2022-02-23 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0097

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.56%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

28.0%

in alpha space · 80.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+17.83%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.357	6.0309	-5.13%	7.3	+14.83%	0.1357	✗	0.34	2.0M	2022-03-02
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.1	1.0509	-4.46%	1.02	-7.27%	0.1939	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-02
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.144	0.139913	-2.84%	0.116	-19.44%	0.3545	✓	1.02	53k	2022-03-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.7484	1.7054	-2.46%	1.6226	-7.20%	0.2979	✓	1.51	229k	2022-03-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	59.54	58.3709	-1.96%	92.43	+55.24%	0.2409	✗	1.33	4.5M	2022-03-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.049178	0.048447	-1.49%	0.04679	-4.86%	0.2417	✓	1.26	7.5M	2022-03-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1954	1.1842	-0.93%	1.389	+16.20%	0.0656	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-03-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.878	2.8572	-0.72%	3.114	+8.20%	0.0690	✓	0.95	460k	2022-03-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0975	6.0539	-0.71%	5.9424	-2.54%	0.0830	✓	0.39	412k	2022-03-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.9299	0.924019	-0.63%	0.7242	-22.12%	0.3443	✓	0.61	1.5M	2022-03-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.53	28.3613	-0.59%	30.37	+6.45%	0.0987	✓	1.02	1.5M	2022-03-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0622	0.061848	-0.57%	0.0714	+14.79%	0.0318	✓	1.07	14k	2022-03-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.749	18.6575	-0.49%	20.355	+8.57%	0.1000	✓	1.14	9.6M	2022-03-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01223	0.012171	-0.48%	0.01235	+0.98%	0.1097	✓	0.76	15k	2022-03-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.655	3.6378	-0.47%	4.016	+9.88%	0.1087	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-03-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.0366	0.036456	-0.39%	0.03397	-7.19%	0.2164	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-03-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01214	0.012094	-0.38%	0.012216	+0.63%	0.1779	✓	1.15	39k	2022-03-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.28	9.2568	-0.25%	10.14	+9.27%	0.0276	✓	0.72	758k	2022-03-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4849	0.483792	-0.23%	0.5665	+16.83%	0.0002	✓	0.96	643k	2022-03-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01876	0.01872	-0.22%	0.01892	+0.85%	0.1748	✓	1.13	2.1M	2022-03-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.86	4.8502	-0.20%	5.59	+15.02%	0.0207	✓	0.99	682k	2022-03-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5516	2.5473	-0.17%	2.7532	+7.90%	0.1341	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-03-02
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001897	-0.15%	0.00000196	+3.16%	0.1314	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-03-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.147	0.146798	-0.14%	0.149	+1.36%	0.1170	✓	0.80	345k	2022-03-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7207	1.7184	-0.13%	2.7751	+61.28%	0.3940	✗	0.52	2.7M	2022-03-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.120481	-0.10%	0.1299	+7.71%	0.1436	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-03-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.135	4.1312	-0.09%	4.505	+8.95%	0.0538	✓	0.86	395k	2022-03-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	149.01	148.9138	-0.06%	177.46	+19.09%	0.0110	✗	1.00	966k	2022-03-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	25.15	25.1344	-0.06%	32.25	+28.23%	0.0685	✗	1.10	52.8M	2022-03-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.667	0.666614	-0.06%	0.703	+5.40%	0.1288	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-03-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.318	2.3177	-0.01%	2.99	+28.99%	0.0470	✗	1.27	772k	2022-03-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00938	0.009385	+0.05%	0.01037	+10.55%	0.1110	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-03-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.7591	67.8036	+0.07%	71.55	+5.59%	0.1927	✗	1.50	243k	2022-03-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4922	0.492563	+0.07%	0.7291	+48.13%	0.1704	✓	1.35	2.2M	2022-03-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	109.49	109.5882	+0.09%	122.45	+11.84%	0.1009	✗	1.29	64k	2022-03-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4331	0.433491	+0.09%	0.5029	+16.12%	0.1615	✗	1.89	2.0M	2022-03-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	288.37	288.6798	+0.11%	320.43	+11.12%	0.0594	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01006	0.010072	+0.12%	0.01231	+22.37%	0.0495	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-03-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.29	17.3103	+0.12%	19.31	+11.68%	0.0793	✗	1.15	22.3M	2022-03-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.78	40.8287	+0.12%	46.16	+13.19%	0.0665	✗	1.15	26.3M	2022-03-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3536	0.354063	+0.13%	0.3742	+5.83%	0.1769	✗	1.42	8.4M	2022-03-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.78	1.7826	+0.14%	1.82	+2.25%	0.2472	✗	1.63	582k	2022-03-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0253	0.025337	+0.14%	0.0268	+5.93%	0.1777	✗	1.43	497k	2022-03-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.35	14.3721	+0.15%	16.15	+12.54%	0.0056	✗	0.75	1.8M	2022-03-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.4588	+0.16%	20.73	+12.48%	0.0836	✗	1.22	9.2M	2022-03-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.977	4.9851	+0.16%	8.421	+69.20%	0.3602	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.3539	+0.17%	2.35	+0.00%	0.1657	✗	1.00	639k	2022-03-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08287	0.083007	+0.17%	0.091	+9.81%	0.0901	✗	1.11	47k	2022-03-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5861	1.5889	+0.18%	1.9592	+23.52%	0.0338	✓	1.07	72k	2022-03-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.6883	+0.18%	5.57	+19.02%	0.0406	✓	0.80	431k	2022-03-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.81	18.846	+0.19%	20.76	+10.37%	0.1566	✗	1.54	334k	2022-03-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,320.95	20,363.20	+0.21%	22,346.94	+9.97%	0.0763	✗	1.03	5.7M	2022-03-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.181	5.1939	+0.25%	5.551	+7.14%	0.0649	✗	0.80	65k	2022-03-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0943	0.094544	+0.26%	0.1064	+12.83%	0.0515	✗	1.03	37k	2022-03-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		82.17	82.3832	+0.26%	86.11	+4.79%	0.1033	✗	0.90	946k	2022-03-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0122	+0.26%	2.298	+14.50%	0.0386	✗	1.04	19k	2022-03-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.71	6.7281	+0.27%	6.71	+0.00%	0.0390	✗	0.22	1.2M	2022-03-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.240256	+0.27%	0.2945	+22.91%	0.0123	✓	1.17	410k	2022-03-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.5	73.7084	+0.28%	83.42	+13.50%	0.1223	✗	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.65943	0.661482	+0.31%	0.73047	+10.77%	0.1379	✗	1.45	246k	2022-03-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.35	108.6953	+0.32%	117.95	+8.86%	0.0862	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.12	2.1268	+0.32%	2.13	+0.47%	0.2011	✗	1.24	324k	2022-03-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1335	0.133932	+0.32%	0.1595	+19.48%	0.0081	✓	1.02	467k	2022-03-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.76	5.7791	+0.33%	6.43	+11.63%	0.0370	✗	0.88	425k	2022-03-02
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.58	2.5892	+0.36%	2.52	-2.33%	0.1912	✗	1.00	671k	2022-03-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.443	0.444674	+0.38%	0.468	+5.64%	0.1733	✗	1.37	4.5M	2022-03-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.526579	0.528609	+0.39%	0.570611	+8.36%	0.1145	✗	1.16	3.2M	2022-03-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9093	1.9167	+0.39%	1.8782	-1.63%	0.2219	✗	1.23	206k	2022-03-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	97.51	97.8882	+0.39%	125.91	+29.13%	0.0607	✓	1.16	7.6M	2022-03-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.221	0.22188	+0.40%	0.2571	+16.33%	0.0173	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127361	0.127898	+0.42%	0.133081	+4.49%	0.1265	✗	1.01	3.7M	2022-03-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02593	0.02604	+0.42%	0.02832	+9.22%	0.0431	✗	0.77	4.4M	2022-03-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1793	+0.43%	2.43	+11.98%	0.0575	✗	1.01	275k	2022-03-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04486	0.045054	+0.43%	0.04875	+8.67%	0.1368	✗	1.31	768k	2022-03-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03744	0.037604	+0.44%	0.04078	+8.92%	0.0983	✗	1.09	31k	2022-03-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1482	6.1761	+0.45%	6.803	+10.65%	0.0372	✗	0.82	3.0M	2022-03-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.71	12.7688	+0.46%	13.69	+7.71%	0.0991	✗	1.03	369k	2022-03-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.858	5.8865	+0.49%	6.7	+14.37%	0.0695	✓	0.37	29k	2022-03-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.84	33.0006	+0.49%	38.92	+18.51%	0.0940	✗	1.58	309k	2022-03-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.18	22.2892	+0.49%	26.56	+19.75%	0.0611	✗	1.44	1.8M	2022-03-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.599	2.6125	+0.52%	2.98	+14.66%	0.0068	✗	0.84	198k	2022-03-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0693	0.069662	+0.52%	0.0754	+8.80%	0.1001	✗	1.09	176k	2022-03-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7853	0.789523	+0.54%	0.8204	+4.47%	0.1645	✗	1.24	22.9M	2022-03-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8658	3.8866	+0.54%	4.413	+14.16%	0.0710	✗	1.21	283k	2022-03-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7401	5.7714	+0.55%	6.4867	+13.01%	0.1208	✗	1.45	153k	2022-03-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.79	49.059	+0.55%	55.59	+13.94%	0.0921	✗	1.32	7.5M	2022-03-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.938	0.943377	+0.57%	1.164	+24.09%	0.0082	✓	1.23	934k	2022-03-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.234	0.235386	+0.59%	0.247	+5.56%	0.0973	✗	0.89	59k	2022-03-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.389	1.3976	+0.62%	1.548	+11.45%	0.1399	✗	1.48	928k	2022-03-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.363	5.3962	+0.62%	6.038	+12.59%	0.0586	✗	1.04	241k	2022-03-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	15.97	16.0719	+0.64%	18.61	+16.53%	0.0719	✗	1.33	27.9M	2022-03-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,524.20	37,766.85	+0.65%	44,262.00	+17.96%	0.0001	✓	0.97	39k	2022-03-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0687	0.069145	+0.65%	0.0775	+12.81%	0.1113	✗	1.37	1.1M	2022-03-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	105.41	106.0964	+0.65%	110.35	+4.69%	0.1591	✗	1.21	29.5M	2022-03-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.7043	+0.66%	29.52	+11.27%	0.0786	✗	1.09	4.9M	2022-03-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7513	0.756316	+0.67%	0.8082	+7.57%	0.1859	✗	1.54	317k	2022-03-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7126	0.717358	+0.67%	0.7872	+10.47%	0.0944	✗	1.14	9.7M	2022-03-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,580.97	2,598.37	+0.67%	2,948.56	+14.24%	0.0518	✗	1.09	561.7M	2022-03-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.27	5.3058	+0.68%	7.94	+50.66%	0.2597	✓	0.87	367k	2022-03-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.59	1.6009	+0.69%	1.93	+21.38%	0.0347	✗	1.35	2.0M	2022-03-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.779	0.78439	+0.69%	0.917	+17.72%	0.0677	✗	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.038	1.0453	+0.70%	1.202	+15.80%	0.0666	✗	1.26	2.8M	2022-03-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.060784	0.06122	+0.72%	0.061505	+1.19%	0.1350	✗	0.85	286k	2022-03-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.28	3.3042	+0.74%	3.41	+3.96%	0.1970	✗	1.39	7.0M	2022-03-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7875	2.8082	+0.74%	3.0297	+8.69%	0.0902	✗	1.01	2.3M	2022-03-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1703	0.171584	+0.75%	0.197	+15.68%	0.0937	✗	1.41	2.9M	2022-03-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.24	14.3517	+0.78%	15.16	+6.46%	0.2009	✗	1.56	2.3M	2022-03-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000070772	+0.79%	0.00007594	+8.15%	0.1214	✗	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002484	0.000025043	+0.82%	0.00002591	+4.31%	0.1922	✗	1.38	3.7M	2022-03-02
STX	Stacks	native	1.13	1.1393	+0.82%	1.25	+10.62%	0.1237	✗	1.32	725k	2022-03-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0845	0.085208	+0.84%	0.0991	+17.28%	0.0892	✗	1.46	668k	2022-03-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,268.19	37,589.60	+0.86%	43,912.34	+17.83%	0.0086	✓	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	84.64	85.387	+0.88%	100.73	+19.01%	0.0389	✗	1.24	132.7M	2022-03-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181888	0.183504	+0.89%	0.193624	+6.45%	0.1185	✗	1.05	21.4M	2022-03-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.28	89.0669	+0.89%	100.9	+14.30%	0.0671	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.676013	+0.90%	0.75	+11.94%	0.2140	✗	1.94	1.0M	2022-03-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06016	0.060711	+0.92%	0.07258	+20.64%	0.0442	✓	0.82	75k	2022-03-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.85	5.9042	+0.93%	6.64	+13.50%	0.0502	✓	0.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022758	0.022977	+0.96%	0.021073	-7.40%	0.2596	✗	1.06	111k	2022-03-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8664	0.87477	+0.97%	0.9394	+8.43%	0.1174	✗	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	130.67	131.9773	+1.00%	137.7	+5.38%	0.1948	✗	1.45	6.5M	2022-03-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0084	0.008488	+1.04%	0.00957	+13.93%	0.0487	✗	1.03	525k	2022-03-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.282	0.28498	+1.06%	0.308	+9.22%	0.1487	✗	1.38	2.0M	2022-03-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.331	1.3453	+1.08%	1.59	+19.46%	0.0211	✗	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.34	8.4308	+1.09%	9.78	+17.27%	0.0639	✗	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.90329	0.91314	+1.09%	1.0742	+18.92%	0.0181	✗	1.10	160k	2022-03-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8418	2.873	+1.10%	3.0322	+6.70%	0.1125	✗	1.01	2.6M	2022-03-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.383	1.3983	+1.11%	1.496	+8.17%	0.1329	✗	1.22	1.0M	2022-03-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00444	0.004492	+1.16%	0.00469	+5.63%	0.2661	✗	1.89	12.6M	2022-03-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3651	0.369397	+1.18%	0.397	+8.74%	0.1600	✗	1.41	1.3M	2022-03-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.34	13.5058	+1.24%	15.29	+14.62%	0.0755	✗	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.748	3.795	+1.25%	3.976	+6.08%	0.1614	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-03-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.75	8.8612	+1.27%	10.05	+14.86%	0.0908	✗	1.32	10.8M	2022-03-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.23	4.2843	+1.28%	4.65	+9.93%	0.0981	✗	1.10	456k	2022-03-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8185	0.829645	+1.36%	0.9988	+22.03%	0.0402	✗	1.38	1.7M	2022-03-02
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.807	1.8336	+1.47%	2.237	+23.80%	0.0348	✓	1.00	76k	2022-03-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	123.58	125.4265	+1.49%	138.31	+11.92%	0.0979	✗	1.19	930k	2022-03-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2039	0.207114	+1.58%	0.2308	+13.19%	0.1436	✗	1.54	3.3M	2022-03-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9331	2.9806	+1.62%	3.494	+19.12%	0.0538	✗	1.30	2.0M	2022-03-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.285	2.3222	+1.63%	2.647	+15.84%	0.1262	✗	1.57	13.2M	2022-03-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.14949	0.151943	+1.64%	0.16542	+10.66%	0.1377	✗	1.36	29k	2022-03-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.294	1.3182	+1.87%	1.359	+5.02%	0.1966	✗	1.38	1.8M	2022-03-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.554	1.587	+2.12%	1.464	-5.79%	0.2635	✗	1.11	3.4M	2022-03-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4391	0.449606	+2.39%	0.5144	+17.15%	0.1039	✗	1.45	572k	2022-03-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1538	2.2071	+2.48%	2.2311	+3.59%	0.1324	✗	0.87	28k	2022-03-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3293	0.33762	+2.53%	0.4033	+22.47%	0.0983	✗	1.68	16.0M	2022-03-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0476	0.048835	+2.59%	0.0655	+37.61%	0.0022	✓	1.78	64.3M	2022-03-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.19	1.2279	+3.19%	1.27	+6.72%	0.1781	✗	1.29	934k	2022-03-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.27	2.3543	+3.71%	2.895	+27.53%	0.0209	✓	1.39	579k	2022-03-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01802	0.018767	+4.14%	0.01634	-9.32%	0.4059	✗	1.63	11.1M	2022-03-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.