8=======>

2022-04-18 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1362
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.0%
in alpha space · 84.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.9752.784-6.42%2.628-11.66%0.0486✓1.014.0M2022-04-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011870.000001112-6.26%9.91e-7-16.46%0.1173✓-0.24596k2022-04-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6760.649426-3.93%0.575-14.94%0.1117✓1.115.9M2022-04-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.1744.013-3.86%3.484-16.53%0.1283✓1.45741k2022-04-25
PROPropyEthereum1.861.7908-3.72%1.6-13.98%0.1044✓0.92179k2022-04-25
LUNATerraTerra 290.9888.2152-3.04%96.85+6.45%0.1051✗1.308.2M2022-04-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.22541.1926-2.68%1.1829-3.47%0.0031✓1.2511.9M2022-04-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.763580.743429-2.64%0.72357-5.24%0.0176✓1.05201k2022-04-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5416.3688-2.63%6.255-4.37%0.0080✓1.11331k2022-04-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.08551.0571-2.61%0.95958-11.60%0.0848✓1.341.6M2022-04-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2280.222295-2.50%0.175-23.25%0.2332✓0.67122k2022-04-25
DIADIAEthereum0.870.84841-2.48%0.84-3.45%0.0057✓0.47154k2022-04-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11740.114605-2.38%0.1032-12.10%0.0954✓1.051.3M2022-04-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.19520.190685-2.31%0.1826-6.45%0.0331✓1.14262k2022-04-25
BANDBandEthereum3.7833.6962-2.29%3.616-4.41%0.0108✓1.25745k2022-04-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.624.5146-2.28%4.42-4.33%0.0126✓0.96820k2022-04-25
XMRMoneroMonero265.87259.8482-2.26%254.06-4.44%0.0141✓0.941.7M2022-04-25
API3Api3Ethereum4.2854.188-2.26%4.22-1.52%0.0133✓0.633.3M2022-04-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.29844.2028-2.22%5.0778+18.13%0.1959✗0.764.5M2022-04-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.48332.9396-2.21%314.56-7.61%0.0479✓0.998.3M2022-04-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7370.720712-2.21%0.68-7.73%0.0502✓0.882.9M2022-04-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.991.9463-2.20%1.91-4.02%0.0069✓1.331.6M2022-04-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23590.23081-2.16%0.2437+3.31%0.0665✗1.36356k2022-04-25
KCSKuCoinnative20.2619.823-2.16%19.759-2.47%0.0045✓0.865.4M2022-04-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.08662.0421-2.13%1.9801-5.10%0.0207✓1.131.6M2022-04-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7121570.697068-2.12%0.777815+9.22%0.1196✗1.113.2M2022-04-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7376.1065-2.09%72.91-6.20%0.0316✓1.2692.9M2022-04-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074820.073267-2.08%0.07299-2.45%0.0057✓1.05124k2022-04-25
STXStacksnative1.211.1853-2.04%1.11-8.26%0.0565✓1.01440k2022-04-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73690.721932-2.03%0.7031-4.59%0.0180✓0.9418.3M2022-04-25
COMPCompoundEthereum139.03136.221-2.02%132.68-4.57%0.0158✓1.1876k2022-04-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025270.00002476-2.02%0.00002437-3.56%0.0057✓1.142.7M2022-04-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.627357-1.98%0.57-10.94%0.0825✓1.49435k2022-04-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1765.0742-1.97%6.16+19.01%0.2056✗1.307.1M2022-04-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.061.0392-1.96%1.0574-0.25%0.0276✗1.15143k2022-04-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36230.355661-1.83%0.3604-0.52%0.0238✗1.1810.3M2022-04-25
SOLSolanaSolana102.39100.5193-1.83%100.99-1.37%0.0159✓1.25147.4M2022-04-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.815140.800278-1.82%0.77892-4.44%0.0181✓1.00166k2022-04-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.29110.285797-1.82%0.2922+0.38%0.0326✗1.17495k2022-04-25
ZENHorizenBase37.8937.2012-1.82%36.39-3.96%0.0099✓1.35397k2022-04-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5734.4914-1.78%4.506-1.47%0.0125✓1.03120k2022-04-25
APEApeCoinEthereum11.87411.6625-1.78%19.357+63.02%0.5255✗2.0945.4M2022-04-25
KSMKusamaHydration167.23164.2525-1.78%164.32-1.74%0.0098✓1.041.2M2022-04-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18670.183429-1.75%0.1784-4.45%0.0169✓1.219.4M2022-04-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.24190.237666-1.75%0.221-8.64%0.0606✓1.353.3M2022-04-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.7214.4626-1.75%12.53-14.88%0.1391✓0.492.9M2022-04-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4411.4159-1.74%1.381-4.16%0.0132✓1.32555k2022-04-25
ZECZcashZcash156.2153.4804-1.74%165.73+6.10%0.0862✗1.058.5M2022-04-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011010.01082-1.72%0.00962-12.62%0.1070✓1.183.2M2022-04-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1617.8468-1.72%18.09-0.39%0.0230✗1.0619.0M2022-04-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4614.2108-1.72%11.43-20.95%0.2141✓0.412.0M2022-04-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.074396-1.72%0.0786+3.83%0.0624✗0.8350k2022-04-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.42060.413424-1.71%0.4121-2.02%0.0096✓1.43403k2022-04-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24040.236319-1.70%0.2353-2.12%0.0033✓0.851.6M2022-04-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.423.003-1.70%26.37+12.69%0.1484✗1.31720k2022-04-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.41935.3286-1.67%3.9802-26.56%0.2872✓0.515.7M2022-04-25
XVSVenusEthereum10.1710.0002-1.67%10-1.67%0.0104✓1.164.6M2022-04-25
XECeCashnative0.000090560.000089058-1.66%0.00008673-4.23%0.0175✓1.009.5M2022-04-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.034420.033849-1.66%0.03048-11.45%0.0949✓1.114.5M2022-04-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011490.011301-1.64%0.0114-0.78%0.0142✓0.6235k2022-04-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0263320.025903-1.63%0.026033-1.14%0.0110✓0.67199k2022-04-25
UMAUMAEthereum6.3186.2155-1.62%5.94-5.98%0.0323✓1.462.8M2022-04-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06720.066113-1.62%0.0651-3.12%0.0048✓1.19471k2022-04-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1403550.138108-1.60%0.157987+12.56%0.1422✗0.865.0M2022-04-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum46.2245.4815-1.60%42.89-7.20%0.0472✓1.288.8M2022-04-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5513.495-1.58%3.291-7.32%0.0542✓0.662.2M2022-04-25
XVGVergenative0.010430.010266-1.58%0.00996-4.51%0.0199✓1.151.6M2022-04-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.22970.226177-1.53%0.2127-7.40%0.0508✓1.193.2M2022-04-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.6128-1.53%5.19-8.95%0.0719✓0.721.2M2022-04-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.0823.7126-1.53%22.12-8.14%0.0596✓1.1031.7M2022-04-25
XTZTezosTezos3.17433.1261-1.52%2.9542-6.93%0.0472✓1.051.0M2022-04-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.461.4379-1.52%1.299-11.03%0.0927✓0.9963k2022-04-25
QTUMQtumQtum6.69966.5992-1.50%6.4672-3.47%0.0098✓1.17216k2022-04-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2051140.202043-1.50%0.192216-6.29%0.0408✓1.0119.4M2022-04-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0684.9923-1.49%5.118+0.99%0.0336✗0.9872k2022-04-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.5233.4706-1.49%3.116-11.55%0.1011✓0.742.2M2022-04-25
MOVRMoonriverBase57.977757.123-1.47%50.5406-12.83%0.1093✓1.47223k2022-04-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.293.242-1.46%3.28-0.30%0.0229✗1.256.7M2022-04-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,850.2040,258.97-1.45%40,523.20-0.80%0.0150✗0.9526k2022-04-25
ETHEthereumEthereum3,056.193,012.27-1.44%3,007.22-1.60%0.0077✓1.05482.4M2022-04-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71514.6479-1.43%4.5227-4.08%0.0185✓0.98275k2022-04-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001910.000001883-1.42%0.00000183-4.19%0.0221✓0.7110.2M2022-04-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034940.034448-1.41%0.0311-10.99%0.0963✓0.66942k2022-04-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9825.8982-1.40%5.753-3.83%0.0114✓1.5018k2022-04-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.68540.675831-1.40%0.5265-23.18%0.2458✓0.44814k2022-04-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.48250.475789-1.39%0.4482-7.11%0.0578✓0.225,8622022-04-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017290.017059-1.34%0.0168-2.83%0.0064✓0.992.0M2022-04-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50150.494811-1.33%0.5006-0.18%0.0187✗0.79490k2022-04-25
QNTQuantEthereum111.58110.0981-1.33%107.81-3.38%0.0127✓0.923.8M2022-04-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.261485-1.33%0.271+2.26%0.0433✗0.8536k2022-04-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9716.7459-1.32%16.14-4.89%0.0276✓1.0418.4M2022-04-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.6783.5544-1.32%80.68-4.71%0.0278✓0.803.5M2022-04-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39220.387089-1.30%0.3147-19.76%0.1907✓1.822.3M2022-04-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.2625.9182-1.30%27.72+5.56%0.0753✗0.90609k2022-04-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.271.2535-1.30%1.169-7.95%0.0612✓0.963.5M2022-04-25
SCSiacoinnative0.010420.010285-1.29%0.01014-2.69%0.0036✓1.19565k2022-04-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,131.9718,886.20-1.28%18,700.50-2.26%0.0001✓1.115.0M2022-04-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.2422.2133-1.28%2.166-3.39%0.0144✓0.8026k2022-04-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.24109.8286-1.27%104.56-6.01%0.0399✓1.0321.8M2022-04-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.3598-1.26%2.25-5.86%0.0378✓1.101.2M2022-04-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.844188-1.26%0.844-1.29%0.0120✓1.362.5M2022-04-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34950.34512-1.25%0.3279-6.18%0.0395✓1.311.6M2022-04-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.99390.981527-1.24%0.8823-11.23%0.0939✓1.41231k2022-04-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.512.4789-1.24%2.45-2.39%0.0073✓0.49546k2022-04-25
LSKLiskEthereum2.12012.094-1.23%2.0973-1.07%0.0094✓0.8799k2022-04-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093910.092758-1.23%0.09068-3.44%0.0149✓0.8735k2022-04-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.0752.0496-1.22%1.832-11.71%0.1035✓0.9794k2022-04-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.11610.114716-1.19%0.1134-2.33%0.0013✓1.14988k2022-04-25
XEMNEMnative0.09790.096739-1.19%0.0954-2.55%0.0057✓0.9267k2022-04-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33850.334507-1.18%0.308-9.01%0.0695✓1.469.2M2022-04-25
UNIUniswapEthereum9.399.2822-1.15%8.74-6.92%0.0507✓1.068.8M2022-04-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.97395.9064-1.13%5.9519-0.37%0.0119✗0.47186k2022-04-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5452.5163-1.13%2.4164-5.05%0.0336✓0.7712k2022-04-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004040.003995-1.12%0.00391-3.22%0.0104✓1.239.6M2022-04-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93020.919841-1.11%0.8918-4.13%0.0186✓1.38824k2022-04-25
XYMSymbolnative0.11020.108983-1.10%0.107-2.90%0.0121✓0.69823k2022-04-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.95963.917-1.08%3.6616-7.53%0.0615✓0.664.7M2022-04-25
DASHDashDash108.7107.577-1.03%99.41-8.55%0.0696✓1.042.4M2022-04-25
NANOnanopayBase2.14272.1211-1.01%2.119-1.11%0.0089✓1.11231k2022-04-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1296.0683-0.99%4.946-19.30%0.1985✓0.671.8M2022-04-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13720.135842-0.99%0.1335-2.70%0.0083✓1.02224k2022-04-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2714.1318-0.97%15.73+10.23%0.1189✗1.312.3M2022-04-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.32.278-0.96%2.22-3.48%0.0167✓1.02163k2022-04-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0613.9264-0.95%13.44-4.41%0.0253✓1.1426.2M2022-04-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.6219.4374-0.93%18.63-5.05%0.0325✓1.1110.8M2022-04-25
FTTFTXEthereum43.3742.9666-0.93%41.83-3.55%0.0179✓0.9917.2M2022-04-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.975.9167-0.89%5.8-2.85%0.0063✓1.52615k2022-04-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.825.7684-0.89%6.16+5.84%0.0722✗0.731.1M2022-04-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7511.7358-0.87%1.799+2.74%0.0453✗1.067.8M2022-04-25
DODODODOEthereum0.390.386616-0.87%0.384-1.54%0.0037✓1.177.7M2022-04-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3161.3046-0.87%1.236-6.08%0.0426✓1.273.3M2022-04-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05020.049778-0.84%0.0478-4.78%0.0254✓1.6938.1M2022-04-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.4120.2464-0.80%18.89-7.45%0.0572✓1.36220k2022-04-25
HIVEHivenative0.89220.885068-0.80%0.9046+1.39%0.0314✗1.071.9M2022-04-25
ADACardanoCardano0.93670.929228-0.80%0.8975-4.18%0.0254✓1.0468.9M2022-04-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.55050.546261-0.77%0.5175-5.99%0.0430✓1.24967k2022-04-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66520.660097-0.77%0.6499-2.30%0.0062✓1.059.8M2022-04-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2131.2038-0.76%1.072-11.62%0.1067✓1.031.4M2022-04-25
GTGateEthereum6.57546.5257-0.76%6.3181-3.91%0.0271✓0.594.6M2022-04-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1852.1685-0.75%2.743+25.54%0.2470✗1.347.3M2022-04-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.34.268-0.74%4.12-4.19%0.0227✓1.41670k2022-04-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.936.6484-0.68%33.65-8.81%0.0756✓1.0914.9M2022-04-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.35625.3204-0.67%5.8273+8.80%0.1017✗1.2011.3M2022-04-25
TRXTRONTron0.06160.061216-0.62%0.065324+6.05%0.0709✗0.67254k2022-04-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044460.04419-0.61%0.0433-2.61%0.0124✓0.8867k2022-04-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048940.048648-0.60%0.04515-7.74%0.0655✓1.01526k2022-04-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.4213.3408-0.59%12.84-4.32%0.0282✓1.131.5M2022-04-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,803.5840,568.92-0.58%40,439.22-0.89%0.0058✓1.00544.9M2022-04-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20110.199992-0.55%0.1848-8.11%0.0587✓2.26576k2022-04-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0546-0.51%1.03-2.83%0.0130✓1.18761k2022-04-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.021620.021516-0.48%0.02167+0.23%0.0142✗0.794.7M2022-04-25
AAVEAaveEthereum169.22168.4302-0.47%168.93-0.17%0.0147✗1.3112.8M2022-04-25
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.8617-0.45%1.97+5.35%0.0629✗0.71214k2022-04-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0144170.01436-0.40%0.014093-2.25%0.0106✓0.9147k2022-04-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4904-0.37%1.419-5.15%0.0400✓1.02983k2022-04-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.7224.7081-0.29%4.336-8.17%0.0669✓1.722.5M2022-04-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.141430.141404-0.02%0.13844-2.11%0.0141✓0.7918k2022-04-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.215.2091-0.02%4.66-10.56%0.1047✓0.741.5M2022-04-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022550.022548-0.01%0.02304+2.17%0.0318✗1.14398k2022-04-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5994.6007+0.04%4.365-5.09%0.0493✗0.363.7M2022-04-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.76.7476+0.71%5.68-15.22%0.1656✗0.741.8M2022-04-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018210.018672+2.54%0.02295+26.03%0.2194✓1.4748.3M2022-04-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.