8=======>

2022-09-01 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1437
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.8%
in alpha space · 56.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.89%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4721.4999+0.14%19.34-9.92%0.0995✗0.711.6M2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.972+0.10%1.98+0.51%0.0086✓0.5093k2022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.21870.218635-0.03%0.1972-9.83%0.1033✓-0.0193k2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5331.5325-0.03%1.534+0.07%0.0115✗1.1766k2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.099556-0.04%0.1+0.40%0.0109✗0.722,5272022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94240.941889-0.05%0.93-1.32%0.0019✓1.20846k2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.1490.148909-0.06%0.1524+2.28%0.0331✗1.111,6102022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028790.002876-0.09%0.002989+3.82%0.0466✗0.921.1M2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024630.024606-0.10%0.0246-0.12%0.0112✗1.283,4352022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340210.339862-0.10%0.33413-1.79%0.0082✓0.9844k2022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.14350.143341-0.11%0.141-1.74%0.0073✓1.02129k2022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21050.210233-0.13%0.2088-0.81%0.0023✗1.0257k2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,192.4020,165.87-0.13%20,019.30-0.86%0.0012✓0.9415k2022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.68270.681801-0.13%0.6722-1.54%0.0017✓1.39214k2022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.006160.006152-0.14%0.00602-2.27%0.0159✓0.641.0M2022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.036649-0.14%0.0367+0.00%0.0084✗0.788,1752022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.319.2732-0.14%18.87-2.23%0.0096✓1.2921.2M2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211110.021082-0.14%0.020785-1.54%0.0069✓0.8113k2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6690.668052-0.14%0.657-1.79%0.0090✓0.86228k2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05570.055619-0.15%0.0558+0.18%0.0133✗1.12249k2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30740.306951-0.15%0.3031-1.40%0.0030✓1.07103k2022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31840.317932-0.15%0.3186+0.06%0.0126✗1.16132k2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0427110.042647-0.15%0.043204+1.15%0.0176✗0.5226k2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,133.6520,103.37-0.15%19,953.74-0.89%0.0015✗1.00504.7M2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5140.513182-0.16%0.508-1.17%0.0000✓1.1383k2022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7644.7563-0.16%4.706-1.22%0.0013✓1.338.0M2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04540.045326-0.16%0.04476-1.41%0.0061✓0.7215k2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum30.5730.517-0.17%31.7+3.70%0.0550✗1.89288k2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana31.6231.5637-0.18%31.24-1.20%0.0001✓1.1665.9M2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.101119-0.18%0.1007-0.59%0.0035✗0.85169k2022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.22580.225385-0.18%0.2233-1.11%0.0012✓0.90475k2022-09-02
ZECZcashZcash58.9858.8684-0.19%60.36+2.34%0.0354✗1.161.7M2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.36280.362113-0.19%0.3635+0.19%0.0142✗1.15361k2022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.30834.3001-0.19%4.2655-0.99%0.0011✓0.78766k2022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.061.058-0.19%1.1131+5.01%0.0617✗1.21996k2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.315610.314999-0.19%0.35346+11.99%0.1224✗0.80332k2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035231-0.19%0.035-0.85%0.0016✓0.9184k2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156940.156633-0.20%0.15905+1.34%0.0336✗2.035152022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18090.180544-0.20%0.1768-2.27%0.0086✓1.382,2912022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0580.057886-0.20%0.057-1.72%0.0077✓0.86101k2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008673-0.20%0.00875+0.69%0.0154✗0.735.5M2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.6931.6895-0.20%1.701+0.47%0.0150✗0.92579k2022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3460.345277-0.21%0.3489+0.84%0.0216✗1.24166k2022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.87990.878059-0.21%0.87122-0.99%0.0012✓1.0013k2022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081926-0.21%0.0821+0.00%0.0105✗0.9310k2022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.048496-0.21%0.0486+0.00%0.0110✗0.99781k2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.0471.0447-0.21%1.0393-0.73%0.0024✗0.8540k2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.275408-0.21%0.27-2.17%0.0134✓0.72660k2022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.9507-0.22%1.899-2.86%0.0118✓1.6890k2022-09-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.02580.025743-0.22%0.0274+6.20%0.0676✗0.5847k2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001490.001487-0.22%0.001603+7.58%0.0840✗0.97417k2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.052.0454-0.23%2.034-0.78%0.0046✗1.1438k2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82990.828013-0.23%0.829-0.11%0.0105✗1.041.7M2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.23090.230374-0.23%0.2313+0.17%0.0121✗0.9071k2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.775.7568-0.23%5.831+1.06%0.0205✗0.858.5M2022-09-02
DIADIAEthereum0.375050.374176-0.23%0.3771+0.55%0.0164✗0.9637k2022-09-02
DASHDashDash44.7944.6834-0.24%45.69+2.01%0.0309✗0.97419k2022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0632870.063135-0.24%0.062628-1.04%0.0026✓0.60142k2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020630.02058-0.24%0.02024-1.89%0.0093✓0.8210.9M2022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058080.005794-0.24%0.005767-0.71%0.0015✓0.682,1822022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623470.062193-0.25%0.061662-1.10%0.0009✓1.061.4M2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6740.672301-0.25%0.668-0.89%0.0050✗1.284.1M2022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000012259-0.25%0.00001218-0.90%0.0020✓0.94828k2022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29360.292845-0.26%0.3024+3.00%0.0402✗0.905.9M2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.44752.3115-0.26%53.741+2.47%0.0337✗0.75287k2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase0.90010.897768-0.26%0.876412-2.63%0.0166✓0.8360k2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004009-0.26%0.00396-1.49%0.0036✓0.98136k2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3156.2983-0.26%6.406+1.44%0.0286✗1.308.1M2022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase15.8715.8278-0.27%15.53-2.14%0.0090✓1.11107k2022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12720.126857-0.27%0.1232-3.14%0.0200✓1.031.7M2022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35340.352445-0.27%0.3535+0.03%0.0126✗1.07116k2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1050770.10479-0.27%0.104596-0.46%0.0055✗0.826.9M2022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.043979-0.27%0.0438-0.68%0.0046✗0.96145k2022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.038344-0.28%0.03809-0.94%0.0006✓0.812,6082022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.1439.1174-0.28%9.161+0.20%0.0133✗0.951.3M2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.710.707998-0.28%0.72+1.41%0.0194✗0.2974k2022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.73116.4004-0.28%116.4-0.28%0.0102✗1.144.6M2022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0611-0.29%10.18+0.89%0.0227✗1.23305k2022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.104598-0.29%0.103-1.81%0.0058✓1.072.9M2022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.8958-0.29%4.86-1.02%0.0002✓0.841.5M2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46850.467145-0.29%0.466-0.53%0.0078✗1.14384k2022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.283377-0.29%0.281-1.13%0.0001✓0.953.0M2022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.241694-0.29%0.2409-0.62%0.0051✗0.9475k2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.780270.777981-0.29%0.77622-0.52%0.0055✗0.87509k2022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1847.1629-0.29%7.3+1.61%0.0282✗1.0310.5M2022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1410.140582-0.30%0.1381-2.06%0.0086✓1.02489k2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013250.01321-0.30%0.01324-0.08%0.0083✗0.67223k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.53981.5352-0.30%1.4907-3.19%0.0193✓1.12279k2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum26.9126.8279-0.30%26.31-2.23%0.0108✓0.977.2M2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.45760.456198-0.31%0.4544-0.70%0.0044✗0.9335.8M2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2974610.29654-0.31%0.292616-1.63%0.0036✓1.08545k2022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.2921.288-0.31%1.31+1.39%0.0276✗1.19460k2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1240.123611-0.31%0.1218-1.77%0.0055✓1.0423k2022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4611.4564-0.31%1.488+1.85%0.0319✗1.16108k2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1981.1942-0.32%1.181-1.42%0.0022✓0.991.5M2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.157312.1187-0.32%12.8342+5.57%0.0660✗0.9630k2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064270.064065-0.32%0.06497+1.09%0.0236✗1.072.0M2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum95.0294.7142-0.32%92.78-2.36%0.0130✓0.853.5M2022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.29082.2834-0.32%2.2074-3.64%0.0238✓1.1213k2022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09250.092202-0.32%0.0931+0.65%0.0183✗0.96376k2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0133150.013272-0.33%0.01333+0.11%0.0101✗0.63932k2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056714-0.33%0.0568-0.18%0.0099✗0.9397k2022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero154.26153.7569-0.33%153.67-0.38%0.0086✗1.021.3M2022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8031.797-0.33%1.788-0.83%0.0046✗1.0828k2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78011.7742-0.33%1.798+1.01%0.0220✗0.961.1M2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137570.137105-0.34%0.13722-0.25%0.0115✗1.19190k2022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4286.128-0.34%88.39+2.28%0.0396✗1.525.6M2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.05060.050426-0.34%0.0499-1.38%0.0018✓0.97216k2022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.487305-0.35%0.479-2.04%0.0064✓1.202,7102022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.117.0402-0.35%17.08-0.12%0.0085✗0.68685k2022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064010.006378-0.35%0.006468+1.05%0.0177✗0.4256k2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22650.225699-0.35%0.2219-2.03%0.0052✓1.31139k2022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.5657.3553-0.36%61.02+6.01%0.0708✗0.9812.6M2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95740.953986-0.36%0.9679+1.10%0.0189✗0.493.5M2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.548720.546744-0.36%0.53972-1.64%0.0012✓1.3137k2022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9462.9352-0.37%2.96+0.48%0.0129✗0.50650k2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.14391.1397-0.37%1.1047-3.43%0.0233✓0.881.3M2022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.18193.1701-0.37%3.1377-1.39%0.0012✓1.0124k2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.7352.7249-0.37%2.743+0.29%0.0144✗0.87682k2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.525037-0.37%0.538+2.09%0.0338✗1.0574k2022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.77e-7-0.38%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0222✗0.7915k2022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6680.66546-0.38%0.713+6.74%0.0777✗0.97207k2022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9276.9003-0.38%6.93+0.04%0.0137✗1.0517.4M2022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3136.2881-0.39%6.292-0.33%0.0081✗0.834.8M2022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7891.7819-0.40%1.76-1.62%0.0042✓0.91121k2022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074490.074193-0.40%0.07182-3.58%0.0221✓1.1626k2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,586.231,579.90-0.40%1,575.69-0.66%0.0097✗1.38660.9M2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0440860.043908-0.40%0.044071-0.03%0.0113✗0.8429k2022-09-02
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20380.202974-0.41%0.1986-2.55%0.0100✓1.32116k2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.170304-0.41%0.168-1.75%0.0049✓0.97310k2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.54860.546356-0.41%0.5541+1.00%0.0215✗0.831.0M2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015340.001528-0.41%0.001528-0.39%0.0065✗0.709,0932022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5236-0.42%1.48-3.27%0.0302✓-0.13128k2022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022810.022715-0.42%0.02248-1.45%0.0032✓0.80459k2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034970.034822-0.42%0.03437-1.72%0.0041✓1.0040k2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15411.1492-0.42%1.0939-5.22%0.0356✓1.524.5M2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3144-0.43%1.31-0.76%0.0048✗0.90109k2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration47.4347.2234-0.44%47.83+0.84%0.0216✗0.98459k2022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum48.0347.8203-0.44%45.81-4.62%0.0317✓1.259,4572022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9232.771-0.45%32.45-1.43%0.0037✓1.5112.4M2022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50230.49999-0.46%0.4979-0.88%0.0025✓0.75514k2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.080.079627-0.47%0.0801+0.13%0.0064✗0.05418k2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.9173-0.47%3.028+3.31%0.0509✗1.523.7M2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.86e-7-0.47%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0119✗0.791.9M2022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06120.060909-0.48%0.0619+1.14%0.0276✗1.28897k2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.627.582-0.50%7.59-0.39%0.0107✗1.08409k2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,216.459,170.15-0.50%10,076.20+9.33%0.1066✗1.385.9M2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.411885-0.51%0.423+2.17%0.0358✗1.028,1172022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.34550.343724-0.51%0.34352-0.57%0.0078✗0.93369k2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42670.424483-0.52%0.436+2.18%0.0371✗1.15100k2022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53175.5026-0.53%5.402-2.34%0.0176✓0.10115k2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.4513.3793-0.53%13.76+2.30%0.0376✗1.061.9M2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007950.007908-0.53%0.00814+2.39%0.0390✗1.12477k2022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4854.4611-0.53%4.612+2.83%0.0356✗0.262.3M2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0213.9449-0.54%14.03+0.07%0.0159✗1.10959k2022-09-02
FISStafiEthereum0.36280.36083-0.54%0.362-0.22%0.0114✗0.915072022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067370.067-0.55%0.0671-0.40%0.0095✗0.899142022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7627-0.57%4.95+3.34%0.0434✗0.541.1M2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8533.8307-0.58%3.82-0.86%0.0059✗0.96259k2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001338-0.58%0.001355+0.67%0.0196✗0.792.4M2022-09-02
FLOWFlownative2.0472.0351-0.58%1.965-4.01%0.0230✓1.351.3M2022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.301950.300146-0.60%0.29376-2.71%0.0122✓1.0412k2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.21430.212985-0.61%0.2187+2.05%0.0340✗0.842.9M2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.266-0.61%2.19-3.95%0.0238✓1.15229k2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003180.00316-0.62%0.00313-1.57%0.0007✓1.00486k2022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13980.138915-0.63%0.1352-3.29%0.0224✓0.523.5M2022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0591.0523-0.63%1.084+2.36%0.0409✗1.251.5M2022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.7312.6492-0.63%12.614-0.91%0.0072✗1.1111.4M2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.916.8627-0.68%7.11+2.89%0.0397✗0.481.7M2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.2803-0.69%4.42+2.55%0.0364✗0.482.0M2022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.14524.1155-0.72%5.1574+24.42%0.2310✗0.604.2M2022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0876.0432-0.72%6.365+4.57%0.0562✗0.494.4M2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269030.026703-0.74%0.025779-4.18%0.0341✓0.12280k2022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1170.116067-0.80%0.1196+2.22%0.0363✗0.70203k2022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.795.7413-0.84%5.99+3.45%0.0465✗0.452.0M2022-09-02
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.87824.8363-0.86%5.0427+3.37%0.0508✗1.00147k2022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.876.8086-0.89%6.91+0.58%0.0193✗0.502.1M2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9740.964708-0.95%1.008+3.49%0.0472✗0.373.8M2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000045692-0.97%0.00004622+0.17%0.0192✗0.861.7M2022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.549.4427-1.02%9.58+0.42%0.0188✗0.491.9M2022-09-02
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1658-1.03%1.234+4.75%0.0721✗1.703.1M2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.70536.6309-1.11%7.5477+12.56%0.1315✗0.225.4M2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.92712.775-1.18%14.875+15.07%0.1569✗0.5312.5M2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89710.884997-1.35%0.889-0.90%0.0176✗1.46167k2022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.242.2086-1.40%2.25+0.45%0.0254✗0.76287k2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.82257.6934-1.65%7.9584+1.74%0.0370✗0.357.3M2022-09-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.81e-7-1.77%8.64e-7-3.71%0.0126✓0.821.4M2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000276060.000265045-3.99%0.00024148-12.53%0.0864✓0.75442k2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.