.34266	0.332675	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-21	oos	0.34291	0.336516	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-20	oos	0.33846	0.331388	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.333005	0.325998	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.338215	0.33026	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.335595	0.326939	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.341125	0.330916	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-15	oos	0.32984	0.324143	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.344615	0.335024	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-13	oos	0.328575	0.323174	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-12	oos	0.33287	0.325782	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.34746	0.338863	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.345915	0.338326	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.34373	0.336445	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-08	oos	0.33524	0.328652	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.35298	0.342551	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-06	oos	0.362635	0.352127	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.36259	0.356179	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-04	oos	0.364235	0.359771	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-03	oos	0.36174	0.356765	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-02	oos	0.35914	0.356739	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-01	oos	0.37341	0.368275	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-30	oos	0.35865	0.354668	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.364715	0.359404	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-28	oos	0.369635	0.364052	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-27	oos	0.38062	0.373843	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-26	oos	0.38113	0.373729	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-25	oos	0.376805	0.374228	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-24	oos	0.372925	0.376696	+1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-23	oos	0.38447	0.385808	+0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-22	oos	0.360625	0.37061	+2.77%	0.34266	-4.98%	0.0567	✗	0.94
2026-09-21	oos	0.388955	0.393634	+1.20%	0.34291	-11.84%	0.1104	✗	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.34467	0.350681	+1.74%	0.33846	-1.80%	0.0528	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.3489	0.358209	+2.67%	0.333005	-4.56%	0.0788	✗	0.79
2026-09-18	oos	0.342225	0.355671	+3.93%	0.338215	-1.17%	0.0613	✗	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.32074	0.327684	+2.16%	0.335595	+4.63%	0.0248	✗	0.76
2026-09-16	oos	0.3212	0.326958	+1.79%	0.341125	+6.20%	0.0092	✓	0.76
2026-09-15	oos	0.312845	0.317223	+1.40%	0.32984	+5.43%	0.0251	✗	0.77
2026-09-14	oos	0.333015	0.341967	+2.69%	0.344615	+3.48%	0.0242	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.342665	0.347581	+1.43%	0.328575	-4.11%	0.1156	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.343655	0.354037	+3.02%	0.33287	-3.14%	0.1041	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.338685	0.353879	+4.49%	0.34746	+2.59%	0.0792	✗	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.32788	0.340394	+3.82%	0.345915	+5.50%	0.0443	✗	0.75
2026-09-09	oos	0.331915	0.349404	+5.27%	0.34373	+3.56%	0.0567	✗	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.373055	0.3868	+3.68%	0.33524	-10.14%	0.1698	✗	0.66
2026-09-07	oos	0.390565	0.402728	+3.11%	0.35298	-9.62%	0.1648	✗	0.64
2026-09-06	oos	0.39018	0.406642	+4.22%	0.362635	-7.06%	0.1559	✗	0.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.39275	0.409401	+4.24%	0.36259	-7.68%	0.1687	✗	0.66
2026-09-04	oos	0.384545	0.402973	+4.79%	0.364235	-5.28%	0.1587	✗	0.70
2026-09-03	oos	0.395465	0.418914	+5.93%	0.36174	-8.53%	0.1761	✗	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.387715	0.400498	+3.30%	0.35914	-7.37%	0.1748	✗	0.74
2026-09-01	oos	0.38872	0.401698	+3.34%	0.37341	-3.94%	0.1409	✗	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.3909	0.406416	+3.97%	0.35865	-8.25%	0.1718	✗	0.76
2026-08-30	oos	0.376075	0.394188	+4.82%	0.364715	-3.02%	0.1300	✗	0.71
2026-08-29	oos	0.39877	0.416528	+4.45%	0.369635	-7.31%	0.1645	✗	0.70
2026-08-28	oos	0.376515	0.396562	+5.32%	0.38062	+1.09%	0.0972	✗	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.40503	0.428941	+5.90%	0.38113	-5.90%	0.1509	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.398875	0.422049	+5.81%	0.376805	-5.53%	0.1537	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.394045	0.415979	+5.57%	0.372925	-5.36%	0.1555	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.398445	0.420173	+5.45%	0.38447	-3.51%	0.1313	✗	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.405	0.419573	+3.60%	0.360625	-10.96%	0.2182	✗	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	0.402065	0.417189	+3.76%	0.388955	-3.26%	0.1456	✗	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.40758	0.430471	+5.62%	0.34467	-15.44%	0.2452	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.381915	0.383117	+0.31%	0.3489	-8.64%	0.1589	✗	0.61
2026-08-19	oos	0.37764	0.364914	-3.37%	0.342225	-9.38%	0.1658	✓	0.66
2026-08-18	oos	0.360345	0.341759	-5.16%	0.32074	-10.99%	0.1721	✓	0.66
2026-08-17	oos	0.35789	0.33901	-5.28%	0.3212	-10.25%	0.1633	✓	0.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.35338	0.336369	-4.81%	0.312845	-11.47%	0.1945	✓	0.66
2026-08-15	oos	0.356795	0.340448	-4.58%	0.333015	-6.66%	0.1648	✓	0.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.36458	0.346494	-4.96%	0.342665	-6.01%	0.1424	✓	0.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.37319	0.355645	-4.70%	0.343655	-7.91%	0.1614	✓	0.64
2026-08-12	oos	0.38501	0.368263	-4.35%	0.338685	-12.03%	0.2124	✓	0.65
2026-08-11	oos	0.382065	0.36455	-4.58%	0.32788	-14.18%	0.2286	✓	0.66
2026-08-10	oos	0.40063	0.380143	-5.11%	0.331915	-17.15%	0.2730	✓	0.68
2026-08-09	oos	0.406245	0.388197	-4.44%	0.373055	-8.17%	0.1720	✓	0.69
2026-08-08	oos	0.40739	0.390107	-4.24%	0.390565	-4.13%	0.1358	✓	0.69
2026-08-07	oos	0.40121	0.384762	-4.10%	0.39018	-2.75%	0.1354	✓	0.70
2026-08-06	oos	0.403795	0.384919	-4.67%	0.39275	-2.74%	0.1310	✓	0.70
2026-08-05	oos	0.408635	0.387053	-5.28%	0.384545	-5.90%	0.1532	✓	0.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.40501	0.381563	-5.79%	0.395465	-2.36%	0.1317	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.39567	0.373519	-5.60%	0.387715	-2.01%	0.1026	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.39932	0.379683	-4.92%	0.38872	-2.65%	0.1189	✓	0.72
2026-08-01	oos	0.400715	0.380274	-5.10%	0.3909	-2.45%	0.1332	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.400915	0.380272	-5.15%	0.376075	-6.20%	0.1629	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.395785	0.378038	-4.48%	0.39877	+0.75%	0.0889	✓	0.75
2026-07-29	oos	0.41253	0.390363	-5.37%	0.376515	-8.73%	0.1937	✓	0.80
2026-07-28	oos	0.38929	0.371236	-4.64%	0.40503	+4.04%	0.0911	✓	0.78
2026-07-27	oos	0.38197	0.364607	-4.55%	0.398875	+4.43%	0.0777	✓	0.78
2026-07-26	oos	0.395485	0.378052	-4.41%	0.394045	-0.36%	0.1066	✓	0.81
2026-07-25	oos	0.390705	0.374772	-4.08%	0.398445	+1.98%	0.1079	✓	0.82
2026-07-24	oos	0.41415	0.393011	-5.10%	0.405	-2.21%	0.1337	✓	0.85
2026-07-23	oos	0.409065	0.39022	-4.61%	0.402065	-1.71%	0.1147	✓	0.85
2026-07-22	oos	0.39832	0.384063	-3.58%	0.40758	+2.32%	0.0866	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.37661	0.367822	-2.33%	0.381915	+1.41%	0.0431	✓	0.87
2026-07-20	oos	0.48354	0.442079	-8.57%	0.37764	-21.90%	0.2211	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.325585	0.323437	-0.66%	0.360345	+10.68%	0.1081	✗	0.90
2026-07-18	oos	0.343045	0.338348	-1.37%	0.35789	+4.33%	0.0608	✗	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.32352	0.320835	-0.83%	0.35338	+9.23%	0.1115	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.323335	0.320764	-0.80%	0.356795	+10.35%	0.1168	✗	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	0.32426	0.321551	-0.84%	0.36458	+12.43%	0.1493	✗	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.3233	0.320189	-0.96%	0.37319	+15.43%	0.1746	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.30837	0.307774	-0.19%	0.38501	+24.85%	0.2083	✗	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	0.32136	0.320008	-0.42%	0.382065	+18.89%	0.1800	✗	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.33557	0.335709	+0.04%	0.40063	+19.39%	0.1750	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.331155	0.332062	+0.27%	0.406245	+22.68%	0.1924	✓	0.82
2026-07-09	oos	0.327475	0.327688	+0.07%	0.40739	+24.40%	0.1954	✓	0.83
2026-07-08	oos	0.3289	0.330009	+0.34%	0.40121	+21.99%	0.1607	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.32044	0.322559	+0.66%	0.403795	+26.01%	0.2120	✓	0.85
2026-07-06	oos	0.33525	0.336046	+0.24%	0.408635	+21.89%	0.1876	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.333905	0.337546	+1.09%	0.40501	+21.29%	0.1758	✓	0.88
2026-07-04	oos	0.336755	0.341083	+1.29%	0.39567	+17.49%	0.1432	✓	0.88
2026-07-03	oos	0.336785	0.345069	+2.46%	0.39932	+18.57%	0.1325	✓	0.87
2026-07-02	oos	0.32877	0.338434	+2.94%	0.400715	+21.88%	0.1511	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.31114	0.320982	+3.16%	0.400915	+28.85%	0.1834	✓	0.84
2026-06-30	oos	0.305425	0.315621	+3.34%	0.395785	+29.59%	0.1420	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.31101	0.321249	+3.29%	0.41253	+32.64%	0.1993	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.31556	0.324191	+2.74%	0.38929	+23.36%	0.1230	✓	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.31744	0.325529	+2.55%	0.38197	+20.33%	0.1073	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	0.322795	0.329942	+2.21%	0.395485	+22.52%	0.1070	✓	0.87
2026-06-25	oos	0.31255	0.320086	+2.41%	0.390705	+25.01%	0.1352	✓	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.330635	0.336576	+1.80%	0.41415	+25.26%	0.1653	✓	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.337635	0.342221	+1.36%	0.409065	+21.16%	0.1457	✓	0.87
2026-06-22	oos	0.34216	0.346251	+1.20%	0.39832	+16.41%	0.1112	✓	0.88
2026-06-21	oos	0.357425	0.359373	+0.54%	0.37661	+5.37%	0.0014	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	0.366945	0.368869	+0.52%	0.48354	+31.77%	0.2570	✓	0.90
2026-06-19	oos	0.35415	0.358802	+1.31%	0.325585	-8.07%	0.1138	✗	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.356655	0.359616	+0.83%	0.343045	-3.82%	0.0738	✗	0.89
2026-06-17	oos	0.37226	0.373459	+0.32%	0.32352	-13.09%	0.1361	✗	0.87
2026-06-16	oos	0.388165	0.391602	+0.89%	0.323335	-16.70%	0.1669	✗	0.86
2026-06-15	oos	0.37332	0.378353	+1.35%	0.32426	-13.14%	0.1346	✗	0.83
2026-06-14	oos	0.371885	0.376293	+1.19%	0.3233	-13.06%	0.1427	✗	0.83
2026-06-13	oos	0.36549	0.371624	+1.68%	0.30837	-15.63%	0.1590	✗	0.81
2026-06-12	oos	0.358285	0.365662	+2.06%	0.32136	-10.31%	0.1316	✗	0.78
2026-06-11	oos	0.364465	0.370631	+1.69%	0.33557	-7.93%	0.1019	✗	0.78
2026-06-10	oos	0.390355	0.394027	+0.94%	0.331155	-15.17%	0.2107	✗	0.86
2026-06-09	oos	0.37744	0.382064	+1.23%	0.327475	-13.24%	0.1748	✗	0.86
2026-06-08	oos	0.39089	0.393239	+0.60%	0.3289	-15.86%	0.1674	✗	0.86
2026-06-07	oos	0.39358	0.395786	+0.56%	0.32044	-18.58%	0.2114	✗	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.37037	0.375062	+1.27%	0.33525	-9.48%	0.1528	✗	0.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.38946	0.391175	+0.44%	0.333905	-14.26%	0.1913	✗	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.40872	0.405795	-0.72%	0.336755	-17.61%	0.1775	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.40773	0.403404	-1.06%	0.336785	-17.40%	0.1618	✓	0.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.42684	0.416805	-2.35%	0.32877	-22.98%	0.1766	✓	0.75
2026-06-01	oos	0.43886	0.42904	-2.24%	0.31114	-29.10%	0.1916	✓	0.75
2026-05-31	oos	0.450085	0.438062	-2.67%	0.305425	-32.14%	0.1895	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.43754	0.428	-2.18%	0.31101	-28.92%	0.1664	✓	0.75
2026-05-29	oos	0.433275	0.423332	-2.29%	0.31556	-27.17%	0.1329	✓	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.437855	0.425626	-2.79%	0.31744	-27.50%	0.1348	✓	0.78
2026-05-27	oos	0.435685	0.42427	-2.62%	0.322795	-25.91%	0.1101	✓	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.442495	0.432746	-2.20%	0.31255	-29.37%	0.1423	✓	0.77
2026-05-25	oos	0.44272	0.435342	-1.67%	0.330635	-25.32%	0.0898	✓	0.78
2026-05-24	oos	0.434325	0.427822	-1.50%	0.337635	-22.26%	0.0761	✓	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.44786	0.440419	-1.66%	0.34216	-23.60%	0.1138	✓	0.77
2026-05-22	oos	0.43337	0.428223	-1.19%	0.357425	-17.52%	0.0464	✓	0.76
2026-05-21	oos	0.44927	0.448886	-0.09%	0.366945	-18.32%	0.0597	✓	0.75
2026-05-20	oos	0.432055	0.434229	+0.50%	0.35415	-18.03%	0.0546	✗	0.75
2026-05-19	oos	0.426455	0.428776	+0.54%	0.356655	-16.37%	0.0352	✗	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.43816	0.439904	+0.40%	0.37226	-15.04%	0.0347	✗	0.75
2026-05-17	oos	0.446525	0.446321	-0.05%	0.388165	-13.07%	0.0171	✓	0.74
2026-05-16	oos	0.44364	0.444735	+0.25%	0.37332	-15.85%	0.0527	✗	0.75
2026-05-15	oos	0.428835	0.435086	+1.46%	0.371885	-13.28%	0.0169	✗	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.439395	0.450186	+2.46%	0.36549	-16.82%	0.0370	✗	0.75
2026-05-13	oos	0.430355	0.435254	+1.14%	0.358285	-16.75%	0.0329	✗	0.73
2026-05-12	oos	0.45982	0.463866	+0.88%	0.364465	-20.74%	0.0765	✗	0.70
2026-05-11	oos	0.48521	0.488329	+0.64%	0.390355	-19.55%	0.0330	✗	0.67
2026-05-10	oos	0.47958	0.484712	+1.07%	0.37744	-21.30%	0.0553	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.46808	0.471506	+0.73%	0.39089	-16.49%	0.0220	✗	0.67
2026-05-08	oos	0.48016	0.48207	+0.40%	0.39358	-18.03%	0.0455	✗	0.67
2026-05-07	oos	0.46839	0.472004	+0.77%	0.37037	-20.93%	0.0628	✗	0.66
2026-05-06	oos	0.478935	0.489164	+2.14%	0.38946	-18.68%	0.0819	✗	0.51
2026-05-05	oos	0.45801	0.470114	+2.64%	0.40872	-10.76%	0.0226	✓	0.49
2026-05-04	oos	0.44539	0.453388	+1.80%	0.40773	-8.46%	0.0011	✓	0.48
2026-05-03	oos	0.44664	0.451468	+1.08%	0.42684	-4.43%	0.0211	✓	0.47
2026-05-02	oos	0.44915	0.454979	+1.30%	0.43886	-2.29%	0.0106	✓	0.47
2026-05-01	oos	0.44197	0.445892	+0.89%	0.450085	+1.84%	0.0384	✓	0.47
2026-04-30	oos	0.422945	0.422329	-0.15%	0.43754	+3.45%	0.0508	✗	0.46
2026-04-29	oos	0.44092	0.438431	-0.56%	0.433275	-1.73%	0.0029	✓	0.46
2026-04-28	oos	0.44498	0.444073	-0.20%	0.437855	-1.60%	0.0037	✗	0.48
2026-04-27	oos	0.498045	0.490826	-1.45%	0.435685	-12.52%	0.1006	✓	0.46
2026-04-26	oos	0.523205	0.515934	-1.39%	0.442495	-15.43%	0.1367	✓	0.46
2026-04-25	oos	0.5032	0.495852	-1.46%	0.44272	-12.02%	0.1110	✓	0.45
2026-04-24	oos	0.5207	0.509192	-2.21%	0.434325	-16.59%	0.1562	✓	0.45
2026-04-23	oos	0.501215	0.495561	-1.13%	0.44786	-10.65%	0.0915	✓	0.46
2026-04-22	oos	0.51946	0.509517	-1.91%	0.43337	-16.57%	0.1453	✓	0.46
2026-04-21	oos	0.517215	0.504394	-2.48%	0.44927	-13.14%	0.1229	✓	0.46
2026-04-20	oos	0.539015	0.519256	-3.67%	0.432055	-19.84%	0.1936	✓	0.47
2026-04-19	oos	0.50787	0.490026	-3.51%	0.426455	-16.03%	0.1564	✓	0.45
2026-04-18	oos	0.5061	0.493448	-2.50%	0.43816	-13.42%	0.1260	✓	0.45
2026-04-17	oos	0.49453	0.488582	-1.20%	0.446525	-9.71%	0.0919	✓	0.46
2026-04-16	oos	0.488175	0.476699	-2.35%	0.44364	-9.12%	0.0896	✓	0.46
2026-04-15	oos	0.463105	0.455795	-1.58%	0.428835	-7.40%	0.0861	✓	0.46
2026-04-14	oos	0.465785	0.455478	-2.21%	0.439395	-5.67%	0.0772	✓	0.46
2026-04-13	oos	0.45387	0.445876	-1.76%	0.430355	-5.18%	0.0649	✓	0.47
2026-04-12	oos	0.44509	0.428902	-3.64%	0.45982	+3.31%	0.0067	✓	0.49
2026-04-11	oos	0.463955	0.454968	-1.94%	0.48521	+4.58%	0.0107	✓	0.48
2026-04-10	oos	0.44562	0.439904	-1.28%	0.47958	+7.62%	0.0298	✗	0.48
2026-04-09	oos	0.44253	0.436523	-1.36%	0.46808	+5.77%	0.0144	✗	0.48
2026-04-08	oos	0.43897	0.432617	-1.45%	0.48016	+9.38%	0.0470	✗	0.48
2026-04-07	oos	0.466105	0.456171	-2.13%	0.46839	+0.49%	0.0237	✓	0.47
2026-04-06	oos	0.443505	0.430136	-3.01%	0.478935	+7.99%	0.0305	✓	0.46
2026-04-05	oos	0.445685	0.43061	-3.38%	0.45801	+2.77%	0.0113	✓	0.46
2026-04-04	oos	0.44529	0.427899	-3.91%	0.44539	+0.02%	0.0397	✓	0.47
2026-04-03	oos	0.44003	0.424828	-3.45%	0.44664	+1.50%	0.0253	✓	0.47
2026-04-02	oos	0.442015	0.431249	-2.44%	0.44915	+1.61%	0.0358	✓	0.47
2026-04-01	oos	0.453505	0.442355	-2.46%	0.44197	-2.54%	0.0657	✓	0.47
2026-03-31	oos	0.44728	0.437067	-2.28%	0.422945	-5.44%	0.0864	✓	0.48
2026-03-30	oos	0.44441	0.433484	-2.46%	0.44092	-0.79%	0.0437	✓	0.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.421195	0.413231	-1.89%	0.44498	+5.65%	0.0057	✓	0.47
2026-03-28	oos	0.446195	0.435327	-2.44%	0.498045	+11.62%	0.0626	✗	0.47
2026-03-27	oos	0.4479	0.438551	-2.09%	0.523205	+16.81%	0.0970	✗	0.47
2026-03-26	oos	0.465255	0.457225	-1.73%	0.5032	+8.16%	0.0398	✗	0.46
2026-03-25	oos	0.488465	0.479244	-1.89%	0.5207	+6.60%	0.0456	✗	0.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.47489	0.465735	-1.93%	0.501215	+5.54%	0.0269	✗	0.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.47997	0.472219	-1.61%	0.51946	+8.23%	0.0514	✗	0.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.46207	0.455831	-1.35%	0.517215	+11.93%	0.0752	✗	0.43
2026-03-21	oos	0.46682	0.461753	-1.09%	0.539015	+15.47%	0.1130	✗	0.43
2026-03-20	oos	0.47651	0.476454	-0.01%	0.50787	+6.58%	0.0440	✗	0.43
2026-03-19	oos	0.48062	0.481497	+0.18%	0.5061	+5.30%	0.0152	✓	0.43
2026-03-18	oos	0.49359	0.495245	+0.34%	0.49453	+0.19%	0.0364	✗	0.44
2026-03-17	oos	0.4861	0.493835	+1.59%	0.488175	+0.43%	0.0191	✗	0.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.495095	0.50441	+1.88%	0.463105	-6.46%	0.0851	✗	0.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.497655	0.501277	+0.73%	0.465785	-6.40%	0.0818	✗	0.46
2026-03-14	oos	0.51064	0.510653	+0.00%	0.45387	-11.12%	0.1385	✗	0.47
2026-03-13	oos	0.51808	0.516422	-0.32%	0.44509	-14.09%	0.1474	✓	0.48
2026-03-12	oos	0.523065	0.519651	-0.65%	0.463955	-11.30%	0.1304	✓	0.48
2026-03-11	oos	0.522525	0.52075	-0.34%	0.44562	-14.72%	0.1745	✓	0.48
2026-03-10	oos	0.51612	0.514318	-0.35%	0.44253	-14.26%	0.1628	✓	0.48
2026-03-09	oos	0.52864	0.52279	-1.11%	0.43897	-16.96%	0.1935	✓	0.49
2026-03-08	oos	0.512065	0.508511	-0.69%	0.466105	-8.98%	0.1283	✓	0.48
2026-03-07	oos	0.526575	0.521701	-0.93%	0.443505	-15.78%	0.1735	✓	0.48
2026-03-06	oos	0.52998	0.526251	-0.70%	0.445685	-15.91%	0.1723	✓	0.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.541115	0.538753	-0.44%	0.44529	-17.71%	0.1660	✓	0.47
2026-03-04	oos	0.54116	0.543003	+0.34%	0.44003	-18.69%	0.1706	✗	0.48
2026-03-03	oos	0.53298	0.530321	-0.50%	0.442015	-17.07%	0.1716	✓	0.50
2026-03-02	oos	0.53544	0.529826	-1.05%	0.453505	-15.30%	0.1503	✓	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.519425	0.514224	-1.00%	0.44728	-13.89%	0.1578	✓	0.50
2026-02-28	oos	0.546595	0.540574	-1.10%	0.44441	-18.69%	0.1941	✓	0.51
2026-02-27	oos	0.528985	0.52493	-0.77%	0.421195	-20.38%	0.2209	✓	0.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.5266	0.523275	-0.63%	0.446195	-15.27%	0.1505	✓	0.51
2026-02-25	oos	0.53361	0.529931	-0.69%	0.4479	-16.06%	0.1558	✓	0.51
2026-02-24	oos	0.50804	0.505461	-0.51%	0.465255	-8.42%	0.1175	✓	0.49
2026-02-23	oos	0.506425	0.503642	-0.55%	0.488465	-3.55%	0.0798	✓	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.51858	0.515327	-0.63%	0.47489	-8.42%	0.1030	✓	0.50
2026-02-21	oos	0.5348	0.529985	-0.90%	0.47997	-10.25%	0.1203	✓	0.50
2026-02-20	oos	0.53781	0.537955	+0.03%	0.46207	-14.08%	0.1510	✗	0.50
2026-02-19	oos	0.54084	0.53974	-0.20%	0.46682	-13.69%	0.1595	✓	0.50
2026-02-18	oos	0.54083	0.540754	-0.01%	0.47651	-11.89%	0.1570	✓	0.51
2026-02-17	oos	0.551315	0.549263	-0.37%	0.48062	-12.82%	0.1539	✓	0.57
2026-02-16	oos	0.55834	0.555991	-0.42%	0.49359	-11.60%	0.1387	✓	0.58
2026-02-15	oos	0.55709	0.556073	-0.18%	0.4861	-12.74%	0.1748	✓	0.56
2026-02-14	oos	0.560785	0.559118	-0.30%	0.495095	-11.71%	0.1561	✓	0.49
2026-02-13	oos	0.57799	0.572435	-0.96%	0.497655	-13.90%	0.1688	✓	0.51
2026-02-12	oos	0.571605	0.566384	-0.91%	0.51064	-10.67%	0.1417	✓	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.558645	0.555643	-0.54%	0.51808	-7.26%	0.1040	✓	0.60
2026-02-10	oos	0.56027	0.563152	+0.51%	0.523065	-6.64%	0.0897	✗	0.64
2026-02-09	oos	0.57625	0.578191	+0.34%	0.522525	-9.32%	0.1022	✗	0.65
2026-02-08	oos	0.577925	0.579702	+0.31%	0.51612	-10.69%	0.1135	✗	0.58
2026-02-07	oos	0.59266	0.594844	+0.37%	0.52864	-10.80%	0.1107	✗	0.62
2026-02-06	oos	0.59118	0.594568	+0.57%	0.512065	-13.38%	0.1092	✗	0.60
2026-02-05	oos	0.5915	0.589579	-0.32%	0.526575	-10.98%	0.1620	✓	0.71
2026-02-04	oos	0.63777	0.629946	-1.23%	0.52998	-16.90%	0.1134	✓	0.86
2026-02-03	oos	0.63172	0.623571	-1.29%	0.541115	-14.34%	0.0819	✓	0.92
2026-02-02	oos	0.636005	0.62789	-1.28%	0.54116	-14.91%	0.0700	✓	0.99
2026-02-01	oos	0.6208	0.61457	-1.00%	0.53298	-14.15%	0.0742	✓	0.58
2026-01-31	oos	0.63032	0.623206	-1.13%	0.53544	-15.05%	0.0686	✓	0.62
2026-01-30	oos	0.648105	0.637258	-1.67%	0.519425	-19.85%	0.0470	✓	0.64
2026-01-29	oos	0.66526	0.651661	-2.04%	0.546595	-17.84%	0.0254	✓	0.65
2026-01-28	oos	0.701995	0.687285	-2.10%	0.528985	-24.65%	0.0766	✓	0.61
2026-01-27	oos	0.715065	0.699291	-2.21%	0.5266	-26.36%	0.1105	✓	0.62
2026-01-26	oos	0.703825	0.687892	-2.26%	0.53361	-24.18%	0.0939	✓	0.61
2026-01-25	oos	0.69043	0.673407	-2.47%	0.50804	-26.42%	0.0967	✓	0.62
2026-01-24	oos	0.699055	0.680371	-2.67%	0.506425	-27.56%	0.0969	✓	0.62
2026-01-23	oos	0.697175	0.678087	-2.74%	0.51858	-25.62%	0.0934	✓	0.62
2026-01-22	oos	0.7026	0.680693	-3.12%	0.5348	-23.88%	0.0702	✓	0.62
2026-01-21	oos	0.71167	0.686797	-3.49%	0.53781	-24.43%	0.0727	✓	0.63
2026-01-20	oos	0.70452	0.678072	-3.75%	0.54084	-23.23%	0.0508	✓	0.63
2026-01-19	oos	0.718195	0.691159	-3.76%	0.54083	-24.70%	0.0302	✓	0.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.741195	0.714305	-3.63%	0.551315	-25.62%	0.0453	✓	0.65
2026-01-17	oos	0.77356	0.745486	-3.63%	0.55834	-27.82%	0.0820	✓	0.64
2026-01-16	oos	0.745525	0.719721	-3.46%	0.55709	-25.28%	0.0449	✓	0.64
2026-01-15	oos	0.732105	0.705838	-3.59%	0.560785	-23.40%	0.0266	✓	0.65
2026-01-14	oos	0.764515	0.736592	-3.65%	0.57799	-24.40%	0.0194	✓	0.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.745725	0.712921	-4.40%	0.571605	-23.35%	0.0171	✓	0.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.70686	0.675227	-4.48%	0.558645	-20.97%	0.0039	✓	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.71005	0.678115	-4.50%	0.56027	-21.09%	0.0145	✓	0.63
2026-01-10	oos	0.725385	0.69269	-4.51%	0.57625	-20.56%	0.0194	✓	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.71941	0.688255	-4.33%	0.577925	-19.67%	0.0124	✓	0.74
2026-01-08	oos	0.72419	0.696955	-3.76%	0.59266	-18.16%	0.0368	✓	0.73
2026-01-07	oos	0.7353	0.706683	-3.89%	0.59118	-19.60%	0.1092	✗	1.12
2026-01-06	oos	0.76625	0.734576	-4.13%	0.5915	-22.81%	0.2274	✗	1.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.77096	0.735551	-4.59%	0.63777	-17.28%	0.1343	✗	1.10
2026-01-04	oos	0.75372	0.717205	-4.84%	0.63172	-16.19%	0.0851	✗	1.12
2026-01-03	oos	0.71924	0.686183	-4.60%	0.636005	-11.57%	0.0809	✗	1.11
2026-01-02	oos	0.72234	0.68823	-4.72%	0.6208	-14.06%	0.0709	✗	1.11
2026-01-01	oos	0.72369	0.691861	-4.40%	0.63032	-12.90%	0.0416	✓	1.12
2025-12-31	oos	0.68405	0.659048	-3.65%	0.648105	-5.25%	0.0264	✓	1.09
2025-12-30	oos	0.698395	0.672512	-3.71%	0.66526	-4.74%	0.0380	✗	1.09
2025-12-29	oos	0.70299	0.676439	-3.78%	0.701995	-0.14%	0.0111	✓	1.12
2025-12-28	oos	0.709505	0.682862	-3.76%	0.715065	+0.78%	0.0304	✓	1.12
2025-12-27	oos	0.717275	0.691944	-3.53%	0.703825	-1.88%	0.0115	✓	1.10
2025-12-26	oos	0.70967	0.684678	-3.52%	0.69043	-2.71%	0.0176	✓	1.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.6978	0.673731	-3.45%	0.699055	+0.18%	0.0133	✓	1.09
2025-12-24	oos	0.707015	0.680299	-3.78%	0.697175	-1.39%	0.0014	✓	1.09
2025-12-23	oos	0.704845	0.678959	-3.67%	0.7026	-0.32%	0.0090	✓	1.10
2025-12-22	oos	0.70533	0.677239	-3.98%	0.71167	+0.90%	0.0396	✓	1.10
2025-12-21	oos	0.69846	0.670945	-3.94%	0.70452	+0.87%	0.0529	✗	1.10
2025-12-20	oos	0.716845	0.685236	-4.41%	0.718195	+0.19%	0.0055	✓	1.12
2025-12-19	oos	0.69621	0.667284	-4.15%	0.741195	+6.46%	0.0369	✓	1.12
2025-12-18	oos	0.666735	0.643343	-3.51%	0.77356	+16.02%	0.0654	✗	1.11
2025-12-17	oos	0.687405	0.657695	-4.32%	0.745525	+8.45%	0.0113	✓	1.11
2025-12-16	oos	0.69065	0.65661	-4.93%	0.732105	+6.00%	0.0147	✓	1.12
2025-12-15	oos	0.702555	0.666764	-5.09%	0.764515	+8.82%	0.0065	✓	1.13
2025-12-14	oos	0.710215	0.670775	-5.55%	0.745725	+5.00%	0.0168	✓	1.13
2025-12-13	oos	0.74532	0.697665	-6.39%	0.70686	-5.16%	0.0016	✓	1.12
2025-12-12	oos	0.7369	0.693524	-5.89%	0.71005	-3.64%	0.0162	✓	1.12
2025-12-11	oos	0.75033	0.705731	-5.94%	0.725385	-3.32%	0.0542	✓	1.13
2025-12-10	oos	0.7453	0.700632	-5.99%	0.71941	-3.47%	0.0453	✓	1.13
2025-12-09	oos	0.77974	0.728967	-6.51%	0.72419	-7.12%	0.0138	✓	1.12
2025-12-08	oos	0.78526	0.735069	-6.39%	0.7353	-6.36%	0.0075	✓	1.14
2025-12-07	oos	0.78478	0.736018	-6.21%	0.76625	-2.36%	0.0008	✓	1.14
2025-12-06	oos	0.8023	0.756462	-5.71%	0.77096	-3.91%	0.0388	✓	1.15
2025-12-05	oos	0.79229	0.747441	-5.66%	0.75372	-4.87%	0.0191	✓	1.15
2025-12-04	oos	0.82378	0.775124	-5.91%	0.71924	-12.69%	0.0560	✓	1.15
2025-12-03	oos	0.846955	0.797177	-5.88%	0.72234	-14.71%	0.0549	✓	1.15
2025-12-02	oos	0.836055	0.78777	-5.78%	0.72369	-13.44%	0.0516	✓	1.16
2025-12-01	oos	0.806305	0.760428	-5.69%	0.68405	-15.16%	0.1228	✓	1.21
2025-11-30	oos	0.856215	0.802998	-6.22%	0.698395	-18.43%	0.1131	✓	1.20
2025-11-29	oos	0.865275	0.816427	-5.65%	0.70299	-18.76%	0.0996	✓	1.20
2025-11-28	oos	0.904475	0.853022	-5.69%	0.709505	-21.56%	0.1435	✓	1.20
2025-11-27	oos	0.89524	0.847642	-5.32%	0.717275	-19.88%	0.1198	✓	1.20
2025-11-26	oos	0.889755	0.83917	-5.69%	0.70967	-20.24%	0.1242	✓	1.22
2025-11-25	oos	0.86056	0.813384	-5.48%	0.6978	-18.91%	0.1511	✓	1.23
2025-11-24	oos	0.877655	0.827393	-5.73%	0.707015	-19.44%	0.1481	✓	1.22
2025-11-23	oos	0.8679	0.818556	-5.69%	0.704845	-18.79%	0.1585	✓	1.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.86898	0.81903	-5.75%	0.70533	-18.83%	0.2083	✓	1.32
2025-11-21	oos	0.852085	0.804499	-5.58%	0.69846	-18.03%	0.1956	✓	1.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.913385	0.854641	-6.43%	0.716845	-21.52%	0.2024	✓	1.30
2025-11-19	oos	1.0311	0.951213	-7.75%	0.69621	-32.48%	0.2668	✓	1.21
2025-11-18	oos	1.0746	0.986792	-8.17%	0.666735	-37.95%	0.2919	✓	1.20
2025-11-17	oos	1.2052	1.0749	-10.81%	0.687405	-42.96%	0.3646	✓	1.25
2025-11-16	oos	0.923325	0.864111	-6.41%	0.69065	-25.20%	0.1266	✓	1.40
2025-11-15	oos	1.0101	0.931638	-7.76%	0.702555	-30.44%	0.1441	✓	1.38
2025-11-14	oos	0.95881	0.89122	-7.05%	0.710215	-25.93%	0.1326	✓	1.36
2025-11-13	oos	1.115	1.0177	-8.73%	0.74532	-33.16%	0.1892	✓	1.24
2025-11-12	oos	1.3493	1.2004	-11.04%	0.7369	-45.38%	0.3520	✓	1.15
2025-11-11	oos	1.578	1.3659	-13.44%	0.75033	-52.45%	0.4783	✓	1.13
2025-11-10	oos	1.273	1.1329	-11.01%	0.7453	-41.45%	0.2367	✓	1.29
2025-11-09	oos	1.1109	1.0123	-8.88%	0.77974	-29.81%	0.1081	✓	1.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.1578	1.0374	-10.39%	0.78526	-32.18%	0.1202	✓	1.31
2025-11-07	oos	0.93374	0.876056	-6.18%	0.78478	-15.95%	0.0676	✗	1.33
2025-11-06	oos	0.8732	0.829383	-5.02%	0.8023	-8.12%	0.1322	✗	1.31
2025-11-05	oos	0.94788	0.88421	-6.72%	0.79229	-16.41%	0.0808	✗	1.27
2025-11-04	oos	0.860875	0.810437	-5.86%	0.82378	-4.31%	0.1356	✗	1.23
2025-11-03	oos	0.61213	0.615862	+0.61%	0.846955	+38.36%	0.5589	✓	1.83
2025-11-02	oos	0.66405	0.661278	-0.42%	0.836055	+25.90%	0.5823	✗	1.82
2025-11-01	oos	0.674925	0.669592	-0.79%	0.806305	+19.47%	0.6304	✗	1.83
2025-10-31	oos	0.646735	0.647581	+0.13%	0.856215	+32.39%	0.6313	✓	1.83
2025-10-30	oos	0.65003	0.64948	-0.08%	0.865275	+33.11%	0.6104	✗	1.84
2025-10-29	oos	0.673295	0.669802	-0.52%	0.904475	+34.34%	0.6479	✗	1.82
2025-10-28	oos	0.675675	0.677485	+0.27%	0.89524	+32.50%	0.6776	✓	1.88
2025-10-27	oos	0.69324	0.694457	+0.18%	0.889755	+28.35%	0.6835	✓	1.88
2025-10-26	oos	0.707275	0.706847	-0.06%	0.86056	+21.67%	0.7061	✗	1.88
2025-10-25	oos	0.689735	0.687265	-0.36%	0.877655	+27.25%	0.6924	✗	1.90
2025-10-24	oos	0.695195	0.692262	-0.42%	0.8679	+24.84%	0.6964	✗	1.91
2025-10-23	oos	0.678315	0.677294	-0.15%	0.86898	+28.11%	0.7499	✗	1.91
2025-10-22	oos	0.66128	0.665294	+0.61%	0.852085	+28.85%	0.6974	✓	1.92
2025-10-21	oos	0.677385	0.681527	+0.61%	0.913385	+34.84%	0.7229	✓	1.91
2025-10-20	oos	0.699755	0.701141	+0.20%	1.0311	+47.35%	0.7531	✓	1.94
2025-10-19	oos	0.68723	0.69104	+0.55%	1.0746	+56.37%	0.7439	✓	1.93
2025-10-18	oos	0.679925	0.6861	+0.91%	1.2052	+77.25%	0.8575	✓	1.94
2025-10-17	oos	0.666935	0.67456	+1.14%	0.923325	+38.44%	0.5501	✓	1.93
2025-10-16	oos	0.701185	0.704305	+0.44%	1.0101	+44.05%	0.5991	✓	1.92
2025-10-15	oos	0.719505	0.722722	+0.45%	0.95881	+33.26%	0.5904	✓	1.93
2025-10-14	oos	0.738545	0.742083	+0.48%	1.115	+50.98%	0.6533	✓	1.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.753725	0.756763	+0.40%	1.3493	+79.01%	0.8260	✓	1.97
2025-10-12	oos	0.705175	0.712656	+1.06%	1.578	+123.78%	1.0081	✓	1.93
2025-10-11	oos	0.631735	0.6406	+1.40%	1.273	+101.51%	0.7691	✓	1.86
2025-10-10	oos	0.62339	0.631546	+1.31%	1.1109	+78.21%	0.7096	✓	1.90
2025-10-09	oos	0.82541	0.823425	-0.24%	1.1578	+40.27%	0.5871	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.839735	0.841737	+0.24%	0.93374	+11.19%	0.3518	✓	1.40
2025-10-07	oos	0.837125	0.830293	-0.82%	0.8732	+4.31%	0.2976	✗	1.37
2025-10-06	oos	0.874475	0.867534	-0.79%	0.94788	+8.39%	0.3384	✗	1.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.847375	0.843962	-0.40%	0.860875	+1.59%	0.2881	✗	1.36
2025-10-04	oos	0.853565	0.849741	-0.45%	0.61213	-28.29%	0.1367	✓	1.38
2025-10-03	oos	0.85415	0.848487	-0.66%	0.66405	-22.26%	0.1055	✓	1.38
2025-10-02	oos	0.853765	0.84323	-1.23%	0.674925	-20.95%	0.0953	✓	1.39
2025-10-01	oos	0.845265	0.830591	-1.74%	0.646735	-23.49%	0.1374	✓	1.41
2025-09-30	oos	0.79235	0.775975	-2.07%	0.65003	-17.96%	0.1053	✓	1.39
2025-09-29	oos	0.806935	0.789576	-2.15%	0.673295	-16.56%	0.1043	✓	1.42
2025-09-28	oos	0.81925	0.802817	-2.01%	0.675675	-17.53%	0.1817	✓	1.47
2025-09-27	oos	0.807575	0.788796	-2.33%	0.69324	-14.16%	0.1883	✓	1.50
2025-09-26	oos	0.807705	0.788256	-2.41%	0.707275	-12.43%	0.1738	✓	1.51
2025-09-25	oos	0.77902	0.760777	-2.34%	0.689735	-11.46%	0.1338	✓	1.50
2025-09-24	oos	0.815455	0.791794	-2.90%	0.695195	-14.75%	0.0986	✓	1.53
2025-09-23	oos	0.798885	0.784687	-1.78%	0.678315	-15.09%	0.1195	✓	1.53
2025-09-22	oos	0.80539	0.788566	-2.09%	0.66128	-17.89%	0.1051	✓	1.52
2025-09-21	oos	0.851065	0.826799	-2.85%	0.677385	-20.41%	0.1070	✓	1.49
2025-09-20	oos	0.860485	0.835528	-2.90%	0.699755	-18.68%	0.1076	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.856565	0.839183	-2.03%	0.68723	-19.77%	0.1047	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.892515	0.86992	-2.53%	0.679925	-23.82%	0.1114	✓	1.53

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.