8=======>

2022-04-28 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2943
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.0%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMGolemEthereum0.39520.397236+0.52%0.3743-5.29%0.0467✓1.26249k2022-05-05
UMAUMAEthereum5.5695.594+0.45%5.148-7.56%0.0369✓1.431.8M2022-05-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.535.5541+0.44%4.97-10.13%0.0562✗0.651.3M2022-05-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.16610.166781+0.41%0.1402-15.59%0.0058✓2.13328k2022-05-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.5565.5735+0.32%4.7697-14.15%0.0609✗1.1311.2M2022-05-05
TRXTRONTron0.0637420.063864+0.19%0.074707+17.20%0.2083✓0.61273k2022-05-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2044.2064+0.06%3.518-16.32%0.1554✗0.282.5M2022-05-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0281430.028154+0.04%0.023524-16.41%0.0941✗1.024.3M2022-05-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.80410.804214+0.01%0.6722-16.40%0.0778✗1.21159k2022-05-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,743.2239,740.95-0.01%36,537.22-8.07%0.0001✓1.00565.5M2022-05-05
XMRMoneroMonero227.38227.2834-0.04%206.75-9.07%0.0178✓0.913.3M2022-05-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00820.008196-0.05%0.0083+1.22%0.1107✗1.173.1M2022-05-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,816.8039,760.03-0.14%36,624.30-8.02%0.0043✓0.9325k2022-05-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0221.0202-0.18%0.908-11.15%0.0283✓1.051.3M2022-05-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.2490.248557-0.18%0.2243-9.92%0.0382✗1.672.1M2022-05-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.9813.9737-0.18%3.258-18.16%0.1194✓0.942.8M2022-05-05
GTGateEthereum6.19476.1828-0.19%6.3361+2.28%0.0636✗0.464.7M2022-05-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin103.33103.13-0.19%96.84-6.28%0.0219✗1.0118.7M2022-05-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.70325.6901-0.23%5.1342-9.98%0.0616✓0.49221k2022-05-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,935.912,927.81-0.28%2,747.43-6.42%0.0203✗1.00448.2M2022-05-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.16810.167609-0.29%0.1399-16.78%0.0840✓1.15204k2022-05-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6554.6402-0.32%4.203-9.71%0.0224✓0.9164k2022-05-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos20.7420.6651-0.36%17.83-14.03%0.0594✓1.0521.5M2022-05-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.030450.030308-0.46%0.02621-13.92%0.0971✓0.57458k2022-05-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.6978-0.47%4.19-11.23%0.0548✓0.711.2M2022-05-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.27210.270646-0.53%0.229-15.84%0.0500✓1.398.4M2022-05-05
ZECZcashZcash147146.2108-0.54%125.68-14.50%0.0657✓1.026.6M2022-05-05
STXStacksnative1.051.0442-0.55%0.89-15.24%0.0814✓0.93379k2022-05-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.134360.13361-0.56%0.1152-14.26%0.0861✓0.7416k2022-05-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.173.1519-0.57%2.887-8.93%0.0373✓0.601.8M2022-05-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.833920.828948-0.60%0.71032-14.82%0.0519✓1.221.6M2022-05-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.041940.04169-0.60%0.03924-6.44%0.0079✗0.81329k2022-05-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.6512.5743-0.60%10.92-13.68%0.0498✓1.0922.4M2022-05-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.0310.9634-0.60%8.79-20.31%0.1890✓0.381.9M2022-05-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.1512.0742-0.62%11.08-8.81%0.0005✓1.021.1M2022-05-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07991.0728-0.65%0.9653-10.61%0.0027✓1.228.7M2022-05-05
QNTQuantEthereum100.2399.538-0.69%91.88-8.33%0.0129✓0.803.4M2022-05-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020030.019885-0.73%0.01722-14.03%0.0231✓1.4448.3M2022-05-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1858470.184462-0.75%0.171062-7.96%0.0053✓0.9616.4M2022-05-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.03792.0222-0.77%1.6972-16.72%0.1051✓0.8396k2022-05-05
XYMSymbolnative0.10040.099614-0.78%0.0893-11.06%0.0557✓0.64823k2022-05-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47810.474174-0.82%0.407-14.87%0.0809✓0.85412k2022-05-05
QTUMQtumQtum6.05776.0079-0.82%5.4859-9.44%0.0030✓1.12135k2022-05-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2866.7173-0.84%59.02-12.28%0.0252✓1.1654.4M2022-05-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.075.0272-0.85%4.62-8.88%0.0298✓0.65756k2022-05-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04560.045212-0.85%0.0371-18.64%0.0616✓1.6230.9M2022-05-05
GITCOINGITCOIN5.4265.3781-0.88%4.554-16.07%0.0458✓1.4318k2022-05-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001764-0.89%0.00000168-5.62%0.0101✗0.708.6M2022-05-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06180.061247-0.89%0.0533-13.75%0.0453✓1.11244k2022-05-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1149-0.90%0.999-11.20%0.0239✓1.023.8M2022-05-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.246.1835-0.90%4.88-21.79%0.1896✓0.56993k2022-05-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7880.780823-0.91%0.639-18.91%0.0864✓1.361.7M2022-05-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash306.57303.7629-0.92%277.17-9.59%0.0110✓0.965.7M2022-05-05
XTZTezosTezos2.80592.7801-0.92%2.4895-11.28%0.0244✓1.02873k2022-05-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.152.1298-0.94%1.93-10.23%0.0154✓0.99137k2022-05-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.61650.610531-0.97%0.4982-19.19%0.1227✓0.968.0M2022-05-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.7817.6068-0.97%14.24-19.91%0.1008✓1.32163k2022-05-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.7411.625-0.98%8.65-26.32%0.2560✓0.472.9M2022-05-05
AAVEAaveEthereum166.2164.5449-1.00%141.32-14.97%0.0475✓1.2412.2M2022-05-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088550.087659-1.01%0.07734-12.66%0.0604✓0.7732k2022-05-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1053.0729-1.04%2.892-6.86%0.0043✓0.671.3M2022-05-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24230.239764-1.05%0.1995-17.66%0.0766✓1.27164k2022-05-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.42022.3945-1.06%2.365-2.28%0.0391✗0.6112k2022-05-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.00880.997897-1.08%0.85534-15.21%0.0603✓1.12142k2022-05-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1374840.135985-1.09%0.1281-6.83%0.0178✗0.926.0M2022-05-05
DASHDashDash96.4395.3651-1.10%87.47-9.29%0.0025✓1.001.4M2022-05-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.1314.9608-1.12%12.71-15.99%0.0742✓1.069.9M2022-05-05
ZENHorizenBase33.3933.0155-1.12%30.98-7.22%0.0455✗1.30238k2022-05-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35830.354224-1.14%0.3012-15.94%0.0625✓1.199.3M2022-05-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.4124.1284-1.15%21.5-11.92%0.0110✓1.24669k2022-05-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,884.9417,677.99-1.16%16,867.45-5.69%0.0363✗0.993.1M2022-05-05
XVGVergenative0.00930.009192-1.16%0.00803-13.66%0.0462✓1.061.2M2022-05-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.80141.7804-1.16%1.4683-18.49%0.1031✓1.071.2M2022-05-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.30760.304014-1.17%0.2692-12.48%0.0131✓1.29941k2022-05-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.178.0741-1.17%7.34-10.16%0.0094✓1.025.3M2022-05-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.1124.8152-1.17%22.31-11.15%0.0319✓0.89478k2022-05-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.05680.056131-1.18%0.0556-2.11%0.0300✗0.47193k2022-05-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9716.7665-1.20%14.59-14.02%0.0547✓1.0012.5M2022-05-05
DIADIAEthereum0.820.810159-1.20%0.74-9.76%0.0511✓0.4775k2022-05-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22310.220411-1.21%0.1941-13.00%0.0581✓0.821.5M2022-05-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.1330.753-1.21%28.32-9.03%0.0078✓1.075.7M2022-05-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.181.1657-1.21%1.035-12.29%0.0227✓1.142.3M2022-05-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.444.3859-1.22%3.643-17.95%0.0447✓1.681.7M2022-05-05
FTTFTXEthereum39.8439.3512-1.23%36.21-9.11%0.0081✓0.8916.1M2022-05-05
SOLSolanaSolana98.2297.0039-1.24%84.52-13.95%0.0371✓1.20106.8M2022-05-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6821.6611-1.24%1.574-6.42%0.0296✗0.997.8M2022-05-05
XECeCashnative0.000080420.000079409-1.26%0.00007207-10.38%0.0185✓0.939.1M2022-05-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.583.535-1.26%2.9655-17.16%0.1266✓0.584.6M2022-05-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016140.015932-1.29%0.01415-12.33%0.0449✓0.881.5M2022-05-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.41430.408955-1.29%0.3282-20.78%0.1912✓0.345,5292022-05-05
XEMNEMnative0.09470.093463-1.31%0.0836-11.72%0.0342✓0.9266k2022-05-05
AVTAventusEthereum2.142.1118-1.32%2.11-1.40%0.0405✗0.49303k2022-05-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1350.133211-1.33%0.1235-8.52%0.0043✓0.95184k2022-05-05
ORCAOrcaSolana21.9735-1.33%1.78-11.00%0.0431✓0.71191k2022-05-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078920.077865-1.34%0.0643-18.53%0.1290✓0.7425k2022-05-05
ADACardanoCardano0.84330.83198-1.34%0.7884-6.51%0.0332✗1.0343.8M2022-05-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2161.1997-1.34%1.017-16.37%0.0836✓0.9757k2022-05-05
XVSVenusEthereum9.79.5692-1.35%7.57-21.96%0.1507✓0.993.6M2022-05-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.1012.0726-1.35%1.788-14.90%0.0882✓0.7124k2022-05-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.020820.020539-1.35%0.01784-14.31%0.0810✓0.714.2M2022-05-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.656610.6477-1.36%0.58772-10.49%0.0126✓1.01145k2022-05-05
KCSKuCoinnative19.41519.1493-1.37%17.27-11.05%0.0389✓0.775.0M2022-05-05
DODODODOEthereum0.3640.358969-1.38%0.284-21.98%0.1418✓1.107.7M2022-05-05
HIVEHivenative0.90690.894208-1.40%0.7673-15.39%0.0724✓0.961.8M2022-05-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.2277.1114-1.42%73.79-5.66%0.0225✗0.792.7M2022-05-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3031.2842-1.44%1.287-1.23%0.0874✗1.01547k2022-05-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022950.000022619-1.44%0.00002029-11.59%0.0211✓1.041.6M2022-05-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.46750.460723-1.45%0.3943-15.66%0.0649✓1.08616k2022-05-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20230.199361-1.45%0.1758-13.10%0.0322✓1.112.4M2022-05-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.52685.4459-1.46%3.0675-44.50%0.5120✓0.749.8M2022-05-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0135880.013389-1.47%0.011926-12.23%0.0429✓0.8753k2022-05-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.9341.9053-1.49%1.236-36.09%0.3483✓1.0078k2022-05-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.510.502377-1.49%0.41-19.61%0.0812✓1.45319k2022-05-05
SUSHISushiEthereum2.992.9453-1.50%2.28-23.75%0.1548✓1.204.2M2022-05-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2610.257092-1.50%0.22-15.71%0.1006✓0.6629k2022-05-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041370.040748-1.50%0.0378-8.63%0.0074✓0.8056k2022-05-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.79693.7398-1.50%3.1181-17.88%0.1364✓0.545.6M2022-05-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.14714.0843-1.51%3.7423-9.76%0.0068✓0.96256k2022-05-05
NANOnanopayBase1.93521.9058-1.52%1.6305-15.75%0.0715✓1.00170k2022-05-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0261860.025786-1.53%0.01861-28.93%0.2843✓0.50198k2022-05-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.070150.069078-1.53%0.06067-13.51%0.0445✓1.01114k2022-05-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.21650.213147-1.55%0.1929-10.90%0.0051✓1.252.5M2022-05-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3992.3612-1.57%2.454+2.29%0.1455✗1.277.1M2022-05-05
MOVRMoonriverBase50.118149.3166-1.60%38.4703-23.24%0.1305✓1.40205k2022-05-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.940.924766-1.62%0.72-23.40%0.1628✓1.04546k2022-05-05
LUNATerraTerra 289.0587.5798-1.65%82.42-7.45%0.0476✗1.299.9M2022-05-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.3944.3214-1.65%3.292-25.08%0.1641✓1.2891k2022-05-05
SCSiacoinnative0.009620.009461-1.65%0.00804-16.42%0.0673✓1.14433k2022-05-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5220.513102-1.70%0.421-19.35%0.1137✓1.004.5M2022-05-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.712970.700768-1.71%0.60513-15.13%0.0572✓1.06121k2022-05-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.465.365-1.74%4.57-16.30%0.0378✓1.46382k2022-05-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.791.7585-1.76%1.48-17.32%0.0644✓1.281.6M2022-05-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6450.633563-1.77%0.571-11.47%0.0410✓0.752.1M2022-05-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.256.1389-1.78%4.871-22.06%0.1366✓1.13201k2022-05-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum38.0337.3422-1.81%28.96-23.85%0.1541✓1.194.6M2022-05-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.69910.686354-1.82%0.6344-9.25%0.0023✓0.9110.9M2022-05-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.117.7699-1.82%13.98-22.76%0.1544✓1.029.9M2022-05-05
COMPCompoundEthereum124.85122.5393-1.85%104.67-16.16%0.0635✓1.1256k2022-05-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.7218.3662-1.89%18.95+1.23%0.1425✗1.322.2M2022-05-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003710.003639-1.92%0.00312-15.90%0.0643✓1.066.6M2022-05-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.11120.109056-1.93%0.101-9.17%0.0020✓0.89573k2022-05-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.28590.280342-1.94%0.2551-10.77%0.0033✓1.08428k2022-05-05
RADRadworksEthereum4.294.2061-1.96%3.74-12.82%0.0460✓0.85685k2022-05-05
BANDBandEthereum3.5093.4399-1.97%2.939-16.24%0.0563✓1.20612k2022-05-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.7282.6714-2.08%1.91-29.99%0.2542✓0.9713.0M2022-05-05
KSMKusamaHydration157.92154.4829-2.18%127.39-19.33%0.1048✓1.051.1M2022-05-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.019840.019405-2.19%0.01676-15.52%0.0620✓1.01353k2022-05-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.5395.4175-2.19%4.535-18.13%0.0623✓1.379.1M2022-05-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.2951.2665-2.20%1.07-17.37%0.0662✓1.22438k2022-05-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.84070.821686-2.26%0.7414-11.81%0.0007✓1.21424k2022-05-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.684.5738-2.27%3.82-18.38%0.0668✓1.35385k2022-05-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.9642-2.28%1.79-10.95%0.0030✓1.071.3M2022-05-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011110.010853-2.32%0.00721-35.10%0.3607✓0.5728k2022-05-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.46460.453669-2.35%0.434-6.59%0.0277✓0.20656k2022-05-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09410.091885-2.35%0.091-3.29%0.0653✗0.892.6M2022-05-05
APEApeCoinEthereum23.71423.1429-2.41%13.688-42.28%0.3409✓2.1945.8M2022-05-05
PROPropyEthereum1.821.7751-2.47%1.67-8.24%0.0150✓0.55298k2022-05-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8152030.794741-2.51%0.716712-12.08%0.0203✓0.995.0M2022-05-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010830.000001055-2.58%9.15e-7-15.54%0.1493✓-0.08580k2022-05-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1550.150264-3.06%0.142-8.39%0.0216✓0.42175k2022-05-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.3466.138-3.28%5.336-15.92%0.0876✓0.621.6M2022-05-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.9972.8893-3.59%2.445-18.42%0.0404✓1.51807k2022-05-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19450.187293-3.71%0.143-26.48%0.1695✓1.198.1M2022-05-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.