8=======>

2022-05-06 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0945
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
39.6%
in alpha space · 40.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21570.22132+2.61%0.1018-52.80%0.4104✗1.761.1M2022-05-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2411.2729+2.57%0.67-46.01%0.3990✗1.1743k2022-05-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.02753.1028+2.49%1.5516-48.75%0.4920✗0.9710.0M2022-05-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.64550.661292+2.45%0.375-41.91%0.3098✗1.24101k2022-05-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36220.370156+2.20%0.2519-30.45%0.1497✗1.13486k2022-05-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.5129.0771+1.99%20.45-28.27%0.0600✗1.403.8M2022-05-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.238.3821+1.85%4.86-40.95%0.4415✗0.502.5M2022-05-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.13780.140298+1.81%0.0714-48.19%0.2632✗1.98256k2022-05-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224190.022778+1.60%0.014586-34.94%0.2432✗0.974.2M2022-05-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.710493+1.50%0.34-51.43%0.4722✗1.27424k2022-05-13
SUSHISushiEthereum2.252.2804+1.35%1.39-38.22%0.2136✗1.353.6M2022-05-13
MOVRMoonriverBase37.03737.5316+1.34%22.6376-38.88%0.2052✗1.44173k2022-05-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.18733.2296+1.33%1.4675-53.96%0.6590✗0.625.0M2022-05-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.884.9446+1.32%3.09-36.68%0.3187✗0.73987k2022-05-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016290.016503+1.31%0.00985-39.53%0.3405✗0.84223k2022-05-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.7462+1.23%4.87-43.63%0.4835✗0.491.3M2022-05-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.22630.228989+1.19%0.1399-38.18%0.1867✗1.476.5M2022-05-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.390.394558+1.17%0.19584-49.78%0.4013✗1.44278k2022-05-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007070.007153+1.17%0.00377-46.68%0.5128✗0.6124k2022-05-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2314.3915+1.13%9.39-34.01%0.1269✗1.44140k2022-05-13
DODODODOEthereum0.2880.291211+1.11%0.152-47.22%0.3806✗1.295.0M2022-05-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99353.0254+1.07%1.6119-46.15%0.4921✗0.662.9M2022-05-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.667440.674527+1.06%0.35077-47.45%0.3750✗1.341.3M2022-05-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9780.987929+1.02%0.609-37.73%0.2526✗1.1147k2022-05-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.112350.113453+0.98%0.06424-42.82%0.4133✗0.7517k2022-05-13
XVSVenusEthereum7.557.6224+0.96%4.24-43.84%0.3492✗1.142.8M2022-05-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3272.3487+0.93%1.194-48.69%0.3510✗1.56713k2022-05-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.33970.342845+0.93%0.1897-44.16%0.4588✗0.643,3932022-05-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.7910.8893+0.92%7.13-33.92%0.1759✗1.1918.3M2022-05-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7572.7817+0.90%1.446-47.55%0.5018✗0.73824k2022-05-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.6617.8115+0.86%10.3-41.68%0.3081✗1.1518.8M2022-05-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.8713.9829+0.81%8.73-37.06%0.2320✗1.157.4M2022-05-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49360.497608+0.81%0.3159-36.00%0.2212✗1.127.9M2022-05-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.4712.5695+0.80%9.27-25.66%0.0445✗1.258.5M2022-05-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,069.7036,355.20+0.79%29,332.50-18.68%0.0137✗0.9726k2022-05-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0370.037287+0.78%0.0164-55.68%0.4376✗1.8423.0M2022-05-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche5757.3942+0.69%32.17-43.56%0.3257✗1.2244.2M2022-05-13
STXStacksnative0.860.865804+0.67%0.52-39.53%0.3004✗1.01274k2022-05-13
AAVEAaveEthereum138.23139.1584+0.67%82.28-40.48%0.2461✗1.348.9M2022-05-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40720.40988+0.66%0.2828-30.55%0.2816✗0.43565k2022-05-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.4872+0.58%1.83-47.22%0.5692✗0.362.4M2022-05-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.4491.4572+0.57%1.022-29.47%0.0996✗1.23805k2022-05-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,999.1036,192.70+0.54%29,232.18-18.80%0.0054✓1.00553.2M2022-05-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.038340.03854+0.52%0.02399-37.43%0.2988✗0.84222k2022-05-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4140.416161+0.52%0.206-50.24%0.4701✗1.124.3M2022-05-13
DASHDashDash87.6388.0857+0.52%57.98-33.84%0.1943✗1.081.2M2022-05-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024630.024756+0.51%0.01598-35.12%0.3407✗0.47405k2022-05-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26810.269438+0.50%0.1807-32.60%0.1204✗1.34722k2022-05-13
SCSiacoinnative0.00790.007939+0.50%0.00466-41.01%0.2757✗1.23373k2022-05-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.69874.722+0.50%2.8848-38.60%0.2593✗1.128.6M2022-05-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.931.9394+0.49%0.83-56.99%0.7330✗0.56272k2022-05-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01720.017281+0.47%0.00989-42.50%0.2231✗1.6148.2M2022-05-13
NANOnanopayBase1.68051.6883+0.47%1.0764-35.95%0.2144✗1.13145k2022-05-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.17310.173862+0.44%0.111-35.88%0.1978✗1.201.3M2022-05-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.9528.0607+0.40%20.47-26.76%0.0635✗1.214.8M2022-05-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9130.916588+0.39%0.499-45.35%0.3369✗1.301.1M2022-05-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020040.000020117+0.38%0.00001281-36.08%0.2203✗1.111.3M2022-05-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.854.8685+0.38%3.27-32.58%0.2709✗0.61851k2022-05-13
FTTFTXEthereum35.8936.0194+0.36%30.83-14.10%0.0355✓0.9211.7M2022-05-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.017960.018022+0.35%0.0135-24.83%0.1316✗0.763.2M2022-05-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.584460.586399+0.33%0.34417-41.11%0.2833✗1.2053k2022-05-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.14.1135+0.33%2.32-43.41%0.4134✗0.77630k2022-05-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6410.643111+0.33%0.283-55.85%0.5193✗1.451.7M2022-05-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.01820.018258+0.32%0.01331-26.87%0.1967✗0.57193k2022-05-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3320.3883+0.29%12.71-37.48%0.3137✗0.76412k2022-05-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0481.0507+0.26%0.672-35.88%0.1734✗1.31357k2022-05-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05240.05253+0.25%0.0329-37.21%0.2168✗1.21179k2022-05-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19770.198169+0.24%0.1227-37.94%0.1949✗1.37110k2022-05-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.491.4934+0.23%0.82-44.97%0.3150✗1.37909k2022-05-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.74.7105+0.22%2.31-50.85%0.3915✗1.54339k2022-05-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003140.003147+0.22%0.00132-57.96%0.6269✗1.164.0M2022-05-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.7371.7406+0.20%1.056-39.21%0.3334✗0.8024k2022-05-13
ZECZcashZcash123.65123.901+0.20%93.81-24.13%0.0322✗1.185.1M2022-05-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036940.037008+0.18%0.02379-35.60%0.2618✗0.8632k2022-05-13
API3Api3Ethereum3.2843.2898+0.18%1.62-50.67%0.4832✗1.082.8M2022-05-13
XVGVergenative0.008050.008064+0.17%0.00472-41.37%0.2970✗1.15926k2022-05-13
XECeCashnative0.000071540.00007166+0.17%0.00004212-41.12%0.3166✗1.037.6M2022-05-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.9510.9673+0.16%4.76-56.53%0.6173✗1.04887k2022-05-13
KSMKusamaHydration126.34126.523+0.14%73.84-41.55%0.3060✗1.121.0M2022-05-13
XTZTezosTezos2.50782.5114+0.14%1.7661-29.58%0.1188✗1.12847k2022-05-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.544.5463+0.14%2.39-47.36%0.5002✗0.69515k2022-05-13
UNIUniswapEthereum7.597.6001+0.13%5.13-32.41%0.1598✗1.124.3M2022-05-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72480.725582+0.11%0.4631-36.11%0.1668✗1.36307k2022-05-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.67213.6758+0.10%2.4783-32.51%0.1640✗1.11173k2022-05-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0411.042+0.10%0.487-53.22%0.5045✗1.232.1M2022-05-13
APEApeCoinEthereum13.25913.2708+0.09%8.53-35.67%0.0300✗1.9875.7M2022-05-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.3214.3317+0.08%10.44-27.09%0.0866✗1.1111.7M2022-05-13
ADACardanoCardano0.78310.783727+0.08%0.5281-32.56%0.1526✗1.1641.1M2022-05-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2180.218168+0.08%0.1223-43.90%0.4288✗0.7222k2022-05-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.68681.6878+0.06%1.1379-32.54%0.2028✗0.9280k2022-05-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.9311+0.06%1.39-27.98%0.1130✗1.04134k2022-05-13
COMPCompoundEthereum103.5103.555+0.05%68.45-33.86%0.1577✗1.2330k2022-05-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8252.8264+0.05%1.324-53.13%0.6220✗0.651.1M2022-05-13
HIVEHivenative0.77030.770614+0.04%0.4549-40.95%0.3059✗1.061.5M2022-05-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.5993.6001+0.03%1.758-51.15%0.3610✗1.711.3M2022-05-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.39850.398612+0.03%0.2208-44.59%0.3934✗0.95299k2022-05-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.14380.143835+0.02%0.0917-36.23%0.1758✗1.32180k2022-05-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5071.5072+0.01%0.832-44.79%0.3024✗1.408.3M2022-05-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.076010.076006-0.01%0.05005-34.15%0.2362✓0.8730k2022-05-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9880.987794-0.02%0.814-17.61%0.0363✗1.103.5M2022-05-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4733.4722-0.02%1.948-43.91%0.2730✓1.4679k2022-05-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8381.8373-0.04%1.004-45.38%0.3680✓1.1417.4M2022-05-13
SOLSolanaSolana81.6681.6283-0.04%48.89-40.13%0.2557✓1.2385.8M2022-05-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0944.0923-0.04%2.79-31.85%0.1678✓1.0373k2022-05-13
QTUMQtumQtum5.44765.4443-0.06%3.8681-28.99%0.1001✓1.1698k2022-05-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1714840.17136-0.07%0.132063-22.99%0.0500✓1.0113.8M2022-05-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.18862.1866-0.09%1.7254-21.16%0.0995✓0.6614k2022-05-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.058520.058454-0.11%0.03518-39.88%0.2756✓1.1170k2022-05-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.37675.369-0.14%5.0899-5.33%0.0114✗0.31278k2022-05-13
DIADIAEthereum0.710.708956-0.15%0.37682-46.93%0.5347✓0.4770k2022-05-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19550.195206-0.15%0.112-42.71%0.3748✓0.871.1M2022-05-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.570.568996-0.18%0.344-39.65%0.3391✓0.791.3M2022-05-13
BANDBandEthereum2.9262.9208-0.18%1.72-41.22%0.2592✓1.30504k2022-05-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1410.140747-0.18%0.071-49.65%0.5709✓0.54148k2022-05-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.841.8366-0.18%1.041-43.42%0.3245✓1.17929k2022-05-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.711.7066-0.20%0.89-47.95%0.5050✓0.70146k2022-05-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8944.8843-0.20%2.496-49.00%0.4211✓1.20184k2022-05-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008470.008451-0.23%0.00429-49.35%0.4336✓1.172.0M2022-05-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.91910.916947-0.23%0.6653-27.61%0.0475✓1.316.5M2022-05-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014130.014096-0.24%0.00953-32.55%0.2045✓0.901.0M2022-05-13
RADRadworksEthereum3.583.5709-0.26%1.78-50.28%0.5146✓0.87555k2022-05-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.19130.190807-0.26%0.1102-42.39%0.2583✓1.401.9M2022-05-13
XMRMoneroMonero218.44217.8721-0.26%143.73-34.20%0.2244✓0.923.1M2022-05-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.850450.848216-0.26%0.49964-41.25%0.2698✓1.2588k2022-05-13
XEMNEMnative0.08310.082878-0.27%0.058-30.20%0.1525✓0.9855k2022-05-13
QNTQuantEthereum90.2690.0188-0.27%68.58-24.02%0.0648✓1.003.3M2022-05-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2175.2029-0.27%3.487-33.16%0.2648✓0.651.5M2022-05-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,691.722,684.41-0.27%2,005.48-25.49%0.0828✓1.00438.2M2022-05-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.6996.4184-0.28%67.78-29.90%0.1362✓1.0417.5M2022-05-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.579870.578215-0.29%0.38322-33.91%0.1804✓1.11129k2022-05-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14160.141181-0.30%0.0821-42.02%0.2682✓1.324.3M2022-05-13
XYMSymbolnative0.08670.086438-0.30%0.0699-19.38%0.0689✓0.69657k2022-05-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12160.121227-0.31%0.0872-28.29%0.1560✓0.83146k2022-05-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001670.000001665-0.32%0.00000112-32.93%0.2496✓0.707.7M2022-05-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.35210.35097-0.32%0.2334-33.71%0.1716✓1.13188k2022-05-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3561.3516-0.32%0.914-32.60%0.1795✓1.02462k2022-05-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.10440.104043-0.34%0.0573-45.11%0.4179✓0.86425k2022-05-13
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6974.6802-0.36%2.3-51.03%0.3967✓1.5118k2022-05-13
KCSKuCoinnative16.94316.8802-0.37%12.511-26.16%0.1373✓0.784.1M2022-05-13
GTGateEthereum6.34966.3256-0.38%5.5584-12.46%0.0365✓0.454.2M2022-05-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,718.3216,654.23-0.38%9,926.05-40.63%0.3082✓1.012.5M2022-05-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.062910.062654-0.41%0.04297-31.70%0.2010✓0.8510k2022-05-13
LUNATerraTerra 277.3677.0429-0.41%0.00012-100.00%13.0987✓1.316.9M2022-05-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.24720.246153-0.42%0.1491-39.68%0.2509✓1.20380k2022-05-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV72.4472.0944-0.48%51.89-28.37%0.1507✓0.862.1M2022-05-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5964.5713-0.54%2.607-43.28%0.2461✓1.527.3M2022-05-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.6888-0.57%1.66-55.26%0.4942✓1.46355k2022-05-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash274.77273.1958-0.57%201.94-26.51%0.0914✓1.015.0M2022-05-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29520.293455-0.59%0.1483-49.76%0.4190✓1.276.5M2022-05-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2952.2814-0.59%1.312-42.83%0.2741✓1.345.1M2022-05-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277160.126903-0.64%0.088244-30.91%0.1659✓0.957.1M2022-05-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0129840.012892-0.71%0.009457-27.16%0.1240✓0.8940k2022-05-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7921.6148-0.80%14.73-32.40%0.1198✓1.27532k2022-05-13
STEEMSteemnative0.37590.372171-0.99%0.2185-41.87%0.3243✓1.003.9M2022-05-13
UMAUMAEthereum5.4675.4099-1.04%2.913-46.72%0.3179✓1.451.6M2022-05-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08960.08858-1.14%0.0463-48.33%0.4718✓0.852.5M2022-05-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7019970.693185-1.26%0.366416-47.80%0.4048✓1.125.5M2022-05-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.418.1563-1.32%9.76-46.96%0.3359✓1.372.2M2022-05-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16150.159239-1.40%0.0704-56.41%0.6080✓1.003.8M2022-05-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.69790.687086-1.55%0.4426-36.58%0.2322✓1.0010.9M2022-05-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.90e-78.74e-7-1.82%6.19e-7-30.53%0.3460✓-0.00717k2022-05-13
TRXTRONTron0.0864820.084697-2.06%0.0742-14.20%0.0213✗0.74297k2022-05-13
PROPropyEthereum1.751.706-2.51%1.19-32.00%0.2345✓0.60507k2022-05-13
ZENHorizenBase36.3935.3453-2.87%20.24-44.38%0.2786✓1.34173k2022-05-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.