2022-02-01 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3381

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+14.40%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.6%

in alpha space · 13.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+13.87%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.32	147.3695	+0.72%	179	+22.33%	0.0621	✓	1.02	1.8M	2022-02-08
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059831	0.060242	+0.69%	0.068059	+13.75%	0.0009	✓	0.93	411k	2022-02-08
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.13	8.1783	+0.59%	9.72	+19.56%	0.0003	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-08
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.66	6.6933	+0.50%	7.29	+9.46%	0.0555	✓	0.23	1.1M	2022-02-08
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.03834	0.038503	+0.42%	0.04912	+28.12%	0.0815	✓	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-08
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.062	0.062224	+0.36%	0.0865	+39.52%	0.1588	✓	1.31	556k	2022-02-08
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0446	0.044759	+0.36%	0.04001	-10.29%	0.2563	✗	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-08
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9549	0.958172	+0.34%	1.1789	+23.46%	0.0084	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-02-08
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,716.88	38,758.19	+0.11%	44,085.59	+13.87%	0.0011	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-08
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00957	0.009572	+0.02%	0.01536	+60.50%	0.3044	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-08
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.67	26.6742	+0.02%	30.82	+15.56%	0.0708	✗	1.66	2.6M	2022-02-08
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1512	1.1513	+0.01%	1.344	+16.75%	0.0223	✓	1.02	346k	2022-02-08
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.525	1.5249	-0.01%	1.791	+17.44%	0.0041	✗	1.21	1.6M	2022-02-08
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0822	0.082162	-0.05%	0.0919	+11.80%	0.0487	✓	1.24	299k	2022-02-08
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1797	6.1764	-0.05%	7.0785	+14.54%	0.0536	✓	1.46	174k	2022-02-08
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1518	2.1502	-0.07%	2.3589	+9.63%	0.0685	✓	1.24	888k	2022-02-08
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.327735	-0.08%	0.371	+13.11%	0.0534	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-02-08
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	76.2874	76.2228	-0.08%	101.7616	+33.39%	0.1235	✗	1.27	383k	2022-02-08
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,789.66	2,787.04	-0.09%	3,119.57	+11.83%	0.0313	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-02-08
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,691.90	38,641.75	-0.13%	42,914.50	+10.91%	0.0271	✓	1.02	51k	2022-02-08
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002176	0.000021727	-0.15%	0.00003097	+42.33%	0.1709	✗	1.41	1.6M	2022-02-08
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.678	-0.19%	2.847	+6.11%	0.1372	✓	1.53	986k	2022-02-08
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.255	0.254518	-0.19%	0.283	+10.98%	0.0183	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-08
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6048	1.6016	-0.19%	1.8682	+16.42%	0.0088	✗	1.12	82k	2022-02-08
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	287.95	287.2989	-0.23%	335.57	+16.54%	0.0194	✗	1.05	6.8M	2022-02-08
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.2257	-0.23%	6.95	+11.38%	0.0067	✗	0.80	504k	2022-02-08
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020954	0.020896	-0.28%	0.022305	+6.45%	0.0672	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-02-08
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.66	14.6193	-0.28%	16.15	+10.16%	0.0288	✓	0.99	795k	2022-02-08
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142489	0.142083	-0.29%	0.1583	+11.10%	0.0302	✓	1.07	7.1M	2022-02-08
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.488	0.486563	-0.29%	0.557	+14.14%	0.0642	✓	1.54	4.7M	2022-02-08
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.11	114.7426	-0.32%	133.82	+16.25%	0.0221	✓	1.35	33.8M	2022-02-08
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.932	0.928695	-0.35%	1.045	+12.12%	0.0612	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-08
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9652	0.961671	-0.37%	1.0791	+11.80%	0.1221	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-08
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.958	5.9361	-0.37%	6.692	+12.32%	0.0093	✗	0.85	118k	2022-02-08
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202028	0.201208	-0.41%	0.242394	+19.98%	0.0513	✗	1.04	26.2M	2022-02-08
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4737	0.471734	-0.41%	0.5288	+11.63%	0.0676	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-02-08
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1868	3.1733	-0.42%	3.5159	+10.33%	0.0440	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-02-08
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01011	0.010065	-0.44%	0.01176	+16.32%	0.0203	✗	1.04	565k	2022-02-08
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.8	26.6805	-0.45%	32.06	+19.63%	0.0416	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-08
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.28	6.2508	-0.47%	6.83	+8.76%	0.0243	✓	0.87	529k	2022-02-08
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.316	1.3098	-0.47%	1.422	+8.05%	0.0814	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-02-08
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.582133	0.579306	-0.49%	0.681804	+17.12%	0.0042	✓	1.22	3.3M	2022-02-08
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4327	0.430591	-0.49%	0.8556	+97.74%	0.4791	✗	1.60	2.0M	2022-02-08
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	104.95	104.4378	-0.49%	147.49	+40.53%	0.2074	✗	1.06	7.5M	2022-02-08
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.11	11.0534	-0.51%	11.95	+7.56%	0.0982	✓	1.36	12.9M	2022-02-08
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007722	0.000076825	-0.51%	0.00009444	+22.30%	0.0600	✗	1.13	5.7M	2022-02-08
XVG	Verge	native	0.01018	0.010126	-0.53%	0.01184	+16.31%	0.0172	✓	1.34	1.6M	2022-02-08
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.94	20.8254	-0.55%	25.99	+24.12%	0.0153	✗	1.59	465k	2022-02-08
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.065427	-0.57%	0.0786	+19.45%	0.0395	✗	1.11	21k	2022-02-08
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.37	5.3389	-0.58%	5.63	+4.84%	0.0427	✓	0.74	429k	2022-02-08
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.565	0.561596	-0.60%	0.6264	+10.87%	0.0645	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-02-08
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.23	96.6428	-0.60%	112.75	+15.96%	0.0006	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-08
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.97	98.3485	-0.63%	133.12	+34.51%	0.1266	✗	1.36	6.6M	2022-02-08
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.98	5.9421	-0.63%	6.51	+8.86%	0.0498	✓	1.09	2.1M	2022-02-08
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.88	2.8614	-0.65%	2.78	-3.47%	0.2325	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-02-08
SOL	Solana	Solana	110.1	109.3768	-0.66%	113.58	+3.16%	0.1178	✓	1.20	181.0M	2022-02-08
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1161	0.115333	-0.66%	0.1335	+14.99%	0.0265	✓	1.33	3.8M	2022-02-08
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	170.69	169.5419	-0.67%	192.41	+12.72%	0.0275	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-08
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03008	0.029875	-0.68%	0.0314	+4.39%	0.0675	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-02-08
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.37	72.8584	-0.70%	86.45	+17.83%	0.0039	✓	1.35	87.3M	2022-02-08
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01283	0.01274	-0.70%	0.01315	+2.49%	0.0839	✓	0.89	13k	2022-02-08
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.69	91.0354	-0.71%	101.44	+10.63%	0.0148	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-02-08
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9364	6.8859	-0.73%	6.8111	-1.81%	0.1341	✓	0.95	4.3M	2022-02-08
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	164.05	162.8394	-0.74%	184.15	+12.25%	0.0588	✓	1.40	12.5M	2022-02-08
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.27	6.2237	-0.74%	6.81	+8.61%	0.0328	✓	0.95	835k	2022-02-08
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2456	0.243777	-0.74%	0.2815	+14.62%	0.0084	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-08
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015173	0.01506	-0.74%	0.016889	+11.31%	0.0380	✓	1.18	2.7M	2022-02-08
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08902	0.088343	-0.76%	0.10219	+14.79%	0.0038	✓	1.09	46k	2022-02-08
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.98	1.9649	-0.77%	2.19	+10.61%	0.0610	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-08
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17	16.8682	-0.78%	18.4	+8.24%	0.0710	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-02-08
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2091	3.1839	-0.78%	3.6711	+14.40%	0.0248	✗	0.91	23k	2022-02-08
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20659	0.204913	-0.81%	0.22456	+8.70%	0.1193	✓	1.62	25k	2022-02-08
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8391	0.832217	-0.82%	0.9872	+17.65%	0.0244	✗	1.13	16.8M	2022-02-08
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.21	38.8814	-0.84%	47.62	+21.45%	0.0078	✓	1.62	626k	2022-02-08
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04034	0.040001	-0.84%	0.04533	+12.37%	0.0203	✓	1.12	29k	2022-02-08
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.6853	-0.86%	1.86	+9.41%	0.0700	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-08
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00684	0.006781	-0.86%	0.00724	+5.85%	0.2368	✓	2.33	23.2M	2022-02-08
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.228	4.191	-0.88%	4.578	+8.28%	0.0170	✓	0.81	351k	2022-02-08
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.47	25.2459	-0.88%	27.08	+6.32%	0.0314	✓	0.78	462k	2022-02-08
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.979	5.9264	-0.88%	7.632	+27.65%	0.1173	✗	1.04	341k	2022-02-08
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.125	3.0975	-0.88%	3.261	+4.35%	0.0544	✓	0.81	299k	2022-02-08
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.756	0.74888	-0.94%	0.809	+7.01%	0.0619	✓	1.07	1.8M	2022-02-08
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1425	0.141151	-0.95%	0.1638	+14.95%	0.0206	✗	0.99	337k	2022-02-08
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	19.38	19.1924	-0.97%	20.1	+3.72%	0.1930	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-02-08
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5347	-0.99%	3.85	+7.84%	0.0594	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-02-08
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.16	126.8882	-0.99%	147.97	+15.46%	0.0172	✓	1.32	59k	2022-02-08
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.53	2.504	-1.03%	2.78	+9.88%	0.0275	✓	1.02	697k	2022-02-08
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.6	5.5424	-1.03%	6.13	+9.46%	0.0358	✓	1.05	1.0M	2022-02-08
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1885	0.186513	-1.05%	0.2258	+19.79%	0.0168	✗	1.34	3.7M	2022-02-08
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.92	20.6984	-1.06%	24.6	+17.59%	0.0151	✗	1.21	12.4M	2022-02-08
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.72	9.617	-1.06%	10.47	+7.72%	0.0131	✓	0.76	744k	2022-02-08
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3087	0.305414	-1.06%	0.3065	-0.71%	0.2064	✓	1.62	4.2M	2022-02-08
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.496	18.2872	-1.13%	20.237	+9.41%	0.0967	✓	1.52	10.6M	2022-02-08
XEM	NEM	native	0.104	0.102825	-1.13%	0.1163	+11.83%	0.0092	✓	1.02	43k	2022-02-08
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.0759	-1.15%	2.25	+7.14%	0.1209	✓	1.55	2.3M	2022-02-08
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.042617	0.042128	-1.15%	0.034271	-19.58%	0.3986	✓	1.48	163k	2022-02-08
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4393	0.434124	-1.18%	0.4741	+7.92%	0.0829	✓	1.32	10.0M	2022-02-08
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.2205	-1.18%	2.561	+13.97%	0.0013	✓	1.09	22k	2022-02-08
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0959	3.0589	-1.19%	3.5194	+13.68%	0.0042	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-02-08
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.967	0.955409	-1.20%	1.0239	+5.88%	0.0837	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-02-08
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84367	0.833365	-1.22%	0.92382	+9.50%	0.1219	✓	1.73	458k	2022-02-08
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.337	3.2962	-1.22%	3.641	+9.11%	0.0117	✓	0.86	819k	2022-02-08
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0965	1.0831	-1.22%	1.1764	+7.29%	0.0665	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-08
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.58	19.3305	-1.27%	21.68	+10.73%	0.0669	✓	1.40	48.3M	2022-02-08
STX	Stacks	native	1.5	1.4808	-1.28%	1.69	+12.67%	0.0023	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-08
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.4452	-1.28%	3.96	+13.47%	0.0256	✓	1.27	2.5M	2022-02-08
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.2589	4.2016	-1.35%	7.5798	+77.98%	0.5902	✗	-0.00	375k	2022-02-08
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5296	0.522387	-1.36%	0.5442	+2.76%	0.2033	✓	1.88	48.9M	2022-02-08
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.21	51.4968	-1.37%	57.22	+9.60%	0.1141	✓	1.69	8.8M	2022-02-08
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05811	0.057262	-1.46%	0.05908	+1.67%	0.1541	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-08
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1475	1.1307	-1.47%	1.2693	+10.62%	0.0440	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-08
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5575	0.549267	-1.48%	0.5993	+7.50%	0.0649	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-08
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1189	0.11705	-1.56%	0.1243	+4.54%	0.1343	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-02-08
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	53.47	52.6374	-1.56%	66.79	+24.91%	0.0870	✗	1.16	8.0M	2022-02-08
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07836	0.077129	-1.57%	0.08606	+9.83%	0.0147	✓	0.73	80k	2022-02-08
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.688889	-1.59%	1.05	+50.00%	0.1778	✗	1.88	1.1M	2022-02-08
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.46	3.4045	-1.60%	3.42	-1.16%	0.1848	✓	1.46	24.0M	2022-02-08
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.46	14.2257	-1.62%	17.23	+19.16%	0.1006	✗	0.70	841k	2022-02-08
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2826	0.278003	-1.63%	0.3139	+11.08%	0.0280	✓	1.15	557k	2022-02-08
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7479	3.6865	-1.64%	4.3927	+17.20%	0.0073	✓	1.41	2.5M	2022-02-08
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.8991	4.8181	-1.65%	5.215	+6.45%	0.0834	✓	1.25	406k	2022-02-08
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1825	0.179364	-1.72%	0.1858	+1.81%	0.0527	✓	0.68	472k	2022-02-08
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6803	2.6342	-1.72%	3.4688	+29.42%	0.1496	✗	0.97	3.1M	2022-02-08
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.35	4.275	-1.73%	4.65	+6.90%	0.0978	✓	1.40	8.9M	2022-02-08
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8834	0.868011	-1.74%	1.319	+49.31%	0.2212	✗	1.52	103k	2022-02-08
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.15	19.792	-1.78%	23.02	+14.24%	0.0148	✓	1.28	34.3M	2022-02-08
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04829	0.047412	-1.82%	0.04628	-4.16%	0.1540	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-08
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.837	1.8035	-1.82%	2.11	+14.86%	0.0041	✓	1.24	1.4M	2022-02-08
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.86	28.3044	-1.93%	30.42	+5.41%	0.0779	✓	1.15	120.6M	2022-02-08
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.03	1.9909	-1.93%	2.26	+11.33%	0.0720	✓	1.53	4.2M	2022-02-08
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7231	0.708513	-2.02%	0.7515	+3.93%	0.1437	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-02-08
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.365	5.2567	-2.02%	5.831	+8.69%	0.0262	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-08
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,472.18	24,922.51	-2.16%	25,530.13	+0.23%	0.0987	✓	0.95	15.1M	2022-02-08
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.052	7.8769	-2.17%	8.653	+7.46%	0.0624	✗	0.24	41k	2022-02-08
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.2	44.1663	-2.29%	46.39	+2.63%	0.1115	✓	1.24	39.5M	2022-02-08
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.65	2.5885	-2.32%	3	+13.21%	0.0106	✓	1.22	577k	2022-02-08
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8742	1.8266	-2.54%	1.9181	+2.34%	0.0453	✓	0.73	3.1M	2022-02-08
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.37	5.2332	-2.55%	5.53	+2.98%	0.1131	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-08
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.06	7.8511	-2.59%	8.65	+7.32%	0.0599	✗	0.29	1.8M	2022-02-08
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0358	0.034843	-2.67%	0.0344	-3.91%	0.2038	✓	1.47	540k	2022-02-08
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.1671	-2.82%	2.23	+0.00%	0.1012	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-02-08
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.128133	-3.66%	0.123	-7.52%	0.1707	✓	1.00	133k	2022-02-08
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2044	1.1554	-4.07%	1.3504	+12.12%	0.0261	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-08
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.1207	-4.21%	1.19	+1.71%	0.1444	✓	1.57	490k	2022-02-08
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0861	0.08063	-6.35%	0.0799	-7.20%	0.3454	✓	2.59	25.7M	2022-02-08

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.