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2022-09-10 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1086
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.4%
in alpha space · 52.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000425846-2.06%0.00043138-0.79%0.0088✓0.501.8M2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.170308-2.01%0.2611+50.23%0.4204✗0.8324k2022-09-11
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.386977-1.56%0.3501-10.94%0.1090✓1.067402022-09-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018693-1.33%0.01828-3.51%0.0306✓1.006792022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.332-1.12%7.6094+2.62%0.0353✗0.229.9M2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.459922-1.10%0.45678-1.77%0.0146✓0.93392k2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4737-1.09%1.46-2.01%0.0167✓0.8981k2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,341.88-0.95%10,194.93-2.36%0.0259✓1.394.2M2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.5266-0.93%4.501-1.49%0.0131✓0.90289k2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.065272-0.92%0.06521-1.02%0.0100✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21412.1014-0.92%12.594+3.11%0.0363✗0.4416.0M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04772.0295-0.89%2.0077-1.95%0.0180✓0.871.2M2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.363283-0.88%0.3619-1.26%0.0123✓1.0271k2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.51158-0.86%0.513-0.58%0.0054✓0.997,7812022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.5343-0.85%4.6789+2.32%0.0272✗0.517.3M2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.86-0.84%15.699-1.85%0.0197✓1.1418.7M2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.89456-0.82%0.8885-1.50%0.0181✓1.3694k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.9216-0.81%7.1468+2.42%0.0308✗0.158.6M2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.3078-0.81%6.417+0.91%0.0102✗0.846.2M2022-09-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010886-0.80%0.011314+3.10%0.0303✗1.006082022-09-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.7759-0.77%4.896+1.72%0.0165✗1.001.2M2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.6026-0.77%1.648+2.04%0.0189✗1.0943k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.279644-0.76%0.3308+17.39%0.1615✗0.7984k2022-09-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,657.77-0.76%1,656.91-0.81%0.0088✓1.003.4M2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.35-0.75%3.3066-2.04%0.0210✓0.9619k2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.037918-0.74%0.03781-1.02%0.0110✓0.9859k2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.09877-0.73%0.0941-5.43%0.0555✓0.8613k2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3769-0.73%1.402+1.08%0.0049✓1.582.8M2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0281.0207-0.71%1.024-0.39%0.0004✓0.442.8M2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.5915-0.71%2.63+0.77%0.0093✗0.66262k2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.80e-7-0.71%7.30e-7+6.57%0.0638✗0.832.3M2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.681179-0.70%0.686+0.00%0.0006✓0.78116k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.3236-0.70%2.33-0.43%0.0067✓1.14229k2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2338.9551-0.70%38.56-1.71%0.0222✓1.4411.7M2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.56406-0.69%0.595+4.75%0.0445✗1.0763k2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.3158-0.69%1.3145-0.79%0.0085✓0.911.1M2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.200215-0.69%0.2083+3.32%0.0327✗0.833.2M2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001371-0.68%0.001367-0.97%0.0084✓0.672.3M2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.282062-0.68%0.285+0.35%0.0044✓0.72563k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.126533-0.68%0.1254-1.57%0.0147✓0.69195k2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.116503-0.68%0.1167-0.51%0.0068✓1.032.5M2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3627-0.68%1.369-0.22%0.0045✓1.09385k2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.320129-0.67%0.3264+1.27%0.0123✗0.865.9M2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000044261-0.67%0.00004562+2.38%0.0237✗0.792.5M2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009317-0.67%0.00944+0.64%0.0071✗0.723.3M2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.866096-0.67%0.8663-0.64%0.0080✓0.99988k2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum32.5532.3379-0.65%31.98-1.75%0.0253✓1.71178k2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.971642-0.65%0.974-0.41%0.0076✓1.211.5M2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.8546-0.65%8.03+1.57%0.0141✗0.9618.0M2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059414-0.65%0.0611+2.17%0.0207✗0.8881k2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.4702-0.64%15.7+0.83%0.0075✗0.871.7M2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.744305-0.64%0.7351-1.87%0.0237✓1.36210k2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.8802-0.64%11.23+2.56%0.0216✗1.22298k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration52.3251.9887-0.63%51.9-0.80%0.0094✓0.93363k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.3829-0.63%12.8866-4.31%0.0451✓0.8822k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.7313-0.63%7.63-1.93%0.0217✓1.03237k2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3269-0.62%1.3029-2.41%0.0274✓1.111.1M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.9643-0.62%8.98-0.44%0.0019✓0.442.2M2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.112.0972-0.61%2.116+0.28%0.0017✓1.281.1M2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0482.0357-0.60%1.99-2.83%0.0361✓1.6260k2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.7902-0.60%2.782-0.89%0.0096✓0.80630k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.152384-0.60%0.1545+0.78%0.0055✓1.00361k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0652.7441-0.60%55.25+4.13%0.0365✗1.209,0502022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3262.9432-0.60%62.18-1.80%0.0201✓0.9513.5M2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.310831-0.59%0.313787+0.36%0.0012✓0.99514k2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64131.8599-0.59%130.35-1.73%0.0207✓1.114.4M2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.2149-0.58%1.251+2.37%0.0215✗0.941.1M2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7786-0.58%1.838+2.74%0.0258✗0.85627k2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.113832-0.58%0.1156+0.96%0.0090✗0.77169k2022-09-11
DASHDashDash48.7748.4862-0.58%48.35-0.86%0.0107✓0.95328k2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.178547-0.58%0.17789-0.95%0.0114✓0.93268k2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.8562-0.58%18.93+5.40%0.0533✗0.61384k2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.7322-0.58%7.702-0.96%0.0121✓0.9810.0M2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.051902-0.57%0.052-0.38%0.0052✓0.86204k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039178-0.56%0.0393-0.25%0.0039✓0.8584k2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.509519-0.56%0.5101-0.45%0.0060✓0.8637.9M2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.418042-0.56%0.4255+1.21%0.0091✗1.03209k2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.338193-0.56%0.3328-2.15%0.0248✓1.0582k2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050715-0.56%0.0501-1.76%0.0200✓0.94546k2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.2117-0.55%2.202-0.99%0.0135✓1.1033k2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005897-0.55%0.00661+11.47%0.1089✗0.63911k2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1297.09-0.55%7.173+0.62%0.0047✓0.844.3M2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.522049-0.54%0.5157-1.75%0.0177✓0.66444k2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.7586-0.54%16.47-2.26%0.0263✓1.0885k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,615.23-0.54%21,663.60-0.32%0.0056✓0.9413k2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.57790.574788-0.54%0.5792+0.22%0.0015✓0.74826k2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.04549-0.54%0.046785+2.29%0.0215✗0.7928k2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash65.3364.9801-0.54%64.27-1.62%0.0207✓1.171.2M2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,765.22-0.53%1,766.95-0.44%0.0098✓1.30591.2M2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6575-0.53%1.6855+1.15%0.0081✗1.04241k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.9286-0.53%1.9241-0.76%0.0110✓1.0523k2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.138362-0.53%0.1378-0.93%0.0081✓0.482.9M2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.7243-0.53%9.755-0.21%0.0045✓0.921.2M2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.982283-0.53%0.9748-1.29%0.0170✓1.13899k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.288816-0.53%0.29146+0.38%0.0011✓0.9614k2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.6424-0.53%14.56-1.09%0.0141✓1.02925k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.024064-0.53%0.023973-0.90%0.0041✓0.04454k2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.5853-0.52%6.73+1.66%0.0182✗0.432.1M2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.2381-0.52%1.183-4.95%0.0577✓1.484.4M2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.441083-0.52%0.4445+0.25%0.0017✓1.1381k2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.132904-0.52%0.1333-0.22%0.0058✓1.061.4M2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.6393-0.52%6.491-2.74%0.0329✓1.246.9M2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.114111-0.52%0.114387-0.28%0.0045✓0.836.5M2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.9898-0.52%6.139+1.96%0.0211✗0.423.3M2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.065459-0.52%0.0645-1.98%0.0214✓0.8081k2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.2738-0.52%4.405+2.54%0.0266✗0.442.1M2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047652-0.52%0.0497+3.76%0.0347✗0.88132k2022-09-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.4284-0.52%4.847+8.89%0.0777✗1.52129k2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0243.0084-0.51%2.963-2.02%0.0271✓1.433.0M2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4520.3461-0.51%20.69+1.17%0.0071✗1.1718.5M2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0642-0.51%1.0863+1.55%0.0139✗0.8034k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006269-0.51%0.006537+3.75%0.0362✗0.692,0442022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0525.0265-0.51%5.682+12.47%0.1123✗1.246.2M2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.066662-0.50%0.0662-1.19%0.0169✓1.21608k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.293415-0.50%0.2923-0.88%0.0114✓0.922.7M2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007821-0.50%0.00844+7.38%0.0677✗1.03389k2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.549257-0.50%0.543-1.63%0.0204✓1.0877k2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075604-0.50%0.07546-0.68%0.0111✓1.1125k2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.352318-0.49%0.35169-0.67%0.0096✓0.9534k2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000013214-0.49%0.00001299-2.18%0.0246✓0.90951k2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021469-0.49%0.021887+1.45%0.0131✗0.7512k2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.4282-0.49%6.57+1.70%0.0182✗0.432.2M2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.085-0.49%5.1-0.20%0.0038✓0.81943k2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.38460.382725-0.49%0.3903+1.48%0.0106✗1.09335k2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022938-0.49%0.02332+1.17%0.0097✗0.839.2M2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.401707-0.48%0.40526+0.40%0.0010✓0.9431k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.933781-0.48%0.927788-1.12%0.0129✓0.7849k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068778-0.48%0.07307+5.73%0.0528✗0.936022022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.2563-0.48%3.278+0.18%0.0025✓0.50653k2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.503497-0.47%0.512+1.21%0.0077✗1.09384k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726533-0.47%0.72-1.37%0.0122✓0.3850k2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.653883-0.47%0.649-1.22%0.0151✓0.92178k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.05056-0.47%0.0508+0.00%0.0035✓0.99234k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.037722-0.47%0.0372-1.85%0.0201✓0.747,8252022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.004111-0.47%0.00419+1.45%0.0117✗0.90103k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.098437-0.47%0.0997+0.81%0.0054✗0.89336k2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.676818-0.47%0.676-0.59%0.0106✓1.133.7M2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.3166-0.46%2.3057-0.93%0.0138✓1.0913k2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4234-0.46%1.42-0.70%0.0020✓-0.05124k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.143059-0.46%0.14382+0.07%0.0039✓1.12157k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.846285-0.46%0.8518+0.19%0.0009✓0.8913k2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.170509-0.46%0.17414+1.66%0.0069✗1.712952022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.0062-0.46%0.006309+1.30%0.0138✗0.4433k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001594-0.45%0.001636+2.19%0.0207✗0.666,5532022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.513698-0.45%0.515-0.19%0.0070✓1.154,5592022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.9137-0.45%35.01-0.17%0.0058✓1.0458.3M2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum4.3244.3048-0.44%4.3301+0.14%0.0004✓0.75702k2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.210663-0.44%0.2141+1.18%0.0065✗1.16139k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23654.9919-0.44%54.454-1.42%0.0159✓0.73284k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.228287-0.44%0.235+2.49%0.0220✗0.85503k2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.209085-0.44%0.2106+0.29%0.0023✓1.15108k2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.013009-0.43%0.013193+0.97%0.0090✗0.61929k2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.042352-0.43%0.042322-0.50%0.0050✓0.5123k2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.071661-0.43%0.07414+3.02%0.0329✗0.13389k2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.161804-0.43%0.168+3.38%0.0300✗0.921,0012022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.025361-0.43%0.0255+0.12%0.0062✓1.412,9582022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.039611-0.43%0.0396-0.45%0.0066✓0.762,2982022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.045944-0.42%0.04664+1.08%0.0092✗0.7114k2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0297-0.42%1.0275-0.64%0.0064✓0.512.7M2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002899-0.42%0.002904-0.24%0.0052✓0.851.2M2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.219871-0.42%0.2303+4.30%0.0387✗0.9257k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.103166-0.42%0.1027-0.87%0.0104✓0.712,6892022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.3874-0.42%5.43+0.37%0.0044✗0.412.0M2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.810363-0.41%0.80376-1.22%0.0151✓0.83584k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.185341-0.41%0.183-1.67%0.0238✓1.341,5202022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.3363-0.41%4.354+0.00%0.0014✓0.322.2M2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.312724-0.41%0.2929-6.72%0.0739✓1.0292k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7492.3689-0.40%91.63-1.20%0.0198✓1.425.6M2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.013008-0.40%0.01293-1.00%0.0120✓0.72228k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.06e-7-0.39%9.10e-7+0.00%0.0023✓0.7515k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.9261-0.39%5.0627+2.37%0.0266✗0.09115k2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum105.47105.0594-0.39%108.82+3.18%0.0289✗0.763.4M2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.612-0.39%4.64+0.22%0.0019✓0.501.3M2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6546-0.39%1.655-0.36%0.0059✓0.7544k2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020979-0.38%0.0213+1.14%0.0091✗0.73223k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.585-0.38%27.89+0.72%0.0030✓0.976.8M2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.27e-7-0.37%9.10e-7-2.15%0.0243✓0.771.7M2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001542-0.37%0.001558+0.65%0.0038✗0.77343k2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.5084-0.37%1.517+0.20%0.0034✓1.1071k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.554386-0.36%0.55506-0.24%0.0089✓1.2239k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,573.84-0.36%21,831.72+0.83%0.0036✗1.00473.4M2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003220.003209-0.36%0.00381+18.32%0.1640✗0.94481k2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.229083-0.36%0.2312+0.57%0.0028✓0.7767k2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.14858-0.35%0.1518+1.81%0.0136✗0.95117k2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8836-0.34%1.9+0.53%0.0045✗0.5161k2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.064513-0.34%0.063703-1.59%0.0209✓1.001.3M2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero157.51157.0007-0.32%159.22+1.09%0.0057✗1.011.3M2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.331256-0.31%0.33139-0.27%0.0055✓0.72327k2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.064497-0.14%0.06419-0.61%0.0099✓0.62129k2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.130602-0.07%0.127-2.83%0.0280✓0.0183k2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.4697-0.00%16.58-5.09%0.0579✓0.681.6M2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.