8=======>

2022-03-04 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1192
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.8%
in alpha space · 67.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.11%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.37e-76.93e-7-5.99%0.000001164+57.99%0.5302✗1.001.0M2022-03-11
UMAUMAEthereum9.2168.7624-4.92%7.075-23.23%0.1988✓1.352.0M2022-03-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.1725-4.36%5.761+73.68%0.6024✗0.52955k2022-03-11
AVTAventusEthereum2.722.6124-3.95%2.19-19.49%0.1652✓1.00443k2022-03-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.518.183-3.84%7.84-7.87%0.0341✓0.78480k2022-03-11
API3Api3Ethereum6.3116.1027-3.30%4.776-24.32%0.2387✓0.587.0M2022-03-11
LUNATerraTerra 283.4980.772-3.26%88.28+5.74%0.1045✗1.405.0M2022-03-11
DIADIAEthereum0.970.944964-2.58%0.93-4.12%0.0123✓0.33277k2022-03-11
PROPropyEthereum1.761.7148-2.57%1.51-14.20%0.1144✓1.15411k2022-03-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4380.427016-2.51%0.3924-10.41%0.0617✓2.052.3M2022-03-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.416.9641-2.51%13.84-20.46%0.1969✓0.602.8M2022-03-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.1301-2.31%10.59+2.12%0.0510✗0.59984k2022-03-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73040.714511-2.18%0.6706-8.19%0.0490✓1.292.7M2022-03-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05660.055399-2.12%0.0576+1.77%0.0582✗1.7366.8M2022-03-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.5129.8687-2.10%27.47-9.96%0.0705✓1.1952.8M2022-03-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034510.033796-2.07%0.04078+18.17%0.1962✗0.751.1M2022-03-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.50672.4586-1.92%2.5749+2.72%0.0553✗0.812.9M2022-03-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0441480.04331-1.90%0.040059-9.26%0.0665✓1.048.1M2022-03-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.26230.257406-1.87%0.2585-1.45%0.0179✓1.23284k2022-03-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.25761.2351-1.78%1.1514-8.44%0.0547✓1.393.1M2022-03-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14720.144678-1.71%0.1489+1.15%0.0401✗1.01330k2022-03-11
BANDBandEthereum3.723.6567-1.70%3.44-7.53%0.0477✓1.201.7M2022-03-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.721.6912-1.67%1.64-4.65%0.0160✓1.321.9M2022-03-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.066776-1.66%0.06831+0.60%0.0330✗0.9213k2022-03-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.0156-1.60%13.72-10.09%0.0750✓1.372.4M2022-03-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78170.769274-1.59%0.7156-8.46%0.0689✓0.311.2M2022-03-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8314-1.58%2.869-0.28%0.0221✗0.80457k2022-03-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.027274-1.54%0.02301-16.93%0.1565✓1.21503k2022-03-11
STXStacksnative1.111.0931-1.53%1.36+22.52%0.2315✗1.17517k2022-03-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.19520.192296-1.49%0.1931-1.08%0.0182✗1.262.7M2022-03-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088930.087631-1.46%0.09115+2.50%0.0502✗0.9742k2022-03-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.748.9858-1.44%45.9-7.65%0.0505✓1.306.3M2022-03-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52920.521634-1.43%0.5009-5.35%0.0314✓0.82545k2022-03-11
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7991.7736-1.41%1.662-7.62%0.0550✓0.8968k2022-03-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.010957-1.38%0.01151+3.60%0.0642✗1.342.9M2022-03-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.093.0485-1.34%2.42-21.68%0.2185✓1.11660k2022-03-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34640.341778-1.33%0.3152-9.01%0.0629✓1.6214.3M2022-03-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.3905-1.30%16.01-9.14%0.0704✓1.1019.5M2022-03-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.6975-1.29%8.8928+225.43%1.2041✗1.0012.7M2022-03-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42431.406-1.28%1.4867+4.38%0.0701✗1.29293k2022-03-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3112-1.28%5.49+2.04%0.0423✗0.82584k2022-03-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.90911.8853-1.25%2.1155+10.81%0.1260✗0.9682k2022-03-11
ZECZcashZcash117.05115.6172-1.22%153.51+31.15%0.2957✗1.107.4M2022-03-11
QNTQuantEthereum118.5117.0713-1.21%113.22-4.46%0.0221✓1.016.3M2022-03-11
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.01-1.18%4.44-12.43%0.1098✓0.98862k2022-03-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.1959-1.18%6.28+0.16%0.0226✗0.82518k2022-03-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6828.3419-1.18%27.91-2.68%0.0049✓0.941.5M2022-03-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.103781-1.16%0.111+5.71%0.0739✗0.6044k2022-03-11
COMPCompoundEthereum108.79107.5601-1.13%102.07-6.18%0.0393✓1.1757k2022-03-11
MANADecentralandEthereum2.47812.4508-1.10%2.3033-7.05%0.0479✓1.273.1M2022-03-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.642855-1.10%0.59-9.23%0.0671✓1.68988k2022-03-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,859.0119,641.06-1.10%18,538.11-6.65%0.0470✓0.975.8M2022-03-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012110.011978-1.09%0.01186-2.06%0.0015✓0.7613k2022-03-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.96783.9252-1.07%4.0628+2.39%0.0466✗1.09244k2022-03-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4384.3904-1.07%4.326-2.52%0.0060✓0.78463k2022-03-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06920.068462-1.07%0.0661-4.48%0.0213✓1.241.0M2022-03-11
XVGVergenative0.009440.009341-1.05%0.00939-0.53%0.0184✗1.181.4M2022-03-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8218.6221-1.05%17.37-7.70%0.0582✓1.029.1M2022-03-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017610.017426-1.05%0.01714-2.67%0.0048✓1.052.2M2022-03-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001811-1.04%0.00000178-2.73%0.0101✓0.6413.7M2022-03-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00932.9784-1.03%3.707+23.18%0.2272✗0.742.4M2022-03-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11690.115702-1.02%0.1144-2.14%0.0022✓1.213.2M2022-03-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.690.682932-1.02%0.636-7.83%0.0604✓0.962.6M2022-03-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73540.727928-1.02%0.6978-5.11%0.0260✓1.45227k2022-03-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8832.8538-1.01%2.741-4.93%0.0310✓0.83276k2022-03-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0113910.011277-1.00%0.011862+4.13%0.0617✗1.0013k2022-03-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.198-0.99%2.16-2.70%0.0063✓1.00242k2022-03-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.064380.063755-0.97%0.07118+10.56%0.1232✗1.1760k2022-03-11
KCSKuCoinnative18.23818.0617-0.97%18.17-0.37%0.0172✗1.009.1M2022-03-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8622.6438-0.95%22.89+0.13%0.0259✗1.351.4M2022-03-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.949430.940489-0.94%0.96652+1.80%0.0414✗1.27162k2022-03-11
ZENHorizenBase33.6133.2954-0.94%37.86+12.65%0.1442✗1.41280k2022-03-11
ORCAOrcaSolana2.362.3382-0.92%2.09-11.44%0.1037✓0.76393k2022-03-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.1342.1143-0.92%2.114-0.94%0.0092✓0.8423k2022-03-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.67287.9946-0.92%287.73-1.01%0.0096✗0.947.3M2022-03-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0391.0294-0.92%0.959-7.70%0.0598✓0.991.2M2022-03-11
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8515.7972-0.92%5.556-5.04%0.0274✓1.3525k2022-03-11
XECeCashnative0.000070610.000069981-0.89%0.0000731+3.53%0.0553✗1.054.5M2022-03-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.825.7685-0.89%5.57-4.30%0.0198✓1.37829k2022-03-11
MOVRMoonriverBase60.232759.7031-0.88%48.7591-19.05%0.1873✓1.37223k2022-03-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3581.3462-0.87%1.307-3.76%0.0129✓1.49797k2022-03-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.237959-0.85%0.226-5.83%0.0428✓0.7966k2022-03-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.340.337117-0.85%0.3189-6.21%0.0410✓1.318.7M2022-03-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.4011-0.84%1.464+3.61%0.0560✗1.081.8M2022-03-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.654010.648609-0.83%0.65584+0.28%0.0258✗1.32180k2022-03-11
XTZTezosTezos3.07893.0536-0.82%2.9889-2.92%0.0075✓1.241.7M2022-03-11
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.408749-0.79%0.385-6.55%0.0467✓1.184.1M2022-03-11
GTGateEthereum6.68186.6292-0.79%6.328-5.29%0.0387✓0.692.8M2022-03-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.7916.6581-0.79%17.7+5.42%0.0737✗1.1726.4M2022-03-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047350.046981-0.78%0.0472-0.32%0.0175✗1.15605k2022-03-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.350.347292-0.77%0.2924-16.46%0.1566✓1.381.2M2022-03-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53795.4966-0.75%5.8362+5.39%0.0641✗0.38300k2022-03-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.2118.076-0.74%17.81-2.20%0.0004✓1.37325k2022-03-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08510.084489-0.72%0.0787-7.52%0.0543✓1.50592k2022-03-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1141.1062-0.70%1.113-0.09%0.0179✗1.053.0M2022-03-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.78158.658-0.70%170.68+6.82%0.0841✗0.991.4M2022-03-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.780.77459-0.69%0.807+3.46%0.0549✗1.252.4M2022-03-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3461.3367-0.69%1.157-14.04%0.1308✓1.222.4M2022-03-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.171.1621-0.68%1.06-9.40%0.0807✓1.00770k2022-03-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.8275.3071-0.68%71.25-6.03%0.0399✓1.39123.1M2022-03-11
XYMSymbolnative0.14050.13957-0.66%0.1335-4.98%0.0355✓0.81299k2022-03-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01772.9978-0.66%3.4608+14.68%0.1519✗0.743.6M2022-03-11
SOLSolanaSolana88.3287.7389-0.66%80.7-8.63%0.0694✓1.27121.6M2022-03-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.272212-0.65%0.262-4.38%0.0243✓1.252.1M2022-03-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.02660.026436-0.62%0.02468-7.22%0.0601✓0.774.0M2022-03-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.233554-0.62%0.2186-6.98%0.0561✓0.902.0M2022-03-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6327.4619-0.61%26.5-4.09%0.0241✓1.045.2M2022-03-11
FTTFTXEthereum40.540.2558-0.60%40.81+0.77%0.0259✗1.1019.7M2022-03-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.022.0081-0.59%1.75-13.37%0.1251✓1.12354k2022-03-11
QTUMQtumQtum5.92545.8912-0.58%5.8755-0.84%0.0114✗1.26226k2022-03-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6183.5975-0.57%4.165+15.12%0.1600✗1.212.1M2022-03-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.710.706019-0.56%0.7111+0.15%0.0186✗1.029.6M2022-03-11
HIVEHivenative0.90480.899832-0.55%0.8661-4.28%0.0247✓1.212.1M2022-03-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.2090.207921-0.52%0.1962-6.12%0.0418✓1.452.5M2022-03-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.054.0297-0.50%3.82-5.68%0.0369✓1.48458k2022-03-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223920.121817-0.47%0.11539-5.72%0.0441✓0.903.7M2022-03-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76050.75693-0.47%0.7014-7.77%0.0637✓1.1219.7M2022-03-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos54.9765-0.47%4.594-8.12%0.0692✓0.96166k2022-03-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.974.9476-0.45%4.778-3.86%0.0243✓0.9472k2022-03-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0040.003983-0.43%0.00353-11.75%0.1027✓1.616.6M2022-03-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3481.3428-0.39%1.321-2.00%0.0049✓1.03917k2022-03-11
SUSHISushiEthereum3.043.0284-0.38%2.89-4.93%0.0334✓1.206.5M2022-03-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.0779-0.36%5.85-4.10%0.0296✓0.781.1M2022-03-11
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008439-0.36%0.00879+3.78%0.0537✗1.17546k2022-03-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.3679.0811-0.35%78.04-1.66%0.0041✓0.82908k2022-03-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.150630.150132-0.33%0.15536+3.14%0.0446✗0.9321k2022-03-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7413.6959-0.32%13.05-5.02%0.0354✓1.1550.1M2022-03-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4951140.493569-0.31%0.48841-1.35%0.0016✓1.082.8M2022-03-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,623.072,615.07-0.31%2,556.42-2.54%0.0106✓1.08561.7M2022-03-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3812.3431-0.30%12.74+2.91%0.0439✗1.10312k2022-03-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2522.2453-0.30%1.97-12.52%0.1149✓1.4312.7M2022-03-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037810.037705-0.28%0.03906+3.31%0.0455✗0.9129k2022-03-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45040.449233-0.26%0.4152-7.82%0.0631✓1.40452k2022-03-11
ADACardanoCardano0.8450.842867-0.25%0.7884-6.70%0.0546✓1.0992.2M2022-03-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023530.000023471-0.25%0.00002206-6.25%0.0482✓1.243.9M2022-03-11
XLMStellarStellar0.176060.175655-0.23%0.183591+4.28%0.0559✗1.0519.8M2022-03-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.05100.8505-0.20%104.55+3.46%0.0479✗1.0729.3M2022-03-11
XEMNEMnative0.0960.095821-0.19%0.0935-2.60%0.0146✓0.8940k2022-03-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.818.7939-0.18%8.51-3.41%0.0203✓1.129.2M2022-03-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06710.066986-0.17%0.0696+3.73%0.0493✗0.99159k2022-03-11
XVSVenusEthereum8.588.5658-0.17%8.54-0.47%0.0102✗1.183.6M2022-03-11
AAVEAaveEthereum124.3124.109-0.15%116.61-6.19%0.0478✓1.307.2M2022-03-11
DASHDashDash89.5989.5208-0.08%94.95+5.98%0.0709✗1.071.5M2022-03-11
NANOnanopayBase1.75291.752-0.05%1.6874-3.74%0.0251✓1.12171k2022-03-11
KSMKusamaHydration120.67120.6186-0.04%124.19+2.92%0.0417✗1.12910k2022-03-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,166.5139,167.42+0.00%38,732.04-1.11%0.0000✗1.00706.4M2022-03-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,591.9039,598.62+0.02%38,852.80-1.87%0.0083✗0.9659k2022-03-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.321.3214+0.10%1.705+29.17%0.2665✓1.043.4M2022-03-11
TRXTRONTron0.0582640.058349+0.15%0.060203+3.33%0.0395✓0.74307k2022-03-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0185940.018622+0.15%0.01489-19.92%0.2143✗0.84143k2022-03-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.03042.0411+0.53%2.0529+1.11%0.0139✓0.7325k2022-03-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014430.014676+1.70%0.0143-0.90%0.0095✓1.4712.7M2022-03-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.