XCH

Chia · native · gru_s2

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1443

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0105

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.4765	1.4192	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4481	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5048	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5207	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5594	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5572	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5429	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5165	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5503	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5065	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.4987	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.4893	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4296	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.3953	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4132	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.489	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.4966	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.4976	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.4877	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4668	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5343	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5635	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5495	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5195	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5393	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.5955	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.5954	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5672	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.4966	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.5753	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6637	-3.33%	1.4765	-14.21%	0.0892	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.4794	-3.90%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0099	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.4717	-4.15%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0590	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4489	-3.69%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0728	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3901	-2.21%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1121	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3588	-1.57%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1322	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.353	-1.02%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1267	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.4381	-2.23%	1.576	+7.14%	0.0740	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4499	-1.97%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.0850	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4694	-1.64%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0530	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4721	-1.14%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0449	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4862	-0.46%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0354	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5548	-1.00%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0432	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.6032	-0.95%	1.469	-9.24%	0.1038	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6362	-0.53%	1.495	-9.12%	0.1112	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.5244	+2.07%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0036	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.5055	+3.86%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0148	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4942	+5.53%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0116	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.5474	+7.38%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0074	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.5062	+6.14%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0326	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.5468	+6.82%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0191	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.5538	+9.15%	1.625	+14.16%	0.0094	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.5488	+9.61%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0203	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.5374	+11.12%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0253	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.5289	+9.25%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0163	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.5687	+11.18%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0193	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.5326	+11.18%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.0389	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.5426	+11.22%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0103	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.5515	+11.78%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0469	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.6413	+9.79%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0816	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.649	+9.50%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0398	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.697	+11.53%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.1224	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.5218	+5.64%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0634	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4094	-2.53%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0606	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3169	-4.51%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0576	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3142	-4.97%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.0906	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3235	-3.85%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1245	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2952	-2.47%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0537	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2871	-1.33%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0258	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2979	-1.30%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0161	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2864	-1.12%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0157	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.309	-2.57%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0209	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3256	-3.45%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0166	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.2842	-3.66%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0817	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3181	-6.22%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0648	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.2623	-3.75%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0040	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3024	-4.52%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.0700	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.3568	-7.04%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1305	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.3841	-8.49%	1.441	-4.73%	0.1539	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4212	-7.68%	1.419	-7.83%	0.1639	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.5606	-9.79%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2386	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.3805	-5.19%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1345	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3593	-4.00%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1169	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.3924	-3.01%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1468	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3532	-1.12%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0990	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3286	-0.41%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0927	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2654	+0.31%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0560	✗	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.3282	+0.62%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0732	✗	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2894	+0.85%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0559	✗	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1792	+2.01%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1191	✓	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1912	+2.82%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1308	✓	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2753	+2.89%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.0744	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.2508	+3.75%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.0852	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.2552	+4.08%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1013	✓	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.3199	+3.08%	1.379	+7.69%	0.0438	✓	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3552	+2.39%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0238	✓	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3892	+1.62%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0030	✓	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.4111	+1.41%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0525	✗	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4909	+0.64%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.1159	✗	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.4474	+3.05%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0797	✗	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.4192	+1.37%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0998	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4632	+2.54%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0831	✗	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.484	+2.31%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0792	✗	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.5215	+2.36%	1.333	-10.33%	0.1397	✗	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5579	+1.36%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.1216	✗	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.5293	+1.04%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1808	✗	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5733	+1.08%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1524	✗	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.6253	+0.36%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.1137	✗	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.6145	+0.84%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0701	✗	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6645	+0.51%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0821	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6915	+0.72%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0121	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7364	+0.34%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1903	✗	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7613	+0.47%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2512	✗	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7329	+0.61%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2602	✗	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.6299	+4.18%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.2235	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.6802	+3.91%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2885	✗	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6575	+2.89%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.3224	✗	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.7015	+0.56%	1.32	-21.99%	0.3231	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.7036	-0.08%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3473	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.6605	-2.67%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4054	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.706	-5.90%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4180	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.7651	-7.20%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.3800	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.775	-6.60%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4276	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.7477	-7.48%	1.206	-36.16%	0.3836	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.7955	-6.75%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.3537	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.8745	-6.23%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.3733	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.8672	-7.66%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3046	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	1.8978	-8.07%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.2860	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	1.9127	-8.40%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2336	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	1.9522	-8.50%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3193	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	1.9794	-8.53%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3136	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.8652	-7.76%	1.427	-29.43%	0.2707	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.8737	-8.02%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.2591	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.8706	-6.54%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.2705	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	1.9059	-7.42%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2378	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	1.9848	-9.49%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.2588	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	1.9935	-10.04%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.2477	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.853	-8.54%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.1759	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	1.9464	-10.67%	1.601	-26.53%	0.2278	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	1.9539	-11.23%	1.656	-24.76%	0.1559	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	1.9496	-11.50%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.1287	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	1.9992	-11.15%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.0729	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.1981	-10.97%	1.753	-29.00%	0.0800	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.0886	-10.65%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0167	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.1156	-10.21%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1217	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.2081	-9.76%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1226	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.1188	-9.07%	1.611	-30.86%	0.0891	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.3791	-8.20%	1.692	-34.71%	0.1592	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.5067	-7.40%	1.705	-37.02%	0.1869	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.7454	-7.27%	1.706	-42.37%	0.2745	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.5718	-6.65%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1708	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.7258	-7.47%	1.902	-35.44%	0.1998	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.7199	-7.46%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.2027	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.1679	-6.01%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3655	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.3903	-6.75%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.4056	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.0922	-7.68%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2801	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.6745	-5.51%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1340	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5784	-2.98%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0857	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5516	-2.39%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0638	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3578	-1.37%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0621	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.5403	-0.12%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0394	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4735	-2.00%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0078	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.2589	+2.03%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1208	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.4256	+4.55%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.0746	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.5515	+4.87%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.0491	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.4524	+4.80%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1129	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.54	+5.66%	2.216	-7.82%	0.0759	✓	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.3273	+6.63%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1005	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.2348	+5.84%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2236	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.2437	+5.76%	2.201	+3.75%	0.1622	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1988	+3.96%	2.203	+4.16%	0.1677	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1899	+2.43%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1505	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.2231	+3.49%	2.469	+14.94%	0.1787	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.2587	+3.90%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.0806	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.3565	+4.29%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0258	✓	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.3561	+3.84%	2.447	+7.84%	0.0625	✓	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.3773	+5.10%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0085	✓	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.4492	+7.87%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.0872	✓	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.5527	+7.89%	2.707	+14.41%	0.0867	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.5264	+7.32%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.1626	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.5982	+5.79%	2.755	+12.17%	0.0635	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.7162	+4.53%	2.946	+13.37%	0.0975	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.8127	+1.14%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0718	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.5731	-0.48%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2582	✗	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.4808	+0.21%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3664	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.3268	-2.77%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.3355	✗	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.4351	-0.39%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1387	✗	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.3757	+3.83%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.1090	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3164	+0.06%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0915	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.2192	+1.13%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0327	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.1769	+0.97%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.0878	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.2432	+0.08%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0701	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.1706	-2.86%	2.214	-0.92%	0.0816	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.2655	-2.24%	2.32	+0.11%	0.0636	✓	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.2472	-1.35%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0143	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.347	-2.15%	2.34	-2.44%	0.0963	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.2701	-2.13%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0385	✓	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3376	-2.09%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1533	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2676	-2.09%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.2032	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.329	-1.71%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2183	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.3392	-0.27%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2400	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3857	-0.22%	2.138	-10.58%	0.2399	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3825	-1.20%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2356	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4661	-1.51%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2387	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5788	-1.04%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2239	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5587	-1.83%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2245	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.585	-1.77%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2536	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6162	-2.12%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2687	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5676	-1.44%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2217	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.767	-1.83%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2604	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8471	+0.18%	2.456	-13.58%	0.2158	✗	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.8275	+0.34%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1700	✗	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.8036	+2.56%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0892	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.6896	+2.64%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.1359	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6936	+1.51%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1630	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.7531	+2.29%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1779	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.8029	+2.63%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.2024	✗	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.953	+4.09%	2.288	-19.35%	0.3217	✗	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.2292	+2.50%	2.315	-26.52%	0.3462	✗	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	3.0645	+2.77%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.3334	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.9221	+5.15%	2.156	-22.42%	0.3188	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.8835	+5.47%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2875	✗	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.8495	+7.33%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.2410	✗	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.8292	+8.82%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.2282	✗	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.8391	+10.52%	2.278	-11.33%	0.2517	✗	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.8356	+12.23%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.1882	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.9023	+14.38%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.2549	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.9449	+15.13%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.2818	✗	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.8647	+14.34%	2.316	-7.56%	0.2324	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.8974	+11.38%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.2121	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.9638	+8.17%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1907	✗	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	3.0566	+6.39%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1776	✗	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.8811	+6.95%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.1606	✗	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.8207	+6.18%	2.504	-5.74%	0.1107	✗	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.7472	+4.83%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0842	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.8531	+4.49%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0874	✗	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.77	+2.92%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0526	✗	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.7645	+4.18%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0183	✓	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.7774	+5.56%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0426	✓	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.5047	+4.12%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.0588	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6987	+3.60%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0289	✓	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.8722	+4.84%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0536	✗	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.7661	+3.79%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0463	✗	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.739	+3.12%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0425	✗	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.7075	+3.60%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0433	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7937	+2.82%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0862	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9871	+2.33%	2.731	-6.44%	0.1180	✗	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9909	+2.18%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0801	✗	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	3.014	+1.60%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0134	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.1399	+1.38%	2.982	-3.71%	0.1079	✗	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.9696	+2.15%	2.779	-4.40%	0.1109	✗	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8955	+2.90%	2.734	-2.84%	0.1140	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	3.0553	+2.08%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1826	✗	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.1103	+1.38%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1975	✗	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.1112	+1.29%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1926	✗	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.2638	+0.27%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2526	✗	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.42	-0.10%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2895	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2772	-1.62%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1927	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.3552	+9.15%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.3502	✗	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.1446	-6.02%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1097	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.154	-6.13%	2.74	-18.45%	0.0667	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.3341	-3.46%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0573	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.2949	-3.91%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0596	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.4591	-2.48%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.1014	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.7932	+1.13%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0582	✗	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.9558	+0.81%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0734	✗	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	4.0027	-1.08%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0035	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1348	-2.10%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0723	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.0956	-2.46%	2.631	-37.34%	0.1004	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.9709	-0.91%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.1096	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.0419	-4.01%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0242	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.0329	-3.59%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0224	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.1126	-5.07%	2.665	-38.48%	0.0773	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.3227	-5.87%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1335	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.2717	-5.49%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1383	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.3741	-5.23%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0351	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.6394	-5.32%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0314	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.741	-4.67%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0606	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.7517	-4.50%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0419	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	4.8499	-5.01%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0376	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.1526	-5.05%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1256	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.1206	-6.30%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1256	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	4.9548	-4.98%	2.993	-42.60%	0.1034	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.2581	-5.25%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1734	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.9761	-2.03%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1538	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.0433	-3.34%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0965	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.9001	-1.64%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0024	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.9892	-1.63%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0148	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	5.0911	+0.30%	3.074	-39.44%	0.1557	✓	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.2171	-0.02%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0303	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.8332	+1.82%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0603	✗	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.8102	+1.70%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.1045	✗	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.8807	+1.09%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0999	✗	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.7983	+1.40%	3.547	-25.04%	0.1076	✗	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.644	+1.63%	3.751	-17.91%	0.1506	✗	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.7274	+1.83%	3.924	-15.48%	0.1148	✗	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.7284	+1.35%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1928	✗	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.8663	+1.38%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1639	✗	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	5.042	+0.81%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1908	✗	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.675	+2.23%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.1411	✗	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.8565	+1.44%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1761	✗	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.98	+0.46%	4.183	-15.61%	0.2070	✗	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.8544	+0.72%	4.332	-10.12%	0.1493	✗	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.8581	+0.46%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0702	✗	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.8327	+0.24%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0612	✗	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.8691	-0.27%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.1261	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.8476	-1.22%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0839	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.606	+2.14%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0860	✗	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.669	+1.69%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0922	✗	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.7921	-0.75%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0645	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.9201	+0.99%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0780	✗	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	5.0355	-0.21%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0374	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.1369	-1.95%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0006	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.1729	-2.32%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0603	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.2411	-4.48%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0046	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.3381	-5.55%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0027	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.3923	-6.24%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0515	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.1542	-6.14%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0265	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.1443	-6.76%	5.076	-7.99%	0.0681	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.1835	-7.25%	5.218	-6.64%	0.0699	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.1638	-6.61%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1203	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.3264	-7.40%	4.73	-17.77%	0.0937	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.46	-7.32%	4.828	-18.04%	0.0647	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.6686	-7.07%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1359	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.2634	-4.38%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1629	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.4999	-6.77%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1357	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.5607	-6.85%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1118	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.5092	-6.41%	4.8	-18.46%	0.0862	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.5702	-6.58%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0482	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.6961	-6.69%	4.573	-25.09%	0.1677	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.7402	-6.00%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.1788	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	5.8765	-6.11%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1589	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	5.9291	-4.94%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2182	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	5.9855	-4.19%	4.836	-22.59%	0.2842	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.0964	-5.28%	4.821	-25.10%	0.2999	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.3778	-6.08%	4.882	-28.11%	0.2993	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.4352	-7.44%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2097	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.6724	-7.54%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2557	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	6.6985	-7.78%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.2699	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	6.879	-8.03%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2419	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.0636	-8.37%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2100	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.2588	-8.35%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2509	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.2349	-8.91%	5.239	-34.04%	0.1506	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.3464	-8.43%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1182	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.3593	-8.51%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1093	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.0031	-7.86%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1116	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.4603	-9.13%	5.751	-38.23%	0.1763	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.1061	-8.62%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.0616	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.4057	-10.36%	5.517	-33.22%	0.0820	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	5.9846	-5.87%	5.589	-12.09%	0.1154	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.8402	-2.44%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1734	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.6629	-2.39%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1632	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.2649	-1.36%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1353	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.8262	-0.12%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.1713	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.7591	-0.57%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1589	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.3924	+0.93%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2054	✓	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.4136	-0.38%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.1908	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.6565	-2.00%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1563	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.668	-1.38%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.2064	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.9305	-0.69%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2202	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.8687	+0.30%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.2891	✓	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.6248	+0.70%	6.259	-4.86%	0.2991	✓	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.7782	+0.43%	6.237	-7.59%	0.2912	✓	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.8956	-0.03%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3033	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.8105	-0.76%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3074	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.9367	-0.61%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3278	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.171	-0.23%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.2670	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.1966	-0.77%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2457	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	7.0587	-0.57%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2635	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.1246	-0.10%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2376	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.49	-0.21%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2190	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.5772	+1.02%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.2885	✓	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.6474	+0.70%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2342	✓	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.771	-0.35%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2295	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.8682	+0.89%	8.044	+3.14%	0.1934	✓	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.4511	+5.37%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2181	✓	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	7.0142	+7.69%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4043	✓	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.5592	-1.40%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0792	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.7736	-1.49%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1231	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.6215	-1.48%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1308	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.8277	-1.39%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2031	✓	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.4784	-1.64%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.1827	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.3583	-2.16%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.4854	-2.76%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1150	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.5147	-3.10%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1325	✓	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.3468	-3.34%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.1946	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.0262	-2.08%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1693	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.2446	-2.48%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1543	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.4517	-2.83%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2300	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.3686	-2.29%	6.979	-18.52%	0.2243	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.5053	-2.88%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2636	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.3444	-2.21%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2635	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.7031	-4.17%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2328	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.697	-4.01%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2138	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.7312	-4.24%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1928	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.1767	-4.69%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2112	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.0629	-4.92%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1848	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.1139	-5.02%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1626	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.2677	-6.04%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1727	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.1703	-6.59%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1566	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.