8=======>

2022-02-11 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0782
149 of 149 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.0%
in alpha space · 75.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum2.282.1059-7.64%2.15-5.70%0.0791✓1.001.4M2022-02-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.051110.047557-6.95%0.04094-19.90%0.0915✓1.004.9M2022-02-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1574.8221-6.49%3.889-24.59%0.1615✓0.921.0M2022-02-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.22691.1536-5.97%1.0542-14.08%0.0376✓0.901.8M2022-02-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158720.015253-3.90%0.015984+0.71%0.1152✗1.17689k2022-02-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63580.612447-3.67%0.5205-18.13%0.0538✓1.871.8M2022-02-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1170.113716-2.81%0.139+18.80%0.2591✗1.0072k2022-02-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03190.031151-2.35%0.0302-5.33%0.0560✗1.49490k2022-02-18
STXStacksnative1.511.4748-2.33%1.35-10.60%0.0300✓1.001.2M2022-02-18
DIADIAEthereum0.960.938123-2.28%1.07+11.46%0.1899✗1.00281k2022-02-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.0031-2.12%3.91-4.40%0.0570✗1.388.0M2022-02-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.951.9124-1.93%1.58-18.97%0.1099✓1.393.0M2022-02-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06540.064184-1.86%0.0602-7.95%0.0379✗1.7542.7M2022-02-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59560.584775-1.82%0.5612-5.78%0.0205✗1.061.1M2022-02-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.8116-1.80%4.37-10.82%0.0240✓1.242.6M2022-02-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.474-1.75%19.61-1.06%0.0748✗1.1625.3M2022-02-18
XTZTezosTezos4.31294.2391-1.71%3.6234-15.99%0.0810✓1.302.4M2022-02-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.293.2349-1.68%3.181-3.31%0.0352✗0.89525k2022-02-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.18686.0835-1.67%5.708-7.74%0.0452✓0.32447k2022-02-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0321240.031588-1.67%0.026937-16.15%0.0840✓1.29111k2022-02-18
MOVRMoonriverBase84.832183.4208-1.66%83.1979-1.93%0.0816✗1.44319k2022-02-18
API3Api3Ethereum3.973.9047-1.65%6.01+51.39%0.4509✗0.341.8M2022-02-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.920.906313-1.49%0.89-3.26%0.0963✗1.961.1M2022-02-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.59413.5421-1.45%2.9795-17.10%0.1214✓0.8830k2022-02-18
BANDBandEthereum4.254.1887-1.44%4.7+10.59%0.1875✗1.241.9M2022-02-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5626.1822-1.42%26.85+1.09%0.0911✗1.1376.9M2022-02-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002160.00000213-1.37%0.00000205-5.09%0.0199✗1.0014.6M2022-02-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,115.1322,802.45-1.35%21,934.46-5.11%0.0171✗0.968.0M2022-02-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91511.8901-1.31%2.1176+10.57%0.1494✗0.612.9M2022-02-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.085772-1.30%0.0812-6.56%0.0261✗1.39567k2022-02-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45030.444524-1.28%0.4198-6.77%0.0495✗1.8335.7M2022-02-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.892.8529-1.28%2.81-2.77%0.0672✗1.4120.0M2022-02-18
AAVEAaveEthereum163.71161.6365-1.27%145.64-11.04%0.0220✓1.419.5M2022-02-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.8732-1.21%6.93-13.05%0.1058✓0.371.7M2022-02-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.92222.8868-1.21%2.97+1.64%0.0869✗1.003.0M2022-02-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0477190.047151-1.19%0.0487+2.06%0.1031✗1.218.7M2022-02-18
XMRMoneroMonero169.21167.2618-1.15%160.94-4.89%0.0226✗1.051.4M2022-02-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.5512.522-1.14%2.017-20.93%0.1651✓1.0068k2022-02-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3622.1244-1.05%20.51-8.27%0.0159✗1.57387k2022-02-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65370.646833-1.05%0.5682-13.08%0.0397✓1.54743k2022-02-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.072.0489-1.02%1.82-12.08%0.0425✓1.302.3M2022-02-18
UMAUMAEthereum5.965.9001-1.00%5.92-0.67%0.0607✗0.981.9M2022-02-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9816.8111-0.99%15.2-10.48%0.0593✓0.71919k2022-02-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1490.147546-0.98%0.1365-8.39%0.0012✓1.353.2M2022-02-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.113.0804-0.95%2.85-8.36%0.0194✓1.002.0M2022-02-18
RADRadworksEthereum5.45.3501-0.92%5.3-1.85%0.0513✗1.04701k2022-02-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3010.29826-0.91%0.261-13.29%0.0787✓0.9476k2022-02-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.28420.281691-0.88%0.2677-5.81%0.0144✗1.12538k2022-02-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013590.013472-0.87%0.01279-5.89%0.0064✓0.7813k2022-02-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87540.868162-0.83%0.8015-8.44%0.0180✓1.0613.0M2022-02-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2197.1606-0.81%6.389-11.50%0.0542✓1.02407k2022-02-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8331.8185-0.79%1.674-8.67%0.0064✓1.311.2M2022-02-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15660.155366-0.79%0.1446-7.66%0.0108✓1.05430k2022-02-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0627.841-0.78%29.08+3.64%0.0996✗0.96679k2022-02-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.11.0915-0.77%0.99-10.00%0.0163✓1.39655k2022-02-18
FTTFTXEthereum43.4643.1253-0.77%43.09-0.85%0.0680✗1.1832.3M2022-02-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.7329-0.77%2.581-6.28%0.0218✗1.351.1M2022-02-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226110.02244-0.76%0.019599-13.32%0.0645✓1.212.4M2022-02-18
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9237.8636-0.75%6.903-12.87%0.1097✓0.3538k2022-02-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.14831.1398-0.74%1.6049+39.76%0.4350✗1.59114k2022-02-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.110.0252-0.74%10.17+0.69%0.0558✗0.71660k2022-02-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0920.9391-0.72%21.02-0.33%0.0743✗1.2110.8M2022-02-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10860.107823-0.72%0.0978-9.94%0.0061✓1.571.3M2022-02-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.565623-0.70%0.5229-8.20%0.0019✓1.312.6M2022-02-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056220.055842-0.67%0.04965-11.69%0.0343✓1.431.2M2022-02-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70164.6706-0.66%4.35-7.48%0.0004✓1.23442k2022-02-18
XVGVergenative0.011510.011435-0.65%0.01063-7.65%0.0076✗1.381.3M2022-02-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.7432.5287-0.65%28.96-11.55%0.0545✓1.064.6M2022-02-18
GTGateEthereum6.73996.698-0.62%6.6403-1.48%0.0437✗0.904.0M2022-02-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.08718.969-0.62%19.552+2.44%0.1086✗1.3410.4M2022-02-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.711.7004-0.56%1.59-7.02%0.0063✗1.261.4M2022-02-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.071598-0.56%0.0682-5.28%0.0154✗1.1019k2022-02-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1543.1364-0.56%3.02-4.25%0.0095✗0.81206k2022-02-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.63.5802-0.55%3.1093-13.63%0.0847✓0.972.2M2022-02-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.5659-0.54%2.38-7.75%0.0154✓1.02457k2022-02-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.28880.287228-0.54%0.247-14.47%0.0604✓1.554.2M2022-02-18
ZECZcashZcash116.54115.9094-0.54%109.21-6.29%0.0144✗1.277.3M2022-02-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4416-0.52%5.25-4.02%0.0104✗0.79377k2022-02-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17350.172601-0.52%0.1609-7.26%0.0283✓0.72406k2022-02-18
HIVEHivenative1.0741.0686-0.50%0.9999-6.90%0.0188✗1.461.9M2022-02-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8181.4224-0.47%83.75+2.37%0.1068✗1.3592.3M2022-02-18
DODODODOEthereum0.520.517567-0.47%0.494-5.00%0.0378✗1.454.9M2022-02-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.5283-0.46%2.43-4.33%0.0358✗1.29401k2022-02-18
COMPCompoundEthereum124.54123.9877-0.44%121.52-2.42%0.0545✗1.2865k2022-02-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012440.012387-0.43%0.01204-3.22%0.0605✗1.521.7M2022-02-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.51128.9595-0.43%113.58-12.30%0.0676✓1.027.8M2022-02-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6169040.614321-0.42%0.594984-3.55%0.0362✗1.173.5M2022-02-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2571.2518-0.41%1.104-12.17%0.0527✓1.253.2M2022-02-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077470.077155-0.41%0.07167-7.49%0.0287✓0.7789k2022-02-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.6494.2627-0.40%87.44-7.61%0.0223✓0.911.3M2022-02-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189070.18832-0.40%0.17101-9.55%0.0022✓1.6240k2022-02-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097520.097136-0.39%0.09046-7.24%0.0089✓1.0750k2022-02-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.995.9684-0.36%5.29-11.69%0.0551✓1.12689k2022-02-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08031.0765-0.35%0.9958-7.82%0.0126✓1.12115.7M2022-02-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.9629.8547-0.35%25.01-16.52%0.0893✓1.502.0M2022-02-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.3459-0.34%2.222-5.61%0.0077✗1.0622k2022-02-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.16231.1583-0.34%1.0419-10.36%0.0445✓1.05239k2022-02-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032980.032871-0.33%0.02928-11.22%0.0652✓0.866.4M2022-02-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4534.4387-0.32%4.716+5.91%0.1096✗0.84346k2022-02-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00620.006182-0.30%0.00516-16.77%0.0625✓2.0218.8M2022-02-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93450.931804-0.29%0.877-6.15%0.0309✗1.57672k2022-02-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41810.41693-0.28%0.4126-1.32%0.0672✗1.338.9M2022-02-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.01320.1211-0.28%310.22-3.36%0.0283✗1.028.9M2022-02-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.69125.3578-0.26%114.85-8.62%0.0112✓1.3135.7M2022-02-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3750.374022-0.26%0.322-14.13%0.0704✓1.361.9M2022-02-18
LUNATerraTerra 250.3550.2195-0.26%50.61+0.52%0.0911✗1.437.8M2022-02-18
ZENHorizenBase40.3640.2562-0.26%37.11-8.05%0.0097✗1.56461k2022-02-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.015.9955-0.24%5.881-2.15%0.0345✗0.9272k2022-02-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2216.1831-0.23%15.2-6.29%0.0078✗1.2173.6M2022-02-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.77.6826-0.23%7.67-0.39%0.0161✗0.301.0M2022-02-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.09761.0952-0.22%1.196+8.97%0.1581✗1.202.3M2022-02-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.144850.144558-0.20%0.138612-4.31%0.0184✗1.037.1M2022-02-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.2278-0.20%5.97-4.33%0.0060✗0.83441k2022-02-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.0758.9563-0.19%55.59-5.89%0.0130✗1.238.8M2022-02-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7710.769532-0.19%0.771+0.00%0.0661✗1.101.7M2022-02-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6371.6339-0.19%1.518-7.27%0.0061✓1.161.6M2022-02-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.312.3059-0.18%2.05-11.26%0.0608✓0.972.9M2022-02-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9614.9342-0.17%14.44-3.48%0.0277✗1.05576k2022-02-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.991.9872-0.14%1.61-19.10%0.1413✓1.191.5M2022-02-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010560.010548-0.11%0.00961-9.00%0.0335✓1.02550k2022-02-18
XECeCashnative0.000083910.000083847-0.08%0.0000786-6.33%0.0034✗1.175.6M2022-02-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.77561.7744-0.07%1.6654-6.20%0.0015✗1.1178k2022-02-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028720.000028703-0.06%0.00002815-1.98%0.0633✗1.421.7M2022-02-18
XEMNEMnative0.10860.108578-0.02%0.1011-6.91%0.0097✓1.0635k2022-02-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2153930.215351-0.02%0.200634-6.85%0.0105✓1.0324.3M2022-02-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91690.916888-0.00%0.895-2.39%0.0410✗1.1228.1M2022-02-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9918.9904+0.00%17.83-6.11%0.0164✓1.3636.1M2022-02-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25940.259497+0.04%0.2543-1.97%0.0432✓1.091.6M2022-02-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.823290.823613+0.04%0.75452-8.35%0.0002✓1.50311k2022-02-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.476.4732+0.05%6.37-1.55%0.0360✓0.89406k2022-02-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,386.4742,410.84+0.06%39,983.56-5.67%0.0006✓1.00642.7M2022-02-18
DASHDashDash103.99104.0964+0.10%105.32+1.28%0.0781✓1.142.2M2022-02-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,347.7042,392.11+0.10%40,196.70-5.08%0.0033✓0.9741k2022-02-18
QTUMQtumQtum6.56036.5677+0.11%7.2333+10.26%0.1812✓1.45145k2022-02-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.20560.205839+0.12%0.1967-4.33%0.0375✓1.423.7M2022-02-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40513.4092+0.12%3.076-9.66%0.0381✗1.112.5M2022-02-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.960.961255+0.13%0.86-10.42%0.0309✗1.382.4M2022-02-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041880.041938+0.14%0.04101-2.08%0.0432✓1.1230k2022-02-18
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6510.6665+0.15%10.16-4.60%0.0291✓1.3312.5M2022-02-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,929.082,934.04+0.17%2,780.08-5.09%0.0115✓1.12572.6M2022-02-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2417.2777+0.22%15.77-8.53%0.0107✓1.753.8M2022-02-18
KSMKusamaHydration165.1165.5629+0.28%150.07-9.10%0.0271✗1.22973k2022-02-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45830.459852+0.34%0.4211-8.12%0.0006✓1.502.2M2022-02-18
NANOnanopayBase2.18192.1913+0.43%2.0548-5.83%0.0056✓1.20675k2022-02-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08680.087186+0.44%0.0797-8.18%0.0177✗1.23209k2022-02-18
TRXTRONTron0.0639580.06427+0.49%0.063085-1.36%0.0342✓0.90357k2022-02-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036530.036753+0.61%0.02552-30.14%0.2992✗1.129.5M2022-02-18
XVSVenusEthereum8.928.9884+0.77%10.35+16.03%0.2170✓1.302.8M2022-02-18
SOLSolanaSolana96.597.3122+0.84%89.9-6.84%0.0062✓1.25179.7M2022-02-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.