OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s1

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,770

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1559

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0448

actual -0.0523

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.118428	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.116746	-10.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.111407	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.112001	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.114844	-10.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.122681	-11.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.122437	-10.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.125207	-11.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.141548	-10.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.116526	-10.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.129515	-9.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.125203	-10.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.118922	-10.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.106284	-10.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.110797	-9.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.118781	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.126704	-8.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.123357	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.124266	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.11559	-9.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.116515	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.116934	-9.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.115887	-9.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.120949	-9.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.135176	-9.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.130745	-9.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.133733	-8.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.121298	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.114613	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.126869	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.119999	-5.85%	0.131675	+3.32%	0.1525	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.113992	-8.91%	0.12975	+3.68%	0.0996	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.111912	-7.99%	0.124265	+2.16%	0.0945	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.111482	-7.53%	0.125295	+3.92%	0.0975	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.093393	-7.44%	0.129015	+27.86%	0.2455	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.089711	-6.32%	0.13792	+44.02%	0.3485	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.088441	-5.53%	0.13735	+46.72%	0.3433	✗	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.096871	-5.22%	0.14076	+37.72%	0.3270	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.090506	-4.44%	0.158405	+67.24%	0.4757	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.092192	-3.66%	0.130645	+36.52%	0.2886	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.093278	-2.35%	0.14363	+50.36%	0.3461	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.092089	-1.81%	0.13915	+48.36%	0.3263	✗	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.099242	-0.20%	0.13233	+33.07%	0.2319	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.104969	-0.31%	0.11895	+12.96%	0.0817	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.110618	+0.15%	0.123	+11.36%	0.0510	✓	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.112876	+2.43%	0.130325	+18.26%	0.0774	✓	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.110576	+2.78%	0.138525	+28.76%	0.1498	✓	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.103319	+5.28%	0.134225	+36.77%	0.1753	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.109368	+8.08%	0.136365	+34.76%	0.1765	✓	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.103456	+4.26%	0.1272	+28.19%	0.0991	✓	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.100727	+5.83%	0.12807	+34.56%	0.1274	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.100142	+7.05%	0.129565	+38.50%	0.1896	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.091264	+5.62%	0.128755	+49.00%	0.2642	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.094265	+6.29%	0.1342	+51.31%	0.2879	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.095891	+6.46%	0.14935	+65.82%	0.3603	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.106265	+9.30%	0.14384	+47.95%	0.2533	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.105271	+6.33%	0.146435	+47.91%	0.2683	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.10718	+5.61%	0.1314	+29.47%	0.1313	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.113773	+5.59%	0.12285	+14.01%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.116759	+4.08%	0.135295	+20.61%	0.0419	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.114351	+4.98%	0.12745	+17.00%	0.0103	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.115703	+7.98%	0.12514	+16.79%	0.0419	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.098911	+0.93%	0.121635	+24.12%	0.1002	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.087612	-2.61%	0.120565	+34.02%	0.1714	✗	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.077199	-5.84%	0.1009	+23.06%	0.1207	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.079041	-6.09%	0.095765	+13.78%	0.0423	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.077681	-6.80%	0.093615	+12.32%	0.0184	✓	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.07905	-6.80%	0.10221	+20.50%	0.0612	✓	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.080421	-6.87%	0.094715	+9.69%	0.0180	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.08241	-7.06%	0.095695	+7.92%	0.0316	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.079289	-7.72%	0.095525	+11.17%	0.0015	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.084131	-8.05%	0.09379	+2.50%	0.0613	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.083851	-8.36%	0.099445	+8.68%	0.0165	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.08039	-8.65%	0.1053	+19.66%	0.0887	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.080319	-9.24%	0.11045	+24.80%	0.1298	✗	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.078076	-9.74%	0.1102	+27.40%	0.1438	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.078259	-9.53%	0.10758	+24.37%	0.1168	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.079072	-9.63%	0.09814	+12.16%	0.0162	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.079941	-9.67%	0.10119	+14.34%	0.0145	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.079542	-10.12%	0.09923	+12.12%	0.0312	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.077261	-10.16%	0.09518	+10.67%	0.0159	✓	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.074402	-9.82%	0.09355	+13.39%	0.0147	✓	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.077008	-9.40%	0.08641	+1.66%	0.0874	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.079817	-8.78%	0.08869	+1.36%	0.0779	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.081876	-8.52%	0.09007	+0.64%	0.0954	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.082658	-7.64%	0.09722	+8.63%	0.0592	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.08105	-7.37%	0.099	+13.14%	0.0082	✓	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.089423	-6.36%	0.10149	+6.27%	0.0415	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.08662	-6.36%	0.10775	+16.49%	0.0318	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.087124	-5.81%	0.11218	+21.28%	0.0787	✗	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.088263	-4.58%	0.10893	+17.76%	0.0566	✗	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.093141	-3.48%	0.10715	+11.04%	0.0099	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.095211	-2.85%	0.098	+0.00%	0.0533	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.091338	-3.35%	0.08996	-4.80%	0.0658	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.091205	-3.49%	0.08199	-13.24%	0.1065	✓	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.092293	-3.36%	0.08417	-11.86%	0.0880	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.093159	-3.46%	0.08335	-13.63%	0.0968	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.095132	-3.42%	0.08482	-13.89%	0.1041	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.099193	-3.23%	0.08635	-15.76%	0.1146	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.098642	-2.82%	0.08867	-12.64%	0.0846	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.095094	-3.46%	0.085925	-12.77%	0.1185	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.097403	-3.08%	0.0915	-8.96%	0.0594	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.098433	-3.02%	0.0915	-9.85%	0.0752	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.100378	-3.02%	0.088	-14.98%	0.1433	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.09861	-3.32%	0.0885	-13.24%	0.1364	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.09606	-3.46%	0.0865	-13.07%	0.1481	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.098256	-3.67%	0.0865	-15.20%	0.1427	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.102505	-4.20%	0.0875	-18.22%	0.1678	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.103456	-4.65%	0.0885	-18.43%	0.1640	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.102359	-4.78%	0.0885	-17.67%	0.1519	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.101625	-5.02%	0.086	-19.63%	0.1833	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.094413	-4.63%	0.0825	-16.67%	0.1560	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.090842	-4.38%	0.085	-10.53%	0.1138	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.092483	-4.66%	0.0875	-9.79%	0.1618	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.095099	-5.37%	0.0895	-10.95%	0.1240	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.094125	-5.40%	0.0895	-10.05%	0.1262	✓	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.094709	-5.76%	0.0875	-12.94%	0.1448	✓	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.09848	-6.21%	0.0955	-9.05%	0.1227	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.099237	-6.38%	0.0925	-12.74%	0.1504	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.097741	-6.47%	0.0925	-11.48%	0.1100	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.094679	-6.72%	0.0925	-8.87%	0.0668	✓	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.093318	-7.15%	0.0965	-3.98%	0.0049	✓	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.092486	-7.05%	0.098	-1.51%	0.0013	✓	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.09533	-7.89%	0.0945	-8.70%	0.0254	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.095449	-7.78%	0.0945	-8.70%	0.0306	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.100412	-8.30%	0.0955	-12.79%	0.0841	✓	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.099469	-8.74%	0.0965	-11.47%	0.0204	✓	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.098562	-9.16%	0.0985	-9.22%	0.0329	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.098301	-9.40%	0.1025	-5.53%	0.0706	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.098134	-9.14%	0.1015	-6.02%	0.0470	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.097559	-8.40%	0.0985	-7.51%	0.0519	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.092652	-6.88%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0774	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.089957	-6.30%	0.1015	+5.73%	0.1167	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.086487	-4.43%	0.1035	+14.36%	0.1279	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.091166	-5.53%	0.102	+5.70%	0.0836	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.090252	-5.99%	0.0995	+3.65%	0.1137	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.091021	-6.16%	0.102	+5.15%	0.1135	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.089436	-4.86%	0.107	+13.83%	0.1181	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.092548	-5.56%	0.1085	+10.71%	0.1096	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.102195	-8.75%	0.1075	-4.02%	0.0633	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.11018	-10.42%	0.107	-13.01%	0.0029	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.103631	-9.89%	0.099	-13.91%	0.0529	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.109337	-11.83%	0.095	-23.39%	0.0580	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.104874	-11.50%	0.097	-18.14%	0.2004	✗	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.106632	-11.51%	0.1005	-16.60%	0.1823	✗	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.105422	-11.04%	0.0995	-16.03%	0.1889	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.105803	-10.72%	0.1005	-15.19%	0.1889	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.110291	-11.06%	0.105	-15.32%	0.1955	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.112912	-11.09%	0.106	-16.54%	0.2117	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.1153	-10.97%	0.1045	-19.31%	0.1679	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.112997	-10.32%	0.1015	-19.44%	0.1255	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.117229	-10.17%	0.1005	-22.99%	0.0423	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.113916	-9.59%	0.0995	-21.03%	0.0559	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.119701	-9.66%	0.1035	-21.89%	0.0563	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.117341	-9.04%	0.1035	-19.77%	0.0816	✓	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.11507	-8.31%	0.1095	-12.75%	0.1516	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.118771	-8.29%	0.109	-15.83%	0.1002	✗	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.118013	-8.16%	0.1085	-15.56%	0.0890	✗	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.121784	-8.09%	0.1085	-18.11%	0.0559	✓	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.125243	-8.25%	0.108	-20.88%	0.0455	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.132587	-8.24%	0.1065	-26.30%	0.0199	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.133692	-8.74%	0.0995	-32.08%	0.0618	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.138631	-8.80%	0.096	-36.84%	0.1236	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.144959	-7.67%	0.0905	-42.36%	0.1785	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.151913	-7.09%	0.0965	-40.98%	0.1595	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.152011	-7.31%	0.096	-41.46%	0.2054	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.159709	-7.15%	0.097	-43.60%	0.2563	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.138934	-6.13%	0.094	-36.49%	0.1128	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.136022	-4.55%	0.098	-31.23%	0.0438	✓	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.123106	-4.20%	0.112	-12.84%	0.1520	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.117485	-5.25%	0.123	-0.81%	0.2668	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.115433	-6.15%	0.115	-6.50%	0.1632	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.118724	-5.77%	0.124	-1.59%	0.1432	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.113715	-6.02%	0.1185	-2.07%	0.1033	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.11183	-7.19%	0.1205	+0.00%	0.1100	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.110385	-7.63%	0.1185	-0.84%	0.1044	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.112117	-7.72%	0.1185	-2.47%	0.0955	✗	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.113667	-7.21%	0.124	+1.22%	0.1302	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.117325	-6.51%	0.127	+1.20%	0.1189	✗	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.117149	-6.65%	0.1295	+3.19%	0.1058	✗	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.117128	-6.67%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0799	✗	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.11409	-6.10%	0.1305	+7.41%	0.1574	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.113696	-6.04%	0.126	+4.13%	0.1421	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.114941	-6.93%	0.1325	+7.29%	0.1250	✗	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.115059	-6.84%	0.129	+4.45%	0.0911	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.110882	-7.60%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0805	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.117302	-6.53%	0.1295	+3.19%	0.0815	✗	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.127429	-5.26%	0.1285	-4.46%	0.0040	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.124568	-5.99%	0.1325	+0.00%	0.0193	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.1127	-5.69%	0.1365	+14.23%	0.1314	✗	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.104758	-6.05%	0.1445	+29.60%	0.2248	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.109997	-5.58%	0.1465	+25.75%	0.2187	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.099659	-6.42%	0.152	+42.72%	0.2775	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.108068	-5.62%	0.157	+37.12%	0.2492	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.109299	-5.37%	0.1635	+41.56%	0.2708	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.107697	-5.53%	0.164	+43.86%	0.2913	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.108099	-5.59%	0.172	+50.22%	0.3305	✗	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.111904	-5.57%	0.148	+24.89%	0.1612	✗	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.102947	-5.98%	0.1425	+30.14%	0.1419	✗	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.103674	-6.18%	0.1285	+16.29%	0.0409	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.103302	-6.51%	0.124	+12.22%	0.0061	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.10335	-6.47%	0.123	+11.31%	0.0027	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.100075	-6.03%	0.126	+18.31%	0.0508	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.103926	-5.95%	0.121	+9.50%	0.0016	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.104063	-5.83%	0.1205	+9.05%	0.0204	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.099584	-5.61%	0.1195	+13.27%	0.0406	✓	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.096167	-5.25%	0.1215	+19.70%	0.0714	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.097268	-5.10%	0.1225	+19.51%	0.0592	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.099037	-4.77%	0.1255	+20.67%	0.0472	✓	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.103604	-4.51%	0.1255	+15.67%	0.0558	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.109148	-3.83%	0.1255	+10.57%	0.0466	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.10988	-3.19%	0.1215	+7.05%	0.0167	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.110206	-2.90%	0.121	+6.61%	0.0172	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.110688	-3.33%	0.1235	+7.86%	0.0263	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.114103	-2.89%	0.1235	+5.11%	0.0314	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.121549	-1.58%	0.12	-2.83%	0.0656	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.1199	-1.32%	0.1255	+3.29%	0.0457	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126251	-0.20%	0.1345	+6.32%	0.0281	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.139514	+2.21%	0.1325	-2.93%	0.0705	✗	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.142077	+3.33%	0.1195	-13.09%	0.1723	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.130399	+1.48%	0.1115	-13.23%	0.1775	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.124855	+1.10%	0.1165	-5.67%	0.1193	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.124889	+1.54%	0.1065	-13.41%	0.1562	✗	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.120865	+1.14%	0.1145	-4.18%	0.0945	✗	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.122782	+1.47%	0.1155	-4.55%	0.1053	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.120018	+1.28%	0.114	-3.80%	0.0807	✗	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.119345	+0.71%	0.1145	-3.38%	0.0846	✗	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.114719	-0.24%	0.1185	+3.04%	0.0668	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.116044	-0.82%	0.1095	-6.41%	0.0852	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.120487	-0.42%	0.1105	-8.68%	0.1016	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.125438	-0.05%	0.1105	-11.95%	0.0665	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.129685	+0.53%	0.1105	-14.34%	0.0644	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.125887	-0.09%	0.1065	-15.48%	0.1416	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.12495	-0.04%	0.1105	-11.60%	0.1102	✓	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.121502	+0.00%	0.1105	-9.05%	0.1406	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.122507	+0.01%	0.1055	-13.88%	0.1451	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.120333	+0.28%	0.1015	-15.42%	0.1721	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.119622	+0.10%	0.1025	-14.23%	0.1320	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.124357	+0.29%	0.104	-16.13%	0.1475	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.118661	+0.56%	0.1085	-8.05%	0.1818	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.121933	+0.36%	0.1135	-6.58%	0.1978	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.122196	-0.25%	0.1135	-7.35%	0.1292	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.128637	+0.11%	0.1135	-11.67%	0.1807	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.129113	+0.09%	0.1145	-11.24%	0.1174	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.140198	+0.14%	0.1175	-16.07%	0.2147	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.16473	-0.16%	0.1235	-25.15%	0.3705	✓	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.186333	-0.62%	0.1215	-35.20%	0.4754	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.189134	-0.72%	0.1265	-33.60%	0.4479	✓	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.188466	-0.55%	0.1365	-27.97%	0.4196	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.195782	-0.62%	0.1375	-30.20%	0.4483	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.188462	-0.28%	0.1285	-32.01%	0.4590	✓	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.182782	+0.15%	0.1235	-32.33%	0.4909	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.178088	+0.33%	0.123	-30.70%	0.4457	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.182565	+0.04%	0.1195	-34.52%	0.4568	✗	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.187986	-0.27%	0.121	-35.81%	0.4426	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.190045	-0.24%	0.1185	-37.80%	0.4662	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.196457	-0.02%	0.1185	-39.69%	0.4894	✓	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.197549	-0.23%	0.115	-41.92%	0.4503	✓	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.184175	+1.47%	0.117	-35.54%	0.5561	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.214596	-1.79%	0.121	-44.62%	0.4555	✓	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.208595	-1.84%	0.1255	-40.94%	0.3939	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.222954	-2.85%	0.129	-43.79%	0.4073	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.22152	-2.63%	0.126	-44.62%	0.3614	✓	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.226674	-3.13%	0.125	-46.58%	0.3539	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.250339	-4.63%	0.1215	-53.71%	0.2752	✓	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.255732	-5.11%	0.1225	-54.55%	0.3111	✓	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.283083	-5.95%	0.12	-60.13%	0.3138	✓	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.283411	-6.00%	0.1195	-60.36%	0.3571	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.279491	-6.05%	0.124	-58.32%	0.3463	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.269248	-6.02%	0.118	-58.81%	0.2862	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.283362	-6.64%	0.1215	-59.97%	0.2735	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.283756	-6.66%	0.1225	-59.70%	0.3409	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.286305	-6.74%	0.1285	-58.14%	0.3118	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.287656	-6.76%	0.129	-58.18%	0.3137	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.278727	-6.94%	0.14	-53.26%	0.1973	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.299626	-6.22%	0.165	-48.36%	0.0018	✓	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.302349	-6.39%	0.1875	-41.95%	0.1132	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.324951	-6.22%	0.1905	-45.02%	0.0412	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.319462	-6.04%	0.1895	-44.26%	0.0631	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.321203	-5.81%	0.197	-42.23%	0.0728	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.33459	-4.81%	0.189	-46.23%	0.0388	✓	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.347948	-5.19%	0.1825	-50.27%	0.0222	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.287717	-6.74%	0.1775	-42.46%	0.0459	✓	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.293893	-6.85%	0.1825	-42.16%	0.0030	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.296275	-6.69%	0.1885	-40.63%	0.0126	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.295275	-6.11%	0.1905	-39.43%	0.0001	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.295675	-5.69%	0.1965	-37.32%	0.0724	✗	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.300001	-5.36%	0.198	-37.54%	0.1336	✗	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.317946	-4.23%	0.1815	-45.33%	0.2950	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.316232	-4.17%	0.2185	-33.79%	0.1669	✗	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.303499	-4.86%	0.2125	-33.39%	0.0518	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.294683	-4.94%	0.2295	-25.97%	0.0545	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.289922	-4.94%	0.2275	-25.41%	0.0946	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.280723	-5.16%	0.234	-20.95%	0.0768	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.254449	-4.88%	0.2625	-1.87%	0.1140	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.259896	-4.27%	0.2695	-0.74%	0.1313	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.257086	-4.43%	0.301	+11.90%	0.1090	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.262603	-4.16%	0.3015	+10.04%	0.1088	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.26725	-3.87%	0.2975	+7.01%	0.0968	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.257944	-3.57%	0.2865	+7.10%	0.1223	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.243801	-3.25%	0.3035	+20.44%	0.1747	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.255982	-2.85%	0.304	+15.37%	0.1287	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.264	-2.40%	0.307	+13.49%	0.1041	✗	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.265707	-1.95%	0.3085	+13.84%	0.1309	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.268142	-1.60%	0.2995	+9.91%	0.1182	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.274138	-1.57%	0.3195	+14.72%	0.0566	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.275915	-1.28%	0.323	+15.56%	0.0318	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.25691	-1.19%	0.3465	+33.27%	0.0796	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.268979	-1.47%	0.34	+24.54%	0.0242	✗	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.288262	-1.78%	0.341	+16.18%	0.0046	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.286736	-1.97%	0.3515	+20.17%	0.0331	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.293926	-2.19%	0.367	+22.13%	0.0590	✗	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.308445	-2.24%	0.3085	-2.22%	0.0211	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.300839	-2.17%	0.3155	+2.60%	0.0340	✗	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.30778	-2.14%	0.3175	+0.95%	0.0806	✗	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.314192	-2.88%	0.3145	-2.78%	0.0359	✗	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.326845	-3.44%	0.3135	-7.39%	0.0038	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.306691	-3.71%	0.317	-0.47%	0.0188	✓	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.294505	-3.44%	0.332	+8.85%	0.0455	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.30364	-3.45%	0.33	+4.93%	0.0216	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.291027	-3.15%	0.319	+6.16%	0.0423	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.308559	-3.27%	0.31	-2.82%	0.0389	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.31722	-3.14%	0.305	-6.87%	0.0405	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.307761	-2.76%	0.296	-6.48%	0.0211	✓	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.281457	-2.10%	0.2675	-6.96%	0.0807	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.308538	-3.13%	0.2715	-14.76%	0.0806	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.31602	-3.21%	0.269	-17.61%	0.0721	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.322212	-2.95%	0.274	-17.47%	0.0900	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.323858	-2.89%	0.278	-16.64%	0.0691	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.316992	-2.61%	0.2675	-17.82%	0.0944	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.317173	-2.26%	0.252	-22.34%	0.2262	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.310977	-2.36%	0.2635	-17.27%	0.1492	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.295678	-1.93%	0.2705	-10.28%	0.1046	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.298306	-1.39%	0.271	-10.41%	0.1974	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.303827	-1.35%	0.2725	-11.53%	0.2021	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.349044	-3.18%	0.2785	-22.75%	0.2710	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.359421	-4.03%	0.2795	-25.37%	0.1632	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.364707	-4.15%	0.26	-31.67%	0.1417	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.350232	-3.91%	0.273	-25.10%	0.0934	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.363827	-4.76%	0.2935	-23.17%	0.0519	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.369871	-5.04%	0.2925	-24.90%	0.0016	✓	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.360921	-4.52%	0.3005	-20.50%	0.0200	✓	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.370853	-5.03%	0.3155	-19.21%	0.0844	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.378649	-5.22%	0.3075	-23.03%	0.0898	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.38404	-5.41%	0.3145	-22.54%	0.0752	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.418952	-5.64%	0.3235	-27.14%	0.1065	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.404448	-5.50%	0.3385	-20.91%	0.1377	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.400896	-5.45%	0.3185	-24.88%	0.0875	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.401667	-5.27%	0.305	-28.07%	0.0676	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.348974	-4.39%	0.3145	-13.84%	0.2133	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.357123	-4.26%	0.3005	-19.44%	0.2084	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.333388	-3.37%	0.319	-7.54%	0.2008	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.339996	-3.55%	0.3275	-7.09%	0.3148	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.409224	-2.68%	0.3165	-24.73%	0.2413	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.407463	-2.29%	0.2875	-31.06%	0.2890	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.390829	-1.92%	0.3185	-20.08%	0.2991	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.39306	-1.86%	0.3265	-18.48%	0.2773	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.431409	-2.06%	0.332	-24.63%	0.2311	✗	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.428862	-1.64%	0.3335	-23.51%	0.3116	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.442376	-2.02%	0.3255	-27.91%	0.3085	✗	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.452711	-2.54%	0.3245	-30.14%	0.3867	✗	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.43377	-2.85%	0.3185	-28.67%	0.3148	✗	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.435117	-2.98%	0.3015	-32.78%	0.2870	✗	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.420342	-3.04%	0.3025	-30.22%	0.3672	✗	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.406864	-3.01%	0.308	-26.58%	0.3465	✗	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.417442	-3.70%	0.3605	-16.84%	0.4510	✗	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.427193	-4.54%	0.3745	-16.31%	0.3826	✗	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.418615	-4.64%	0.3805	-13.33%	0.3240	✗	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.408243	-4.50%	0.3645	-14.74%	0.2940	✗	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.402276	-4.22%	0.382	-9.05%	0.2760	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.407171	-4.76%	0.3895	-8.89%	0.2901	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.431219	-5.54%	0.378	-17.20%	0.2926	✗	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.46098	-5.05%	0.3905	-19.57%	0.1716	✗	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.478328	-4.90%	0.3995	-20.58%	0.1564	✗	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.460476	-5.64%	0.406	-16.80%	0.1618	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.426886	-6.38%	0.444	-2.63%	0.1560	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.464013	-6.82%	0.428	-14.06%	0.1174	✗	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.669802	-5.33%	0.424	-40.07%	0.1014	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.695782	-4.88%	0.424	-42.04%	0.1356	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.674339	-5.29%	0.365	-48.74%	0.2365	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.724793	-4.44%	0.373	-50.82%	0.2807	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.684737	-4.70%	0.345	-51.98%	0.2760	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.68761	-5.16%	0.3525	-51.38%	0.3787	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.707391	-5.05%	0.4205	-43.56%	0.3093	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.710617	-5.44%	0.417	-44.51%	0.3401	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.661842	-6.12%	0.3985	-43.48%	0.3382	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.623118	-7.07%	0.4005	-40.27%	0.3289	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.62496	-7.28%	0.4405	-34.64%	0.2654	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.630279	-7.72%	0.436	-36.16%	0.3828	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.620762	-7.83%	0.4515	-32.96%	0.4100	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.617689	-7.81%	0.4645	-30.67%	0.3871	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.592022	-7.64%	0.4465	-30.34%	0.3382	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.629982	-7.69%	0.4485	-34.29%	0.2903	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.630685	-7.59%	0.4335	-36.48%	0.3333	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.650125	-7.65%	0.4195	-40.41%	0.3264	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.71484	-8.24%	0.4335	-44.35%	0.3561	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.74042	-8.48%	0.4475	-44.68%	0.3956	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.729248	-7.98%	0.439	-44.61%	0.3595	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.76673	-7.73%	0.4275	-48.56%	0.3737	✓	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.812	0.750739	-7.54%	0.42	-48.28%	0.3660	✓	2.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.