8=======>

2022-04-19 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2405
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.7%
in alpha space · 94.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L23.0992.9106-6.08%2.535-18.20%0.0525✓1.014.2M2022-04-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001230.000001159-5.79%8.90e-7-27.64%0.2836✓-0.23602k2022-04-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.1675.8711-4.80%5.42-12.11%0.0328✓1.327.3M2022-04-26
STORJStorjEthereum1.25661.2033-4.24%0.95796-23.77%0.1287✓1.17150k2022-04-26
PROPropyEthereum1.881.8049-4.00%1.5-20.21%0.1077✓0.91179k2022-04-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.2124.0546-3.74%3.066-27.21%0.1541✓1.47741k2022-04-26
DIADIAEthereum0.930.897912-3.45%0.81-12.90%0.0622✓0.48154k2022-04-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.64037-3.27%0.512-22.66%0.1300✓1.105.9M2022-04-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7876.5656-3.26%5.751-15.26%0.0372✓1.12327k2022-04-26
API3Api3Ethereum4.6324.4849-3.18%3.9-15.80%0.0860✓0.633.3M2022-04-26
APEApeCoinEthereum13.3912.9656-3.17%18.092+35.12%0.5169✗2.1645.4M2022-04-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.7525.5797-2.99%4.896-14.88%0.0459✓1.0072k2022-04-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24350.236231-2.99%0.2255-7.39%0.0695✗1.36351k2022-04-26
LUNATerraTerra 295.5792.7708-2.93%88.47-7.43%0.0641✗1.318.4M2022-04-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0244.879-2.89%4.046-19.47%0.0981✓1.05139k2022-04-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20150.19569-2.88%0.1581-21.54%0.1096✓1.229.4M2022-04-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076640.074483-2.81%0.06673-12.93%0.0202✓1.05132k2022-04-26
BANDBandEthereum3.9623.8527-2.76%3.307-16.53%0.0463✓1.25745k2022-04-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.20.194546-2.73%0.1641-17.95%0.0728✓1.14262k2022-04-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.775690.754744-2.70%0.65645-15.37%0.0502✓1.05201k2022-04-26
RADRadworksEthereum4.764.6342-2.64%4.14-13.03%0.0314✓0.95785k2022-04-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75930.739553-2.60%0.6562-13.58%0.0391✓0.9418.3M2022-04-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.3278.2424-2.59%68.7-14.47%0.0225✓1.2692.9M2022-04-26
XVSVenusEthereum10.7610.4833-2.57%9.55-11.25%0.0058✓1.164.6M2022-04-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59990.584495-2.57%0.4708-21.52%0.1102✓1.25967k2022-04-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.21471.1836-2.56%1.0722-11.73%0.0074✓1.2510.2M2022-04-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.072.0172-2.55%1.74-15.94%0.0345✓1.331.6M2022-04-26
MANADecentralandEthereum2.16542.1102-2.55%1.8074-16.54%0.0584✓1.131.6M2022-04-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7308760.712521-2.51%0.832578+13.92%0.2502✗1.113.2M2022-04-26
XVGVergenative0.010910.010636-2.51%0.00927-15.03%0.0390✓1.161.6M2022-04-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7510.732175-2.51%0.637-15.18%0.0645✓0.882.9M2022-04-26
SOLSolanaSolana108.55105.831-2.50%95.74-11.80%0.0063✓1.25147.4M2022-04-26
COMPCompoundEthereum142.4138.8808-2.47%121.78-14.48%0.0309✓1.1876k2022-04-26
KSMKusamaHydration176.41172.0929-2.45%154.99-12.14%0.0154✓1.051.1M2022-04-26
KCSKuCoinnative20.95820.4492-2.43%18.817-10.22%0.0097✓0.865.6M2022-04-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.43380.423416-2.39%0.3932-9.36%0.0479✗1.43373k2022-04-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11680.114005-2.39%0.0986-15.58%0.0562✓1.041.6M2022-04-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.62332.4929-2.39%296.43-12.97%0.0305✓0.997.4M2022-04-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.32914.2269-2.36%5.2343+20.91%0.2787✗0.765.3M2022-04-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.446.2812-2.36%38.74-18.27%0.0691✓1.288.8M2022-04-26
ZENHorizenBase38.7737.8663-2.33%32.21-16.92%0.0469✓1.35383k2022-04-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.0611.0365-2.31%0.8649-18.48%0.0680✓1.331.6M2022-04-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07680.075048-2.28%0.07809+1.68%0.1103✗0.8348k2022-04-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36120.353112-2.24%0.3371-6.67%0.0541✗1.1810.3M2022-04-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.25310.247434-2.24%0.2049-19.04%0.0742✓1.343.3M2022-04-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.8818.4577-2.24%16.69-11.60%0.0106✓1.0619.0M2022-04-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06950.067956-2.22%0.0599-13.81%0.0250✓1.19471k2022-04-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.819920.801791-2.21%0.71569-12.71%0.0284✓1.00155k2022-04-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0214.6884-2.21%10.73-28.56%0.2787✓0.412.0M2022-04-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36280.354855-2.19%0.296-18.41%0.0700✓1.311.4M2022-04-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.862704-2.19%0.748-15.19%0.0266✓1.362.7M2022-04-26
SUSHISushiEthereum3.363.2867-2.18%2.91-13.39%0.0153✓1.256.4M2022-04-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.220.215201-2.18%0.159-27.73%0.2470✓0.65122k2022-04-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.30140.294877-2.16%0.2688-10.82%0.0069✓1.17495k2022-04-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025430.000024895-2.10%0.00002298-9.63%0.0165✓1.132.6M2022-04-26
XECeCashnative0.000092420.000090477-2.10%0.00007859-14.96%0.0557✓1.009.5M2022-04-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5181.4862-2.10%1.273-16.14%0.0423✓1.32555k2022-04-26
QTUMQtumQtum6.82996.6871-2.09%6.0098-12.01%0.0079✓1.16206k2022-04-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05480.053657-2.09%0.0423-22.81%0.0941✓1.6938.1M2022-04-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.6724.1582-2.07%20.31-17.67%0.0795✓1.1031.7M2022-04-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.626725-2.07%0.5-21.88%0.0991✓1.49435k2022-04-26
LSKLiskEthereum2.23962.1933-2.07%1.9849-11.37%0.0254✓0.8799k2022-04-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.123.6033-2.06%23.51-2.45%0.1076✗1.31685k2022-04-26
IMXImmutableEthereum1.9751.9345-2.05%1.666-15.65%0.0580✓1.077.8M2022-04-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017920.017554-2.04%0.0159-11.27%0.0141✓1.001.9M2022-04-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004250.004163-2.04%0.00365-14.12%0.0272✓1.239.6M2022-04-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0264670.025929-2.03%0.02694+1.79%0.0959✗0.68199k2022-04-26
AAVEAaveEthereum183179.2982-2.02%158.02-13.65%0.0153✓1.3012.5M2022-04-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.623.5478-1.99%3.009-16.88%0.1087✓0.662.1M2022-04-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.9714.6723-1.99%11.53-22.98%0.1996✓0.492.9M2022-04-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24380.23897-1.98%0.2151-11.77%0.0330✓0.851.6M2022-04-26
MOVRMoonriverBase60.168858.9898-1.96%45.768-23.93%0.1287✓1.47220k2022-04-26
SCSiacoinnative0.010870.010657-1.96%0.00932-14.26%0.0327✓1.19565k2022-04-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39790.39021-1.93%0.2646-33.50%0.2350✓1.802.3M2022-04-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.765.6488-1.93%4.8-16.67%0.1019✓0.711.1M2022-04-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5833.5139-1.93%2.928-18.28%0.1193✓0.742.2M2022-04-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.4317.0939-1.93%15.02-13.83%0.0419✓1.0318.4M2022-04-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0349260.034253-1.93%0.02748-21.32%0.1261✓1.114.5M2022-04-26
ZECZcashZcash158.67155.6148-1.93%145.94-8.02%0.0248✗1.048.2M2022-04-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.35250.345738-1.92%0.2747-22.07%0.1057✓1.469.2M2022-04-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.524.4357-1.86%3.83-15.27%0.0267✓1.41642k2022-04-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.80964.7203-1.86%4.0998-14.76%0.0578✓0.98275k2022-04-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52310.513451-1.84%0.4674-10.65%0.0266✓0.79461k2022-04-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1427530.140159-1.82%0.137619-3.60%0.0547✗0.865.0M2022-04-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.0692.0314-1.82%1.675-19.04%0.1101✓0.9794k2022-04-26
MINAMina Protocolnative2.452.4057-1.81%1.95-20.41%0.1164✓1.101.2M2022-04-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010960.010764-1.79%0.00856-21.90%0.1291✓1.173.0M2022-04-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,429.2919,081.77-1.79%17,482.39-10.02%0.0071✓1.115.0M2022-04-26
UMAUMAEthereum6.3976.2828-1.79%5.532-13.52%0.0024✓1.472.7M2022-04-26
GITCOINGITCOIN6.2196.1088-1.77%5.254-15.52%0.0232✓1.5018k2022-04-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.265235-1.76%0.26-3.70%0.0517✗0.8436k2022-04-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.9114.6482-1.76%14.35-3.76%0.0909✗1.312.3M2022-04-26
XTZTezosTezos3.23423.1774-1.75%2.7203-15.89%0.0665✓1.04989k2022-04-26
STXStacksnative1.221.1988-1.74%1.03-15.57%0.0654✓1.01447k2022-04-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001930.000001897-1.73%0.00000175-9.33%0.0196✓0.7110.2M2022-04-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96040.943985-1.71%0.8193-14.69%0.0235✓1.39752k2022-04-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.22990.225994-1.70%0.1968-14.40%0.0375✓1.183.2M2022-04-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2651.2436-1.69%0.986-22.06%0.1448✓1.031.3M2022-04-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.49650.488146-1.68%0.4053-18.37%0.1666✓0.235,8622022-04-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3681.345-1.68%1.131-17.32%0.0648✓1.273.1M2022-04-26
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4431.4188-1.67%1.2-16.84%0.0837✓0.9862k2022-04-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.3621.0026-1.67%17.23-19.34%0.0826✓1.35220k2022-04-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011530.011338-1.66%0.01086-5.81%0.0088✓0.6136k2022-04-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1784.7384-1.66%76.53-11.19%0.0335✓0.803.6M2022-04-26
QNTQuantEthereum114.35112.4548-1.66%100.69-11.95%0.0324✓0.923.8M2022-04-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.6780.666765-1.66%0.5373-20.75%0.1800✓0.42814k2022-04-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.4120.0723-1.65%17.31-15.19%0.0534✓1.1110.8M2022-04-26
UNIUniswapEthereum9.549.3826-1.65%8-16.14%0.0695✓1.068.8M2022-04-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.196.09-1.62%5.28-14.70%0.0142✓1.51579k2022-04-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.31115.2262-1.60%3.586-32.48%0.3340✓0.505.6M2022-04-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8426.4153-1.58%25.54-4.84%0.0428✗0.90578k2022-04-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.3792.3414-1.58%2.02-15.09%0.0790✓0.8127k2022-04-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.81112.026-1.57%98.59-13.37%0.0399✓1.0321.0M2022-04-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034610.034069-1.56%0.02986-13.72%0.0775✓0.64865k2022-04-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.121.103-1.51%0.94-16.07%0.0587✓1.19735k2022-04-26
ETHEthereumEthereum3,102.263,055.41-1.51%2,809.26-9.44%0.0053✓1.05482.4M2022-04-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.022730.022387-1.51%0.02075-8.71%0.0533✗1.5248.3M2022-04-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2881.2687-1.50%1.089-15.45%0.0710✓0.963.5M2022-04-26
XLMStellarStellar0.2039030.200849-1.50%0.180467-11.49%0.0218✓1.0019.5M2022-04-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.8624.7894-1.49%3.962-18.51%0.0436✓1.712.4M2022-04-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.11650.11476-1.49%0.11-5.58%0.0541✗1.13988k2022-04-26
DASHDashDash109.73108.0975-1.49%93.27-15.00%0.0593✓1.042.3M2022-04-26
AVTAventusEthereum2.532.4927-1.47%2.33-7.91%0.0258✓0.49491k2022-04-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3112.2773-1.46%2.366+2.38%0.1519✗1.337.3M2022-04-26
XMRMoneroMonero254.39250.714-1.45%230.31-9.47%0.0053✓0.931.8M2022-04-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20860.205681-1.40%0.1659-20.47%0.0226✓2.26569k2022-04-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.98913.9337-1.39%3.376-15.37%0.0965✓0.664.6M2022-04-26
XEMNEMnative0.10130.099896-1.39%0.0889-12.24%0.0380✓0.9267k2022-04-26
DODODODOEthereum0.4080.402401-1.37%0.349-14.46%0.0422✓1.187.7M2022-04-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.095880.094566-1.37%0.08622-10.08%0.0188✓0.8635k2022-04-26
HIVEHivenative0.930.91764-1.33%0.8402-9.66%0.0030✓1.071.9M2022-04-26
XYMSymbolnative0.10980.108368-1.30%0.1012-7.83%0.0097✓0.69840k2022-04-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.8137.3184-1.30%30.7-18.80%0.1024✓1.0914.3M2022-04-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13860.136827-1.28%0.1328-4.18%0.0567✗1.02224k2022-04-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5411.5217-1.26%1.29-16.29%0.0787✓1.01867k2022-04-26
NANOnanopayBase2.15292.126-1.25%1.8946-11.99%0.0201✓1.12231k2022-04-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.68670.678337-1.22%0.6001-12.61%0.0334✓1.059.4M2022-04-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.45675.3907-1.21%5.4923+0.65%0.1208✗1.2010.7M2022-04-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.0455.9738-1.18%4.714-22.02%0.1808✓0.662.0M2022-04-26
ADACardanoCardano0.95240.941361-1.16%0.8259-13.28%0.0430✓1.0368.9M2022-04-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.2514.087-1.14%12.37-13.19%0.0334✓1.1326.2M2022-04-26
TRXTRONTron0.0632230.062526-1.10%0.061824-2.21%0.0460✗0.67254k2022-04-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.275-1.09%2.07-10.00%0.0083✓1.01163k2022-04-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.915.8464-1.08%6.02+1.86%0.0908✗0.721.0M2022-04-26
FTTFTXEthereum43.4843.0126-1.07%38.71-10.97%0.0203✓1.0019.0M2022-04-26
ORCAOrcaSolana1.931.9096-1.06%1.88-2.59%0.0452✗0.71238k2022-04-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.4972.4707-1.05%2.3628-5.37%0.0206✗0.7711k2022-04-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045120.044647-1.05%0.0407-9.80%0.0175✓0.8867k2022-04-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86275.8019-1.04%5.8399-0.39%0.0463✗0.47186k2022-04-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.7313.5971-0.97%12.13-11.65%0.0181✓1.131.4M2022-04-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.02220.021986-0.96%0.02116-4.68%0.0291✗0.794.7M2022-04-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023440.023222-0.93%0.02115-9.77%0.0040✓1.14423k2022-04-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.335.2887-0.77%4.38-17.82%0.1250✓0.751.3M2022-04-26
GTGateEthereum6.52376.4735-0.77%6.1359-5.94%0.0035✓0.594.6M2022-04-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048930.048569-0.74%0.04222-13.71%0.0543✓1.01499k2022-04-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,503.8541,216.33-0.69%38,113.82-8.17%0.0070✓1.00544.9M2022-04-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0145820.014488-0.65%0.013268-9.01%0.0104✓0.9147k2022-04-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6654.6356-0.63%4.052-13.14%0.1038✓0.363.3M2022-04-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,490.5041,241.64-0.60%38,008.80-8.39%0.0010✓0.9526k2022-04-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89120.887431-0.42%0.8397-5.78%0.0637✗1.40231k2022-04-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.145320.144901-0.29%0.12984-10.65%0.0422✓0.7918k2022-04-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.716.7373+0.41%5.26-21.61%0.1842✗0.741.7M2022-04-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.