XVG

Verge · native · gru_s1

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2120

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0291

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002616	0.002503	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002491	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.002412	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002425	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002468	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002485	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002511	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002491	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002619	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002582	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002773	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002818	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002707	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002671	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002845	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.002961	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.003024	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003052	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003068	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.002969	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003053	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003112	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.002992	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.002992	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.00332	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003035	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.002997	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.002932	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002783	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.00311	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003092	-1.61%	0.002616	-16.78%	0.1324	✓	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.002957	-2.84%	0.002588	-14.95%	0.1503	✓	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003054	-3.06%	0.002506	-20.46%	0.2036	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003117	-2.70%	0.002517	-21.43%	0.2247	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002909	-2.23%	0.002567	-13.70%	0.1711	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.00276	-1.51%	0.002596	-7.35%	0.1108	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.0026	-1.57%	0.002636	-0.21%	0.0468	✓	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002732	-0.64%	0.002629	-4.38%	0.0687	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002646	-1.07%	0.002773	+3.68%	0.0094	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002655	-1.18%	0.002734	+1.75%	0.0116	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.00257	-0.56%	0.002933	+13.50%	0.0730	✗	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002573	-0.26%	0.002969	+15.12%	0.0839	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.002732	+0.76%	0.002837	+4.63%	0.0005	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002915	-0.20%	0.00279	-4.47%	0.0735	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002948	+1.30%	0.002967	+1.96%	0.0319	✗	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002943	+2.44%	0.003074	+7.00%	0.0048	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002892	+3.15%	0.003147	+12.23%	0.0294	✓	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002913	+2.75%	0.003182	+12.24%	0.0246	✓	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.00279	+5.77%	0.003217	+21.97%	0.1074	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002843	+2.91%	0.003112	+12.63%	0.0056	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002541	+3.40%	0.003205	+30.39%	0.1419	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002664	+4.44%	0.003278	+28.50%	0.1490	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002499	+4.29%	0.003142	+31.16%	0.1562	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.00255	+4.29%	0.003132	+28.08%	0.1434	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002558	+4.70%	0.003476	+42.28%	0.2286	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002737	+6.21%	0.003173	+23.13%	0.1004	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.0027	+5.56%	0.003124	+22.15%	0.0873	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002608	+6.02%	0.003019	+22.72%	0.0791	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002691	+6.25%	0.00285	+12.51%	0.0035	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002776	+5.27%	0.003191	+20.99%	0.0417	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.002719	+6.30%	0.003143	+22.89%	0.0355	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.00262	+7.18%	0.003043	+24.48%	0.1155	✓	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002277	+3.06%	0.003151	+42.62%	0.2293	✓	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002111	+0.14%	0.003204	+51.97%	0.2770	✓	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001945	-1.88%	0.002975	+50.10%	0.2762	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001977	-2.01%	0.002802	+38.85%	0.1930	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.00198	-2.40%	0.002642	+30.19%	0.1104	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002025	-2.44%	0.00275	+32.47%	0.0994	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002051	-2.56%	0.002674	+27.05%	0.0743	✗	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.002018	-2.50%	0.002687	+29.81%	0.0936	✗	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002064	-2.05%	0.002584	+22.66%	0.0236	✗	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002073	-2.03%	0.00258	+21.93%	0.0207	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002164	-1.78%	0.002711	+23.06%	0.0090	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002218	-1.32%	0.00292	+29.92%	0.0695	✗	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002081	-1.04%	0.00291	+38.37%	0.1227	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.001996	-1.10%	0.002873	+42.37%	0.1347	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.00198	-1.02%	0.002804	+40.20%	0.1162	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001964	-0.97%	0.002835	+42.93%	0.1412	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001931	-1.15%	0.002638	+35.05%	0.0552	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001983	-1.54%	0.002763	+37.19%	0.1172	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001877	-1.79%	0.002458	+28.59%	0.0500	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001878	-2.35%	0.002551	+32.62%	0.0540	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001865	-2.70%	0.002396	+24.99%	0.0119	✓	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001841	-2.52%	0.002445	+29.43%	0.0621	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.00185	-2.22%	0.002443	+29.12%	0.0385	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.00196	-1.98%	0.002577	+28.91%	0.0033	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.002084	-1.22%	0.002557	+21.21%	0.0594	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.002151	-0.97%	0.00246	+13.26%	0.0912	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002123	-0.74%	0.002533	+18.42%	0.0770	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002136	-0.18%	0.002637	+23.22%	0.0276	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002113	+0.56%	0.002557	+21.73%	0.0204	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002198	+1.43%	0.002445	+12.81%	0.1038	✗	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002177	+2.48%	0.002209	+4.00%	0.1008	✗	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002159	+2.84%	0.002108	+0.43%	0.0955	✗	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002217	+2.04%	0.001982	-8.79%	0.1122	✗	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.002046	+1.10%	0.002018	-0.30%	0.0082	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002057	+0.94%	0.002029	-0.44%	0.0046	✓	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002084	+0.72%	0.002076	+0.31%	0.0092	✓	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002137	+0.87%	0.002105	-0.66%	0.0093	✓	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002138	+1.05%	0.00207	-2.17%	0.0104	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002116	+0.45%	0.002107	+0.00%	0.0217	✗	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002144	+0.60%	0.002116	-0.73%	0.0102	✗	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002172	+0.82%	0.002203	+2.27%	0.0123	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.002192	+0.91%	0.002248	+3.50%	0.0149	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002151	+0.83%	0.002103	-1.41%	0.0476	✗	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002127	+0.79%	0.002018	-4.36%	0.0923	✗	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002167	+1.09%	0.002	-6.72%	0.0949	✗	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002264	+1.18%	0.001984	-11.37%	0.1416	✗	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002286	+1.05%	0.001953	-13.66%	0.1648	✗	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002309	+0.74%	0.002014	-12.13%	0.1428	✗	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.002326	+0.51%	0.001912	-17.39%	0.2120	✗	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002249	+0.42%	0.001924	-14.13%	0.1773	✗	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002194	+0.06%	0.001917	-12.59%	0.1820	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002095	+0.27%	0.001889	-9.57%	0.2027	✗	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002215	-0.25%	0.001892	-14.81%	0.2160	✓	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002219	-0.44%	0.001999	-10.30%	0.1751	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002234	-0.40%	0.00211	-5.93%	0.1175	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002285	-0.37%	0.002172	-5.30%	0.1357	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002265	-0.17%	0.002139	-5.73%	0.1310	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002343	-0.29%	0.00214	-8.94%	0.1406	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002428	-0.51%	0.002101	-13.91%	0.1819	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002467	-0.57%	0.002167	-12.66%	0.1621	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002498	-0.77%	0.002124	-15.63%	0.2126	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002534	-0.93%	0.002099	-17.93%	0.2035	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002596	-1.37%	0.002173	-17.44%	0.1969	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002523	-1.22%	0.002024	-20.75%	0.2504	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002584	-1.61%	0.002038	-22.39%	0.2287	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002623	-1.86%	0.002069	-22.60%	0.2087	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002688	-2.11%	0.002119	-22.82%	0.2135	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002537	-2.61%	0.002116	-18.77%	0.1704	✓	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002452	-2.58%	0.002107	-16.29%	0.1170	✓	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002396	-2.59%	0.002131	-13.37%	0.1205	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.00244	-2.94%	0.002154	-14.30%	0.1278	✓	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002335	-2.30%	0.002172	-9.12%	0.1148	✓	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002399	-2.71%	0.002133	-13.50%	0.1412	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002468	-3.34%	0.00211	-17.35%	0.1436	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002483	-3.54%	0.002144	-16.71%	0.1471	✓	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002416	-2.80%	0.002238	-9.98%	0.1252	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002461	-3.14%	0.002262	-10.98%	0.1237	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002524	-4.04%	0.002292	-12.85%	0.0853	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002779	-4.96%	0.002314	-20.86%	0.1598	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002832	-5.26%	0.00224	-25.06%	0.1534	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003119	-5.54%	0.002193	-33.59%	0.1935	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.003137	-5.33%	0.002089	-36.96%	0.1916	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.003065	-5.06%	0.002221	-31.20%	0.1395	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003044	-5.14%	0.002229	-30.57%	0.1214	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003095	-5.08%	0.002243	-31.22%	0.1371	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.00308	-4.98%	0.002293	-29.26%	0.0983	✓	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003092	-4.58%	0.002269	-29.97%	0.0860	✓	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003181	-4.41%	0.00235	-29.39%	0.0874	✓	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003127	-4.22%	0.00244	-25.24%	0.0607	✓	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003223	-4.15%	0.002481	-26.22%	0.1029	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003128	-4.16%	0.002518	-22.87%	0.0638	✓	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003306	-3.95%	0.002557	-25.70%	0.0957	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003364	-3.98%	0.002632	-24.86%	0.0743	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003072	-3.70%	0.002554	-19.95%	0.0164	✓	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003099	-3.68%	0.002626	-18.38%	0.0171	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003062	-3.48%	0.002673	-15.73%	0.0028	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003133	-3.58%	0.002746	-15.50%	0.0054	✓	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003261	-3.41%	0.002605	-22.84%	0.0668	✓	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003568	-2.99%	0.002517	-31.57%	0.1597	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003314	-3.61%	0.00246	-28.45%	0.1221	✓	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003441	-3.39%	0.002514	-29.44%	0.1325	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.003632	-2.96%	0.00239	-36.15%	0.2077	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.00369	-2.36%	0.002466	-34.74%	0.1979	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.0036	-2.67%	0.002553	-30.98%	0.1694	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003661	-2.32%	0.002574	-31.32%	0.1846	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.00358	-1.67%	0.002486	-31.72%	0.1697	✓	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003775	+0.00%	0.002541	-32.69%	0.1396	✗	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003844	+0.12%	0.00263	-31.49%	0.1758	✗	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003645	+0.70%	0.002924	-19.23%	0.0381	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003547	+0.41%	0.002989	-15.37%	0.0364	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003214	-0.30%	0.003302	+2.42%	0.1094	✗	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.003273	-0.26%	0.003314	+1.01%	0.0640	✗	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.003023	-1.18%	0.003228	+5.51%	0.0940	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003071	-1.64%	0.00321	+2.80%	0.0713	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003208	-1.68%	0.003261	-0.06%	0.0487	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003269	-1.29%	0.003242	-2.11%	0.0262	✗	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003398	-0.70%	0.00324	-5.32%	0.0159	✓	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003327	-1.23%	0.003328	-1.19%	0.0049	✓	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003399	-1.15%	0.003265	-5.06%	0.0348	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003368	-0.94%	0.003363	-1.10%	0.0172	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003428	-0.39%	0.003264	-5.14%	0.0168	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.003609	-0.25%	0.003442	-4.85%	0.0614	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003617	+0.04%	0.003503	-3.13%	0.0517	✗	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.003668	-0.43%	0.003191	-13.40%	0.1769	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003536	-0.05%	0.003217	-9.06%	0.1098	✓	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003765	+0.94%	0.003172	-14.96%	0.1752	✗	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004631	-0.98%	0.003249	-30.53%	0.3943	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004548	-1.11%	0.003376	-26.58%	0.3549	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004595	-1.19%	0.003678	-20.90%	0.3157	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004768	-1.28%	0.003438	-28.82%	0.3933	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004639	-2.34%	0.003562	-25.01%	0.4002	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.004939	-1.77%	0.003743	-25.56%	0.3957	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004942	-1.45%	0.003779	-24.63%	0.3939	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004688	-1.29%	0.003699	-22.11%	0.3592	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004453	-1.03%	0.003748	-16.70%	0.2983	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.0046	-1.34%	0.003641	-21.92%	0.3451	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004277	-2.07%	0.003775	-13.58%	0.3004	✓	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004234	-2.04%	0.003839	-11.18%	0.2642	✓	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004174	-2.12%	0.00362	-15.10%	0.3203	✓	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004148	-1.98%	0.003532	-16.54%	0.3272	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004162	-1.95%	0.003224	-24.04%	0.4251	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.00431	-1.81%	0.003281	-25.25%	0.4168	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004422	-1.80%	0.00306	-32.05%	0.4845	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004182	-1.81%	0.003122	-26.70%	0.4235	✓	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004219	-1.87%	0.003263	-24.11%	0.4118	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004382	-2.06%	0.003312	-25.97%	0.4420	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004433	-2.09%	0.003422	-24.41%	0.4379	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.00469	-2.14%	0.003368	-29.72%	0.4586	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.004847	-1.79%	0.003439	-30.32%	0.4304	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.00487	-2.03%	0.0034	-31.60%	0.4693	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004762	-2.22%	0.003441	-29.34%	0.4288	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.00456	-2.53%	0.003618	-22.67%	0.3564	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.00466	-2.79%	0.003616	-24.57%	0.3552	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004761	-2.87%	0.003684	-24.83%	0.3049	✓	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004814	-3.09%	0.003538	-28.78%	0.3923	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.004944	-2.87%	0.00373	-26.72%	0.3651	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.005282	-2.32%	0.004677	-13.50%	0.1389	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005505	-1.97%	0.004599	-18.12%	0.1792	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005224	-2.59%	0.00465	-13.30%	0.1358	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.005135	-3.19%	0.00483	-8.94%	0.1076	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.004936	-3.53%	0.00475	-7.17%	0.0357	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.004857	-3.81%	0.005028	-0.42%	0.0031	✓	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.004955	-3.61%	0.005014	-2.45%	0.0298	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.004944	-3.51%	0.004749	-7.32%	0.0681	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005011	-3.65%	0.0045	-13.49%	0.1492	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.004894	-3.57%	0.004663	-8.12%	0.1431	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005011	-3.46%	0.004368	-15.85%	0.1630	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.004978	-3.19%	0.004322	-15.95%	0.1556	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005276	-2.98%	0.004264	-21.60%	0.1564	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005499	-2.70%	0.004232	-25.12%	0.1751	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005282	-3.26%	0.004245	-22.26%	0.1955	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005243	-3.14%	0.00439	-18.92%	0.1661	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005247	-3.41%	0.004503	-17.11%	0.1927	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005491	-3.80%	0.004259	-25.39%	0.2502	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.005469	-3.85%	0.0043	-24.41%	0.2422	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005673	-4.11%	0.004474	-24.37%	0.2179	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005734	-4.31%	0.004527	-24.46%	0.2093	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.00555	-4.39%	0.004792	-17.45%	0.2266	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005579	-4.62%	0.004935	-15.63%	0.2321	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005676	-4.80%	0.004971	-16.62%	0.1804	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.005739	-4.97%	0.00487	-19.36%	0.2121	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.005847	-5.25%	0.004678	-24.20%	0.2208	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.005747	-5.24%	0.004794	-20.96%	0.2129	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005657	-5.25%	0.004901	-17.91%	0.2093	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005692	-5.40%	0.004967	-17.44%	0.1756	✓	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.005777	-5.58%	0.00509	-16.80%	0.1649	✓	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005693	-5.59%	0.005407	-10.33%	0.1320	✓	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006123	-6.38%	0.005616	-14.13%	0.1612	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.005977	-6.15%	0.005364	-15.77%	0.1686	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.005854	-6.05%	0.005304	-14.88%	0.1800	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005658	-5.74%	0.005117	-14.75%	0.1616	✓	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005663	-5.64%	0.005049	-15.88%	0.1418	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005494	-5.41%	0.00514	-11.50%	0.0682	✓	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005522	-5.45%	0.005124	-12.28%	0.0698	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005509	-5.44%	0.005201	-10.73%	0.0445	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005642	-5.84%	0.005075	-15.30%	0.0307	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.004888	-3.63%	0.00519	+2.34%	0.0135	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005412	-5.62%	0.005142	-10.34%	0.0321	✓	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005343	-5.53%	0.005438	-3.85%	0.0982	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005482	-5.95%	0.005652	-3.04%	0.1315	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005126	-5.38%	0.00546	+0.79%	0.2039	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005198	-5.58%	0.005413	-1.66%	0.1912	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005655	-6.27%	0.005432	-9.97%	0.2317	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.005846	-6.63%	0.005708	-8.83%	0.2390	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006344	-6.70%	0.005688	-16.35%	0.2330	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.006781	-6.98%	0.005916	-18.85%	0.1857	✗	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.006696	-7.21%	0.005993	-16.95%	0.1867	✗	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006471	-7.38%	0.005805	-16.92%	0.2366	✗	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.00725	-7.46%	0.005849	-25.35%	0.1343	✗	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007152	-7.39%	0.005962	-22.79%	0.1344	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006633	-7.24%	0.006039	-15.55%	0.2191	✗	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.007078	-7.19%	0.006171	-19.07%	0.1764	✗	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006213	-7.23%	0.006065	-9.45%	0.2697	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.006792	-6.44%	0.00597	-17.76%	0.2105	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.006671	-6.24%	0.006017	-15.43%	0.2446	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.006672	-5.87%	0.006118	-13.69%	0.2546	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006629	-5.80%	0.00603	-14.31%	0.2527	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006445	-5.84%	0.00654	-4.46%	0.3510	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.006958	-5.03%	0.006368	-13.09%	0.2737	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006678	-5.82%	0.006231	-12.13%	0.3148	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006496	-7.02%	0.006002	-14.09%	0.2640	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005507	-7.25%	0.006002	+1.08%	0.3937	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005543	-7.01%	0.005808	-2.57%	0.3300	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005428	-6.73%	0.005841	+0.36%	0.3822	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.00559	-6.35%	0.005826	-2.40%	0.3729	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005432	-6.42%	0.005992	+3.22%	0.5026	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.005911	-5.61%	0.005072	-19.02%	0.4695	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.00579	-5.44%	0.005735	-6.34%	0.3887	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.005777	-5.80%	0.005656	-7.78%	0.2899	✗	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005656	-5.81%	0.005829	-2.93%	0.2604	✗	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.005424	-5.79%	0.005417	-5.91%	0.2479	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005439	-5.98%	0.005505	-4.84%	0.2056	✗	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005406	-6.16%	0.006033	+4.73%	0.1706	✗	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.00594	-6.29%	0.006261	-1.23%	0.1292	✗	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005268	-6.18%	0.0068	+21.10%	0.2128	✗	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.00475	-5.64%	0.00729	+44.83%	0.4026	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.004832	-5.55%	0.007216	+41.05%	0.3918	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004521	-5.00%	0.006987	+46.82%	0.4505	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004591	-4.86%	0.007835	+62.38%	0.4956	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004645	-4.78%	0.007722	+58.30%	0.4703	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004654	-4.62%	0.007151	+46.57%	0.3873	✗	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.00462	-4.45%	0.007626	+57.72%	0.4845	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004551	-4.28%	0.006698	+40.86%	0.3932	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.00479	-4.38%	0.007259	+44.89%	0.3281	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004737	-4.22%	0.007115	+43.87%	0.2929	✗	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.004582	-3.83%	0.007088	+48.75%	0.2345	✗	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.004874	-4.16%	0.007037	+38.37%	0.1744	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005325	-4.57%	0.006845	+22.67%	0.0942	✗	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.00533	-4.60%	0.007327	+31.14%	0.1023	✗	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005367	-4.43%	0.007091	+26.26%	0.1308	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.00573	-4.45%	0.006986	+16.49%	0.1790	✗	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005686	-4.28%	0.005938	-0.03%	0.0312	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006029	-4.09%	0.005961	-5.17%	0.0327	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.005874	-4.10%	0.00582	-4.98%	0.0218	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006271	-4.29%	0.005969	-8.90%	0.0159	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006065	-4.64%	0.005805	-8.73%	0.0565	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006034	-4.64%	0.006263	-1.01%	0.0290	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006117	-4.80%	0.006123	-4.70%	0.0926	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006214	-4.80%	0.006133	-6.04%	0.0573	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.005987	-4.39%	0.006005	-4.10%	0.0345	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.00616	-4.43%	0.005757	-10.67%	0.0056	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005766	-4.41%	0.005785	-4.09%	0.0579	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.005787	-4.65%	0.005761	-5.07%	0.0339	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006406	-5.13%	0.006339	-6.13%	0.0350	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006425	-5.27%	0.005615	-17.21%	0.0487	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006548	-5.32%	0.005033	-27.22%	0.1932	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006642	-5.65%	0.005116	-27.33%	0.1804	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007118	-6.30%	0.004759	-37.36%	0.3277	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.00697	-6.67%	0.004825	-35.39%	0.3640	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007138	-7.03%	0.004878	-36.46%	0.3645	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.006802	-6.88%	0.004879	-33.21%	0.3477	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007148	-7.35%	0.004835	-37.33%	0.4922	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006395	-6.35%	0.004755	-30.36%	0.3893	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006469	-6.59%	0.00501	-27.66%	0.3021	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.006824	-7.02%	0.004946	-32.61%	0.2338	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.007693	-7.81%	0.004765	-42.90%	0.2855	✓	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.007909	-8.37%	0.005085	-41.08%	0.2869	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.006808	-6.86%	0.00558	-23.67%	0.0286	✓	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.007154	-7.41%	0.005587	-27.70%	0.0020	✓	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.006002	-5.70%	0.005616	-11.77%	0.0988	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.005941	-5.58%	0.005997	-4.69%	0.2641	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006183	-5.92%	0.00594	-9.62%	0.2659	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006411	-6.13%	0.006286	-7.95%	0.2580	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.006987	-6.36%	0.006125	-17.91%	0.2256	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007218	-6.61%	0.006552	-15.23%	0.2157	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.006736	-6.28%	0.00636	-11.51%	0.2523	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.007531	-6.99%	0.006327	-21.86%	0.1561	✗	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007344	-6.94%	0.006425	-18.58%	0.1817	✗	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007446	-6.61%	0.006527	-18.14%	0.2476	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.006965	-6.34%	0.006261	-15.79%	0.1371	✗	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.007064	-5.74%	0.006445	-14.00%	0.2599	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.006824	-4.67%	0.006032	-15.74%	0.4219	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.00662	-4.81%	0.006069	-12.74%	0.6084	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005788	-4.00%	0.006753	+12.01%	0.7006	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005199	-3.36%	0.006782	+26.06%	0.7601	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005612	-3.57%	0.006916	+18.83%	0.7387	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.00559	-3.14%	0.00704	+21.97%	0.8345	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005886	-3.12%	0.007597	+25.05%	0.9137	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.006205	-3.32%	0.007468	+16.36%	0.9543	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.00567	-3.55%	0.007677	+30.58%	0.9703	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005275	-3.31%	0.007305	+33.89%	1.0224	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005162	-3.40%	0.007715	+44.39%	1.1454	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005306	-3.72%	0.006828	+23.90%	0.9337	✗	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005467	-3.95%	0.006926	+21.68%	0.8892	✗	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.00588	-4.36%	0.007339	+19.37%	0.7743	✗	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.005872	-4.41%	0.008345	+35.85%	0.8057	✗	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005749	-4.43%	0.008631	+43.49%	0.8481	✗	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005436	-4.12%	0.00731	+28.95%	0.6503	✗	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.00562	-4.00%	0.007727	+32.00%	0.6786	✗	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005762	-3.79%	0.006365	+6.28%	0.5647	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.006028	-3.65%	0.006292	+0.56%	0.4158	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006399	-3.40%	0.006572	-0.79%	0.3961	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.006072	-2.80%	0.006829	+9.32%	0.4355	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005281	-2.63%	0.007461	+37.56%	0.4702	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005326	-2.48%	0.007729	+41.50%	0.5906	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.007133	-3.00%	0.007187	-2.27%	0.4535	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.007494	-2.75%	0.008097	+5.07%	0.5253	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006835	-2.63%	0.007891	+12.42%	0.6001	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.00746	-1.93%	0.007973	+4.83%	0.5248	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007474	-1.86%	0.007436	-2.36%	0.4901	✗	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.008249	-2.73%	0.007494	-11.64%	0.2593	✗	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.007942	-2.42%	0.007159	-12.04%	0.1544	✗	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.008954	-4.91%	0.006955	-26.14%	0.0092	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.006255	-0.50%	0.006029	-4.09%	0.1561	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004925	-1.11%	0.00538	+8.03%	0.1995	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.004931	-0.93%	0.00582	+16.94%	0.2500	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004875	-1.48%	0.005772	+16.65%	0.1549	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004765	-1.81%	0.006075	+25.18%	0.1538	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004835	-1.89%	0.006418	+30.24%	0.1847	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.00467	-2.03%	0.005879	+23.33%	0.1761	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005194	-2.27%	0.005456	+2.67%	0.0952	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005076	-2.68%	0.005343	+2.43%	0.0896	✗	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005157	-2.73%	0.005511	+3.94%	0.1695	✗	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005578	-2.81%	0.005692	-0.82%	0.1548	✗	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005613	-2.80%	0.006148	+6.46%	0.1918	✗	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005577	-2.79%	0.006143	+7.08%	0.2337	✗	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005839	-2.81%	0.006015	+0.12%	0.2223	✗	2.18
2025-09-17	oos	0.005983	0.005793	-3.18%	0.005669	-5.25%	0.1754	✗	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.