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2022-05-10 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1133
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-65.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
13.9%
in alpha space · 8.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.20e-7+0.28%7.15e-7-12.60%0.1309✗0.351.1M2022-05-17
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7482+0.58%1.395-19.74%0.2064✗1.005.2M2022-05-17
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.077527+0.61%0.072142-6.38%0.0560✗0.83463k2022-05-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.4746+0.92%4.98-8.19%0.0894✗0.28284k2022-05-17
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4269+1.20%1.21-14.18%0.1541✗0.56528k2022-05-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.5931+1.42%0.4947-15.41%0.1603✗1.1012.6M2022-05-17
GTGateEthereum5.83485.926+1.56%5.7521-1.42%0.0207✗0.474.7M2022-05-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9772.0079+1.56%1.389-29.74%0.3425✗1.355.3M2022-05-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.923724+1.62%0.817-10.12%0.1019✗1.093.3M2022-05-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.6371+1.65%10.34-28.19%0.3222✗1.32134k2022-05-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.3632+1.65%12.44-11.96%0.1165✗1.423.5M2022-05-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.130274+1.70%0.0844-34.11%0.4149✗1.004.0M2022-05-17
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.082704+1.73%0.0697-14.27%0.1581✗0.67619k2022-05-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.8315+1.75%1.58-12.22%0.1285✗1.009.5M2022-05-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.9722+1.79%1.6818-13.20%0.1478✗0.6015k2022-05-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.10989+1.83%0.090151-16.46%0.1784✗1.027.1M2022-05-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,384.03+1.86%2,088.96-10.75%0.1127✗1.01464.2M2022-05-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6818.0114+1.87%15.21-13.97%0.1450✗1.25695k2022-05-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5748+1.96%3.057-12.81%0.1377✗0.9881k2022-05-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.8455+1.97%4.2187-11.22%0.1163✗1.16134k2022-05-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.054366+2.00%0.04738-11.11%0.1208✗0.879,7632022-05-17
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.9217+2.01%22.14-12.87%0.1298✗1.45173k2022-05-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.250948+2.09%0.1798-26.85%0.3085✗1.296.8M2022-05-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.477071+2.10%0.4149-11.20%0.1168✗1.19144k2022-05-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.196096+2.13%0.1311-31.72%0.3898✗0.6719k2022-05-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2664.6117+2.14%55.75-11.87%0.1302✗0.902.0M2022-05-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9031,708.64+2.16%30,409.80-2.03%0.0233✗0.9640k2022-05-17
QNTQuantEthereum72.3973.9768+2.19%74.46+2.86%0.0262✓1.023.5M2022-05-17
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.2861+2.20%3.314-20.98%0.2282✗1.512.2M2022-05-17
FTTFTXEthereum33.0833.8204+2.24%32.03-3.17%0.0362✗0.9412.7M2022-05-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.0151+2.25%0.015368+4.06%0.0308✓0.69198k2022-05-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1281.92+2.25%73.04-8.84%0.0937✗1.0917.5M2022-05-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.4223+2.25%1.231-11.50%0.1278✗0.8725k2022-05-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.104553+2.30%0.0907-11.25%0.1262✗0.83169k2022-05-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66237.0211+2.31%206.73-10.76%0.1161✗1.075.2M2022-05-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8924.4438+2.32%21.76-8.92%0.0933✗1.204.4M2022-05-17
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8190.8926+2.34%74.69-15.90%0.1714✗1.3037k2022-05-17
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.1638+2.35%1.8568-12.17%0.1299✗1.20866k2022-05-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.110446+2.36%0.0892-17.33%0.1867✗1.40204k2022-05-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.047379+2.37%0.04094-11.54%0.1228✗1.2187k2022-05-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.000001485+2.39%0.00000113-22.07%0.2590✗0.737.7M2022-05-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011799+2.42%0.0104-9.72%0.1066✗1.021.0M2022-05-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.9093+2.44%1.83-35.56%0.4349✗1.49371k2022-05-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.064417+2.45%0.05523-12.17%0.1370✗0.8826k2022-05-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.100032+2.45%0.07213-26.13%0.3099✗0.8918k2022-05-17
KCSKuCoinnative13.91914.2612+2.46%14.916+7.16%0.0612✓0.854.1M2022-05-17
XEMNEMnative0.06080.062295+2.46%0.0614+0.99%0.0075✓1.1469k2022-05-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.0687+2.46%0.958-8.15%0.0876✗1.13574k2022-05-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3931,766.59+2.46%30,412.12-1.90%0.0244✓1.00634.5M2022-05-17
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.644089+2.51%0.577-8.16%0.0865✗1.2242.0M2022-05-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.519725+2.54%0.424817-16.19%0.1782✗1.225.7M2022-05-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6612+2.54%1.47-9.26%0.1021✗1.05134k2022-05-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.8027+2.55%2.034-25.58%0.2920✗1.4884k2022-05-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.779677+2.55%0.7365-3.13%0.0316✗1.326.1M2022-05-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.152198+2.56%0.141543-4.62%0.0531✗1.0113.8M2022-05-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.4875+2.57%2.75-19.12%0.2074✗1.5720k2022-05-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021925+2.60%0.0187-12.49%0.1477✗0.59405k2022-05-17
SOLSolanaSolana66.8668.6093+2.62%57.02-14.72%0.1601✗1.3087.4M2022-05-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.193138+2.62%0.1804-4.14%0.0436✗1.28372k2022-05-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.1782+2.62%2.5786-16.74%0.1865✗1.17188k2022-05-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5514,053.22+2.63%9,984.13-27.08%0.3203✗1.122.6M2022-05-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.2238+2.66%0.913-23.41%0.2656✗1.428.3M2022-05-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.109953+2.76%0.0712-33.46%0.4206✗0.73117k2022-05-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.8959+2.77%3.13-17.44%0.1938✗1.31190k2022-05-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.2432+2.77%4.126-0.07%0.0127✓0.801.4M2022-05-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.11719+2.80%0.0913-19.91%0.2230✗1.393.7M2022-05-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.312859+2.85%0.2589-14.89%0.1687✗1.07316k2022-05-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.6764+2.88%11.02-2.91%0.0347✗1.2011.8M2022-05-17
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.4251+2.88%1.1607-16.20%0.1829✗1.16161k2022-05-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.011229+2.90%0.008963-17.86%0.2067✗0.9738k2022-05-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.160333+2.91%0.121-22.34%0.2535✗1.451.8M2022-05-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.084748+2.97%0.0711-13.61%0.1571✗0.96416k2022-05-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8816.3531+2.98%13.66-13.98%0.1635✗0.86473k2022-05-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.042222+2.98%0.0353-13.90%0.1553✗1.24179k2022-05-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.281575+2.99%0.2705-1.06%0.0171✓1.20186k2022-05-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.157995+3.00%0.1493-2.67%0.0373✗1.001.1M2022-05-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3522+3.00%1.2954-1.32%0.0247✓0.9489k2022-05-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.288586+3.07%0.2109-24.68%0.2982✗0.802,9402022-05-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.840042+3.07%0.74-9.20%0.1004✗1.37344k2022-05-17
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.312+3.08%1.765-21.31%0.2441✗1.35537k2022-05-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.898.1341+3.09%6.53-17.24%0.1980✗1.13666k2022-05-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.490789+3.11%0.384-19.33%0.2295✗0.831.1M2022-05-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.064153+3.14%0.0562-9.65%0.1138✗0.971.9M2022-05-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.964.0846+3.15%3.76-5.05%0.0700✗0.67804k2022-05-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.9052+3.17%8.62-18.45%0.2107✗1.278.0M2022-05-17
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.2631+3.18%5.47-9.88%0.1136✗1.144.1M2022-05-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.584894+3.19%0.5004-11.71%0.1299✗1.36299k2022-05-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.5196+3.21%2.58-24.34%0.2797✗1.61357k2022-05-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5899+3.24%1.16-24.68%0.3043✗0.57221k2022-05-17
HIVEHivenative0.59690.616459+3.28%0.5411-9.35%0.1084✗1.141.5M2022-05-17
DASHDashDash73.3375.7573+3.31%60.11-18.03%0.2103✗1.101.0M2022-05-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.015198+3.31%0.01468-0.20%0.0063✓1.4745.0M2022-05-17
XMRMoneroMonero163.04168.4488+3.32%172.72+5.94%0.0439✓0.983.0M2022-05-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.5761+3.36%2.74-20.81%0.2499✗0.86557k2022-05-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.146879+3.36%0.12-15.55%0.1780✗1.251.2M2022-05-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.782475+3.37%0.593-21.66%0.2530✗1.26869k2022-05-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.8692+3.37%7.71-10.14%0.1160✗1.2519.6M2022-05-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.774263+3.37%0.623-16.82%0.1920✗1.321.7M2022-05-17
XVGVergenative0.00630.006514+3.40%0.00546-13.33%0.1537✗1.18885k2022-05-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1514+3.41%1.2159+9.21%0.0794✓1.29805k2022-05-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.877.1069+3.45%5.35-22.13%0.2721✗0.622.8M2022-05-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016697+3.45%0.00001255-22.24%0.2623✗1.211.2M2022-05-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.404723+3.48%0.3906-0.13%0.0136✓1.148.5M2022-05-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.032175+3.49%0.02904-6.59%0.0854✗0.8930k2022-05-17
ZECZcashZcash93.0896.3452+3.51%114.63+23.15%0.1973✓1.225.1M2022-05-17
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.303191+3.51%0.2999+2.39%0.0083✓1.002.7M2022-05-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.7476+3.53%2.85-21.27%0.2596✗0.74429k2022-05-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.5424+3.56%3.148+28.23%0.2232✓0.491.9M2022-05-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.2972+3.57%1.674-24.53%0.3024✗0.73903k2022-05-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019799+3.57%0.016233-15.08%0.1793✗1.004.3M2022-05-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.7662+3.58%8.56-24.65%0.2959✗1.167.4M2022-05-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5446.1586+3.63%34.38-22.81%0.2696✗1.3045.0M2022-05-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2825.1819+3.71%22.4-7.74%0.0912✗1.353.8M2022-05-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.348629+3.73%0.2547-24.22%0.3051✗0.46514k2022-05-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.523826+3.73%0.342-32.28%0.3976✗1.501.7M2022-05-17
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.0064+3.73%0.00561-9.08%0.1067✗1.30382k2022-05-17
KSMKusamaHydration93.0396.5192+3.75%82.04-11.81%0.1405✗1.141.1M2022-05-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5714.0833+3.78%11.46-15.55%0.1818✗1.2619.8M2022-05-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.679207+3.79%0.61254-6.40%0.0779✗1.3293k2022-05-17
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4847+3.83%1.1-23.08%0.2761✗1.24755k2022-05-17
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000060657+3.83%0.00004936-15.51%0.1839✗1.166.7M2022-05-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.030563+3.89%0.02971+0.99%0.0111✓0.90227k2022-05-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.028061+3.93%0.0167-38.15%0.4808✗1.9923.0M2022-05-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.01397+3.94%0.01407+4.69%0.0251✓0.933.2M2022-05-17
STXStacksnative0.680.706927+3.96%0.58-14.71%0.1776✗1.06260k2022-05-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.4779+4.06%2.9271-12.42%0.1482✗1.267.7M2022-05-17
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352529.508+4.08%24.7107-12.84%0.1509✗1.38195k2022-05-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.3221+4.10%0.97-23.62%0.2944✗0.80142k2022-05-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.227+4.11%3.61-11.08%0.1428✗0.78829k2022-05-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.808266+4.16%0.629-18.94%0.2296✗1.1050k2022-05-17
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.247972+4.19%0.168-29.41%0.3641✗1.314.7M2022-05-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.1615+4.19%0.1525-1.61%0.0291✓1.47108k2022-05-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.8446+4.20%2.04-25.27%0.3163✗0.84443k2022-05-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005585+4.21%0.00443-17.35%0.2172✗0.7620k2022-05-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.4398+4.26%1.413+2.32%0.0045✓1.2117.4M2022-05-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002377+4.26%0.00144-36.84%0.4777✗1.233.9M2022-05-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.312831+4.28%0.20963-30.12%0.3727✗1.44250k2022-05-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.4698+4.30%1.905-19.55%0.2356✗1.252.6M2022-05-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006279+4.30%0.00512-14.95%0.1831✗1.091.7M2022-05-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.7125+4.37%2.115-18.62%0.2166✗1.671.1M2022-05-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.8684+4.38%1.43-20.11%0.2411✗1.374.0M2022-05-17
DIADIAEthereum0.510.532389+4.39%0.39763-22.03%0.2805✗0.5970k2022-05-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.2013+4.46%0.91-20.87%0.2508✗1.40892k2022-05-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.215045+4.70%0.2022-1.56%0.0342✓1.43634k2022-05-17
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24110.2162+4.73%92.53-12.08%0.1477✗1.418.6M2022-05-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.4388+4.87%2.883-12.08%0.1456✗1.597.4M2022-05-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.116975+4.91%0.0803-27.98%0.3437✗1.69232k2022-05-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.175673+4.94%0.1452-13.26%0.1618✗1.496.2M2022-05-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.545725+4.95%0.38508-25.95%0.3218✗1.40383k2022-05-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.496703+4.96%0.38048-19.60%0.2388✗1.441.4M2022-05-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.24+4.97%1.748-18.09%0.2324✗0.81748k2022-05-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.318475+5.00%0.346+14.08%0.1046✓1.13486k2022-05-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.8077+5.04%1.399-18.71%0.2261✗1.57582k2022-05-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.44301+5.04%0.39337-6.73%0.0936✗1.3244k2022-05-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.727.0711+5.23%5.86-12.80%0.1758✗0.631.2M2022-05-17
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.5033+5.24%8.877-1.69%0.0245✓2.2777.0M2022-05-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.6314+5.26%4.73-11.59%0.1499✗1.272.9M2022-05-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.312168+5.46%0.253-14.53%0.1853✗1.294.1M2022-05-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.2259+5.54%1.9688-6.65%0.1077✗0.782.5M2022-05-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.1337+5.86%1.6841-16.45%0.2214✗0.794.6M2022-05-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.187752+6.07%0.1418-19.89%0.2494✗1.63902k2022-05-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.529557+6.14%0.3614-27.56%0.3586✗1.2297k2022-05-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011954+6.26%0.00905-19.56%0.2637✗0.76238k2022-05-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.1222+6.69%2.18+9.59%0.0472✓1.0610.0M2022-05-17
LUNATerraTerra 217.4118.6722+7.25%0.00019-100.00%11.4615✗1.777.5M2022-05-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.894475+7.25%0.64-23.26%0.3108✗1.2531k2022-05-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.