8=======>

2022-05-16 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4800
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+28.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.6%
in alpha space · 58.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.54%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00020.00008731-56.35%0.00016-20.00%0.6716✓2.568.4M2022-05-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19190.190667-0.64%0.1675-12.71%0.1038✓1.004,6042022-05-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.1423.1311-0.35%2.936-6.56%0.0386✓1.00232k2022-05-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.93e-76.95e-7+0.16%7.03e-7+1.32%0.0247✓0.511.4M2022-05-23
GMTGMTEthereum1.4331.4379+0.34%1.365-4.75%0.0263✗1.006.8M2022-05-23
TRXTRONTron0.0690190.069297+0.40%0.076052+10.19%0.1137✓0.801.2M2022-05-23
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3671.3781+0.81%1.292-5.49%0.0388✗1.004.8M2022-05-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.9615.0048+0.88%4.9179-0.87%0.0109✗0.26291k2022-05-23
QNTQuantEthereum70.4971.1285+0.91%67.91-3.66%0.0200✗1.023.6M2022-05-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014890.015028+0.92%0.01241-16.66%0.1529✗1.5044.1M2022-05-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1490.150427+0.96%0.1324-11.14%0.1000✗1.081.2M2022-05-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.71131.7282+0.99%1.5809-7.62%0.0730✗0.6315k2022-05-23
KCSKuCoinnative13.82113.9681+1.06%16.3+17.94%0.1790✓0.964.5M2022-05-23
ZECZcashZcash102.47103.5705+1.07%99.18-3.21%0.0102✓1.295.3M2022-05-23
GTGateEthereum5.43635.4966+1.11%5.6735+4.36%0.0452✓0.535.2M2022-05-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0680.06878+1.15%0.0654-3.82%0.0312✗0.75542k2022-05-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.030969+1.17%0.02707-11.56%0.1088✗1.00194k2022-05-23
STEEMSteemnative0.2840.287349+1.18%0.265-6.69%0.0553✗1.001.8M2022-05-23
MANADecentralandEthereum1.16531.1806+1.31%1.0279-11.79%0.1000✗1.501.2M2022-05-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.013870.014056+1.34%0.01287-7.21%0.0611✗1.053.2M2022-05-23
FTTFTXEthereum31.8232.2487+1.35%29.68-6.73%0.0586✗0.9513.8M2022-05-23
XMRMoneroMonero161.82164.1008+1.41%185.61+14.70%0.1506✓1.073.2M2022-05-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.046755+1.42%0.04706+2.08%0.0314✓0.978,0692022-05-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7530.76406+1.47%0.769+2.12%0.0348✓1.103.2M2022-05-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash197.37200.269+1.47%191.72-2.86%0.0143✓1.145.3M2022-05-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.5814.7943+1.47%14.13-3.09%0.0125✓1.30822k2022-05-23
ADACardanoCardano0.55610.564356+1.48%0.5129-7.77%0.0620✗1.3148.6M2022-05-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.5954.3994+1.51%51-4.83%0.0401✗0.951.7M2022-05-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009780.00993+1.53%0.00988+1.02%0.0234✓1.111.2M2022-05-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1361630.138259+1.54%0.128708-5.48%0.0439✗1.0813.4M2022-05-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019020.019315+1.55%0.02975+56.41%0.4493✓0.68402k2022-05-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.7721.0923+1.55%21.79+4.91%0.0650✓1.264.2M2022-05-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.709855+1.55%0.676-3.29%0.0112✓1.47338k2022-05-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.6510.8194+1.59%12.71+19.34%0.2001✓1.525.9M2022-05-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.94614.0092+1.60%4.1025+3.96%0.0532✓1.18134k2022-05-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45980.467183+1.61%0.4165-9.42%0.0844✗1.1914.9M2022-05-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,058.3030,542.22+1.61%29,122.50-3.11%0.0225✗0.9790k2022-05-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,020.582,053.11+1.61%1,971.06-2.45%0.0146✓1.02494.1M2022-05-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.1781.197+1.61%1.169-0.76%0.0017✓0.9924k2022-05-23
ZENHorizenBase20.320.628+1.62%19.9-1.97%0.0034✓1.53171k2022-05-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.17330.176102+1.62%0.1757+1.38%0.0339✓1.41386k2022-05-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.19331.2127+1.62%1.2304+3.10%0.0419✓1.0798k2022-05-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,839.8930,325.75+1.63%29,082.52-2.54%0.0162✗1.00675.4M2022-05-23
PROPropyEthereum1.131.1485+1.64%1.04-7.96%0.0813✗0.70443k2022-05-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08870.090154+1.64%0.087-1.92%0.0140✓0.84177k2022-05-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.07020.071355+1.65%0.0664-5.41%0.0427✗1.14405k2022-05-23
XEMNEMnative0.05830.059273+1.67%0.0554-4.97%0.0340✗1.30164k2022-05-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053420.054324+1.69%0.05627+5.34%0.0611✓1.0125k2022-05-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9160.931743+1.72%0.951+3.82%0.0489✓1.11769k2022-05-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.1368.2906+1.73%68.95+2.71%0.0391✓1.1518.9M2022-05-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.2540.258455+1.75%0.2569+1.14%0.0304✓1.42172k2022-05-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.435+1.77%1.36-3.55%0.0259✗1.08134k2022-05-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127620.012989+1.78%0.017682+38.55%0.3273✓0.73198k2022-05-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9072.9591+1.79%2.975+2.34%0.0322✓1.0599k2022-05-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037910.038591+1.80%0.03865+1.95%0.0361✓1.3594k2022-05-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.43112.4749+1.80%2.5223+3.75%0.0507✓1.23154k2022-05-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0878810.089473+1.81%0.083087-5.46%0.0454✗1.126.3M2022-05-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.11370.115813+1.86%0.1176+3.43%0.0505✓1.371.2M2022-05-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6210.8181+1.87%9.88-6.97%0.0572✗1.3013.3M2022-05-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39140.398725+1.87%0.3839-1.92%0.0050✓1.28223k2022-05-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35870.365425+1.87%0.3315-7.58%0.0652✗1.258.8M2022-05-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028180.028714+1.90%0.02709-3.87%0.0325✗1.0025k2022-05-23
XTZTezosTezos1.77221.8065+1.93%1.8727+5.67%0.0686✓1.271.0M2022-05-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67320.686263+1.94%0.6653-1.17%0.0053✓1.416.1M2022-05-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24630.251123+1.96%0.2567+4.22%0.0541✓1.25280k2022-05-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.08610.087799+1.97%0.0797-7.43%0.0530✗1.70239k2022-05-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.610.622334+2.02%0.647+6.07%0.0804✓1.621.7M2022-05-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.18.2644+2.03%7.76-4.20%0.0263✗1.438.5M2022-05-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.9521.3819+2.06%20.98+0.14%0.0182✓1.453.4M2022-05-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.523.5929+2.07%3.39-3.69%0.0381✗0.78788k2022-05-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46180.471491+2.10%0.5503+19.16%0.1930✓1.50307k2022-05-23
XVGVergenative0.004860.004962+2.10%0.00507+4.32%0.0567✓1.37915k2022-05-23
UNIUniswapEthereum5.035.1358+2.10%5.62+11.73%0.1208✓1.203.5M2022-05-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17360.177256+2.11%0.1546-10.94%0.0978✗1.518.8M2022-05-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.279.4658+2.11%9.44+1.83%0.0367✓1.54146k2022-05-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0085540.008738+2.15%0.00859+0.42%0.0093✓1.0219k2022-05-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.0313.3115+2.16%12.87-1.23%0.0100✓0.92564k2022-05-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07640.078065+2.18%0.0659-13.74%0.1437✗1.003.0M2022-05-23
MOVRMoonriverBase23.500224.0157+2.19%24.2885+3.35%0.0482✓1.43201k2022-05-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3611.3909+2.20%1.297-4.70%0.0331✗1.436.6M2022-05-23
SOLSolanaSolana53.6954.8694+2.20%49.11-8.53%0.0746✗1.4188.2M2022-05-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18720.191324+2.20%0.1721-8.07%0.0688✗1.44683k2022-05-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14490.148101+2.21%0.1439-0.69%0.0127✓1.61110k2022-05-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.534180.545997+2.21%0.56008+4.85%0.0627✓1.4593k2022-05-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.91.9422+2.22%2+5.26%0.0721✓1.6687k2022-05-23
COMPCompoundEthereum68.6770.2051+2.24%68.89+0.32%0.0160✓1.3628k2022-05-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3793.4564+2.29%3.79+12.16%0.1189✓1.041.5M2022-05-23
DASHDashDash57.8259.1465+2.29%59.83+3.48%0.0421✓1.191.2M2022-05-23
HIVEHivenative0.48960.500847+2.30%0.4894-0.04%0.0090✓1.251.5M2022-05-23
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.005289+2.30%0.00513-0.77%0.0076✓1.48403k2022-05-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.417.5813+2.31%7.01-5.40%0.0446✗1.3118.4M2022-05-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.05498+2.38%0.0539+0.37%0.0110✓1.201.6M2022-05-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.662.7237+2.39%2.852+7.22%0.0857✓1.54240k2022-05-23
BANDBandEthereum1.6021.6406+2.41%1.708+6.62%0.0769✓1.43500k2022-05-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.15770.161539+2.43%0.1194-24.29%0.2570✗1.76694k2022-05-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001137+2.44%0.0000011-0.90%0.0130✓0.787.8M2022-05-23
NANOnanopayBase1.08591.1127+2.46%1.1466+5.58%0.0620✓1.24161k2022-05-23
STXStacksnative0.560.573895+2.48%0.62+10.71%0.1064✓1.13314k2022-05-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070670.072424+2.48%0.07037-0.42%0.0023✓1.0318k2022-05-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59162.6564+2.50%3.4941+34.82%0.3158✓1.629.1M2022-05-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2982.3556+2.51%2.531+10.14%0.1148✓1.6723k2022-05-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0711.3479+2.51%11.13+0.54%0.0160✓1.3821.0M2022-05-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30180.309413+2.52%0.3022+0.13%0.0099✓1.30463k2022-05-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2491.2808+2.54%1.444+15.61%0.1561✓1.4115.1M2022-05-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03170.032508+2.55%0.0329+3.79%0.0468✓1.36174k2022-05-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,743.689,992.43+2.55%8,924.64-8.41%0.0831✗1.172.8M2022-05-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.10970.112516+2.57%0.1154+5.20%0.0662✓1.591.7M2022-05-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.298.5048+2.59%8.16-1.57%0.0092✓1.256.6M2022-05-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005270.005408+2.61%0.00472-10.44%0.1042✗1.241.9M2022-05-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.380730.390699+2.62%0.41457+8.89%0.1015✓1.6428k2022-05-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.19880.204052+2.64%0.2242+12.78%0.1213✓1.052,5292022-05-23
KSMKusamaHydration73.4775.4134+2.65%82.85+12.77%0.1259✓1.241.2M2022-05-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9883.0674+2.66%3.459+15.76%0.1627✓1.652.4M2022-05-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4015960.412283+2.66%0.420264+4.65%0.0539✓1.356.1M2022-05-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8720.89533+2.68%0.938+7.57%0.0863✓1.557.6M2022-05-23
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0698.2849+2.68%7.749-3.97%0.0008✓2.5794.8M2022-05-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6190.635594+2.68%0.555-10.34%0.1050✗1.1938k2022-05-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.324505+2.69%0.377+19.30%0.1761✓1.021.1M2022-05-23
XVSVenusEthereum4.544.6632+2.71%4.66+2.64%0.0371✓1.472.8M2022-05-23
XECeCashnative0.000046770.000048057+2.75%0.00004815+2.95%0.0354✓1.306.5M2022-05-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1390.142833+2.76%0.1353-2.66%0.0139✓1.576.2M2022-05-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153160.015743+2.79%0.020648+34.81%0.2993✓1.094.2M2022-05-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009030.009283+2.80%0.00906+0.33%0.0029✓0.83246k2022-05-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2891.3253+2.82%1.161-9.93%0.0886✗1.70665k2022-05-23
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0421.0715+2.83%0.981-5.85%0.0522✗1.40775k2022-05-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.7384+2.87%1.94+14.79%0.1529✓1.68436k2022-05-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.3248+2.87%2.56+13.27%0.1406✓1.72390k2022-05-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.4933.4626+2.99%29.04-10.62%0.1048✗1.4448.8M2022-05-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004320.00445+3.02%0.0045+4.17%0.0364✓0.9920k2022-05-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.066.2453+3.06%6.18+1.98%0.0245✓1.36629k2022-05-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08090.083377+3.06%0.0801-0.99%0.0002✓1.553.6M2022-05-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.370020.381425+3.08%0.38305+3.52%0.0409✓1.431.4M2022-05-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.00001233+3.10%0.00001167-2.42%0.0211✓1.321.2M2022-05-23
AAVEAaveEthereum83.7986.4087+3.13%99.24+18.44%0.1770✓1.508.6M2022-05-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11780.121598+3.22%0.1265+7.39%0.0649✓0.9919k2022-05-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0680.07025+3.31%0.055-19.12%0.2179✗1.04113k2022-05-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.111.147+3.33%1.18+6.31%0.0492✓0.81204k2022-05-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.532.6146+3.35%3.12+23.32%0.2034✓1.04548k2022-05-23
DIADIAEthereum0.379940.392703+3.36%0.48959+28.86%0.2409✓0.7970k2022-05-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.8051.8665+3.41%1.748-3.16%0.0288✓1.432.3M2022-05-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.153.2584+3.44%4+26.98%0.2292✓0.94783k2022-05-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.58811.6439+3.52%2.5073+57.88%0.4501✓1.092.4M2022-05-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7331.7945+3.55%4.685+170.34%0.9782✓0.721.9M2022-05-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.821+3.60%2.587-4.99%0.0432✗1.696.7M2022-05-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.3167+3.67%1.53+20.47%0.1877✓1.463.6M2022-05-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4770.494616+3.69%0.545+14.26%0.1343✓1.45891k2022-05-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3070.31865+3.79%0.346+12.70%0.1265✓1.721.8M2022-05-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.920.955062+3.81%0.78-15.22%0.1777✗0.96126k2022-05-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.542.6371+3.82%3.57+40.55%0.3286✓1.00399k2022-05-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.193910.201341+3.83%0.20877+7.66%0.0773✓1.60264k2022-05-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01520.015788+3.87%0.0257+69.08%0.5443✓2.2225.3M2022-05-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.564.7394+3.93%5.66+24.12%0.2003✓0.882.7M2022-05-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4461.5045+4.05%3.201+121.37%0.7797✓0.96736k2022-05-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.359870.37448+4.06%0.7044+95.74%0.6753✓1.69331k2022-05-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9762.06+4.25%1.931-2.28%0.0137✓1.98928k2022-05-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.810.845719+4.41%0.87+7.41%0.0674✓1.52801k2022-05-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67041.7459+4.52%2.2096+32.28%0.2665✓1.219.3M2022-05-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.955.174+4.53%8.01+61.82%0.4593✓0.871.2M2022-05-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.00139+4.53%0.00141+6.02%0.0520✓1.473.5M2022-05-23
RADRadworksEthereum1.932.0184+4.58%1.93+0.00%0.0185✓1.02350k2022-05-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.5041.5762+4.80%2.618+74.07%0.5341✓1.04683k2022-05-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.20980.219915+4.82%0.2149+2.43%0.0120✓0.43433k2022-05-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1510.158502+4.97%0.146-3.31%0.0444✓1.474.1M2022-05-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.224074+5.20%0.236+10.80%0.0903✓1.503.5M2022-05-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07950.083641+5.21%0.0896+12.70%0.1148✓1.79173k2022-05-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.340.358037+5.30%0.381+12.06%0.0947✓1.2791k2022-05-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.38341.4632+5.77%2.2211+60.55%0.4453✓1.094.3M2022-05-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6280.6652+5.92%0.703+11.94%0.0933✓1.4816k2022-05-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.