OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s1

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,770

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0290

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0048

actual -0.0022

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.13059	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.128609	-0.88%	0.131675	+1.48%	0.0283	✗	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.123361	-0.73%	0.12975	+4.41%	0.0289	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.124404	-0.71%	0.124265	-0.82%	0.0022	✓	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.128091	-0.72%	0.125295	-2.88%	0.0345	✓	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.136805	-0.81%	0.129015	-6.46%	0.0563	✓	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.136189	-0.85%	0.13792	+0.41%	0.0249	✗	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.139495	-0.90%	0.13735	-2.42%	0.0265	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.155996	-1.52%	0.14076	-11.14%	0.0735	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.129616	-0.79%	0.158405	+21.25%	0.1758	✗	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.14217	-1.02%	0.130645	-9.04%	0.0513	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.137535	-1.16%	0.14363	+3.22%	0.0304	✗	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.131002	-1.00%	0.13915	+5.15%	0.0541	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.117932	-0.86%	0.13233	+11.25%	0.1008	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.12196	-0.85%	0.11895	-3.29%	0.0016	✓	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.129361	-0.74%	0.123	-5.62%	0.0136	✓	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.137356	-0.84%	0.130325	-5.92%	0.0492	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.133189	-0.77%	0.138525	+3.20%	0.0515	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.135039	-0.97%	0.134225	-1.57%	0.0351	✓	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.126116	-0.85%	0.136365	+7.21%	0.0742	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.127039	-0.81%	0.1272	-0.68%	0.0070	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.128434	-0.87%	0.12807	-1.15%	0.0249	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.127676	-0.84%	0.129565	+0.63%	0.0161	✗	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.133031	-0.87%	0.128755	-4.06%	0.0357	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.147842	-1.01%	0.1342	-10.14%	0.0804	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.142236	-1.12%	0.14935	+3.83%	0.0481	✗	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.144494	-1.33%	0.14384	-1.77%	0.0098	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.130137	-0.96%	0.146435	+11.44%	0.1229	✗	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.121756	-0.89%	0.1314	+6.96%	0.0761	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.133721	-1.16%	0.12285	-9.20%	0.0564	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.125937	-1.19%	0.135295	+6.16%	0.0776	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.123254	-1.51%	0.12745	+1.85%	0.0560	✓	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.119729	-1.57%	0.12514	+2.88%	0.0455	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.118548	-1.67%	0.121635	+0.89%	0.0196	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.100394	-0.50%	0.120565	+19.49%	0.1130	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.095468	-0.31%	0.1009	+5.36%	0.0521	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.09343	-0.20%	0.095765	+2.30%	0.0161	✗	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.101742	-0.46%	0.093615	-8.41%	0.0462	✓	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.094571	-0.15%	0.10221	+7.91%	0.0588	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.095609	-0.09%	0.094715	-1.02%	0.0030	✓	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.095531	+0.01%	0.095695	+0.18%	0.0010	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.09387	+0.09%	0.095525	+1.85%	0.0080	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.099536	+0.09%	0.09379	-5.69%	0.0357	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.105299	-0.00%	0.099445	-5.56%	0.0550	✓	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.110358	-0.08%	0.1053	-4.66%	0.0382	✓	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.11012	-0.07%	0.11045	+0.23%	0.0195	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.107575	-0.00%	0.1102	+2.44%	0.0174	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.098317	+0.18%	0.10758	+9.62%	0.0880	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.101356	+0.16%	0.09814	-3.01%	0.0115	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.099152	-0.08%	0.10119	+1.98%	0.0400	✓	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.095035	-0.15%	0.09923	+4.26%	0.0446	✗	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.093523	-0.03%	0.09518	+1.74%	0.0340	✗	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.086459	+0.06%	0.09355	+8.26%	0.0664	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.088714	+0.03%	0.08641	-2.57%	0.0189	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.089967	-0.11%	0.08869	-1.53%	0.0194	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.097045	-0.18%	0.09007	-7.35%	0.0443	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.098733	-0.27%	0.09722	-1.80%	0.0310	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.101048	-0.44%	0.099	-2.45%	0.0269	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.107019	-0.68%	0.10149	-5.81%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.111039	-1.02%	0.10775	-3.95%	0.0464	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.107639	-1.19%	0.11218	+2.98%	0.0324	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.105683	-1.37%	0.10893	+1.66%	0.0471	✗	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.096888	-1.13%	0.10715	+9.34%	0.0305	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.089121	-0.93%	0.098	+8.94%	0.0450	✗	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.08137	-0.76%	0.08996	+9.72%	0.0392	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.08361	-0.66%	0.08199	-2.59%	0.0224	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.082867	-0.58%	0.08417	+0.98%	0.0079	✓	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.084286	-0.63%	0.08335	-1.73%	0.0085	✓	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.085762	-0.68%	0.08482	-1.77%	0.0117	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.087959	-0.80%	0.08635	-2.62%	0.0119	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.085323	-0.70%	0.08867	+3.19%	0.0383	✗	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.090727	-0.84%	0.085925	-6.09%	0.0527	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.090612	-0.97%	0.0915	+0.00%	0.0153	✗	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.087278	-0.82%	0.0915	+3.98%	0.0611	✗	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.087725	-0.88%	0.088	-0.56%	0.0040	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.085679	-0.95%	0.0885	+2.31%	0.0322	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.085706	-0.92%	0.0865	+0.00%	0.0002	✓	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.086654	-0.97%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0032	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.087563	-1.06%	0.0875	-1.13%	0.0087	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.087518	-1.11%	0.0885	+0.00%	0.0023	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.085189	-0.94%	0.0885	+2.91%	0.0386	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.081803	-0.84%	0.086	+4.24%	0.0389	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.084242	-0.89%	0.0825	-2.94%	0.0200	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.086817	-0.78%	0.085	-2.86%	0.0076	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.088793	-0.79%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0271	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.088754	-0.83%	0.0895	+0.00%	0.0076	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.086883	-0.71%	0.0895	+2.29%	0.0274	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.094767	-0.77%	0.0875	-8.38%	0.0565	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.092005	-0.54%	0.0955	+3.24%	0.0227	✗	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.092032	-0.51%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0021	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.092064	-0.47%	0.0925	+0.00%	0.0183	✗	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.096017	-0.50%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0234	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.097461	-0.55%	0.0965	-1.53%	0.0042	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.094077	-0.45%	0.098	+3.70%	0.0244	✗	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.094139	-0.38%	0.0945	+0.00%	0.0030	✓	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.095178	-0.34%	0.0945	-1.05%	0.0057	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.096163	-0.35%	0.0955	-1.04%	0.0191	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.098108	-0.40%	0.0965	-2.03%	0.0183	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.102096	-0.39%	0.0985	-3.90%	0.0229	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.101123	-0.37%	0.1025	+0.99%	0.0173	✗	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.098146	-0.36%	0.1015	+3.05%	0.0065	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.10016	-0.34%	0.0985	-1.99%	0.0053	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.101135	-0.36%	0.1005	-0.99%	0.0058	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.103065	-0.42%	0.1015	-1.93%	0.0095	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.101596	-0.40%	0.1035	+1.47%	0.0029	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.099137	-0.36%	0.102	+2.51%	0.0130	✗	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.10159	-0.40%	0.0995	-2.45%	0.0030	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.106467	-0.50%	0.102	-4.67%	0.0319	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.107911	-0.54%	0.107	-1.38%	0.0155	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.106887	-0.57%	0.1085	+0.93%	0.0066	✗	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.106314	-0.64%	0.1075	+0.47%	0.0016	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.098538	-0.47%	0.107	+8.08%	0.0653	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.094647	-0.37%	0.099	+4.21%	0.0196	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096653	-0.36%	0.095	-2.06%	0.0429	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.100036	-0.46%	0.097	-3.48%	0.0018	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.099088	-0.41%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0018	✓	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.100061	-0.44%	0.0995	-1.00%	0.0027	✓	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.10444	-0.53%	0.1005	-4.29%	0.0372	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.105376	-0.59%	0.105	-0.94%	0.0090	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.103808	-0.66%	0.106	+1.44%	0.0444	✗	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.10088	-0.61%	0.1045	+2.96%	0.0663	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.099863	-0.63%	0.1015	+1.00%	0.0404	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.09896	-0.54%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0023	✓	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.102798	-0.68%	0.0995	-3.86%	0.0157	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.102877	-0.60%	0.1035	+0.00%	0.0068	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.108703	-0.73%	0.1035	-5.48%	0.0597	✓	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.108157	-0.77%	0.1095	+0.46%	0.0407	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.1076	-0.83%	0.109	+0.46%	0.0341	✗	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.107402	-1.01%	0.1085	+0.00%	0.0223	✗	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.106994	-0.93%	0.1085	+0.46%	0.0036	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.105421	-1.01%	0.108	+1.41%	0.0001	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.098871	-0.63%	0.1065	+7.04%	0.0573	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.095594	-0.42%	0.0995	+3.65%	0.0405	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.09037	-0.14%	0.096	+6.08%	0.0194	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.096253	-0.26%	0.0905	-6.22%	0.0570	✓	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.095915	-0.09%	0.0965	+0.52%	0.0331	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.096899	-0.10%	0.096	-1.03%	0.0047	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.09422	+0.23%	0.097	+3.19%	0.0188	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.098168	+0.17%	0.094	-4.08%	0.0398	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.111678	-0.29%	0.098	-12.50%	0.0811	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.122401	-0.49%	0.112	-8.94%	0.0848	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.11464	-0.31%	0.123	+6.96%	0.1193	✗	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.122955	-0.84%	0.115	-7.26%	0.0104	✗	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.117653	-0.71%	0.124	+4.64%	0.0905	✗	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.11972	-0.65%	0.1185	-1.66%	0.0071	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.117818	-0.58%	0.1205	+1.69%	0.0161	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.117861	-0.54%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0077	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.123236	-0.62%	0.1185	-4.44%	0.0268	✓	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.126075	-0.73%	0.124	-2.36%	0.0065	✓	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.128534	-0.75%	0.127	-1.93%	0.0089	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.125223	-0.62%	0.1295	+2.78%	0.0296	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.129584	-0.70%	0.126	-3.45%	0.0326	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.125366	-0.50%	0.1305	+3.57%	0.0230	✗	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.131587	-0.69%	0.126	-4.91%	0.0140	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.128239	-0.59%	0.1325	+2.71%	0.0317	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.12495	-0.44%	0.129	+2.79%	0.0226	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.128847	-0.50%	0.1255	-3.09%	0.0239	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.127939	-0.44%	0.1295	+0.78%	0.0184	✗	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.131883	-0.47%	0.1285	-3.02%	0.0166	✓	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.135805	-0.51%	0.1325	-2.93%	0.0119	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.143662	-0.58%	0.1365	-5.54%	0.0249	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.145625	-0.60%	0.1445	-1.37%	0.0313	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.151063	-0.62%	0.1465	-3.62%	0.0152	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.156106	-0.57%	0.152	-3.18%	0.0109	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.162499	-0.61%	0.157	-3.98%	0.0285	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.162891	-0.68%	0.1635	-0.30%	0.0159	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.170305	-0.99%	0.164	-4.65%	0.0437	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.146946	-0.71%	0.172	+16.22%	0.1551	✗	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.141331	-0.82%	0.148	+3.86%	0.0636	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.127737	-0.59%	0.1425	+10.89%	0.1026	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.123197	-0.65%	0.1285	+3.63%	0.0290	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.122301	-0.57%	0.124	+0.81%	0.0028	✓	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.125221	-0.62%	0.123	-2.38%	0.0163	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.120273	-0.60%	0.126	+4.13%	0.0407	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.119694	-0.67%	0.121	+0.41%	0.0152	✓	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.118649	-0.71%	0.1205	+0.84%	0.0079	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.12079	-0.58%	0.1195	-1.65%	0.0028	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.12175	-0.61%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0126	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.124755	-0.59%	0.1225	-2.39%	0.0002	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.124641	-0.68%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0073	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.124606	-0.71%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0045	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.120758	-0.61%	0.1255	+3.29%	0.0500	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.120263	-0.61%	0.1215	+0.41%	0.0092	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.122673	-0.67%	0.121	-2.02%	0.0403	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.122634	-0.70%	0.1235	+0.00%	0.0000	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.119209	-0.66%	0.1235	+2.92%	0.0052	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.124622	-0.70%	0.12	-4.38%	0.0095	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.133343	-0.86%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0410	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.131033	-1.11%	0.1345	+1.51%	0.0020	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.118608	-0.75%	0.1325	+10.88%	0.1060	✗	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.110819	-0.61%	0.1195	+7.17%	0.0658	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.115688	-0.70%	0.1115	-4.29%	0.0330	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.10591	-0.55%	0.1165	+9.39%	0.0382	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.113778	-0.63%	0.1065	-6.99%	0.0301	✓	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.114777	-0.63%	0.1145	-0.87%	0.0038	✓	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.113294	-0.62%	0.1155	+1.32%	0.0009	✓	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.11378	-0.63%	0.114	-0.44%	0.0091	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.117649	-0.72%	0.1145	-3.38%	0.0143	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.108873	-0.57%	0.1185	+8.22%	0.0373	✗	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.109837	-0.60%	0.1095	-0.90%	0.0007	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.109862	-0.58%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0219	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.109835	-0.60%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0006	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.105985	-0.48%	0.1105	+3.76%	0.0406	✗	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.109844	-0.59%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0109	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.109766	-0.66%	0.1105	+0.00%	0.0085	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.105019	-0.46%	0.1105	+4.74%	0.0263	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.101099	-0.40%	0.1055	+3.94%	0.0295	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.102136	-0.36%	0.1015	-0.98%	0.0001	✓	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103632	-0.35%	0.1025	-1.44%	0.0104	✓	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.108027	-0.44%	0.104	-4.15%	0.0020	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.112986	-0.45%	0.1085	-4.41%	0.0001	✓	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.113041	-0.40%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0081	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.113054	-0.39%	0.1135	+0.00%	0.0094	✗	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.114143	-0.31%	0.1135	-0.87%	0.0559	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.117146	-0.30%	0.1145	-2.55%	0.0049	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.123156	-0.28%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0210	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121198	-0.25%	0.1235	+1.65%	0.0094	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126199	-0.24%	0.1215	-3.95%	0.0162	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136088	-0.30%	0.1265	-7.33%	0.0305	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.136947	-0.40%	0.1365	-0.73%	0.0116	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.12809	-0.32%	0.1375	+7.00%	0.0391	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.123064	-0.35%	0.1285	+4.05%	0.0180	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.122284	-0.58%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0053	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.118916	-0.49%	0.123	+2.93%	0.0271	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.120363	-0.53%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0124	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.117845	-0.55%	0.121	+2.11%	0.0224	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.117859	-0.54%	0.1185	+0.00%	0.0197	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114606	-0.34%	0.1185	+3.04%	0.0088	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116836	-0.14%	0.115	-1.71%	0.0066	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.120764	-0.20%	0.117	-3.31%	0.0173	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125202	-0.24%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0122	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.128625	-0.29%	0.1255	-2.71%	0.0046	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.125785	-0.17%	0.129	+2.38%	0.0490	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.12476	-0.19%	0.126	+0.80%	0.0186	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.12146	-0.03%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0281	✓	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122421	-0.06%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0155	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.12003	+0.03%	0.1225	+2.08%	0.0009	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119509	+0.01%	0.12	+0.42%	0.0355	✓	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.123938	-0.05%	0.1195	-3.63%	0.0270	✓	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118319	+0.27%	0.124	+5.08%	0.0306	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.121822	+0.27%	0.118	-2.88%	0.0208	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122743	+0.20%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0492	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.128723	+0.17%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0430	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129259	+0.20%	0.1285	-0.39%	0.0053	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140293	+0.21%	0.129	-7.86%	0.1039	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.165193	+0.12%	0.14	-15.15%	0.1769	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.187474	-0.01%	0.165	-12.00%	0.1068	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.190425	-0.04%	0.1875	-1.57%	0.0119	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.189479	-0.01%	0.1905	+0.53%	0.0041	✗	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.196813	-0.10%	0.1895	-3.81%	0.0185	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.189074	+0.04%	0.197	+4.23%	0.0222	✓	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.182881	+0.21%	0.189	+3.56%	0.0192	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.17796	+0.26%	0.1825	+2.82%	0.0415	✓	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.182898	+0.22%	0.1775	-2.74%	0.0049	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.188845	+0.18%	0.1825	-3.18%	0.0093	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.190918	+0.22%	0.1885	-1.05%	0.0093	✗	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.196997	+0.25%	0.1905	-3.05%	0.0537	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.198439	+0.22%	0.1965	-0.76%	0.0151	✓	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.182757	+0.69%	0.198	+9.09%	0.0929	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.218828	+0.15%	0.1815	-16.93%	0.0681	✓	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.212872	+0.17%	0.2185	+2.82%	0.0889	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.229503	+0.00%	0.2125	-7.41%	0.0081	✗	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.227783	+0.12%	0.2295	+0.88%	0.0316	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.234121	+0.05%	0.2275	-2.78%	0.0121	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.261866	-0.24%	0.234	-10.86%	0.0097	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.268683	-0.30%	0.2625	-2.60%	0.0146	✓	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.299513	-0.49%	0.2695	-10.47%	0.0093	✓	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.300107	-0.46%	0.301	-0.17%	0.0020	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.296163	-0.45%	0.3015	+1.34%	0.0004	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.285485	-0.35%	0.2975	+3.84%	0.0066	✗	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.302185	-0.43%	0.2865	-5.60%	0.0020	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.302669	-0.44%	0.3035	-0.16%	0.0106	✗	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.30555	-0.47%	0.304	-0.98%	0.0053	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.306834	-0.54%	0.307	-0.49%	0.0015	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.298213	-0.43%	0.3085	+3.01%	0.0129	✗	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.317813	-0.53%	0.2995	-6.26%	0.0254	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.321411	-0.49%	0.3195	-1.08%	0.0148	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.344523	-0.57%	0.323	-6.78%	0.0366	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.338079	-0.57%	0.3465	+1.91%	0.0320	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.338841	-0.63%	0.34	-0.29%	0.0050	✓	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.349106	-0.68%	0.341	-2.99%	0.0018	✓	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.362807	-1.14%	0.3515	-4.22%	0.0615	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.306683	-0.59%	0.367	+18.96%	0.1023	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.313661	-0.58%	0.3085	-2.22%	0.0226	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.315607	-0.60%	0.3155	-0.63%	0.0098	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.312683	-0.58%	0.3175	+0.95%	0.0180	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.311672	-0.58%	0.3145	+0.32%	0.0189	✗	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.315295	-0.54%	0.3135	-1.10%	0.0002	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.329917	-0.63%	0.317	-4.52%	0.0165	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.327987	-0.61%	0.332	+0.61%	0.0155	✗	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.317011	-0.62%	0.33	+3.45%	0.0149	✓	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.308108	-0.61%	0.319	+2.90%	0.0135	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.302905	-0.69%	0.31	+1.64%	0.0079	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.293934	-0.70%	0.305	+3.04%	0.0077	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.2661	-0.52%	0.296	+10.65%	0.0770	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.270239	-0.46%	0.2675	-1.47%	0.0114	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.267763	-0.46%	0.2715	+0.93%	0.0168	✓	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.272667	-0.49%	0.269	-1.82%	0.0048	✓	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.276481	-0.55%	0.274	-1.44%	0.0106	✓	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.266282	-0.46%	0.278	+3.93%	0.0311	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.251312	-0.27%	0.2675	+6.15%	0.0595	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.262738	-0.29%	0.252	-4.36%	0.0315	✓	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.269732	-0.28%	0.2635	-2.59%	0.0276	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.27037	-0.23%	0.2705	-0.18%	0.0266	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.271901	-0.22%	0.271	-0.55%	0.0014	✓	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.277935	-0.20%	0.2725	-2.15%	0.0271	✓	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.278856	-0.23%	0.2785	-0.36%	0.0067	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.25988	-0.05%	0.2795	+7.50%	0.0105	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.272734	-0.10%	0.26	-4.76%	0.0299	✓	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.292921	-0.20%	0.273	-6.98%	0.0318	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.291907	-0.20%	0.2935	+0.34%	0.0285	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.299862	-0.21%	0.2925	-2.66%	0.0168	✗	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.31453	-0.31%	0.3005	-4.75%	0.0027	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.306585	-0.30%	0.3155	+2.60%	0.0292	✗	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.313386	-0.35%	0.3075	-2.23%	0.0328	✗	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.322069	-0.44%	0.3145	-2.78%	0.0353	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.336501	-0.59%	0.3235	-4.43%	0.0246	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.317034	-0.46%	0.3385	+6.28%	0.0196	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.303877	-0.37%	0.3185	+4.43%	0.0413	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.313323	-0.37%	0.305	-3.02%	0.0533	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.299598	-0.30%	0.3145	+4.66%	0.0503	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.317673	-0.42%	0.3005	-5.80%	0.0077	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.32592	-0.48%	0.319	-2.60%	0.0092	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.315361	-0.36%	0.3275	+3.48%	0.0111	✓	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.287209	-0.10%	0.3165	+10.09%	0.0236	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.317612	-0.28%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0004	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.325536	-0.30%	0.3185	-2.45%	0.0111	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.33102	-0.30%	0.3265	-1.66%	0.0120	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.332511	-0.30%	0.332	-0.45%	0.0082	✗	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.324763	-0.23%	0.3335	+2.46%	0.0069	✗	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.324101	-0.12%	0.3255	+0.31%	0.0732	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.318139	-0.11%	0.3245	+1.88%	0.0434	✗	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.301572	+0.02%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0181	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.302875	+0.12%	0.3015	-0.33%	0.0607	✗	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.308349	+0.11%	0.3025	-1.79%	0.0089	✗	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.360037	-0.13%	0.308	-14.56%	0.1183	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.373394	-0.30%	0.3605	-3.74%	0.0950	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.379149	-0.35%	0.3745	-1.58%	0.0247	✗	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.363657	-0.23%	0.3805	+4.39%	0.0245	✗	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.380824	-0.31%	0.3645	-4.58%	0.0086	✗	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.388135	-0.35%	0.382	-1.93%	0.0178	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.376846	-0.31%	0.3895	+3.04%	0.0073	✗	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.388732	-0.45%	0.378	-3.20%	0.1033	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.3976	-0.48%	0.3905	-2.25%	0.0325	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.404077	-0.47%	0.3995	-1.60%	0.0230	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.440627	-0.76%	0.406	-8.56%	0.0083	✓	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.425477	-0.59%	0.444	+3.74%	0.0110	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.421486	-0.59%	0.428	+0.94%	0.0459	✓	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.419945	-0.96%	0.424	+0.00%	0.0346	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.363887	-0.30%	0.424	+16.16%	0.1039	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.371568	-0.38%	0.365	-2.14%	0.0458	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.344559	-0.13%	0.373	+8.12%	0.0202	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.351812	-0.20%	0.345	-2.13%	0.1118	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.418983	-0.36%	0.3525	-16.17%	0.0772	✓	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.415757	-0.30%	0.4205	+0.84%	0.0002	✓	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.397436	-0.27%	0.417	+4.64%	0.0362	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.399713	-0.20%	0.3985	-0.50%	0.0331	✓	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.439	-0.34%	0.4005	-9.08%	0.0510	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.434721	-0.29%	0.4405	+1.03%	0.0816	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.449885	-0.36%	0.436	-3.43%	0.0038	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.462585	-0.41%	0.4515	-2.80%	0.0136	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.445002	-0.34%	0.4645	+4.03%	0.0247	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.446922	-0.35%	0.4465	-0.45%	0.0158	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.432213	-0.30%	0.4485	+3.46%	0.0148	✗	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.418637	-0.21%	0.4335	+3.34%	0.0270	✓	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.432265	-0.28%	0.4195	-3.23%	0.0109	✓	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.445681	-0.41%	0.4335	-3.13%	0.0269	✗	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.437577	-0.32%	0.4475	+1.94%	0.0238	✓	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.426568	-0.22%	0.439	+2.69%	0.0077	✓	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.419343	-0.16%	0.4275	+1.79%	0.0006	✓	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.426743	-0.18%	0.42	-1.75%	0.0275	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.455101	-0.31%	0.4275	-6.35%	0.0009	✓	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.483751	-0.36%	0.4565	-5.97%	0.0041	✓	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.500215	-0.55%	0.4855	-3.48%	0.0218	✗	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.485743	-0.46%	0.503	+3.07%	0.0303	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.454778	-0.27%	0.488	+7.02%	0.0300	✓	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.49634	-0.33%	0.456	-8.43%	0.0332	✓	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.703889	-0.51%	0.498	-29.61%	0.1938	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.727682	-0.52%	0.7075	-3.28%	0.0012	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.708106	-0.55%	0.7315	+2.74%	0.0007	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.753889	-0.61%	0.712	-6.13%	0.0005	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.714566	-0.55%	0.7585	+5.57%	0.0395	✗	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.720973	-0.56%	0.7185	-0.90%	0.0214	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.74001	-0.67%	0.725	-2.68%	0.0229	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.74473	-0.90%	0.745	-0.86%	0.0290	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.699785	-0.74%	0.7515	+6.60%	0.0366	✗	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.666426	-0.61%	0.705	+5.15%	0.0299	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.669809	-0.62%	0.6705	-0.52%	0.0067	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.678859	-0.61%	0.674	-1.32%	0.0505	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.669643	-0.57%	0.683	+1.41%	0.0330	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.665926	-0.61%	0.6735	+0.52%	0.0117	✗	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.637414	-0.56%	0.67	+4.52%	0.0356	✗	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.678485	-0.59%	0.641	-6.08%	0.0366	✗	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.678886	-0.53%	0.6825	+0.00%	0.0234	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.699621	-0.62%	0.6825	-3.05%	0.0095	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.773915	-0.65%	0.704	-9.63%	0.0427	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.803314	-0.70%	0.779	-3.71%	0.0211	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.78678	-0.72%	0.809	+2.08%	0.0266	✗	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.824119	-0.83%	0.7925	-4.63%	0.0099	✓	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.812	0.805541	-0.80%	0.831	+2.34%	0.0182	✗	2.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.