XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s2

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1171

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0215

actual -0.0280

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.292915	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.29416	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.29141	-6.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.2802	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.280746	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.281073	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.292799	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.290156	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.287887	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.299219	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.282081	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.297668	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.2785	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.277305	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.270173	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.289868	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.30844	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.312241	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.306561	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.29828	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.29286	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.301479	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.292685	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.288713	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.289989	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.297035	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.303638	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.306098	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.305878	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.302397	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.323846	-6.82%	0.31645	-8.95%	0.0010	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.318896	-6.13%	0.31537	-7.17%	0.0203	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.32428	-7.27%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.0616	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.33581	-8.49%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1198	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.277624	-6.06%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0629	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.242418	-4.81%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1489	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.24172	-4.70%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1947	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.23889	-4.24%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1782	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.261093	-4.31%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.1256	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.267508	-5.71%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.1050	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.254398	-4.28%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.1144	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.243397	-2.96%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1981	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.245058	-3.22%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.1186	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.255179	-3.22%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.1008	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.243911	-2.29%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1265	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.234078	-0.47%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2325	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.240773	-0.04%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2564	✗	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.238691	-0.05%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2661	✗	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.232133	+0.80%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2657	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.233335	+2.05%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2779	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.217245	-0.27%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2692	✗	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.214946	+0.27%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.3068	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.216884	+1.90%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.3078	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.215634	+2.24%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2856	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.226287	+3.02%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2528	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.226254	+2.52%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2597	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.240907	+4.36%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2546	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.235662	+3.39%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2736	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.232519	+3.98%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2724	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.239738	+4.17%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2288	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.241379	+2.68%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2476	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.238635	+2.67%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.2213	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.25121	+4.15%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2909	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.220122	-0.66%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3928	✗	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.207121	-3.53%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1777	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.191225	-4.44%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0931	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.189906	-4.75%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0946	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.18614	-4.44%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0759	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.188917	-4.56%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1150	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.187625	-4.54%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1794	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.187727	-4.58%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1143	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.185989	-4.27%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0664	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.18654	-4.10%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0879	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.189302	-4.66%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0940	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.191882	-5.13%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0394	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.197123	-5.25%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0560	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.191552	-4.91%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0239	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.190602	-5.05%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0305	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.187052	-4.90%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0419	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.188593	-4.78%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.0915	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.19287	-5.18%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1175	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.190551	-4.81%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1243	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.189939	-4.42%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1584	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.192219	-4.41%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1644	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.197167	-4.04%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1251	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.196833	-3.54%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1244	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.199757	-3.46%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1312	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.200373	-3.39%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1318	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.214404	-3.95%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1717	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.214786	-4.02%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1681	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.219054	-4.04%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1518	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.225234	-4.24%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1627	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.219701	-3.37%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1054	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.222569	-2.65%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1136	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.221328	-3.01%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1019	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.216762	-2.94%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0799	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.21881	-2.88%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.0872	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.216344	-2.67%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0854	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.21475	-2.59%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0675	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.221843	-2.51%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.0894	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.226191	-2.46%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1111	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.215229	-2.45%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1238	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.222231	-2.05%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1293	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.226571	-1.86%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1345	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.23189	-1.65%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1495	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.231304	-1.74%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1370	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.237022	-1.89%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2113	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.248741	-2.14%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2314	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.246825	-1.50%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2380	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.250316	-1.34%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2427	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.237659	-0.61%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1626	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.24215	-1.30%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.2081	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.214956	+0.26%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.1008	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.211482	+0.83%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.1009	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.204808	+1.21%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.1049	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.213163	+0.68%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.1078	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.212652	+1.07%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.1028	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.214902	+1.07%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.1005	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.219031	+1.41%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0722	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.216403	+1.72%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0455	✗	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.218313	+1.51%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0094	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.2243	+1.50%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0060	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.230813	+1.11%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0508	✗	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.232735	+1.64%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0728	✗	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.24071	+1.53%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0699	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.24705	+1.03%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.1215	✗	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.234828	+1.63%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0739	✗	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.248372	+1.33%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.1018	✗	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.248792	+1.63%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0902	✗	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.245745	+1.84%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0519	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.244239	+1.96%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0404	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.244101	+2.46%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0649	✗	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.241018	+2.98%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0638	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.241122	+2.87%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0470	✗	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.234355	+3.09%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0394	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.244072	+2.64%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0615	✗	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.251354	+2.31%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0257	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.251112	+2.29%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0118	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.25024	+2.36%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0522	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.24931	+2.49%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0257	✗	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.280058	+0.73%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.1472	✗	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.295195	-0.41%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1623	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.292028	-0.77%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.2290	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.310946	-2.22%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2313	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.320119	-2.39%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2446	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.322234	-2.97%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2363	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.298201	-2.12%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1600	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.30278	-2.27%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1707	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.309719	-2.79%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1705	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.321016	-3.24%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.2017	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.323635	-3.06%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1898	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.324895	-3.07%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.1948	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.333755	-3.32%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2154	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.323942	-3.17%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1874	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.337976	-3.34%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1863	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.33128	-2.85%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1248	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.326227	-2.31%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1667	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.333691	-2.42%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1498	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.332112	-2.36%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1576	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.346956	-2.92%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2182	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.353661	-3.09%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2236	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.36699	-2.89%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2251	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.361864	-3.48%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2386	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.373537	-2.96%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2591	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.387155	-2.57%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.2851	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.391081	-2.36%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2483	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.376603	-2.64%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2155	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.381878	-3.20%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2404	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.366433	-2.40%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1717	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.376771	-1.64%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.1967	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.36874	-1.67%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0644	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.356318	-1.54%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0150	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.354195	-2.37%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0386	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.357028	-2.53%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0275	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.356731	-2.56%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0292	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.353202	-3.31%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0307	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.358454	-3.39%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1333	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.371982	-3.36%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1487	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.368299	-2.67%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1081	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.365186	-1.49%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0620	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.361963	-2.03%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0761	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.364363	-2.14%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0776	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.369737	-1.26%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0491	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.366231	-1.64%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0571	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.357109	-2.60%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0356	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.356172	-2.79%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0632	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.342789	-3.19%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0637	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.356644	-2.32%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0571	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.372371	-1.97%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.0943	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.366017	-2.82%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0605	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.353466	-2.06%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0204	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.339191	-2.02%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0239	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.347686	-2.06%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0162	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.331906	-2.92%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0250	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.344491	-2.63%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0361	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.348818	-2.75%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0252	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.343044	-2.92%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0093	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.342028	-2.81%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0279	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.351285	-2.75%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0350	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.330977	-3.12%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0133	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.334244	-3.06%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0363	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.33875	-2.88%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0989	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.338836	-3.12%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0861	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.332941	-2.79%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0613	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.341916	-2.81%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0661	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.342659	-2.76%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0449	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.337876	-2.57%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0301	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.333116	-1.97%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0011	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.339094	-2.02%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0418	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.342702	-2.00%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0892	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.358976	-2.98%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0901	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.376432	-3.21%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.0917	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.384969	-3.78%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1300	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.379653	-3.53%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1161	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.366725	-3.14%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1163	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.376954	-2.97%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1227	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.392935	-2.58%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1490	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.3817	-1.98%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1222	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.385951	-1.89%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.0928	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.392371	-1.12%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0572	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.396661	-1.01%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0938	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.382231	-1.21%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1171	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.372755	-1.41%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0924	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.369395	-1.05%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0747	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.363148	-1.35%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0614	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.359791	-1.43%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0418	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.358885	-1.19%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0413	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.35889	-1.21%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0578	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.35594	-0.88%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0726	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.358771	-0.81%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0727	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.367653	-0.88%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0774	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.380768	-0.94%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0350	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.387199	-0.87%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0183	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.372451	-1.00%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0617	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.372823	-0.79%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0471	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.368311	-0.75%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0824	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.379871	-1.20%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0875	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.379402	-1.02%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.1118	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.386763	-1.34%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0930	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.390366	-1.42%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0847	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.364983	-0.31%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0585	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.368584	-0.10%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0449	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.376986	-0.54%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0168	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.385347	-0.85%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0216	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.389512	-0.74%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0263	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.380406	-0.61%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0076	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.382031	-0.72%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0057	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.391129	-0.98%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.396109	-0.79%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0411	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.395543	-0.62%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0696	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.417667	-1.31%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.1125	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.403506	-0.71%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0990	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.398268	-0.47%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.1266	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.394227	+0.02%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.1116	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.401396	-0.26%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.1116	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.409872	-0.20%	0.365	-11.13%	0.1175	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.41226	-0.01%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.1221	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.42044	-0.31%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.1340	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.426462	-0.79%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.1051	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.392584	-0.23%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1546	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.455636	-2.57%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.1307	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.460248	-2.72%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.1128	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.464485	-2.99%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0896	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.451559	-2.22%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0614	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.455912	-2.21%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0507	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.488391	-3.40%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0161	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.491092	-3.44%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0005	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.518391	-3.29%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0183	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.548076	-3.96%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0372	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.541932	-4.15%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0375	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.537662	-4.36%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0622	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.557617	-4.65%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0717	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.562093	-4.60%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0995	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.553654	-4.51%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0652	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.565714	-4.81%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0777	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.529773	-4.08%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0410	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.581902	-4.67%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0951	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.560197	-4.09%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0297	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.576475	-4.22%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0570	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.590012	-4.67%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0787	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.557487	-4.23%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0268	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.555142	-3.95%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0224	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.562675	-4.99%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0220	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.525925	-5.20%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0118	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.53976	-5.14%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0173	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.553152	-4.91%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.552859	-4.66%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0269	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.557892	-4.96%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0020	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.541158	-4.61%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0835	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.570501	-4.73%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.1102	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.538083	-3.85%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1603	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.522782	-3.87%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1301	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.511639	-3.85%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1038	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.508046	-3.85%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.0945	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.490164	-3.19%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.0942	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.481691	-2.65%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.0954	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.499186	-3.54%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0718	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.475759	-3.14%	0.536	+9.12%	0.0920	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.483657	-3.23%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1491	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.472848	-2.47%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1730	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.464754	-2.24%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2000	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.437254	-1.52%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2662	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.435941	-1.73%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2773	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.436177	-1.78%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2582	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.434739	-1.84%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3022	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.431448	-1.68%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2512	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.443742	-1.74%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2640	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.43782	-1.26%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2170	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.426171	-1.05%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2198	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.433954	-1.62%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2345	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.449549	-2.46%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1597	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.45026	-2.52%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1141	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.465266	-2.64%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1486	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.487288	-2.85%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1178	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.481002	-2.28%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1603	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.495433	-2.13%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.1883	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.482918	-2.18%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2025	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.486973	-2.31%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2081	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.483165	-1.94%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1524	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.46504	-1.77%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2103	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.472054	-1.70%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1103	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.470848	-1.45%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1158	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.489066	-1.34%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1038	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.496205	-1.31%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1083	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.482512	-0.66%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.0821	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.468059	-0.39%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0382	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.479972	-0.78%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1035	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.489682	-0.61%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0561	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.500408	-0.86%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0418	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.506504	-0.78%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0060	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.507139	-0.54%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0187	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.505782	-0.50%	0.444	-12.65%	0.1280	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.502231	-0.40%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.1142	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.490965	+0.46%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.1097	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.487967	+0.34%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1575	✗	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.497588	-0.09%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1815	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.50567	-0.43%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.1408	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.527301	-1.35%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.1197	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.536196	-1.71%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0996	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.523402	-1.15%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0762	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.539907	-2.08%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0584	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.55709	-2.74%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0433	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.54319	-2.30%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0289	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.553061	-2.52%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0518	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.567009	-2.84%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0381	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.574572	-3.13%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0356	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.603663	-3.71%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0095	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.605	-3.59%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0091	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.625201	-3.93%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0483	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.659829	-5.29%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1303	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.579416	-3.22%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0059	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.528737	-1.21%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1305	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.514533	-0.79%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1125	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.525795	-1.28%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1683	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.566012	-2.42%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1523	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.564325	-2.42%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2071	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.567619	-2.18%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1499	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.553743	-2.03%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1660	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.574493	-2.60%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1750	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.578317	-2.23%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2250	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.585972	-2.39%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2437	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.597583	-2.75%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2855	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.590115	-2.59%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2374	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.590607	-2.12%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2224	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.582575	-1.96%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2582	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.571896	-1.86%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2555	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.573705	-2.13%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2556	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.582945	-2.57%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2383	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.582877	-2.34%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.1975	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.575763	-1.85%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.1711	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.569712	-1.39%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.1718	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.585916	-1.75%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.1850	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.595872	-2.06%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.1958	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.612548	-2.60%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1347	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.637775	-3.07%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1200	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.613501	-2.80%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1463	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.568354	-2.04%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.1683	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.55209	-2.06%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2530	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.652264	-3.77%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2440	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.662882	-3.36%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3009	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.654587	-3.66%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1674	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.695777	-2.99%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0044	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.693487	-2.96%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0117	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.674058	-2.82%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0392	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.696557	-3.16%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0404	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.68776	-3.46%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0436	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.675502	-3.93%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0372	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.643041	-3.83%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0539	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.644322	-3.79%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0313	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.646715	-4.01%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0989	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.643894	-3.97%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1317	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.652936	-4.02%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1286	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.63474	-3.45%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0839	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.665906	-4.62%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0665	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.669011	-4.37%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0916	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.669573	-4.22%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0662	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.712258	-5.08%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.1017	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.723119	-4.96%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1199	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.722075	-4.47%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0953	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.752899	-4.92%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.1165	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.