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2022-01-30 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2364
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.5%
in alpha space · 71.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+11.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44440.45727+2.90%0.5826+31.10%0.0765✓1.472.0M2022-02-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037430.038296+2.31%0.038392+2.57%0.1522✗1.38199k2022-02-06
MOVRMoonriverBase75.091876.6043+2.01%91.4575+21.79%0.0386✓1.23410k2022-02-06
XVSVenusEthereum7.797.922+1.69%8.91+14.38%0.0304✗1.312.8M2022-02-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59440.603728+1.57%0.7752+30.42%0.0773✓1.531.3M2022-02-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.810.822429+1.53%1.22+50.62%0.2242✓1.51511k2022-02-06
SOLSolanaSolana93.3194.6093+1.39%115.32+23.59%0.0638✓1.19152.8M2022-02-06
SUSHISushiEthereum4.094.1447+1.34%4.81+17.60%0.0027✓1.359.9M2022-02-06
KSMKusamaHydration163.11165.2159+1.29%195.98+20.15%0.0352✓1.201.2M2022-02-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.047090.047692+1.28%0.0408-13.36%0.3074✗1.349.2M2022-02-06
RADRadworksEthereum5.095.1526+1.23%5.79+13.75%0.0048✓0.991.0M2022-02-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009710.009827+1.20%0.0126+29.76%0.1046✓1.282.1M2022-02-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021090.000021335+1.16%0.0000285+35.14%0.1306✓1.411.6M2022-02-06
TRXTRONTron0.0586920.059286+1.01%0.066256+12.89%0.0044✓0.95431k2022-02-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3130.316153+1.01%0.367+17.25%0.0070✓1.391.6M2022-02-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.376.4333+0.99%7.25+13.81%0.0943✓0.221.2M2022-02-06
DODODODOEthereum0.4960.500861+0.98%0.556+12.10%0.0688✗1.545.0M2022-02-06
COMPCompoundEthereum117.46118.5604+0.94%140.8+19.87%0.0282✓1.2866k2022-02-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09593.1247+0.93%3.4089+10.11%0.0367✗1.103.3M2022-02-06
UNIUniswapEthereum10.810.9002+0.93%11.7+8.33%0.0796✗1.3412.2M2022-02-06
QNTQuantEthereum94.7795.5672+0.84%135.95+43.45%0.2355✓1.047.3M2022-02-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00740.007462+0.84%0.007-5.41%0.3300✗2.3622.6M2022-02-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.035489+0.82%0.0353+0.28%0.1710✗1.47756k2022-02-06
ZECZcashZcash93.0293.7447+0.78%124.6+33.95%0.1346✓1.336.6M2022-02-06
NANOnanopayBase2.23012.2473+0.77%2.2381+0.36%0.1438✗1.24888k2022-02-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0388870.039186+0.77%0.039748+2.21%0.1242✗1.239.4M2022-02-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.132.1463+0.76%2.17+1.88%0.1620✗1.544.2M2022-02-06
DASHDashDash92.7793.4636+0.75%108.83+17.31%0.0188✓1.192.9M2022-02-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.119.2401+0.73%20.86+9.21%0.1264✗1.843.9M2022-02-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07970.080242+0.68%0.0894+12.17%0.0310✗1.24317k2022-02-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12510.125951+0.68%0.154+23.10%0.0936✓0.96285k2022-02-06
XECeCashnative0.000075240.000075751+0.68%0.00008613+14.47%0.0024✓1.125.8M2022-02-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,602.892,620.20+0.66%3,058.22+17.49%0.0295✓1.11557.7M2022-02-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8970.902735+0.64%1.016+13.27%0.0372✗1.382.3M2022-02-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1918.3058+0.64%21.91+20.45%0.0244✓1.3848.0M2022-02-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23980.241325+0.64%0.2607+8.72%0.0628✗1.241.9M2022-02-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.453.735+0.63%68.32+27.94%0.1093✓1.167.8M2022-02-06
SCSiacoinnative0.009840.0099+0.61%0.0116+17.89%0.0395✓1.06588k2022-02-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,655.6037,883.38+0.60%41,902.90+11.28%0.0133✗1.0147k2022-02-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8419.9586+0.60%22.46+13.21%0.0158✗1.1912.6M2022-02-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.925.9551+0.59%6.91+16.72%0.0400✓0.97953k2022-02-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.661.6697+0.58%1.86+12.05%0.0364✗1.282.1M2022-02-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,901.3538,117.45+0.57%42,415.16+11.91%0.0057✓1.00682.8M2022-02-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.98846.0225+0.57%7.1257+18.99%0.0059✓1.44204k2022-02-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.643573+0.56%0.83+29.69%0.0444✓1.871.2M2022-02-06
LUNATerraTerra 246.2146.4652+0.55%56.13+21.47%0.0046✓1.648.8M2022-02-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1953990.196471+0.55%0.223926+14.60%0.0138✓1.0426.2M2022-02-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.9868.351+0.55%79.05+16.28%0.0049✓1.3483.8M2022-02-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.146.1734+0.54%6.64+8.14%0.0226✗0.85529k2022-02-06
MINAMina Protocolnative2.272.2823+0.54%3.04+33.92%0.1533✓1.18602k2022-02-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.2314.3073+0.54%15.56+9.35%0.0276✗0.99847k2022-02-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.029620.029779+0.54%0.03208+8.31%0.0307✗0.938.7M2022-02-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.2819.3828+0.53%23.36+21.16%0.0455✓1.2534.3M2022-02-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.94470.94966+0.53%1.0259+8.60%0.0540✗1.1734.5M2022-02-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.287.3179+0.52%8.58+17.86%0.1258✓0.301.9M2022-02-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4861.4937+0.52%1.778+19.65%0.0407✓1.191.6M2022-02-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.18160.182512+0.50%0.232+27.75%0.0867✓1.363.8M2022-02-06
AAVEAaveEthereum149.01149.745+0.49%173.57+16.48%0.0058✗1.3612.7M2022-02-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45190.454128+0.49%0.5074+12.28%0.0445✗1.382.2M2022-02-06
HIVEHivenative0.93750.942121+0.49%1.2177+29.89%0.0861✓1.522.0M2022-02-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11530.11586+0.49%0.131+13.62%0.0252✗1.323.8M2022-02-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.166.1886+0.46%6.5+5.52%0.0390✗0.78481k2022-02-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.0520.1358+0.43%24.65+22.94%0.0258✓1.57687k2022-02-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040350.040521+0.42%0.04503+11.60%0.0220✗1.1329k2022-02-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.91.9078+0.41%2.18+14.74%0.0213✗1.372.8M2022-02-06
XMRMoneroMonero148.16148.76+0.40%173.8+17.31%0.0414✓1.012.0M2022-02-06
BANDBandEthereum3.453.4639+0.40%3.97+15.07%0.0039✓1.252.5M2022-02-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7320.734885+0.39%0.816+11.48%0.0196✗1.101.7M2022-02-06
UMAUMAEthereum5.925.9432+0.39%6.44+8.78%0.0406✗1.072.3M2022-02-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.56411.5701+0.39%1.8521+18.41%0.0398✓1.1182k2022-02-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39970.401223+0.38%0.473+18.34%0.0199✓1.2910.0M2022-02-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.142.1473+0.34%2.33+8.88%0.0940✗1.562.4M2022-02-06
XVGVergenative0.009970.010003+0.33%0.01152+15.55%0.0089✗1.331.6M2022-02-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5533130.555039+0.31%0.659906+19.26%0.0353✓1.223.4M2022-02-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.062091+0.31%0.0712+15.02%0.0237✗1.43564k2022-02-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.81420.816625+0.30%0.9592+17.81%0.0369✓1.1017.8M2022-02-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.59108.9092+0.29%127.68+17.58%0.0087✓1.3433.8M2022-02-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.183.1892+0.29%3.39+6.60%0.0966✗1.4024.6M2022-02-06
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2337.2536+0.28%8.466+17.05%0.1260✓0.2539k2022-02-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.00171.0045+0.28%1.1222+12.03%0.1103✗1.96984k2022-02-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.1581.1613+0.28%1.3479+16.39%0.0356✓1.01369k2022-02-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.9224.9854+0.26%29.89+19.94%0.0578✓1.083.3M2022-02-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.7895.8032+0.25%7.292+25.96%0.1165✓0.99320k2022-02-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210080.021059+0.24%0.02203+4.86%0.0824✗1.133.1M2022-02-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1016.1137+0.21%6.279+2.92%0.0672✗0.83119k2022-02-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2510.251519+0.21%0.27+7.57%0.0378✗0.9761k2022-02-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.04290.6101+0.20%324.8+11.98%0.0063✗1.046.8M2022-02-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7375.7482+0.20%6.143+7.08%0.0461✗1.001.4M2022-02-06
ZENHorizenBase40.2240.2985+0.20%47.49+18.08%0.0151✗1.59639k2022-02-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.3490.4937+0.17%98.65+9.20%0.0205✗0.951.6M2022-02-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2926.3289+0.15%31.33+19.17%0.0154✗1.682.6M2022-02-06
IMXImmutableEthereum2.572.5737+0.14%2.82+9.73%0.0820✗1.542.2M2022-02-06
XEMNEMnative0.10240.102517+0.11%0.1121+9.47%0.0293✗1.0540k2022-02-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.02143.0248+0.11%3.4668+14.74%0.0381✓0.8722k2022-02-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.05950.059565+0.11%0.05974+0.40%0.1615✗1.461.7M2022-02-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393180.13944+0.09%0.1538+10.40%0.0202✗1.057.1M2022-02-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.2432.2444+0.06%2.583+15.16%0.0185✓1.0823k2022-02-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.285.2821+0.04%5.46+3.41%0.0486✗0.73429k2022-02-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.482.481+0.04%2.73+10.08%0.0192✗1.02789k2022-02-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088180.088185+0.01%0.10107+14.62%0.0012✓1.2046k2022-02-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7717.767-0.02%18.06+1.63%0.1207✓1.2284.3M2022-02-06
ADACardanoCardano1.03591.0355-0.04%1.1436+10.40%0.0278✓1.13113.2M2022-02-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0784.0764-0.04%4.533+11.16%0.0176✗0.79381k2022-02-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.07761.0769-0.06%1.197+11.09%0.0390✓1.292.4M2022-02-06
XTZTezosTezos3.27813.2759-0.07%3.9256+19.75%0.0274✗1.362.5M2022-02-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.7525.7291-0.08%27.86+8.19%0.0084✓0.78430k2022-02-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.51230.511816-0.09%0.5976+16.65%0.0016✗1.362.6M2022-02-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140980.014083-0.10%0.016835+19.41%0.0447✗1.192.7M2022-02-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.833040.83209-0.11%0.94262+13.15%0.0676✓1.71534k2022-02-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013260.013244-0.12%0.01348+1.66%0.0847✓0.9117k2022-02-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0673.0621-0.16%3.261+6.33%0.0266✓0.80378k2022-02-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.180140.179777-0.20%0.23556+30.76%0.0931✗1.5723k2022-02-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01373.0069-0.22%3.2472+7.75%0.0405✓1.042.0M2022-02-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.25710.256508-0.23%0.3194+24.23%0.0913✗1.14557k2022-02-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.84830.846323-0.23%1.1073+30.53%0.0978✗1.52106k2022-02-06
KCSKuCoinnative17.40717.3656-0.24%20.001+14.90%0.0293✓1.5210.6M2022-02-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0660.065842-0.24%0.0768+16.36%0.0275✗1.1221k2022-02-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,834.5923,762.92-0.30%24,634.41+3.36%0.0679✓0.9218.0M2022-02-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7881.7823-0.32%2.063+15.38%0.0001✓1.301.5M2022-02-06
XYMSymbolnative0.17810.177328-0.43%0.1904+6.91%0.0046✓0.67500k2022-02-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1383.1237-0.46%3.637+15.90%0.0545✗0.87840k2022-02-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.079415-0.47%0.08812+10.44%0.0155✗0.7976k2022-02-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.83434.8105-0.49%5.1636+6.81%0.0679✓1.23430k2022-02-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.5873.5674-0.55%5.0878+41.84%0.3574✗-0.02323k2022-02-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.50782.4914-0.65%3.3003+31.60%0.1752✗0.942.6M2022-02-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6932.6749-0.67%2.784+3.38%0.1326✓1.53986k2022-02-06
GTGateEthereum6.79156.7451-0.68%7.1624+5.46%0.0447✓0.934.1M2022-02-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.329.2559-0.69%10.26+10.09%0.0188✗0.75744k2022-02-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4141.404-0.70%1.489+5.30%0.0848✓1.283.5M2022-02-06
FTTFTXEthereum41.0540.7402-0.75%46.65+13.64%0.0015✓1.2235.1M2022-02-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1926.9638-0.83%31.31+15.15%0.0229✗1.12127.6M2022-02-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.12190.120759-0.94%0.129+5.82%0.1032✓1.501.8M2022-02-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.0213.8761-1.03%16.28+16.12%0.0830✗0.68829k2022-02-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.633.5891-1.13%3.63+0.00%0.0130✓0.221.1M2022-02-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.32360.319887-1.15%0.311-3.89%0.2043✓1.574.2M2022-02-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.55930.552606-1.20%0.5305-5.15%0.2517✓1.8748.9M2022-02-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73861.7112-1.58%2.076+19.41%0.1072✗0.762.8M2022-02-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.255.1542-1.82%5.81+10.67%0.0234✓1.273.1M2022-02-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54790.537597-1.88%0.6191+13.00%0.0091✓1.172.1M2022-02-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.053110.052046-2.00%0.04888-7.96%0.1753✓1.005.9M2022-02-06
STXStacksnative1.491.4564-2.25%1.68+12.75%0.0303✗1.002.1M2022-02-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07740.075599-2.33%0.0929+20.03%0.0753✓2.5023.2M2022-02-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.39131.3573-2.44%1.3266-4.65%0.1354✓1.003.2M2022-02-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.118657-2.74%0.127+4.10%0.0446✓1.00149k2022-02-06
PROPropyEthereum2.272.2007-3.05%2.13-6.17%0.1452✓1.003.4M2022-02-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.