8=======>

2022-04-16 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2314
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.3%
in alpha space · 77.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum2.051.9519-4.78%1.7-17.07%0.1178✓0.88179k2022-04-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.2384.0838-3.64%3.638-14.16%0.0826✓1.43720k2022-04-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-79.26e-7-3.38%0.000001007+5.11%0.0769✗-0.32596k2022-04-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7666.5661-2.95%6.376-5.76%0.0037✓1.11340k2022-04-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.774270.754304-2.58%0.73391-5.21%0.0034✓1.04192k2022-04-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2430.237273-2.36%0.192-20.99%0.1966✓0.66100k2022-04-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.524.4141-2.34%4.323-4.36%0.0057✓0.663.5M2022-04-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8714.5302-2.29%12.86-13.52%0.1127✓0.412.0M2022-04-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.47234.3707-2.27%5.22+16.72%0.1948✗0.753.9M2022-04-23
RADRadworksEthereum4.84.693-2.23%4.42-7.92%0.0378✓0.96785k2022-04-23
COMPCompoundEthereum144.04140.8677-2.20%131.18-8.93%0.0432✓1.2271k2022-04-23
DIADIAEthereum0.90.88114-2.10%0.88-2.22%0.0096✓0.47169k2022-04-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.57745.463-2.05%4.6559-16.52%0.1476✓0.534.7M2022-04-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.64655-2.04%0.58-12.12%0.0741✓1.50510k2022-04-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.062.0185-2.02%1.93-6.31%0.0143✓1.321.6M2022-04-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7670.751618-2.01%0.702-8.47%0.0477✓0.892.9M2022-04-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9531.9145-1.97%2.75+40.81%0.3863✗1.053.7M2022-04-23
KCSKuCoinnative20.31419.9243-1.92%20.011-1.49%0.0242✗0.865.4M2022-04-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75460.74055-1.86%0.5922-21.52%0.2129✓0.46796k2022-04-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11360.111491-1.86%0.1075-5.37%0.0120✓1.061.0M2022-04-23
KSMKusamaHydration174.1170.8916-1.84%162.23-6.82%0.0276✓1.061.2M2022-04-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7274980.714399-1.80%0.838009+15.19%0.1852✗1.113.2M2022-04-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24290.238533-1.80%0.2594+6.79%0.1157✗1.38383k2022-04-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025620.000025163-1.78%0.00002411-5.89%0.0164✓1.142.8M2022-04-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash342.9336.8215-1.77%312.68-8.81%0.0516✓0.998.6M2022-04-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.20330.199748-1.75%0.1883-7.38%0.0328✓1.14262k2022-04-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.1614.8961-1.74%14.32-5.54%0.0281✓0.493.3M2022-04-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.15072.1134-1.74%2.0136-6.38%0.0220✓1.141.6M2022-04-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076990.075669-1.72%0.07786+1.13%0.0475✗0.8250k2022-04-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.6521.2801-1.71%18.92-12.61%0.0919✓1.1110.7M2022-04-23
MOVRMoonriverBase62.251661.1983-1.69%54.2525-12.85%0.0865✓1.47223k2022-04-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076080.074795-1.69%0.07459-1.96%0.0215✗1.05121k2022-04-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7613.6976-1.69%3.362-10.61%0.0777✓0.762.2M2022-04-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6248-1.61%3.416-7.27%0.0440✓0.662.6M2022-04-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0278470.027408-1.58%0.027033-2.92%0.0022✓0.69191k2022-04-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.09041.0732-1.58%1.0688-1.98%0.0223✗1.15143k2022-04-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24760.243769-1.55%0.2393-3.35%0.0012✓0.861.7M2022-04-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.825080.812358-1.54%0.79428-3.73%0.0006✓1.00182k2022-04-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011669-1.52%0.01113-6.08%0.0328✓0.6335k2022-04-23
BANDBandEthereum3.753.693-1.52%3.67-2.13%0.0223✗1.24772k2022-04-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5081.4854-1.50%1.408-6.63%0.0229✓1.32555k2022-04-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7314.6602-1.50%4.596-2.85%0.0099✓1.03119k2022-04-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.24950.245825-1.47%0.2211-11.38%0.0756✓1.323.5M2022-04-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6218.3487-1.46%18.7+0.43%0.0435✗1.0619.0M2022-04-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.29640.29213-1.44%0.3236+9.18%0.1293✗1.17566k2022-04-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0359630.035448-1.43%0.032153-10.59%0.0716✓1.124.5M2022-04-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1436440.141593-1.43%0.133814-6.84%0.0366✓0.865.0M2022-04-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74330.732717-1.42%0.7074-4.83%0.0134✓0.9418.3M2022-04-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.536266-1.42%0.642+18.01%0.2060✗1.135.9M2022-04-23
XVGVergenative0.010820.010667-1.42%0.01007-6.93%0.0307✓1.161.7M2022-04-23
XECeCashnative0.000092770.000091468-1.40%0.00009019-2.78%0.0090✓1.009.6M2022-04-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.7383-1.40%5.45-6.36%0.0350✓0.721.4M2022-04-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7876.7023-1.39%72.81-6.39%0.0228✓1.2798.8M2022-04-23
GITCOINGITCOIN6.156.0654-1.38%5.962-3.06%0.0170✗1.4818k2022-04-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3431.3248-1.35%1.262-6.03%0.0264✓0.963.5M2022-04-23
QTUMQtumQtum6.9446.8506-1.34%6.4419-7.23%0.0346✓1.17216k2022-04-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036010.035527-1.34%0.03337-7.33%0.0473✓0.67942k2022-04-23
SOLSolanaSolana102.08100.738-1.31%100.66-1.39%0.0282✗1.26147.4M2022-04-23
XTZTezosTezos3.28163.2388-1.30%3.012-8.22%0.0484✓1.051.0M2022-04-23
ZENHorizenBase38.4337.9364-1.28%36.02-6.27%0.0208✓1.35461k2022-04-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.42950.424023-1.28%0.4449+3.59%0.0818✗1.46439k2022-04-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.48730.481189-1.25%0.4584-5.93%0.0437✓0.216,4692022-04-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.23470.231779-1.24%0.2164-7.80%0.0412✓1.193.2M2022-04-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.26371-1.23%0.316+18.35%0.2009✗0.8638k2022-04-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001937-1.18%0.00000185-5.61%0.0294✓0.719.8M2022-04-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06820.067403-1.17%0.0671-1.61%0.0231✗1.19555k2022-04-23
APEApeCoinEthereum11.66611.5298-1.17%16.682+43.00%0.4203✗2.2046.9M2022-04-23
ETHEthereumEthereum3,060.353,024.84-1.16%2,933.44-4.15%0.0064✓1.05483.3M2022-04-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13734.0895-1.16%3.9237-5.16%0.0259✓0.674.9M2022-04-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.5717.367-1.16%16.48-6.20%0.0286✓1.0318.5M2022-04-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5172.4887-1.13%2.4714-1.81%0.0109✓0.7711k2022-04-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.09611.0838-1.12%1.1993+9.42%0.1306✗1.2711.9M2022-04-23
XMRMoneroMonero236.58233.9322-1.12%267.1+12.90%0.1542✗0.941.7M2022-04-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.2886.3131-1.11%78.78-9.74%0.0729✓0.803.5M2022-04-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18740.185331-1.10%0.1817-3.04%0.0082✓1.219.4M2022-04-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.34113.0889-1.09%105.16-8.03%0.0492✓1.0223.4M2022-04-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2145.1572-1.09%5.819+11.60%0.1509✗1.317.5M2022-04-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.4146.8985-1.08%45.13-4.81%0.0089✓1.288.8M2022-04-23
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4931.477-1.07%1.366-8.51%0.0554✓0.9963k2022-04-23
XEMNEMnative0.10110.100026-1.06%0.0942-6.82%0.0387✓0.9255k2022-04-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096010.095022-1.03%0.09309-3.04%0.0005✓0.8735k2022-04-23
XVSVenusEthereum10.1410.0363-1.02%10.89+7.40%0.1083✗1.154.7M2022-04-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.22.1775-1.02%1.952-11.27%0.0865✓0.9994k2022-04-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36220.358529-1.01%0.354-2.26%0.0146✗1.1811.2M2022-04-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.973540.963682-1.01%0.91388-6.13%0.0229✓1.311.4M2022-04-23
XYMSymbolnative0.11640.115224-1.01%0.1113-4.38%0.0185✓0.70830k2022-04-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.78444.7367-1.00%4.6119-3.61%0.0041✓0.98280k2022-04-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.1435.0923-0.99%4.556-11.41%0.0725✓1.682.6M2022-04-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9724.9231-0.98%5.294+6.48%0.0951✗0.9779k2022-04-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2053490.203343-0.98%0.191399-6.79%0.0376✓1.0018.8M2022-04-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01780.017628-0.97%0.01736-2.47%0.0078✓1.002.1M2022-04-23
QNTQuantEthereum113.05111.9547-0.97%105.88-6.34%0.0343✓0.934.0M2022-04-23
STXStacksnative1.181.1689-0.94%1.13-4.24%0.0108✓1.00447k2022-04-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.13492.1152-0.92%2.2483+5.31%0.0811✗0.8795k2022-04-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004160.004122-0.92%0.00408-1.92%0.0187✗1.259.7M2022-04-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8526.6072-0.90%25.63-4.54%0.0166✓0.90636k2022-04-23
UMAUMAEthereum6.3936.3357-0.90%6.164-3.58%0.0062✓1.462.8M2022-04-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.432.4087-0.88%2.25-7.41%0.0431✓1.091.2M2022-04-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9222.7192-0.88%26.25+14.53%0.1747✗1.31786k2022-04-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.1823.9693-0.87%23.21-4.01%0.0065✓1.1131.7M2022-04-23
AVTAventusEthereum2.422.3995-0.85%2.31-4.55%0.0260✓0.52491k2022-04-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50680.50266-0.82%0.5287+4.32%0.0689✗0.80490k2022-04-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.242.222-0.80%2.259+0.85%0.0350✗0.8026k2022-04-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8571.8423-0.79%1.81-2.53%0.0069✓1.077.8M2022-04-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86045.816-0.76%5.8975+0.63%0.0248✗0.47186k2022-04-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35540.352727-0.75%0.3343-5.94%0.0235✓1.311.6M2022-04-23
UNIUniswapEthereum9.679.5974-0.75%8.92-7.76%0.0486✓1.078.8M2022-04-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010560.010482-0.74%0.01014-3.98%0.0061✓1.173.8M2022-04-23
SUSHISushiEthereum3.333.3059-0.72%3.42+2.70%0.0628✗1.256.7M2022-04-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.11570.114867-0.72%0.1141-1.38%0.0201✗1.16952k2022-04-23
LUNATerraTerra 28180.4616-0.66%89.18+10.10%0.1325✗1.298.2M2022-04-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.875.8319-0.65%6+2.21%0.0452✗0.731.1M2022-04-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.116.0704-0.65%5.97-2.29%0.0178✗1.49665k2022-04-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56950.565808-0.65%0.5499-3.44%0.0006✓1.26938k2022-04-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39960.397068-0.63%0.3471-13.14%0.0924✓1.822.3M2022-04-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0171.0106-0.63%0.9157-9.96%0.0659✓1.42231k2022-04-23
SCSiacoinnative0.010670.010605-0.61%0.01038-2.72%0.0060✓1.19565k2022-04-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13790.137075-0.60%0.1341-2.76%0.0017✓1.02224k2022-04-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,119.1319,005.14-0.60%18,359.33-3.97%0.0088✓1.125.5M2022-04-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.351.3425-0.55%1.302-3.56%0.0008✓1.293.5M2022-04-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2674-0.55%2.19-3.95%0.0112✓1.02165k2022-04-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2352.2228-0.54%2.668+19.37%0.2137✗1.358.2M2022-04-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2346.2019-0.51%5.56-10.81%0.0939✓0.661.8M2022-04-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.1514.0791-0.50%13.32-5.87%0.0290✓1.1526.0M2022-04-23
DODODODOEthereum0.410.408032-0.48%0.399-2.68%0.0046✓1.177.4M2022-04-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.1237.9381-0.48%34.55-9.37%0.0682✓1.1016.0M2022-04-23
HIVEHivenative0.91960.915292-0.47%0.9667+5.12%0.0795✗1.082.0M2022-04-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.59715.571-0.47%5.9051+5.50%0.0861✗1.2112.7M2022-04-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.2396-0.42%13.95-2.45%0.0099✗1.322.6M2022-04-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05240.052186-0.41%0.0487-7.06%0.0297✓1.7139.8M2022-04-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20940.208578-0.39%0.1814-13.37%0.0872✓2.27623k2022-04-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049810.049621-0.38%0.04652-6.61%0.0407✓1.03567k2022-04-23
FTTFTXEthereum41.8241.6714-0.36%41.03-1.89%0.0082✗1.0314.2M2022-04-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.335606-0.35%0.3292-2.26%0.0145✗1.469.4M2022-04-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9520.8768-0.35%19.69-6.01%0.0273✓1.35226k2022-04-23
GTGateEthereum6.516.4879-0.34%6.4204-1.38%0.0030✓0.584.4M2022-04-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.022590.022516-0.33%0.02202-2.52%0.0037✓0.804.9M2022-04-23
ADACardanoCardano0.95140.94861-0.29%0.8873-6.74%0.0436✓1.0168.9M2022-04-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045350.045217-0.29%0.04518-0.37%0.0196✗0.8863k2022-04-23
ORCAOrcaSolana1.91.8946-0.29%1.95+2.63%0.0453✗0.71214k2022-04-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8570.854562-0.28%0.84-1.98%0.0142✗1.362.7M2022-04-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,617.6040,513.53-0.26%39,545.90-2.64%0.0021✓0.9626k2022-04-23
DASHDashDash108.28108.0085-0.25%101.81-5.98%0.0354✓1.032.4M2022-04-23
ZECZcashZcash143.85143.519-0.23%153.21+6.51%0.0889✗1.029.8M2022-04-23
NANOnanopayBase2.14112.1365-0.21%2.0793-2.88%0.0016✓1.11258k2022-04-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67480.673371-0.21%0.6813+0.96%0.0355✗1.039.8M2022-04-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147320.014702-0.20%0.014787+0.37%0.0266✗0.9051k2022-04-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6513.6251-0.18%12.91-5.42%0.0277✓1.141.5M2022-04-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,387.6040,316.65-0.18%39,465.87-2.28%0.0018✗1.00565.5M2022-04-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.147960.147846-0.08%0.13853-6.37%0.0470✓0.7820k2022-04-23
TRXTRONTron0.0618620.061821-0.07%0.067619+9.31%0.1048✗0.66254k2022-04-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.555.5467-0.06%4.97-10.45%0.0924✓0.751.6M2022-04-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5111.5101-0.06%1.445-4.37%0.0204✓1.021.3M2022-04-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0996-0.03%1.03-6.36%0.0385✓1.17798k2022-04-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8274.8267-0.01%4.708-2.47%0.0162✓0.384.5M2022-04-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2481.2482+0.01%1.147-8.09%0.0607✗1.031.4M2022-04-23
AAVEAaveEthereum172.4172.552+0.09%173.44+0.60%0.0355✓1.3214.4M2022-04-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.274.275+0.12%4.15-2.81%0.0029✓1.41735k2022-04-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.437.4411+0.15%6.01-19.11%0.1961✗0.761.8M2022-04-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9080.909414+0.16%0.9238+1.74%0.0474✓1.37870k2022-04-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023810.023888+0.33%0.02208-7.27%0.0522✗1.15374k2022-04-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018850.019435+3.11%0.02394+27.00%0.2424✓1.4750.0M2022-04-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.