8=======>

2022-05-11 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 167 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.5722
167 of 167 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+89.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.5%
in alpha space · 54.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (167 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.18291.3739+16.15%2.0873+76.46%0.4291✓1.052.5M2022-05-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.1771.3589+15.46%1.893+60.83%0.3423✓1.044.3M2022-05-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.82192.0844+14.41%3.0646+68.21%0.4018✓1.578.0M2022-05-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.225197+14.31%0.216+9.64%0.0265✓1.474.1M2022-05-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6531.8823+13.87%1.913+15.73%0.0366✓1.961.0M2022-05-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10560.119201+12.88%0.1104+4.55%0.0578✓1.82787k2022-05-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0140.015777+12.69%0.0145+3.57%0.0611✓2.2523.0M2022-05-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.540.607535+12.51%0.537-0.56%0.1083✓1.4528k2022-05-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.5871.7823+12.31%4.449+180.34%0.9220✓0.701.9M2022-05-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04120.046241+12.24%0.0531+28.88%0.1502✓1.151.9M2022-05-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7156.3962+11.92%7.969+39.44%0.2470✓2.6179.5M2022-05-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003670.004102+11.78%0.00411+11.99%0.0115✓0.9320k2022-05-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.063657+11.68%0.06+5.26%0.0484✓1.03115k2022-05-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.835.3856+11.50%5.93+22.77%0.1103✓1.35666k2022-05-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.252.5085+11.49%3.62+60.89%0.3767✓0.96429k2022-05-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.282.54+11.41%2.97+30.26%0.1672✓1.04557k2022-05-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.615.1338+11.36%9.72+110.85%0.6466✓0.801.2M2022-05-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4281.5893+11.29%1.748+22.41%0.1049✓0.93858k2022-05-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0650.072257+11.16%0.0773+18.92%0.0846✓1.65204k2022-05-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.310.344557+11.15%0.32988+6.41%0.0268✓1.61383k2022-05-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.274.7445+11.11%6.45+51.05%0.3159✓0.852.8M2022-05-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.3651.5143+10.94%1.843+35.02%0.2070✓1.02748k2022-05-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.741.9291+10.87%1.62-6.90%0.1571✗1.69371k2022-05-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001386+10.86%0.00127+1.60%0.0717✓1.493.9M2022-05-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6232.9072+10.83%4.622+76.21%0.4741✓1.001.4M2022-05-18
DIADIAEthereum0.350.387629+10.75%0.74+111.43%0.6545✓0.7670k2022-05-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.521175+10.65%0.504+7.01%0.0184✓1.45869k2022-05-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190.20942+10.22%0.18425-3.03%0.1113✗1.61250k2022-05-18
STEEMSteemnative0.19560.215174+10.01%0.2515+28.58%0.1664✓1.002.4M2022-05-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.7434+9.91%2.946+18.03%0.0869✓1.51197k2022-05-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4860.533422+9.76%0.674+38.68%0.2494✓1.491.7M2022-05-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.152+9.71%1.12+6.67%0.0204✓0.75221k2022-05-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.765610.838864+9.57%1.0317+34.76%0.2219✓1.44805k2022-05-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44861.5832+9.29%2.23+53.94%0.3549✓1.1810.0M2022-05-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0011.094+9.29%1.342+34.07%0.2182✓1.3317.4M2022-05-18
XVSVenusEthereum3.684.0178+9.18%4.32+17.39%0.0873✓1.422.9M2022-05-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1190.129627+8.93%0.1186-0.34%0.0796✓0.9019k2022-05-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3392.546+8.85%2.221-5.04%0.1189✗1.7022k2022-05-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8560.930794+8.74%0.801-6.43%0.1342✗1.548.3M2022-05-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.010308+8.74%0.01163+22.68%0.1378✓1.6545.0M2022-05-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004966+8.66%0.00461+0.88%0.0621✓1.181.7M2022-05-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.841.999+8.64%1.89+2.72%0.0456✓1.01392k2022-05-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7851.9378+8.56%2.081+16.58%0.0884✓1.6584k2022-05-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2990.324572+8.55%0.296-1.00%0.0743✓1.721.7M2022-05-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.863.103+8.50%4.01+40.21%0.2661✓0.93829k2022-05-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22190.240732+8.49%0.2464+11.04%0.0357✓1.20316k2022-05-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.21330.231378+8.48%0.2581+21.00%0.1233✓1.35184k2022-05-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.98598+8.35%0.84-7.69%0.1505✗0.93142k2022-05-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03140.034021+8.35%0.0313-0.32%0.0693✓1.36179k2022-05-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39390.42672+8.33%0.3371-14.42%0.2223✗1.2997k2022-05-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15170.164316+8.32%0.1571+3.56%0.0294✓1.506.8M2022-05-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.8473.079+8.15%3.049+7.10%0.0074✓1.662.2M2022-05-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07820.08453+8.09%0.0702-10.23%0.1661✗1.89216k2022-05-18
XECeCashnative0.00003640.00003934+8.08%0.00004439+21.95%0.1349✓1.366.7M2022-05-18
HIVEHivenative0.47720.515644+8.06%0.472-1.09%0.0758✓1.221.5M2022-05-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.5383+8.01%2.25-4.26%0.1025✗1.74357k2022-05-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.6371.7676+7.98%1.694+3.48%0.0278✓1.422.6M2022-05-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12570.135709+7.96%0.1246-0.88%0.0690✓1.586.2M2022-05-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.0560.060364+7.79%0.0578+3.21%0.0317✓1.12416k2022-05-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2231.318+7.77%1.105-9.65%0.1588✗1.69582k2022-05-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.307170.33071+7.66%0.33637+9.51%0.0332✓1.5642k2022-05-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004350.004677+7.53%0.00488+12.18%0.0573✓1.43403k2022-05-18
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2888.3434+7.37%81.76-0.63%0.0620✓1.498.6M2022-05-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02090.022417+7.26%0.02797+33.83%0.2321✓1.04227k2022-05-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.378340.405705+7.23%0.35851-5.24%0.1081✗1.501.4M2022-05-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.153269+7.18%0.1653+15.59%0.0899✓1.38372k2022-05-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4972.6761+7.17%2.49-0.28%0.0547✓1.677.7M2022-05-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4150.444578+7.13%0.451+8.67%0.0296✓1.47299k2022-05-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.010580.011332+7.11%0.01331+25.80%0.1715✓1.023.2M2022-05-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.497160.532403+7.09%0.53494+7.60%0.0194✓1.4193k2022-05-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1660.17775+7.08%0.147-11.45%0.1749✗1.454.7M2022-05-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.0681.1425+6.98%1.082+1.31%0.0443✓0.9725k2022-05-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.01891.0899+6.97%1.1344+11.34%0.0508✓1.0496k2022-05-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141560.015134+6.91%0.015+5.96%0.0026✓1.114.3M2022-05-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3180.33946+6.75%0.34+6.92%0.0121✓1.011.1M2022-05-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.38620.412165+6.72%0.371298-3.86%0.0907✗1.326.1M2022-05-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033190.035397+6.65%0.03561+7.29%0.0199✓1.3494k2022-05-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.427.9092+6.59%7.49+0.94%0.0399✓1.418.0M2022-05-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29740.316767+6.51%0.3344+12.44%0.0670✓1.238.5M2022-05-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.872279+6.38%0.82+0.00%0.0460✓1.52892k2022-05-18
XVGVergenative0.004360.004635+6.30%0.00481+10.32%0.0510✓1.34885k2022-05-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.620.659026+6.29%0.643+3.71%0.0095✓1.46344k2022-05-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.133.0564+6.29%29.57-4.92%0.0964✗1.4545.0M2022-05-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22580.239904+6.25%0.3258+44.29%0.3189✓1.24486k2022-05-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5740.608925+6.08%0.565-1.57%0.0624✗1.2050k2022-05-18
MOVRMoonriverBase21.439222.7383+6.06%21.8174+1.76%0.0262✓1.46195k2022-05-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.991.0499+6.05%0.977-1.31%0.0576✓1.38755k2022-05-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.4810.0398+5.90%10.48+10.55%0.0592✓1.574.5M2022-05-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3966+5.81%1.26-4.55%0.0876✗1.474.1M2022-05-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.125602+5.73%0.1303+9.68%0.0534✓1.61108k2022-05-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.199248+5.70%0.1857-1.49%0.0598✗1.022,9402022-05-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11570.122275+5.68%0.1273+10.03%0.0518✓1.111.1M2022-05-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7511.359+5.67%10.1-6.05%0.1036✗1.3419.8M2022-05-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009730.010277+5.62%0.00898-7.71%0.1264✗0.81238k2022-05-18
ZENHorizenBase19.6420.7426+5.61%18.99-3.31%0.0724✗1.53173k2022-05-18
XEMNEMnative0.0490.051676+5.46%0.0537+9.59%0.0510✓1.2184k2022-05-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042950.045264+5.39%0.04358+1.47%0.0281✓0.959,2282022-05-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049180.051777+5.28%0.05016+1.99%0.0216✓0.9726k2022-05-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.112345+5.00%0.1183+10.56%0.0657✓1.351.2M2022-05-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017720.018583+4.87%0.02137+20.60%0.1467✓0.67400k2022-05-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.8514.5193+4.83%12.73-8.09%0.1222✗0.90483k2022-05-18
GMTGMTEthereum1.3171.3786+4.68%1.384+5.09%0.0143✓1.009.7M2022-05-18
NANOnanopayBase1.08021.1307+4.67%1.0587-1.99%0.0528✗1.25161k2022-05-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1750.183094+4.63%0.1813+3.60%0.0053✓1.45634k2022-05-18
KSMKusamaHydration72.9276.2746+4.60%75.92+4.11%0.0081✓1.231.1M2022-05-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.588.9744+4.60%7.59-11.54%0.1545✗1.267.4M2022-05-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.118987+4.56%0.1059-6.94%0.1003✗1.561.8M2022-05-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0780.081504+4.49%0.0684-12.31%0.1649✗1.004.2M2022-05-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0120560.01258+4.35%0.017393+44.27%0.3319✓0.76198k2022-05-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.9110.3383+4.32%9.63-2.83%0.0558✗1.46134k2022-05-18
STXStacksnative0.580.604738+4.27%0.51-12.07%0.1590✗1.10260k2022-05-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.463.6066+4.24%3.54+2.31%0.0112✓0.72788k2022-05-18
PROPropyEthereum1.071.115+4.21%1.17+9.35%0.0554✓0.70528k2022-05-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.00001245+4.18%0.00001147-4.02%0.0683✗1.311.3M2022-05-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009360.009749+4.16%0.00913-2.46%0.0543✗1.091.0M2022-05-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.219.9978+4.16%21.59+12.45%0.0913✓1.413.8M2022-05-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.937.2175+4.15%6.79-2.02%0.0474✗1.3119.6M2022-05-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.024130.02513+4.14%0.02554+5.84%0.0265✓0.9930k2022-05-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5021.5633+4.08%1.228-18.24%0.2265✗1.445.3M2022-05-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.373340.388131+3.96%0.37232-0.27%0.0285✓1.26151k2022-05-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068180.070805+3.85%0.07027+3.07%0.0032✓1.0418k2022-05-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59630.619262+3.85%0.6487+8.79%0.0610✓1.406.1M2022-05-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08330.086406+3.73%0.0783-6.00%0.0828✗1.513.7M2022-05-18
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.876+3.70%1.566-13.43%0.1660✗1.41537k2022-05-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-76.01e-7+3.64%6.83e-7+17.78%0.1333✓0.531.4M2022-05-18
XMRMoneroMonero140.01144.9041+3.50%155.14+10.81%0.0789✓1.033.0M2022-05-18
DASHDashDash58.0660.0474+3.42%55.59-4.25%0.0649✗1.181.0M2022-05-18
UNIUniswapEthereum4.895.0508+3.29%4.88-0.20%0.0219✓1.204.1M2022-05-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51452.5965+3.26%2.335-7.14%0.0933✗1.24188k2022-05-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.2614.7236+3.25%13.77-3.44%0.0532✗1.32766k2022-05-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin66.3168.4118+3.17%65.87-0.66%0.0259✓1.1517.5M2022-05-18
ADACardanoCardano0.51610.532304+3.14%0.5053-2.09%0.0388✗1.2842.0M2022-05-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,348.9911,704.15+3.13%9,070.74-20.07%0.2427✗1.172.6M2022-05-18
SOLSolanaSolana50.8252.3966+3.10%49.87-1.87%0.0350✗1.3987.4M2022-05-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.96199.7011+2.96%186.73-3.73%0.0554✗1.135.2M2022-05-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.059.3157+2.94%9.47+4.64%0.0296✓1.2711.8M2022-05-18
KCSKuCoinnative11.3911.7243+2.94%14.375+26.21%0.2134✓0.924.1M2022-05-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9120.4933+2.93%19.81-0.50%0.0209✓1.254.4M2022-05-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091720.009439+2.91%0.008488-7.46%0.0955✗1.0336k2022-05-18
TRXTRONTron0.0741460.076268+2.86%0.070977-4.27%0.0633✗0.82553k2022-05-18
QNTQuantEthereum64.165.8169+2.68%64.77+1.05%0.0052✓1.043.5M2022-05-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0847740.087029+2.66%0.082984-2.11%0.0361✗1.117.1M2022-05-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45250.464292+2.61%0.4328-4.35%0.0579✗1.1912.6M2022-05-18
SGBSongbirdnative0.03920.040214+2.59%0.0333-15.05%0.1831✗0.53138k2022-05-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4061.4416+2.53%1.296-7.82%0.0961✗1.005.3M2022-05-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001210.000001241+2.53%0.00000109-9.92%0.1212✗0.797.7M2022-05-18
COMPCompoundEthereum70.9772.701+2.44%63.7-10.24%0.1180✗1.3638k2022-05-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1257370.128762+2.41%0.127544+1.44%0.0016✓1.0613.8M2022-05-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8972.9662+2.39%2.84-1.97%0.0327✗1.0481k2022-05-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0011.0247+2.37%0.904-9.69%0.1139✗1.10574k2022-05-18
ZECZcashZcash83.0985.0189+2.32%99.46+19.70%0.1698✓1.245.1M2022-05-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,313.9028,963.25+2.29%28,786.00+1.67%0.0040✓0.9840k2022-05-18
GTGateEthereum4.97855.0772+1.98%5.4955+10.38%0.0848✓0.544.7M2022-05-18
XYMSymbolnative0.06810.069426+1.95%0.0658-3.38%0.0460✗0.74619k2022-05-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,972.3429,533.74+1.94%28,672.94-1.03%0.0192✓1.00634.5M2022-05-18
XTZTezosTezos1.77761.8094+1.79%1.676-5.72%0.0637✗1.24866k2022-05-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09240.093974+1.70%0.0885-4.22%0.0512✗0.85169k2022-05-18
FTTFTXEthereum29.9430.4496+1.70%29.64-1.00%0.0170✗0.9612.7M2022-05-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,075.932,111.20+1.70%1,911.98-7.90%0.0884✗1.03464.2M2022-05-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.853.6089+1.53%50.06-5.19%0.0585✗0.962.0M2022-05-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.30650.31097+1.46%0.2258-26.33%0.3150✗0.48514k2022-05-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.00984.0659+1.40%3.8022-5.18%0.0545✗1.21134k2022-05-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4262+1.15%1.34-4.96%0.0511✗1.08134k2022-05-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.807566+0.95%0.747-6.63%0.0665✗1.113.3M2022-05-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.255.2911+0.78%4.9753-5.23%0.0587✗0.27284k2022-05-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.70251.7137+0.66%1.6365-3.88%0.0395✗0.6316k2022-05-18
LUNATerraTerra 21.060.58297-45.00%0.00015-99.99%8.2323✓3.187.5M2022-05-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.