8=======>

2022-03-01 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0306
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.9%
in alpha space · 11.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5821.6407+3.71%1.518-4.05%0.0662✓1.053.4M2022-03-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07430.076918+3.52%0.0685-7.81%0.0194✓0.99155k2022-03-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2420.250053+3.33%0.234-3.31%0.0510✓0.8659k2022-03-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.83590.860739+2.97%0.734-12.19%0.0393✓1.45270k2022-03-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.7093+2.94%13.87-9.11%0.0782✓1.482.4M2022-03-08
MOVRMoonriverBase66.415668.2521+2.77%52.05-21.63%0.0815✗1.38223k2022-03-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72680.746717+2.74%0.7371+1.42%0.0343✓0.351.2M2022-03-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1774.2884+2.67%3.912-6.34%0.0772✓1.232.3M2022-03-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09223.1727+2.60%2.9137-5.77%0.0358✓0.882.4M2022-03-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.325974+2.51%0.27-15.09%0.0095✓1.312.2M2022-03-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.3612+2.50%1.274-4.07%0.1131✓1.312.0M2022-03-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048680.049891+2.49%0.04783-1.75%0.1229✓1.20681k2022-03-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.799382+2.48%0.6-23.08%0.0521✗1.711.0M2022-03-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6262.6904+2.45%2.467-6.05%0.0954✓1.33584k2022-03-08
NANOnanopayBase1.92111.967+2.39%1.6748-12.82%0.0003✓1.18179k2022-03-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034260.035077+2.38%0.03821+11.53%0.2088✓0.901.2M2022-03-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37530.384157+2.36%0.3352-10.68%0.0499✓1.368.7M2022-03-08
AAVEAaveEthereum143.34146.7131+2.35%121.68-15.11%0.0035✓1.346.8M2022-03-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6071.6445+2.33%1.338-16.74%0.0082✓1.45863k2022-03-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.755560.772362+2.22%0.65836-12.86%0.0281✓1.37206k2022-03-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.52530.536639+2.16%0.4195-20.14%0.0579✗1.37484k2022-03-08
RADRadworksEthereum5.125.2283+2.12%4.34-15.23%0.0480✗1.01828k2022-03-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.862+2.11%6.17-8.18%0.0358✗0.511.2M2022-03-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.4455.56+2.11%4.714-13.43%0.0402✗0.9171k2022-03-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7715.8921+2.10%4.763-17.47%0.0691✗1.05181k2022-03-08
MINAMina Protocolnative2.182.2245+2.04%1.82-16.51%0.0410✗1.17354k2022-03-08
SUSHISushiEthereum3.473.5407+2.04%2.9-16.43%0.0267✗1.266.8M2022-03-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5735770.585243+2.03%0.497835-13.21%0.0064✓1.132.8M2022-03-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07860.080181+2.01%0.0696-11.45%0.0374✓1.311.0M2022-03-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.23180.236411+1.99%0.2009-13.33%0.0387✓1.472.6M2022-03-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016560.016887+1.97%0.01098-33.70%0.2227✗1.5212.5M2022-03-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.291.3151+1.94%1.17-9.30%0.0261✓1.04885k2022-03-08
QNTQuantEthereum119.35121.6666+1.94%111.08-6.93%0.0444✓0.996.4M2022-03-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39960.407349+1.94%0.3058-23.47%0.0911✗1.431.3M2022-03-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5462.5953+1.94%2.035-20.07%0.0429✗1.4613.6M2022-03-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0914.3553+1.88%12.75-9.51%0.0313✓1.09331k2022-03-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.012459+1.88%0.01218-0.41%0.0787✓0.7413k2022-03-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2033.2627+1.86%2.83-11.65%0.0256✗0.85477k2022-03-08
XVSVenusEthereum9.359.5241+1.86%8.61-7.91%0.0655✓1.213.4M2022-03-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3419.6919+1.82%16.86-12.82%0.0031✓1.1620.6M2022-03-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.0222.4197+1.82%18.57-15.67%0.0087✓1.44328k2022-03-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020450.02082+1.81%0.01691-17.31%0.0590✗1.092.2M2022-03-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.9467+1.78%3.99-17.90%0.0079✓1.51456k2022-03-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6171.6458+1.78%1.529-5.44%0.0837✓1.151.8M2022-03-08
XEMNEMnative0.10970.111626+1.76%0.0953-13.13%0.0250✗0.9741k2022-03-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1339910.13634+1.75%0.116967-12.70%0.0244✗0.943.7M2022-03-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226820.023077+1.74%0.016926-25.38%0.1918✗0.86124k2022-03-08
HIVEHivenative1.03521.0532+1.74%0.8637-16.57%0.0352✗1.192.1M2022-03-08
SCSiacoinnative0.009790.00996+1.73%0.00889-9.19%0.0584✓1.25563k2022-03-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.028850.029343+1.71%0.02495-13.52%0.0561✗0.774.1M2022-03-08
TRXTRONTron0.0621790.06322+1.67%0.060594-2.55%0.0627✓0.77299k2022-03-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.85690.871085+1.66%0.7402-13.62%0.0080✓1.1320.7M2022-03-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092240.093762+1.65%0.08944-3.04%0.0980✓1.0643k2022-03-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.826.9321+1.64%5.71-16.28%0.0001✓1.41942k2022-03-08
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8236.9326+1.61%5.667-16.94%0.0105✓1.3927k2022-03-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.30580.310701+1.60%0.2596-15.11%0.0010✓1.32328k2022-03-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027130.000027564+1.60%0.0000229-15.59%0.0139✓1.253.9M2022-03-08
STORJStorjEthereum1.08461.1018+1.58%0.93442-13.85%0.0180✓1.33175k2022-03-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.28044.3481+1.58%3.8173-10.82%0.0262✓1.14244k2022-03-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5221.546+1.57%1.298-14.72%0.0220✗1.12939k2022-03-08
FTTFTXEthereum46.2546.9763+1.57%40.57-12.28%0.0000✓1.0722.8M2022-03-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.65114.4126+1.56%100.75-10.56%0.0262✓1.1229.5M2022-03-08
PROPropyEthereum1.841.8687+1.56%1.54-16.30%0.0278✗1.21452k2022-03-08
DODODODOEthereum0.4790.486403+1.55%0.391-18.37%0.0419✗1.294.2M2022-03-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.19540.198417+1.54%0.1948-0.31%0.1690✓1.372.8M2022-03-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.3615.5927+1.52%13.09-14.78%0.0133✓1.1852.2M2022-03-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1989270.201894+1.49%0.173136-12.97%0.0075✓1.0720.5M2022-03-08
COMPCompoundEthereum125.94127.8182+1.49%103-18.22%0.0490✗1.2258k2022-03-08
SOLSolanaSolana98.7100.1413+1.46%82.35-16.57%0.0232✗1.26131.2M2022-03-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.707164+1.46%0.641-8.03%0.0482✓1.072.5M2022-03-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.78333.5275+1.44%284.53-13.46%0.0259✗0.977.6M2022-03-08
ADACardanoCardano0.96430.978002+1.42%0.8021-16.82%0.0458✗1.1197.3M2022-03-08
UNIUniswapEthereum10.3410.4865+1.42%8.83-14.60%0.0106✓1.1810.8M2022-03-08
XTZTezosTezos3.49183.5412+1.42%3.0102-13.79%0.0132✓1.282.1M2022-03-08
KSMKusamaHydration138.55140.508+1.41%122.46-11.61%0.0207✓1.15973k2022-03-08
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.6161+1.40%2.19-15.12%0.0408✗1.00488k2022-03-08
GTGateEthereum6.75536.8465+1.35%6.5581-2.92%0.0535✓0.702.8M2022-03-08
STXStacksnative1.291.3073+1.34%1.06-17.83%0.0455✗1.20596k2022-03-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.992.0167+1.34%1.69-15.08%0.0051✓1.332.0M2022-03-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.8631.2741+1.34%28.1-8.94%0.0202✓0.931.5M2022-03-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80.810716+1.34%0.7047-11.91%0.0095✓1.099.7M2022-03-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,977.723,017.37+1.33%2,576.72-13.47%0.0149✗1.04561.7M2022-03-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.124612+1.31%0.1-18.70%0.1454✗0.5444k2022-03-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13620.137984+1.31%0.1137-16.52%0.0171✗1.293.1M2022-03-08
ZENHorizenBase39.3439.8497+1.30%39.86+1.32%0.1987✓1.45280k2022-03-08
XECeCashnative0.000078960.000079967+1.28%0.00006915-12.42%0.0049✓1.104.5M2022-03-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165530.167627+1.27%0.14701-11.19%0.0319✓1.1924k2022-03-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,756.2422,027.32+1.25%19,352.13-11.05%0.0048✓0.985.9M2022-03-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000002015+1.23%0.00000181-9.05%0.0162✗0.6614.0M2022-03-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.3530.7207+1.22%26.77-11.80%0.0100✓1.085.2M2022-03-08
QTUMQtumQtum6.70536.7869+1.22%5.7399-14.40%0.0163✓1.34226k2022-03-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.2627.5888+1.21%23.39-14.20%0.0237✓1.381.6M2022-03-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.12173.1583+1.17%2.9495-5.52%0.0516✓0.883.6M2022-03-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041870.042356+1.16%0.03904-6.76%0.0544✓0.9929k2022-03-08
XVGVergenative0.010440.010561+1.16%0.01031-1.25%0.1464✓1.241.3M2022-03-08
CBKCobakEthereum2.3962.4231+1.13%2.146-10.43%0.0034✓0.9123k2022-03-08
XMRMoneroMonero177.8179.7703+1.11%203.38+14.39%0.2604✓1.001.1M2022-03-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.9821.2118+1.10%18.04-14.01%0.0088✓1.129.1M2022-03-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.890.899649+1.08%0.805-9.55%0.0645✓1.282.3M2022-03-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011460.011584+1.08%0.01185+3.40%0.2138✓1.392.8M2022-03-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.25792.2823+1.08%2.0561-8.94%0.0068✓0.7126k2022-03-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.11e-76.17e-7+1.08%0.000001432+134.40%0.9782✓1.001.1M2022-03-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.525.5791+1.07%5.13-7.07%0.0334✓0.86510k2022-03-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,439.9544,913.11+1.06%38,749.38-12.81%0.0106✗1.00632.3M2022-03-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004710.004758+1.02%0.00376-20.17%0.0109✗1.649.6M2022-03-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.42180.426092+1.02%0.3413-19.08%0.0034✓1.6414.7M2022-03-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.2411+1.00%10.15+0.10%0.0818✓0.66928k2022-03-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02820.02848+0.99%0.0246-12.77%0.0353✓1.33500k2022-03-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.6888.5295+0.97%78.77-10.16%0.0018✓0.84905k2022-03-08
KCSKuCoinnative20.74620.9436+0.95%18.038-13.05%0.0132✗0.999.5M2022-03-08
AVTAventusEthereum2.332.352+0.95%2.36+1.29%0.1404✓1.00443k2022-03-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25760.259962+0.92%0.2233-13.32%0.0269✗0.912.0M2022-03-08
MANADecentralandEthereum2.83712.8626+0.90%2.3938-15.62%0.0141✗1.203.3M2022-03-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16150.16294+0.89%0.1485-8.05%0.0477✓1.03446k2022-03-08
ZECZcashZcash119.02120.0483+0.86%138.68+16.52%0.2987✓1.137.2M2022-03-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,139.1044,517.63+0.86%38,942.90-11.77%0.0002✓0.9752k2022-03-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0713.0966+0.83%2.668-13.12%0.0273✗0.89218k2022-03-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.5636+0.82%5.92-9.06%0.0174✓0.88452k2022-03-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2241.234+0.82%1.132-7.52%0.0775✓1.202.9M2022-03-08
DASHDashDash100.01100.8267+0.82%96.39-3.62%0.1098✓1.131.5M2022-03-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5024.5378+0.80%4.219-6.29%0.0426✓0.84435k2022-03-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.012490.012589+0.79%0.011366-9.00%0.0393✓1.0315k2022-03-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum57.1957.6289+0.77%46.4-18.87%0.0391✗1.306.7M2022-03-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.10480.10558+0.74%0.0836-20.23%0.0285✗1.50613k2022-03-08
BANDBandEthereum4.2274.2581+0.74%3.473-17.84%0.0251✗1.301.8M2022-03-08
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0677+0.73%0.92-13.21%0.1125✗0.27286k2022-03-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07290.073425+0.72%0.07059-3.17%0.0989✓1.0112k2022-03-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94995.9893+0.66%5.6406-5.20%0.0180✗0.31433k2022-03-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0494850.049808+0.65%0.040538-18.08%0.0596✗1.078.1M2022-03-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2451.2531+0.65%1.006-19.20%0.0739✗1.061.3M2022-03-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57650.580226+0.65%0.5126-11.08%0.0008✓0.91642k2022-03-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.919.0118+0.59%16.97-10.21%0.0528✓1.2129.4M2022-03-08
XYMSymbolnative0.15230.153194+0.59%0.1326-12.93%0.0328✗0.81294k2022-03-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.9687.4517+0.57%72.98-16.08%0.0154✓1.43118.3M2022-03-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.8727+0.52%16.34+3.48%0.1261✓0.712.2M2022-03-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1431.2935+0.49%27.87-10.50%0.0409✓1.1450.3M2022-03-08
FIDABonfidaSolana1.811.8184+0.46%1.824+0.77%0.1206✓0.8676k2022-03-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076330.076658+0.43%0.07699+0.86%0.1753✓1.2569k2022-03-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4699+0.40%2.16-12.20%0.0032✓1.00263k2022-03-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.53940.541218+0.34%0.4042-25.06%0.0166✗2.012.1M2022-03-08
UOSUltraEthereum1.36521.3673+0.16%1.1917-12.71%0.0492✓1.362.8M2022-03-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75820.759374+0.15%0.6773-10.67%0.0768✓1.392.5M2022-03-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.98611.9877+0.08%1.8748-5.61%0.0841✓1.0475k2022-03-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1933.1849-0.25%3.365+5.39%0.1854✗0.95741k2022-03-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57242.5542-0.71%3.0589+18.91%0.3016✗0.882.7M2022-03-08
LUNATerraTerra 289.7288.9442-0.86%85.48-4.73%0.1568✗1.434.8M2022-03-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.278.1892-0.98%7.88-4.72%0.0873✗0.92461k2022-03-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.069435-1.23%0.0566-19.49%0.0374✗1.7676.7M2022-03-08
CELLCellframeEthereum1.70181.675-1.57%1.3396-21.28%0.0500✓1.27278k2022-03-08
API3Api3Ethereum8.0947.8733-2.73%5.243-35.22%0.3396✓0.492.9M2022-03-08
UMAUMAEthereum9.4479.1151-3.51%7.832-17.10%0.0424✗1.421.9M2022-03-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.