XVG

Verge · native · gru_s1

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0323

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual +0.0000

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002616	0.002606	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002579	-0.35%	0.002616	+1.06%	0.0167	✗	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.0025	-0.25%	0.002588	+3.27%	0.0229	✗	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002511	-0.26%	0.002506	-0.44%	0.0000	✓	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.00256	-0.29%	0.002517	-1.97%	0.0237	✓	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002589	-0.25%	0.002567	-1.10%	0.0072	✓	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002628	-0.31%	0.002596	-1.52%	0.0056	✓	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002621	-0.30%	0.002636	+0.27%	0.0002	✓	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002761	-0.42%	0.002629	-5.19%	0.0334	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002724	-0.36%	0.002773	+1.43%	0.0039	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.00292	-0.48%	0.002734	-6.80%	0.0476	✓	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002956	-0.45%	0.002933	-1.21%	0.0148	✓	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002827	-0.33%	0.002969	+4.69%	0.0458	✗	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002782	-0.29%	0.002837	+1.67%	0.0115	✗	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002957	-0.34%	0.00279	-5.97%	0.0438	✓	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.003062	-0.38%	0.002967	-3.48%	0.0121	✓	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.003134	-0.42%	0.003074	-2.32%	0.0175	✓	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003168	-0.43%	0.003147	-1.10%	0.0002	✓	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003202	-0.46%	0.003182	-1.09%	0.0218	✓	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.003099	-0.43%	0.003217	+3.37%	0.0354	✗	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003191	-0.45%	0.003112	-2.90%	0.0220	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003262	-0.50%	0.003205	-2.23%	0.0292	✓	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.003129	-0.42%	0.003278	+4.31%	0.0472	✗	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.003117	-0.47%	0.003142	+0.35%	0.0065	✗	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.003428	-1.38%	0.003132	-9.91%	0.0812	✓	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003158	-0.46%	0.003476	+9.55%	0.0954	✗	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.003111	-0.43%	0.003173	+1.57%	0.0169	✗	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.003009	-0.33%	0.003124	+3.48%	0.0403	✗	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002843	-0.24%	0.003019	+5.93%	0.0599	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.003178	-0.40%	0.00285	-10.67%	0.0930	✓	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.00313	-0.41%	0.003191	+1.51%	0.0226	✗	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.003033	-0.33%	0.003143	+3.29%	0.0157	✓	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003139	-0.37%	0.003043	-3.41%	0.0303	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.00319	-0.43%	0.003151	-1.65%	0.0158	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002967	-0.28%	0.003204	+7.68%	0.0350	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.002798	-0.13%	0.002975	+6.17%	0.0593	✗	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002641	-0.01%	0.002802	+6.08%	0.0537	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002749	-0.02%	0.002642	-3.93%	0.0157	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002674	-0.03%	0.00275	+2.80%	0.0153	✗	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002687	-0.00%	0.002674	-0.47%	0.0003	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.002586	+0.06%	0.002687	+3.97%	0.0378	✓	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002581	+0.05%	0.002584	+0.19%	0.0051	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.00271	-0.05%	0.00258	-4.85%	0.0330	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002916	-0.14%	0.002711	-7.17%	0.0715	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002903	-0.25%	0.00292	+0.36%	0.0122	✗	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002868	-0.19%	0.00291	+1.29%	0.0267	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002797	-0.26%	0.002873	+2.46%	0.0221	✗	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002827	-0.28%	0.002804	-1.09%	0.0097	✓	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.002636	-0.06%	0.002835	+7.49%	0.0894	✗	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002746	-0.60%	0.002638	-4.54%	0.0879	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002458	+0.01%	0.002763	+12.41%	0.1181	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002549	-0.08%	0.002458	-3.65%	0.0223	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002395	-0.03%	0.002551	+6.47%	0.0516	✗	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002444	-0.03%	0.002396	-2.00%	0.0129	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002441	-0.10%	0.002445	+0.08%	0.0031	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002572	-0.20%	0.002443	-5.20%	0.0224	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.00255	-0.29%	0.002577	+0.76%	0.0043	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002452	-0.33%	0.002557	+3.96%	0.0363	✗	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002521	-0.47%	0.00246	-2.88%	0.0192	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002618	-0.74%	0.002533	-3.94%	0.0479	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.002531	-1.04%	0.002637	+3.11%	0.0328	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002427	-0.70%	0.002557	+4.62%	0.0680	✗	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002198	-0.50%	0.002445	+10.66%	0.0434	✗	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.0021	-0.40%	0.002209	+4.79%	0.0034	✓	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001977	-0.26%	0.002108	+6.36%	0.0023	✓	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.002013	-0.27%	0.001982	-1.78%	0.0183	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.002024	-0.26%	0.002018	-0.54%	0.0276	✓	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.00207	-0.28%	0.002029	-2.24%	0.0170	✓	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002098	-0.31%	0.002076	-1.40%	0.0116	✓	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.002063	-0.32%	0.002105	+1.69%	0.0270	✗	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.0021	-0.35%	0.00207	-1.76%	0.0144	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002109	-0.30%	0.002107	-0.40%	0.0010	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002195	-0.38%	0.002116	-3.97%	0.0304	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002236	-0.52%	0.002203	-2.00%	0.0007	✓	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002095	-0.40%	0.002248	+6.89%	0.0716	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.002013	-0.25%	0.002103	+4.21%	0.0435	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.001995	-0.26%	0.002018	+0.90%	0.0012	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001979	-0.25%	0.002	+0.83%	0.0164	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001948	-0.24%	0.001984	+1.56%	0.0086	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.002008	-0.31%	0.001953	-3.03%	0.0377	✓	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001907	-0.25%	0.002014	+5.36%	0.0553	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001918	-0.28%	0.001912	-0.62%	0.0165	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001911	-0.29%	0.001924	+0.34%	0.0074	✗	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001884	-0.29%	0.001917	+1.48%	0.0523	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001887	-0.28%	0.001889	-0.16%	0.0144	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.001993	-0.31%	0.001892	-5.35%	0.0529	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.002101	-0.45%	0.001999	-5.26%	0.0525	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.002166	-0.30%	0.00211	-2.85%	0.0053	✗	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002134	-0.26%	0.002172	+1.54%	0.0020	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002134	-0.28%	0.002139	-0.05%	0.0017	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002096	-0.22%	0.00214	+1.86%	0.0393	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002162	-0.25%	0.002101	-3.05%	0.0089	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002117	-0.32%	0.002167	+2.02%	0.0312	✗	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002087	-0.55%	0.002124	+1.19%	0.0060	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.00216	-0.60%	0.002099	-3.41%	0.0384	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.002022	-0.11%	0.002173	+7.36%	0.0742	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002035	-0.13%	0.002024	-0.69%	0.0210	✓	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002066	-0.12%	0.002038	-1.50%	0.0160	✓	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002116	-0.15%	0.002069	-2.36%	0.0091	✓	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002113	-0.14%	0.002119	+0.14%	0.0066	✗	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002104	-0.14%	0.002116	+0.43%	0.0347	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002128	-0.14%	0.002107	-1.13%	0.0125	✗	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002151	-0.15%	0.002131	-1.07%	0.0088	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.002169	-0.15%	0.002154	-0.83%	0.0016	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002131	-0.11%	0.002172	+1.83%	0.0053	✗	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002108	-0.09%	0.002133	+1.09%	0.0026	✓	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002142	-0.10%	0.00211	-1.59%	0.0019	✗	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002235	-0.14%	0.002144	-4.20%	0.0311	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002259	-0.14%	0.002238	-1.06%	0.0159	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002288	-0.16%	0.002262	-1.31%	0.0196	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.00231	-0.18%	0.002292	-0.95%	0.0169	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002237	-0.12%	0.002314	+3.30%	0.0169	✗	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002191	-0.11%	0.00224	+2.14%	0.0029	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002089	+0.02%	0.002193	+4.98%	0.0244	✓	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002219	-0.10%	0.002089	-5.94%	0.0336	✓	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002228	-0.04%	0.002221	-0.34%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002242	-0.04%	0.002229	-0.65%	0.0016	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002292	-0.05%	0.002243	-2.20%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002269	-0.01%	0.002293	+1.08%	0.0059	✗	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002348	-0.06%	0.002269	-3.45%	0.0131	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002437	-0.12%	0.00235	-3.71%	0.0100	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002477	-0.14%	0.00244	-1.63%	0.0054	✗	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002514	-0.15%	0.002481	-1.45%	0.0243	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002553	-0.18%	0.002518	-1.56%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002626	-0.21%	0.002557	-2.83%	0.0385	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.00255	-0.16%	0.002632	+3.05%	0.0223	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002619	-0.26%	0.002554	-2.74%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002663	-0.37%	0.002626	-1.76%	0.0040	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002727	-0.68%	0.002673	-2.64%	0.0098	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002598	-0.28%	0.002746	+5.39%	0.0467	✗	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002511	-0.23%	0.002605	+3.50%	0.0168	✗	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002456	-0.16%	0.002517	+2.32%	0.0105	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002509	-0.18%	0.00246	-2.13%	0.0193	✓	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.00239	+0.01%	0.002514	+5.17%	0.0167	✓	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002465	-0.02%	0.00239	-3.08%	0.0272	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.00255	-0.11%	0.002466	-3.41%	0.0118	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002571	-0.12%	0.002553	-0.82%	0.0034	✓	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002489	+0.11%	0.002574	+3.54%	0.0042	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002543	+0.08%	0.002486	-2.16%	0.0199	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002628	-0.08%	0.002541	-3.38%	0.0094	✗	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002917	-0.23%	0.00263	-10.05%	0.1001	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002979	-0.32%	0.002924	-2.17%	0.0214	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003284	-0.54%	0.002989	-9.48%	0.0324	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.003296	-0.54%	0.003302	-0.36%	0.0311	✗	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.003211	-0.52%	0.003314	+2.66%	0.0339	✗	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003194	-0.47%	0.003228	+0.58%	0.0055	✗	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003245	-0.50%	0.00321	-1.58%	0.0091	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003227	-0.47%	0.003261	+0.59%	0.0206	✗	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003226	-0.44%	0.003242	+0.06%	0.0239	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003313	-0.45%	0.00324	-2.64%	0.0053	✓	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003251	-0.41%	0.003328	+1.95%	0.0201	✗	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003347	-0.45%	0.003265	-2.91%	0.0288	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003252	-0.37%	0.003363	+3.02%	0.0197	✗	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003426	-0.45%	0.003264	-5.17%	0.0251	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003482	-0.59%	0.003442	-1.74%	0.0124	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003178	-0.38%	0.003503	+9.79%	0.0895	✗	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003206	-0.37%	0.003191	-0.84%	0.0028	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003161	-0.35%	0.003217	+1.43%	0.0228	✗	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003238	-0.35%	0.003172	-2.37%	0.0130	✓	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003363	-0.38%	0.003249	-3.76%	0.0242	✓	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003659	-0.51%	0.003376	-8.21%	0.0598	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003424	-0.39%	0.003678	+6.98%	0.0537	✗	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003547	-0.42%	0.003438	-3.48%	0.0197	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.003725	-0.47%	0.003562	-4.84%	0.0335	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.00376	-0.50%	0.003743	-0.95%	0.0005	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003683	-0.43%	0.003779	+2.16%	0.0123	✗	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003731	-0.44%	0.003699	-1.31%	0.0129	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.003626	-0.42%	0.003748	+2.94%	0.0315	✗	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003754	-0.55%	0.003641	-3.55%	0.0149	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003817	-0.57%	0.003775	-1.67%	0.0167	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003593	-0.75%	0.003839	+6.05%	0.0554	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003495	-1.04%	0.00362	+2.49%	0.0216	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003215	-0.28%	0.003532	+9.55%	0.0954	✗	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.00327	-0.35%	0.003224	-1.74%	0.0188	✓	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.003051	-0.28%	0.003281	+7.24%	0.0516	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003115	-0.23%	0.00306	-2.00%	0.0241	✓	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003254	-0.26%	0.003122	-4.32%	0.0351	✓	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003303	-0.26%	0.003263	-1.48%	0.0006	✓	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003413	-0.27%	0.003312	-3.21%	0.0155	✓	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003359	-0.27%	0.003422	+1.60%	0.0073	✗	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003429	-0.27%	0.003368	-2.05%	0.0202	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003392	-0.25%	0.003439	+1.13%	0.0231	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003434	-0.21%	0.0034	-1.19%	0.0107	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.00361	-0.21%	0.003441	-4.88%	0.0698	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003608	-0.22%	0.003618	+0.04%	0.0033	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.003676	-0.22%	0.003616	-1.85%	0.0426	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003532	-0.17%	0.003684	+4.13%	0.0670	✗	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003721	-0.25%	0.003538	-5.15%	0.0332	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004661	-0.34%	0.00373	-20.25%	0.2492	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004584	-0.31%	0.004677	+1.71%	0.0155	✗	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004631	-0.40%	0.004599	-1.11%	0.0164	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004809	-0.44%	0.00465	-3.73%	0.0298	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004732	-0.37%	0.00483	+1.68%	0.0333	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.005002	-0.51%	0.00475	-5.53%	0.0174	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004983	-0.62%	0.005028	+0.28%	0.0077	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004724	-0.52%	0.005014	+5.58%	0.0421	✗	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004475	-0.55%	0.004749	+5.55%	0.0491	✗	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004642	-0.44%	0.0045	-3.51%	0.0192	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004354	-0.32%	0.004663	+6.75%	0.0232	✗	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004308	-0.33%	0.004368	+1.06%	0.0162	✗	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004253	-0.26%	0.004322	+1.36%	0.0100	✓	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004222	-0.22%	0.004264	+0.76%	0.0046	✗	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004235	-0.23%	0.004232	-0.29%	0.0017	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.004379	-0.24%	0.004245	-3.30%	0.0124	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004488	-0.32%	0.00439	-2.51%	0.0205	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004251	-0.18%	0.004503	+5.72%	0.0346	✗	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004292	-0.18%	0.004259	-0.94%	0.0201	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004466	-0.18%	0.0043	-3.90%	0.0322	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004519	-0.19%	0.004474	-1.17%	0.0094	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.00478	-0.25%	0.004527	-5.53%	0.0169	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.004921	-0.28%	0.004792	-2.90%	0.0115	✗	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004954	-0.34%	0.004935	-0.72%	0.0153	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004854	-0.34%	0.004971	+2.07%	0.0290	✗	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004665	-0.27%	0.00487	+4.10%	0.0033	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.00478	-0.29%	0.004678	-2.42%	0.0051	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004885	-0.33%	0.004794	-2.18%	0.0051	✗	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.00495	-0.34%	0.004901	-1.34%	0.0187	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.005069	-0.42%	0.004967	-2.41%	0.0003	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.005382	-0.46%	0.00509	-5.86%	0.0169	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005586	-0.54%	0.005407	-3.72%	0.0190	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005333	-0.57%	0.005616	+4.71%	0.0224	✗	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.005271	-0.62%	0.005364	+1.12%	0.0060	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.005091	-0.51%	0.005304	+3.65%	0.0367	✗	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.005026	-0.45%	0.005117	+1.35%	0.0117	✗	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.005118	-0.43%	0.005049	-1.77%	0.0185	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.005103	-0.41%	0.00514	+0.31%	0.0034	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005181	-0.39%	0.005124	-1.48%	0.0351	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.005061	-0.27%	0.005201	+2.48%	0.0130	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005175	-0.31%	0.005075	-2.23%	0.0018	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.005127	-0.29%	0.00519	+0.94%	0.0260	✗	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005419	-0.37%	0.005142	-5.45%	0.0088	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005628	-0.43%	0.005438	-3.78%	0.0077	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005442	-0.33%	0.005652	+3.52%	0.0294	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005396	-0.33%	0.00546	+0.86%	0.0198	✗	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005418	-0.26%	0.005413	-0.34%	0.0502	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005686	-0.38%	0.005432	-4.84%	0.0257	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.005671	-0.30%	0.005708	+0.35%	0.0121	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005892	-0.41%	0.005688	-3.85%	0.0081	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005967	-0.44%	0.005916	-1.28%	0.0003	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.00579	-0.27%	0.005993	+3.24%	0.0324	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005831	-0.31%	0.005805	-0.75%	0.0052	✗	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.00594	-0.37%	0.005849	-1.90%	0.0358	✗	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.006016	-0.39%	0.005962	-1.28%	0.0033	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.006145	-0.43%	0.006039	-2.15%	0.0169	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.006042	-0.38%	0.006171	+1.76%	0.0046	✗	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.00595	-0.33%	0.006065	+1.59%	0.0100	✗	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005994	-0.39%	0.00597	-0.78%	0.0133	✗	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.006093	-0.40%	0.006017	-1.65%	0.0103	✗	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.006007	-0.37%	0.006118	+1.46%	0.0172	✗	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006501	-0.60%	0.00603	-7.80%	0.0600	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006339	-0.45%	0.00654	+2.70%	0.0162	✗	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.006209	-0.36%	0.006368	+2.20%	0.0176	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005983	-0.31%	0.006231	+3.82%	0.0537	✗	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005984	-0.30%	0.006002	+0.00%	0.0315	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005795	-0.23%	0.006002	+3.34%	0.0557	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005828	-0.22%	0.005808	-0.56%	0.0006	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005816	-0.17%	0.005841	+0.26%	0.0122	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005972	-0.34%	0.005826	-2.77%	0.0040	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.005089	+0.33%	0.005992	+18.14%	0.0391	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005727	-0.14%	0.005072	-11.56%	0.0596	✗	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005647	-0.16%	0.005735	+1.40%	0.0597	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005812	-0.29%	0.005656	-2.97%	0.0225	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005413	-0.08%	0.005829	+7.61%	0.0470	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005498	-0.13%	0.005417	-1.60%	0.0106	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.006015	-0.31%	0.005505	-8.76%	0.0144	✓	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.00624	-0.34%	0.006033	-3.63%	0.0282	✓	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006771	-0.42%	0.006261	-7.93%	0.0179	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.007252	-0.52%	0.0068	-6.72%	0.0650	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.007181	-0.48%	0.00729	+1.03%	0.0039	✓	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006957	-0.42%	0.007216	+3.28%	0.0144	✗	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.007783	-0.67%	0.006987	-10.82%	0.0766	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007672	-0.65%	0.007835	+1.46%	0.0260	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.007114	-0.52%	0.007722	+7.98%	0.0819	✗	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.007567	-0.77%	0.007151	-6.23%	0.0578	✓	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006664	-0.51%	0.007626	+13.85%	0.1222	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.007206	-0.73%	0.006698	-7.73%	0.0250	✓	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.007072	-0.61%	0.007259	+2.02%	0.0384	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.007044	-0.62%	0.007115	+0.38%	0.0265	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006992	-0.63%	0.007088	+0.72%	0.0179	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006802	-0.63%	0.007037	+2.80%	0.0349	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.007263	-0.87%	0.006845	-6.58%	0.0443	✓	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.007018	-1.04%	0.007327	+3.33%	0.0260	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006892	-1.34%	0.007091	+1.50%	0.0217	✓	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005899	-0.66%	0.006986	+17.65%	0.1653	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005921	-0.66%	0.005938	-0.39%	0.0033	✓	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005784	-0.62%	0.005961	+2.42%	0.0320	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005931	-0.63%	0.00582	-2.50%	0.0121	✓	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005771	-0.58%	0.005969	+2.83%	0.0380	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.006223	-0.64%	0.005805	-7.31%	0.0284	✓	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.006086	-0.60%	0.006263	+2.29%	0.0312	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.006093	-0.66%	0.006123	-0.16%	0.0370	✓	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005962	-0.72%	0.006133	+2.13%	0.0123	✗	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.00572	-0.65%	0.006005	+4.31%	0.0374	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005743	-0.72%	0.005757	-0.48%	0.0195	✓	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005719	-0.74%	0.005785	+0.42%	0.0101	✓	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.006245	-1.49%	0.005761	-9.12%	0.0632	✓	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005539	-1.35%	0.006339	+12.89%	0.1081	✗	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.005005	-0.57%	0.005615	+11.55%	0.1312	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.005077	-0.76%	0.005033	-1.61%	0.0101	✓	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004742	-0.36%	0.005116	+7.50%	0.0654	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004808	-0.36%	0.004759	-1.37%	0.0127	✓	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.00486	-0.37%	0.004825	-1.09%	0.0018	✓	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004864	-0.31%	0.004878	-0.02%	0.0009	✓	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.004818	-0.34%	0.004879	+0.91%	0.0361	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004745	-0.21%	0.004835	+1.68%	0.0205	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.004996	-0.28%	0.004755	-5.09%	0.0561	✓	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004933	-0.25%	0.00501	+1.30%	0.0105	✗	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.004763	-0.04%	0.004946	+3.79%	0.0196	✓	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.005078	-0.15%	0.004765	-6.30%	0.0471	✓	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005563	-0.31%	0.005085	-8.86%	0.0545	✓	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005572	-0.28%	0.00558	-0.13%	0.0294	✓	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.0056	-0.28%	0.005587	-0.52%	0.0354	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.005975	-0.37%	0.005616	-6.35%	0.0184	✓	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.00592	-0.35%	0.005997	+0.96%	0.0135	✗	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006259	-0.43%	0.00594	-5.50%	0.0063	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.006102	-0.38%	0.006286	+2.63%	0.0196	✗	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006519	-0.51%	0.006125	-6.52%	0.0493	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.00633	-0.47%	0.006552	+3.02%	0.0064	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006299	-0.44%	0.00636	+0.52%	0.0045	✗	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006397	-0.44%	0.006327	-1.53%	0.0345	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006492	-0.54%	0.006425	-1.56%	0.0087	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.006235	-0.43%	0.006527	+4.24%	0.1041	✗	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.006412	-0.50%	0.006261	-2.85%	0.0043	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.006009	-0.38%	0.006445	+6.85%	0.0256	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.006052	-0.28%	0.006032	-0.61%	0.1221	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006723	-0.45%	0.006069	-10.13%	0.0067	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006752	-0.44%	0.006753	-0.43%	0.0106	✗	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006886	-0.44%	0.006782	-1.94%	0.0135	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.007009	-0.44%	0.006916	-1.76%	0.0040	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007556	-0.54%	0.00704	-7.33%	0.0903	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.007431	-0.49%	0.007597	+1.73%	0.0544	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007631	-0.60%	0.007468	-2.72%	0.0016	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.007268	-0.51%	0.007677	+5.09%	0.0190	✗	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007659	-0.72%	0.007305	-5.31%	0.1035	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006806	-0.32%	0.007715	+12.99%	0.1356	✗	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006902	-0.34%	0.006828	-1.41%	0.0281	✗	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.007304	-0.48%	0.006926	-5.63%	0.0769	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.008277	-0.82%	0.007339	-12.06%	0.0838	✓	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.008492	-1.61%	0.008345	-3.31%	0.0381	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.007261	-0.66%	0.008631	+18.07%	0.2275	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.007623	-1.35%	0.00731	-5.40%	0.0068	✓	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.006343	-0.35%	0.007727	+21.40%	0.1713	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.006269	-0.36%	0.006365	+1.16%	0.1511	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006544	-0.42%	0.006292	-4.26%	0.0127	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006798	-0.45%	0.006572	-3.76%	0.0008	✓	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.007417	-0.58%	0.006829	-8.47%	0.0107	✓	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007668	-0.78%	0.007461	-3.47%	0.0587	✓	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.007148	-0.54%	0.007729	+7.54%	0.0184	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.008015	-1.02%	0.007187	-11.24%	0.0849	✓	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007817	-0.93%	0.008097	+2.61%	0.0135	✓	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007883	-1.13%	0.007891	-1.03%	0.0643	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.007343	-1.25%	0.007973	+7.22%	0.0235	✗	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.007412	-1.10%	0.007436	-0.77%	0.1344	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.007079	-1.12%	0.007494	+4.68%	0.1616	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.00685	-1.52%	0.007159	+2.93%	0.0317	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005999	-0.50%	0.006955	+15.36%	0.1350	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005365	-0.28%	0.006029	+12.06%	0.0845	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005799	-0.37%	0.00538	-7.56%	0.0311	✓	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005752	-0.35%	0.00582	+0.83%	0.0852	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.006047	-0.47%	0.005772	-4.99%	0.0170	✓	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.00636	-0.91%	0.006075	-5.34%	0.0344	✓	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005853	-0.44%	0.006418	+9.17%	0.0199	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005439	-0.31%	0.005879	+7.75%	0.0619	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005329	-0.26%	0.005456	+2.11%	0.0002	✓	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005496	-0.27%	0.005343	-3.05%	0.0957	✓	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005675	-0.30%	0.005511	-3.18%	0.0084	✓	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.006122	-0.42%	0.005692	-7.42%	0.0142	✓	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.006118	-0.40%	0.006148	+0.08%	0.0452	✓	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005993	-0.36%	0.006143	+2.13%	0.0149	✓	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005655	-0.24%	0.006015	+6.10%	0.0415	✗	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005837	-0.29%	0.005669	-3.16%	0.0176	✗	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.00597	-0.31%	0.005854	-2.25%	0.0499	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.006234	-0.37%	0.005989	-4.28%	0.0194	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006582	-0.64%	0.006257	-5.54%	0.0061	✓	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.006203	-0.70%	0.006624	+6.03%	0.0605	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005412	-0.22%	0.006247	+15.17%	0.0361	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005449	-0.24%	0.005424	-0.70%	0.0522	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.007306	-0.66%	0.005462	-25.73%	0.1000	✓	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.00763	-0.98%	0.007354	-4.57%	0.0033	✓	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006984	-0.51%	0.007706	+9.78%	0.0583	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.007547	-0.78%	0.007019	-7.71%	0.0047	✓	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007553	-0.82%	0.007606	-0.13%	0.0174	✓	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.008334	-1.73%	0.007616	-10.20%	0.1122	✓	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.008011	-1.57%	0.008481	+4.20%	0.0541	✗	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.009109	-3.28%	0.008139	-13.57%	0.1496	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.006183	-1.64%	0.009417	+49.81%	0.3812	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004968	-0.23%	0.006286	+26.22%	0.1506	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.004962	-0.30%	0.00498	+0.06%	0.0093	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004937	-0.23%	0.004977	+0.59%	0.0346	✓	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004845	-0.16%	0.004948	+1.96%	0.0303	✓	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004918	-0.20%	0.004853	-1.52%	0.0130	✓	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004759	-0.16%	0.004928	+3.38%	0.0211	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005299	-0.29%	0.004767	-10.29%	0.0191	✓	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005202	-0.26%	0.005314	+1.88%	0.0053	✓	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005287	-0.28%	0.005216	-1.62%	0.0006	✓	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005719	-0.34%	0.005302	-7.61%	0.0272	✓	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005755	-0.34%	0.005739	-0.62%	0.0061	✗	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005717	-0.35%	0.005775	+0.66%	0.0089	✗	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005984	-0.40%	0.005737	-4.51%	0.0155	✓	2.18
2025-09-17	oos	0.005983	0.005957	-0.43%	0.006008	+0.42%	0.0034	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.